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Race 1 Claiming, 1 Mile Dirt, 4:45 PM, Purse $13,500
Win: 3 Indy Charge (67% confidence)
Place: 7 Johnson (83% confidence)
Show: 4 Silver Redesdale (67% confidence)
Alternative: 9 Freddie by a Nose (33% confidence)
Analysts show strong consensus on the exacta with Indy Charge and Johnson leading the field. Indy Charge displays fast early speed and recorded a recent victory at Louisiana Downs. Johnson showed a closing kick when winning last out at this distance. Silver Redesdale appears to round out the top three with multiple analysts including this runner in trifecta positions. The race sets up favorably for early speed given the distance.
Race 2 Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs Dirt, 5:15 PM, Purse $14,000
Win: 1 Miss Cheese Bread (67% confidence)
Place: 10 Mid West Fun (50% confidence)
Show: 2 D’Busker (50% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Love in the Dark (33% confidence)
Miss Cheese Bread receives the most support as the top selection despite a competitive field. The filly shows tactical speed and trainer Allen Landry has strong numbers at the meet. Mid West Fun represents value with multiple analysts highlighting this runner as a place contender. D’Busker brings speed to the race and could factor in the early pace scenario. Baby Jane from FanDuel appears on multiple morning lines but consensus remains divided.
Race 3 Maiden Claiming, 7 Furlongs Dirt, 5:43 PM, Purse $18,000
Win: 8 Uninspired (50% confidence)
Place: 6 Friendly Hint (67% confidence)
Show: 9 Blazing Saber (33% confidence)
Alternative: 7 Cut Day (33% confidence)
This maiden claiming event shows divided opinion among analysts. Uninspired has been knocking on the door with multiple place finishes and shows the fastest figures. Friendly Hint receives strong support as a contender with consistent performances in previous starts. Blazing Saber represents value from Don’s Picks as the top selection. The stretch-out in distance could benefit several competitors seeking their first victory.
Race 4 Claiming, 5 Furlongs Dirt, 6:11 PM, Purse $18,500
Win: 4 Glacial Power (100% confidence)
Place: 9 Catalina Express (50% confidence)
Show: 8 Auto Dial (50% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Theboyz Warning (33% confidence)
Glacial Power earns unanimous support from all analysts making this the strongest consensus pick of the evening. The gelding drops in class after competing at Churchill Downs and Keeneland. Catalina Express shows versatility in distance and could press the pace. Auto Dial comes off a runner-up finish last out and represents a logical place contender. This appears to be a standout betting opportunity with the heavy favorite.
Race 5 Claiming, 7 Furlongs Dirt, 6:39 PM, Purse $11,500
Win: 7 Baron of the Nile (50% confidence)
Place: 4 Changing Times (50% confidence)
Show: 3 Dried Pepper (50% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Emerald Express (33% confidence)
Race 5 presents the most challenging handicapping scenario with no clear consensus favorite. Baron of the Nile draws support including as the designated play of the day from Guaranteed Tip Sheet at value odds of 6-1. Changing Times won impressively last out and shows a closer running style. Dried Pepper appears consistently across multiple analyst selections. The wide-open nature of this race creates exotic wagering opportunities.
Race 6 Claiming, 1:04 AM, Purse $23,000
Win: 2 The Boss Soss (83% confidence)
Place: 7 Sophie’s Painter (50% confidence)
Show: 3 Iron in the Fire (50% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Bayou Jam (33% confidence)
The Boss Soss dominates the consensus with overwhelming analyst support. Trainer Allen Landry sends out this runner with strong recent form and jockey Jansen Melancon aboard. Sophie’s Painter and Iron in the Fire battle for the minor awards with both showing recent competitive efforts. The exacta appears solid with strong consensus on the top two finishers.
Race 7 Allowance, 6.5 Furlongs Dirt, 1:32 AM, Purse $36,000
Win: 9 Bold Exaggeration (67% confidence)
Place: 4 Nomoretanlines (83% confidence)
Show: 3 Raise the Alarm (50% confidence)
Alternative: 6 The Girl in Red (33% confidence)
Bold Exaggeration shows strong support among analysts despite facing competitive fillies and mares in allowance company. The mare won back-to-back races at Delta Downs and Louisiana Downs. Nomoretanlines appears consistently across all selections as a place contender with closing ability. Raise the Alarm adds depth to the trifecta coming off a recent victory. The allowance level suggests quality horses competing for the higher purse.
Race 8 Claiming, 1 Mile Dirt, 2:00 AM, Purse $13,500
Win: 9 Drobny (67% confidence)
Place: 8 You’re On Mute (50% confidence)
Show: 2 Louisiana Boss (50% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Last Second Louie (50% confidence)
Drobny receives majority support as the top selection with strong recent turf form transitioning to dirt. You’re On Mute and Drobny appear together on multiple analyst sheets suggesting a solid exacta combination. Louisiana Boss adds value from the outside posts with proven closing ability. Last Second Louie represents a contrarian play from FanDuel as a potential upset candidate with extensive racing experience.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Exacta Box: 3 Indy Charge, 7 Johnson ($4 for $2 base)
The consensus strongly supports these two runners finishing in the top positions. Johnson shows closing speed that complements Indy Charge’s early pace advantage.
Race 4 Win Bet: 4 Glacial Power
Unanimous selection across all analysts represents the strongest single-race play of the card. The class drop and proven ability at this distance make this the standout betting opportunity.
Race 5 Early Pick 4 Anchor: 1-2-3-7-10 / 6-7-9 / 4-9 / 4-7 ($30 for coverage)
This Pick Pony analysts’ recommended sequence covers the widest race (Race 5) while singling strong consensus picks in surrounding races. Baron of the Nile at 6-1 odds provides the value component.
Race 6 Win/Place: 2 The Boss Soss
With 83% consensus confidence, this represents one of the evening’s most reliable selections. The odds suggest value remains despite being the favorite.
Race 7 Trifecta: 9 Bold Exaggeration / 3-4-6 / 3-4-5-6 ($12 for $1 base)
Singling Bold Exaggeration on top while spreading the second and third positions captures the competitive nature of this allowance race while maintaining the consensus favorite.
Race 8 Late Pick 4: 2-4-7 / 2-3-7 / 4-6-9 / 8-9 ($27 for coverage)
This Pick Pony analysts’ sequence provides balanced coverage through the final races with multiple contenders in each leg while focusing on consensus selections.
Value Overlay: Race 5, 7 Baron of the Nile at 6-1 morning line odds represents significant value given the divided consensus and strong recent performances. Pick Pony analysts identify this as the designated play of the day.
Superfecta Saver: Race 4 – 4 Glacial Power / 7-8-9 / 2-7-8-9 / 2-5-7-8 ($18 for 10-cent base)
The strong favorite makes this an ideal superfecta race to include secondary contenders behind the consensus top selection.
