Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Aqueduct, November 23, 2025. 44% WIN RATE + 2 EXACTAS

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Race 1 – Allowance – 6F Dirt – $81,000 WIN

Win: #4 Munnings Express (92%)🥇

Place: #1 Central to Success (50%)🥉

Show: #7 Carol T (33%)

Alternative: #2 Straca (42%)

Race Notes:

Strong consensus behind the top selection with overwhelming analyst support. Sprint distance emphasizes early speed and tactical positioning. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 2 – Maiden Claiming – 6F Dirt – $38,000

Win: #3 Starship Lizzy (75%)

Place: #4 Salute to Service (75%)🥇

Show: #6 Taparoo (33%)🥉

Alternative: #5 Wayward Queen (42%)

Race Notes:

Competitive race with analysts divided among multiple contenders. Maiden race presents typical unpredictability with limited form. Sprint distance emphasizes early speed and tactical positioning.

Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – 7F Dirt – $35,000 WIN + EXACTA

Win: #8 New York Scrappy (42%)🥇

Place: #1 Free Spin (75%)🥈

Show: #3 Fiddling Felix (50%)

Alternative: #5 Magnanimous Max (42%)

Race Notes:

Competitive race with analysts divided among multiple contenders. Maiden race presents typical unpredictability with limited form. Sprint distance emphasizes early speed and tactical positioning. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 4 – Forever Together Stakes – 1 1/16M Turf – $150,000 WIN + EXACTA

Win: #5 Oversubscribed (58%)🥇

Place: #6 Malleymoo (67%)🥈

Show: #4 Spinning Colors (50%)

Alternative: #2 Nice as Pie (42%)🥉

Race Notes:

Clear favorite emerges from analyst picks with solid backing. Stakes race quality with elevated competition level. Route race favors horses with proven stamina and late tactical speed. Turf course running conditions and horse turf experience are critical factors. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 5 – Maiden Special Weight – 1M Dirt – $85,000

Win: #2 Credit History (58%)

Place: #6 Ottinho (67%)🥉

Show: #4 Fightforallegiance (75%)

Alternative: #5 Enforced Agenda (25%)🥇

Race Notes:

Competitive race with analysts divided among multiple contenders. Maiden race presents typical unpredictability with limited form. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 6 – Maiden Optional Claiming – 1M Dirt – $70,000

Win: #10 Where’s Your Boom (67%)🥈

Place: #6 The Obliterator (50%)

Show: #3 Tiger Rocket (33%)

Alternative: #4 Mo Spice (42%)

Race Notes:

Clear favorite emerges from analyst picks with solid backing. Maiden race presents typical unpredictability with limited form. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 7 – Claiming – 7F Dirt – $55,000

Win: #6 Shadow Surge (67%)

Place: #2 Salming (75%)

Show: #3 Hot Spun (33%)🥉

Alternative: #8 Cocktailsnkringle (33%)

Race Notes:

Clear favorite emerges from analyst picks with solid backing. Sprint distance emphasizes early speed and tactical positioning. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 8 – Pebbles Stakes – Grade 3 – 1 1/16M Turf – $175,000

Win: #6 Sweet Treasure (50%)🥉

Place: #8 Peak Hype (67%)

Show: #1 Fast Market (67%)🥇

Alternative: #5 Paradise City (33%)

Race Notes:

Competitive race with analysts divided among multiple contenders. Stakes race quality with elevated competition level. Route race favors horses with proven stamina and late tactical speed. Turf course running conditions and horse turf experience are critical factors. Multiple live contenders create attractive exotic wagering opportunities.

Race 9 – Maiden Claiming – 1 1/8M Dirt – $35,000 WIN

Win: #6 Apalta (75%)🥇

Place: #2 Noguchi (42%)🥈

Show: #1 Thorsness (33%)

Alternative: #9 The Hero Code (25%)

Race Notes:

Strong consensus behind the top selection with overwhelming analyst support. Maiden race presents typical unpredictability with limited form. Route race favors horses with proven stamina and late tactical speed.


Race 1

Exacta Box: 4/1 – Strong consensus top two provide solid foundation for exacta betting.

Trifecta: Key 4 over 1/7 – Using the dominant favorite over two solid contenders offers value.

Superfecta: 4/1/7/2 – Box these four to capitalize on consensus picks.

Race 2

Exacta Box: 3/4 – Two co-favorites create competitive exacta opportunity.

Trifecta: Key 3 over 4/6 – Starship Lizzy tops over strong place finishers.

Value Play: Consider 6 Taparoo as upset potential at strong odds.

Race 3

Exacta Box: 8/1 – New York Scrappy and Free Spin both carry strong analyst support.

Trifecta: 8-1-3 – Spread across top consensus picks for coverage.

Value Play: Multiple contenders create wide-open betting race with exotic opportunities.

Race 4

Exacta Box: 5/6 – Oversubscribed and Malleymoo dominate analyst selections.

Trifecta: Key 5 over 6/4 – Strong favorite over proven turf performers.

Win Bet: 5 Oversubscribed carries heaviest analyst backing as stakes quality runner.

Race 5

Exacta Box: 2/6 – Credit History and Ottinho both show strong support.

Trifecta: 2-6-4 – Top three consensus selections provide solid exotic foundation.

Value Play: 4 Fightforallegiance shows consistent analyst backing for place position.

Race 6

Exacta Box: 10/6 – Where’s Your Boom and The Obliterator lead consensus.

Trifecta: Key 10 over 6/3 – Top pick over multiple solid contenders.

Value Play: 10 Where’s Your Boom offers strong value as consensus leader.

Race 7

Exacta Box: 6/2 – Shadow Surge and Salming create competitive exacta.

Trifecta: 6-2-3 – Cover top three analyst selections for trifecta value.

Win Bet: 6 Shadow Surge carries strong morning line favorite status with analyst support.

Race 8

Exacta Box: 6/8 – Sweet Treasure and Peak Hype both earn heavy backing.

Trifecta: 6-8-1 – Top three picks cover strongest graded stakes contenders.

Value Play: Competitive Grade 3 field creates attractive exotic wagering with multiple quality fillies.

Race 9

Exacta Box: 6/2 – Apalta dominates as consensus leader with Noguchi solid second.

Trifecta: Key 6 over 2/1 – Strong favorite over two proven contenders.

Win Bet: 6 Apalta receives overwhelming analyst support as top selection.


Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing exotic action on races with competitive fields and multiple strong contenders, particularly Race 3, Race 4, and Race 8. The consensus picks reflect strong analyst agreement on several races, making straight win betting attractive on favorites in Race 1 and Race 9. Route races on turf in the stakes events warrant attention to horses with proven stamina and course experience.

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