Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $15,800
Win: 2 – Uncaptured Warrior (88%)
Place: 7 – Crown That Saint (25%)
Show: 1 – Thank Ya Pete (25%)🥇
Alternative: 4 – Inter Miami (25%)🥈
Early speed from Uncaptured Warrior should control the race setup. The track has consistently favored frontrunners during recent racing days. Thank Ya Pete’s late running style fits perfectly should Uncaptured Warrior establish a strong tempo.
Race 2 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $13,600 BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 2 – Goldfire (62%)🥉
Place: 6 – The Commish (38%)
Show: 3 – Mo Joke (25%)🥇
Alternative: 5 – Nays Only One (38%)🥈
Goldfire’s recent form and class drop suggest improvement while dropping in distance. The Commish should position well early given consistent Charles Town record. Mo Joke finishing a neck off the pace last out demonstrates competitiveness in this exact field configuration.
Race 3 – Maiden, 6.5F, Dirt, $19,100 WIN ($4.40)
Win: 6 – Fab Girl (50%)🥇
Place: 1 – Bourbon And Beauty (25%)
Show: 8 – Veri Collected (25%)
Alternative: 5 – Amendment (38%)🥈
Fab Girl’s multiple Charles Town placings and current win absence suggest breakthrough potential at this claiming level. Bourbon And Beauty and Amendment both show recent form improvements. The maiden condition creates unpredictability, but Fab Girl’s consistency at the track remains valuable.
Race 4 – Claiming, 4.5F, Dirt, $15,800 WIN
Win: 1 – Dolce Veloce (88%)🥇
Place: 4 – Peggys Way (38%)🥉
Show: 5 – Ding Ding (25%)
Alternative: 2 – Cherokee Castle (38%)🥈
Dolce Veloce’s dominant consensus and excellent Charles Town form establish clear control. Peggys Way and Cherokee Castle both offer value play potential for place action. The short distance favors speed horses, and Dolce Veloce owns the best credentials in this regard.
Race 5 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $14,600
Win: 10 – Bold Ambition (38%)
Place: 5 – Grand Park View (25%)🥈
Show: 7 – Masterwork (25%)
Alternative: 2 – Trainer Please (25%)🥇
Bold Ambition’s consensus consensus reflects uncertainty, making this a genuine Pick 3/Pick 4 puzzle. Grand Park View’s consecutive Charles Town wins position well for place consideration. The distance appears to suit Grand Park View’s running style. Trainer Please represents a close third option for trifecta construction.
Race 6 – Claiming, 7.0F, Dirt, $20,400 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 1 – Mexicali Mike (88%)🥇
Place: 2 – Roark (25%)🥉
Show: 5 – Show Time Allen (38%)🥈
Alternative: 6 – Eds Prophecy (25%)
Mexicali Mike’s dominant consensus and solid recent form establish clear favorites status. Roark’s close third performance last start creates genuine upset potential. Show Time Allen’s consistent form and value pricing suggest inclusion in deeper exotic wagers. Eds Prophecy remains dangerous if finding better speed balance in paddock.
Race 7 – Allowance, 4.5F, Dirt, $32,800 WIN ($6.20)
Win: 1 – Allformenoneforyou (38%)🥇
Place: 6 – Funding The Kids (25%)🥉
Show: 2 – Our Memories (25%)
Alternative: 5 – First Print (25%)
Allformenoneforyou’s placement last out from freshness break and Charles Town expertise suggest readiness. Funding The Kids returns from adequate layup with recent winning form. The short distance creates significant speed-favoring profile. Multiple contenders at reasonable odds enhance value opportunities.
Race 8 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, $14,600 WIN ($5.80)
Win: 1 – Sisyphus (62%)🥇
Place: 5 – Heads Or Tails (25%)
Show: 6 – Valhallas Palace (38%)🥉
Alternative: 10 – Genghis (38%)
Sisyphus’s favorable post position combined with recent Charles Town victory establishes the logical choice. Heads Or Tails deserves respect as a proven track specialist. Valhallas Palace and Genghis both display competitive credentials for exotic play. The gelding profile suggests potential for dead-heat considerations in finishing order.
Exotic Bet Recommendations & Value Analysis
Pick Pony analysts recommend the following exotic wagering strategies for Charles Town’s December 6 card:
Daily Double Focus (Races 1-2): Uncaptured Warrior with either Goldfire or Mo Joke combination creates solid probability at economical cost. The 1-2 connection presents balanced risk-reward profile with Uncaptured Warrior’s dominant consensus offset by competitive Race 2.
Pick 3 Structure (Races 3-5): Using Fab Girl as win anchor with Dolce Veloce as second-leg single generates narrower ticket while emphasizing track-proven horses. Branching Bold Ambition for multiple outcomes creates necessary volatility coverage given his moderate consensus percentage.
Exacta Opportunities: Race 5 offers the most attractive exacta value, with Bold Ambition-Grand Park View combination trading near fair odds despite potential upset. Race 7 exacta involving Allformenoneforyou-Funding The Kids presents similar value scenario with multiple contenders in mid-tier odds.
Superfecta Play: Race 8 superfecta structure using Sisyphus, Heads Or Tails, Valhallas Palace, and Genghis creates layered coverage while featuring competing consensus picks. The price improvement from single favorites to dead-heat considerations enhances potential return parameters.
Recommended Value Plays:
Breakdown Race 4 as single favorite spot worth straight win play at reasonable odds. Dolce Veloce’s 88% analyst consensus combined with excellent form credentials suggest genuine automation. Use only Race 4 win proceeds for Race 5 investment given 5-race sequence volatility.
Race 7 offers hidden value through multi-horse usage patterns. Allformenoneforyou carries only 38% consensus despite track dominance, suggesting market undervaluation. Consider coupling with lower-consensus alternatives First Print and Our Memories for exotic exposure at discount pricing.
