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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.6% | 2,454 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.9% | 2,218 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.5% | 82 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Leo Springs (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Bourbon Curiosity (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Commander Storm (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Mister Banderas (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Heavenlyconveyance (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Ga Mo Tak (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Relentless Chick (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 15 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Ekati Flatter (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 15 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Momentario (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Imperial Merlot (3-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Secret Operation (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Sugar Princess (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Zoomaha (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Justhappytobehere (4-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 17 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Mackadoo (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Jailhouse Justice (5-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Nine Questions (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Shiesty To Chase (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – For Mama (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 8 – Henry The Hank (5-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 5 – Looking Good Lewis (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Over And Above (6-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Aunt Leila's Sky (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Starry Eye Justice (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 9 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Estrella Brillante (10-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Luna Diva (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Jane Plain (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – I'malittlethirsty (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 5 – Unbridled Sabbath (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Joe The Tailor (2-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 21 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Countthecarats (5-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Neutron (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Explosively (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Morning Power (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Versed (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Huevos D'oro (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Visual (2-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 24 pts |
| Place: | 5 – Officer Gambill (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Z's Fireball (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Lil Chance (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Dotties Blue Money (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Runaway Mike (10-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 9 – Senor Justice (6-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 3 – Starspangled Louie (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – One More Show (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Tarshea (1-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 23 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Sea Ride (5-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Silvertown (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Nixon's Time (10-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Channah Del Mar (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Wildest Problem (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Caumsett (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 9 – Deal'em And Weep (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 1 – Madelyn Attack (6-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Chisel (15-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 12 pts |
| Place: | 9 – Audubon Bay (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Dewey Oxburger (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Dream Fast (5-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Indy Kid (12-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Standard Edition (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Chabelo (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Concho's Prayer (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 8 – Instinctually (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Three Eyed Candy (2-1) | 5/5 | 100.0% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 3 – A Flare For Politics (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Streakin Little Jess (6-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Outlaw Woman (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Flyin Cowgirl (3-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Mg Fresca (4-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Last Game Lady (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |