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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
How often our pick wins, by its price
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.6% | 2,472 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.9% | 2,246 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.1% | 83 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 3 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Lead By Example (2-1) ⭐ | 3/3 | 100.0% | 9 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Saver's Joy (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Mi Bella Reina (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Volden (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Sunday Frost (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Amelia's Edge (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Maricamp Road (5-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Ava J (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 9 – American Candy (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 10 – Dana Might (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 5 – Cloud Number Nine (4-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 3 – My Julia (5-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 7 – She's A Bond Too (12-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Miss You No More (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Lady Admiral (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Balladry (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Rainbow Smiles (2-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Ms. Hillary (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Bravitas (6-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Attack Now (2-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Deposit Insurance (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Toms Prospector (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Board Of Directors (3-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Boundless Optimist (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Fitzgerald (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Fluid Situation (3-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Bad Beat Brian (2-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Blue Light (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Carlea's Dream (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Stayed In For Half (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Moral Dilemma (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Marcus Gift (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Under Oath (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 8 – Third Street (10-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 6 – John (8-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Steel Link (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 9 – Golden Rebal (5-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Bobby Brinkley (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Beau Day (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Fastened (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 5 – Laws Of Man (3-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – Bolt Supremacy (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 10 – Ooey Gooey Chewy (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – More Coffee (3-1) ⭐ | 3/3 | 100.0% | 11 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Vivis In Front (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 10 – Irish Lass (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 3 – Clearly Clover (5-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Grayrock Lady (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Melly's Birkin (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Speaker Baby (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 7 – Fish And Whistle (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 8 – Crime Scene (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 9 – Reactionary (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 11 – Susan Yvonne (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 12 – Love Me Some Candy (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Vintage Cowboy (3-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Helicity (2-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Moneymilitia (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Ak Sar Ben Derby (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Baker Hayfield (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Summer Help (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Rockin His Sox Off (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Riding Double (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Mister Omaha (2-1) ⭐ | 3/3 | 100.0% | 12 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Nucleus (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Show: | 8 – Cajun Stoops (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Classy Empire (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – I Am What I Am (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Missin Hollywood (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Royalamerican (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Connors Outlaw (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 9 – Breakable Code (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Drain The Shot (2-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 11 – Mister Okie (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Twice Last Year (12-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 10 – Chase's Mojo (15-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Okie Dokie M (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Tizcolonelforce (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Gospel Russell (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Pennington (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – Breakin Passed (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 8 – By My Boss (5-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 9 – Dan Golden (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
