Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Penn National, October 16, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

0%13%26%39%53%Odds-on to 5/2: 42.0% from 2,043 racesOdds-on to 5/242.0%5/2 to 5/1: 29.4% from 1,764 races5/2 to 5/129.4%

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Odds-on to 5/242.0%2,043
5/2 to 5/129.4%1,764

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Elegant Artistry (2-1) ⭐4/666.7%13 pts
Place:3 – Amelia Adams (2-1)4/666.7%12 pts
Show:2 – Lady Cabernet (4-1)4/666.7%11 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Sonoma's Cause (4-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Alt 2:5 – Miss Ky Tap (4-1)1/616.7%1 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Arrow Speed (2-1) ⭐6/6100.0%22 pts
Place:5 – Bermuda Run (5-1)4/666.7%11 pts
Show:2 – Porch Swing (2-1)4/666.7%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Disturbed (4-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 2:4 – Purecrazigroove (5-1)1/616.7%2 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Miami Kaz (2-1) ⭐5/683.3%19 pts
Place:3 – Howdidthatworkout (4-1)4/666.7%12 pts
Show:2 – Supremely Wicked (2-1)4/666.7%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Peach Smoothie (4-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Alt 2:1 – Torotoro (5-1)1/616.7%2 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Think Fast (2-1)5/683.3%16 pts
Place:3 – Disco Ebo (3-1)5/683.3%16 pts
Show:1 – Divine Intentions (4-1)4/666.7%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Peridot Pendant (4-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 2:6 – Tap Dancin Cowgirl (5-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 3:4 – Jump A Fox (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Music Clarifcation (2-1)6/6100.0%21 pts
Place:4 – Honor Roll (2-1)4/666.7%15 pts
Show:5 – Landofhopeandreams (4-1)4/666.7%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Red Betty (5-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 2:3 – Alyvia's Lil Girl (5-1)1/616.7%1 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Honorisia (4-1)4/666.7%10 pts
Place:3 – Winning Play (2-1)4/666.7%9 pts
Show:2 – I B Flyin (6-1)3/650.0%11 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Satisfied Mind (3-1)3/650.0%10 pts
Alt 2:5 – Air Force Sue (4-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 3:4 – Inanoceanoflove (8-1)1/616.7%3 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Leonidas Stand (2-1) ⭐6/6100.0%21 pts
Place:2 – Highly Potent (4-1)4/666.7%14 pts
Show:3 – More Power (6-1)3/650.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Designed By Smarty (8-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 2:8 – Scudetto (8-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 3:4 – Warrior's Way Out (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 4:6 – Birravino Blvd (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:1 – Stonecoldhandsome (4-1)0/60.0%0 pts

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