Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Finger Lakes, November 11, 2025. RACES CANCELLED

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.

Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.

Race 1

Win: 3 Queens Cat – 100% confidence
Place: 4 Ada May – 85% confidence
Show: 2 Thin Legs – 54% confidence
Alternative: 1 Light Thoughts – 46% confidence

Race 2

Win: 5 Russi – 50% confidence
Place: 3 Asleep At Eight – 50% confidence
Show: 2 Cast A Coin – 50% confidence
Alternative: 6 Two Thirty A. M. – 29% confidence

Race 3

Win: 5 Bam’s Bliss Kiss – 46% confidence
Place: 2 Happy’s Smile – 46% confidence
Show: 4 Redwineandwhiskey – 46% confidence
Alternative: 6 Eddie Marie – 38% confidence

Race 4

Win: 1 Sanzio – 69% confidence
Place: 2 Prince Of Dance – 62% confidence
Show: 5 Rockinmoney – 62% confidence
Alternative: 4 I’m Solo N In Love – 31% confidence

Race 5

Win: 5 Dracula – 54% confidence
Place: 9 Swift Magic – 46% confidence
Show: 6 Fast Amendment – 38% confidence
Alternative: 8 Mama’s Middie – 38% confidence

Race 6

Win: 4 Keigs – 54% confidence
Place: 5 Morning Cup – 77% confidence
Show: 3 Sutton Breeze – 31% confidence
Alternative: 2 Mad Magic – 31% confidence

Race 7

Win: 6 Play – 54% confidence
Place: 2 Looms Boldly – 46% confidence
Show: 5 Scoot Daddy – 38% confidence
Alternative: 4 Pompous Prince – 38% confidence

Race 8

Win: 6 Runaway Joke – 77% confidence
Place: 5 Scocciatore – 62% confidence
Show: 4 Zeebear – 31% confidence
Alternative: 3 The Institute – 38% confidence

Race 9

Win: 1 T D Magee – 38% confidence
Place: 6 Backwater – 54% confidence
Show: 5 Julita – 46% confidence
Alternative: 7 Lady Banker – 38% confidence


Race 1 – Best Bet of the Day

Queens Cat is the unanimous selection across all 13 handicappers, making this the strongest consensus play of the card. With outstanding form at Finger Lakes including two consecutive wins, this represents the safest single-race investment. Key Queens Cat in exactas and trifectas with Ada May, Thin Legs, and Light Thoughts for exotic coverage.

Recommended Play: Win bet on Queens Cat, Exacta box 3-4, Trifecta key 3 with 2-4 with 1-2-4-6.

Race 2 – Most Competitive

This race shows the most division among handicappers with Russi, Asleep At Eight, and Cast A Coin each receiving 50% support in different positions. This suggests a wide-open race with value opportunities. Asleep At Eight appears particularly strong with BRISNET, Punters, Racenet, and Fan Odds support at 7-2.

Recommended Play: Exacta box 2-3-5, Trifecta 2-3-5 with 2-3-5 with 1-2-3-4-5-6.

Race 3 – Three-Way Battle

This race features three horses with 46% consensus support: Bam’s Bliss Kiss, Happy’s Smile, and Redwineandwhiskey. Eddie Marie also receives strong consideration from multiple sources. The tight competition suggests a trifecta box approach.

Recommended Play: Trifecta box 2-4-5-6, Superfecta box 2-3-4-5-6.

Race 4 – Strong Consensus

Sanzio dominates with 69% win support and has drawn the rail with excellent recent form. Prince Of Dance and Rockinmoney both show 62% confidence for place and show positions, creating a strong top-three combination.

Recommended Play: Exacta box 1-2-5, Trifecta 1 with 2-5 with 2-4-5.

Race 5 – Split Decision

Dracula edges Swift Magic with 54% vs 46% support, but the race appears competitive. Fast Amendment and Mama’s Middie provide exotic coverage options. Lake’s Lucky Picks notes Swift Magic as a significant drop-down play.

Recommended Play: Exacta box 5-9, Trifecta 5-9 with 5-6-9 with 1-5-6-8-9.

Race 6 – Value Opportunity

Keigs has 54% win support with a three-race winning streak at Finger Lakes, while Morning Cup shows 77% place confidence. This creates an interesting scenario where Morning Cup may offer value at 5-2 odds. Pick Pony and Lake’s Lucky Picks both highlight Keigs as a pick of the day candidate.

Recommended Play: Win bet on Keigs, Exacta box 4-5, Exacta key 5 over 2-3-4-6-7 for value.

Race 7 – Balanced Field

Play receives 54% win support but faces strong competition from Looms Boldly, Scoot Daddy, and Pompous Prince. Lake’s Lucky Picks notes Scoot Daddy as capable of winning the holiday feature, while multiple sources favor Play’s consistent form.

Recommended Play: Trifecta box 2-4-5-6, Superfecta 2-6 with 2-4-5-6 with 2-4-5-6-7 with all.

Race 8 – Top Play

Runaway Joke shows the second-highest consensus confidence of the day at 77%, with strong support across all handicappers. Scocciatore provides solid place value at 62% confidence. This represents another strong betting opportunity.

Recommended Play: Win bet on Runaway Joke, Exacta key 6 over 3-4-5, Trifecta 6 with 3-4-5 with 2-3-4-5.

Race 9 – Wide Open Finale

This race shows the most division in win selections, with T D Magee at only 38% despite being favored by multiple sources. Backwater leads place selections at 54%, while Julita and Lady Banker round out the contenders. Lake’s Lucky Picks selects Julita to score in the finale.

Recommended Play: Exacta box 1-5-6-7, Trifecta 1-5-6 with 1-5-6-7 with all.

Multi-Race Wagers

Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3): 3 / 2-3-5 / 2-4-5 ($18 for $2 bet)

Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4): 3 / 2-3-5 / 2-4-5-6 / 1-2-5 ($72 for $1 bet)

Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9): 4-5 / 2-5-6 / 6 / 1-5-6 ($18 for $1 bet)

Late Pick 5 (Races 5-6-7-8-9): 5-9 / 4-5 / 2-6 / 6 / 1-5-6 ($24 for $1 bet)

Early Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5): 3 / 2-3-5 / 2-4-5 / 1-2-5 / 5-9 ($90 for $1 bet)

Best Single-Race Values

  1. Race 1: Queens Cat (100% consensus) – Safest play
  2. Race 8: Runaway Joke (77% consensus) – Second-best value
  3. Race 4: Sanzio (69% consensus) – Strong rail position
  4. Race 6: Keigs (on three-race win streak) – Potential upset by Morning Cup

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