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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $14,000 Purse WIN ($5.00)
Win: Lulu’s Magic – 89%🥇
Place: Secret Wine – 83%
Show: Ostrica – 56%
Alternative: Diamond Country – 44%🥈
Several analysts expect Lulu’s Magic and Secret Wine to be strongest. A few lean to Ostrica’s potential improvement, with Diamond Country regarded as a fringe exotics contender. The pace should suit horses racing prominently.
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $14,000 Purse WIN ($9.20)
Win: Gypsy Squall – 67%🥇
Place: Jayjayjay – 56%🥉
Show: Taurean – 39%
Alternative: Roadside Banker – 28%
Analysts consider Gypsy Squall as the day’s strongest firster at this trip. Jayjayjay is highlighted for readiness. Taurean’s absence is to be monitored but should not be overlooked for underneath in exotics. Roadside Banker is lightly followed and mainly considered for fourth.
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $15,000 Purse
Win: Pakula – 83%🥈
Place: Tonka Trouble – 67%🥉
Show: Charlie Gamer – 44%
Alternative: Classic Sensation – 22%
Pick Pony analysts stress Pakula’s edge on drop in company. Tonka Trouble is rated for early speed stamina. Charlie Gamer is a wild card on debut. Classic Sensation is mentioned by a handful for a late punch.
Race 4 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1 Mile (Turf) – $55,000 Purse
Win: Run Bambi Run – 72%
Place: Awree – 67%🥉
Show: Lady Star – 50%🥈
Alternative: Deroutante – 22%
Run Bambi Run is much liked by Pick Pony analysts off a layoff and productive workout pattern. Awree is considered ready off the bench. Lady Star’s lone outing rated well on figures. Deroutante’s stamina is a point of interest for late contesting.
Race 5 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – $18,000 Purse
Win: Ain’t No Disco – 72%🥉
Place: Steely Eye – 67%
Show: Concentration – 44%🥇
Alternative: Storm Sniper – 28%
Pick Pony analysts think Ain’t No Disco will relish the class drop and cutback. Steely Eye’s fresh form is appealing beneath. Concentration is popular as a grinder. Storm Sniper needs race shape to collapse for shot at a spot.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight – 5.5 Furlongs (Turf) – $54,000 Purse
Win: Champagne Party – 78%
Place: The Town Tempter – 61%🥇
Show: Twinklee – 50%
Alternative: Stress Test – 39%
Analysts peg Champagne Party as better-prepared off a tight field. The Town Tempter is a major value play. Twinklee’s workouts draw raves. Stress Test will benefit if there’s a duel ahead.
Race 7 – Maiden Special Weight – 1 Mile 110 Yards (Dirt) – $54,000 Purse
Win: Lexico – 78%
Place: Plantain – 67%
Show: Belle Of Liberty – 56%
Alternative: Gwen To Win – 33%🥉
Pick Pony analysts cite Lexico’s fitness and consistency edge. Plantain is highlighted by several as a well-meant debut threat. Belle Of Liberty’s back-class is acknowledged. Gwen To Win is thrown in for deep exotics as a price option.
Race 8 – Maiden Special Weight – 5.5 Furlongs (Turf) – $54,000 Purse
Win: Bluegrass Town – 72%🥈
Place: Ogilvy – 61%
Show: Chicanery – 44%
Alternative: Easy Munnings – 39%
Analysts uniformly support Bluegrass Town off improving form. Ogilvy’s class and speed are mentioned by most. Chicanery is likely to benefit from the projected hot pace. Easy Munnings is almost universally noted as a live firster.
Race 9 – Claiming – 1 Mile 70 Yards (Dirt) – $15,000 Purse WIN + EXACTA
Win: Proven Hope – 83%🥇Place: All West – 67%Show: Indian Cat – 56%🥈Alternative: Carthage Cajun – 50%
Pick Pony analysts highlight Proven Hope’s proven off-layoff record and stamina. All West’s consistency garners attention. Indian Cat’s drop in class makes him attractive for show. Carthage Cajun could pounce if a speed duel unravels the top pair.
Potential Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts see solid opportunities for exacta and trifecta bets in Races 1, 3, and 5, utilizing the high consensus on top-two finishers. In maiden events, boxer keying Champagne Party or Lexico with multiple underneath options is a strong ticket for larger fields. Across several races, value may be present when including live outsiders such as Roadside Banker (Race 2), Classic Sensation (Race 3), and Easy Munnings (Race 8) in vertical and horizontal wagers.
Key exotics to consider:
Race 1: Exacta and trifecta with Lulu’s Magic over Secret Wine and Ostrica
Race 3: Trifecta box Pakula, Tonka Trouble, Charlie Gamer
Race 5: Exacta Ain’t No Disco with Steely Eye and Concentration
Race 6: Key Champagne Party atop The Town Tempter, Twinklee, and Stress Test
Race 8: Include Bluegrass Town, Ogilvy, and Chicanery in trifectas and supers for value
For horizontal wagers, leveraging the strong consensus picks as singles in Daily Doubles or Pick 3s may anchor value, especially in deeper maiden special weight events where favorite win percentages are higher.
