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Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 1M 110Y – Dirt – $85,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 1 Britain – 62% confidence🥇Place: 3 Pomerance – 85% confidence🥉Show: 5 Interstatelovesong – 46% confidence🥈
Alternative: 4 Backstreets – 62% confidence
Britain receives eight of thirteen win votes, making him the clear consensus choice. The Chad Brown trainee showed promise with a third-place debut at Belmont and draws overwhelming support. Pomerance, a barnmate also trained by Brown, appears in eleven of thirteen place or better selections, commanding strong confidence across the board. Both Brown entries purchased for significant sums suggest the trainer has high expectations for this maiden event.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight – 1M – Dirt – $80,000 WIN
Win: 2 Off Script – 77% confidence🥇Place: 3 Our Preferred Pal – 85% confidenceShow: 6 Morgana’s Moment – 38% confidence
Alternative: 4 Neri – 38% confidence🥉
Off Script dominates with ten of thirteen analysts selecting her to win. The filly has demonstrated consistency with four placings from five starts and showed improved turf form that translates favorably to the main track. Our Preferred Pal appears in eleven place or better selections after a respectable effort returning from a layoff. The race appears straightforward with the top two clearly separated from the field.
Race 3 – Claiming – 6.5F – Dirt – $41,000
Win: 6 Itwillbefun – 33% confidence
Place: 3 That’s Funny – 50% confidence🥉
Show: 1 Sheer Will – 42% confidence🥇
Alternative: 2 I’m Kidding – 42% confidence🥈
This claiming event shows the most divided opinion among analysts. Itwillbefun draws four win votes based on recent third-place effort at Belmont with fitness expected to improve. That’s Funny receives three win selections and appears consistently in place positions. The competitive nature creates uncertainty but also value opportunities in horizontal wagers. Analysts note minimal separation between the top four contenders.
Race 4 – Claiming – 1M 70Y – Dirt – $33,000 BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 5 Flat On – 64% confidence🥉
Place: 4 Awesome Empire – 36% confidence🥈
Show: 1 Whiskey N Soda – 36% confidence🥇
Alternative: 2 Aleah Aleah – 36% confidence
Flat On stands out with seven of eleven analysts backing the gelding. Strong recent form with multiple placings and proven ability at the distance positions him clearly ahead. Analysts characterize this as potentially a two-horse race between Flat On and Awesome Empire, though Racenet suggests the latter offers value at higher odds. Class consistency favors Flat On in this spot.
Race 5 – Claiming – 1M – Dirt – $28,000
Win: 7 Coquito – 55% confidence🥈
Place: 2 It Takes Heart – 55% confidence
Show: 3 My First Love – 36% confidence
Alternative: 5 Pistol Liz Ablazen – 27% confidence🥇
Coquito edges It Takes Heart with six versus four win votes in a highly competitive race. Both horses have proven Aqueduct form and recent strong performances. Multiple analysts indicate difficulty separating the top three selections. Racenet and Fan Odds note all three possess winning credentials at the track, suggesting competitive balance ideal for exacta and trifecta wagering.
Race 6 – Maiden Claiming – 6.5F – Turf – $55,000
Win: 8 Garden Of Grace – 45% confidencePlace: 9 Five Dozen Roses – 45% confidence
Show: 5 Brokealltherules – 27% confidence🥇
Alternative: 10 Lady Meringue – 18% confidence
Garden Of Grace receives five win votes after demonstrating improvement on turf with three placings from five starts. Five Dozen Roses draws three win selections and has also progressed on grass. The race features multiple first-time starters including Lady Meringue, creating exotic wagering value but adding uncertainty. Analysts note Garden Of Grace holds slight edge but expect competitive pace scenarios.
Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1M 110Y – Dirt – $85,000
Win: 3 Bendoog – 36% confidence🥈
Place: 2 Film Star – 55% confidence
Show: 6 Full Screen – 55% confidence🥇
Alternative: 4 Golden Ice – 18% confidence
This allowance race produces the most divided consensus with Bendoog and Film Star each receiving four win votes. Bendoog has exceptional Aqueduct form with multiple course victories. Film Star brings superior class from dual Saratoga wins but faces first race off layoff. Full Screen adds another dimension with strong Belmont form. The lack of clear favorite suggests exacta boxes across the top three offer substantial value.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1M 110Y – Dirt – $90,000
Win: 4 Danzit – 36% confidencePlace: 5 Yankee Doodle – 36% confidenceShow: 2 Midnight Concerto – 36% confidence🥉
Alternative: 7 Purloin – 27% confidence🥈
Analysts characterize this as a three-way toss-up between Danzit, Yankee Doodle, and Midnight Concerto. Danzit receives four win votes based on winning streak at Finger Lakes. Yankee Doodle also brings consecutive victories. Midnight Concerto counters with outstanding Aqueduct-specific form. The competitive nature and quality depth make this ideal for wider exotic coverage with multiple horses capable of winning.
Race 9 – Maiden Special Weight – 1M 110Y – Turf – $85,000 WIN
Win: 8 Jack’s World – 73% confidence🥇
Place: 3 Kuleana – 55% confidence🥉
Show: 1 You’re Lookin Good – 45% confidence
Alternative: 13 Leave Me – 27% confidence
Jack’s World dominates with eight of eleven win votes. Two placings from three starts combined with recent Aqueduct form and equipment changes create strong appeal. Kuleana shows consistent placing ability with improving figures. The large fourteen-horse field provides depth for exacta and trifecta value despite the clear favorite. Analysts note Jack’s World must overcome favoritism questions from prior effort.
Exotic Wagering Recommendations
Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
Pick Pony analysts recommend using Britain and Interstatelovesong in Race 1, narrowing to Off Script in Race 2, spreading across Itwillbefun, That’s Funny, and Sheer Will in Race 3, keying Flat On with one backup in Race 4, and including Coquito, It Takes Heart, and She’s Cool in Race 5. This structure balances singles on confident races with strategic spreads on divided races.
Pick 4 (Races 2-5)
Concentrate investment on Off Script with one alternative in Race 2, spread the highly competitive Race 3 with four horses, focus on Flat On with Awesome Empire backup in Race 4, and include three contenders in Race 5. The moderate cost structure captures the strongest plays while respecting competitive balance in Races 3 and 5.
Pick 5 (Races 3-7)
Analysts suggest using four horses in the divided Race 3, spreading four selections in Race 4, three in Race 5, narrowing to three in Race 6, and finishing with Bendoog and Full Screen in Race 7. This sequence offers value by respecting uncertainty in the claiming races while focusing on stronger opinions in the allowance.
Pick 6 (Races 4-9)
Start with Flat On and three alternatives in Race 4, use three in each of Races 5 and 6, narrow to two in Race 7, single Danzit in Race 8, and finish with Jack’s World and Kuleana in Race 9. The single on Danzit in Race 8 controls cost while leveraging consensus support despite divided opinions.
Late Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
Use three horses in Races 5 and 6, two in Race 7, spread with three or four in the competitive Race 8, and include Jack’s World with two alternatives in Race 9. This ticket structure balances cost at moderate investment levels while capturing value in the most contentious middle races.
Recommended Exacta Boxes
Race 1: 1-3-5 provides coverage of Britain as key with both Brown trainees
Race 2: 2-3 straight exacta offers value given overwhelming consensus
Race 4: 4-5 captures the two-horse race setup with potential reversal
Race 6: 8-9-5 spreads across improving turf performers
Race 7: 2-3-6 boxes the three-way battle with class considerations
Race 8: 4-5-2 encompasses the split decision among quality fillies and mares
Race 9: 3-8-13 includes the strong favorite with value alternatives
Daily Double Opportunities
Race 1 into Race 2: Britain with Off Script creates solid foundation at reasonable cost
Race 4 into Race 5: Flat On paired with Coquito, It Takes Heart, and My First Love spreads the competitive fifth
Race 6 into Race 7: Garden Of Grace with all four top selections in Race 7 captures the divided allowance race
Pick Pony analysts emphasize that divided opinion in multiple races creates significant exotic wagering value. The maiden and allowance contests show particularly competitive scenarios while claiming races offer more predictable hierarchies. Vertical wagers benefit from strategic singles on strongest consensus plays combined with wider spreads on contentious races.
