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Race 1 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 8F Dirt, $26,000 Purse
Win: 1-The Shoe Lady (45%)
Place: 4-Fabulous Fox (40%)🥈
Show: 6-She’s Grand (35%)🥇
Alternative: 2-Dorth’s Sol Dancer (10%)🥉
Pick Pony analysts heavily favor The Shoe Lady coming off three consecutive wins at the track, having won six of nine local starts. The mare has been dominant at Finger Lakes and demonstrated strong early speed that should secure position from the gate. Fabulous Fox steps down in class after exiting tougher stakes competition and possesses tactical speed that could prove decisive. She’s Grand enters as the in-form alternative with four wins from six starts this campaign and strong track-specific form. The early pace scenario appears moderate, which should benefit The Shoe Lady’s pressing style. Dorth’s Sol Dancer adds depth with solid consistency but may struggle to match the top three.
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming, 1323Y Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 5-Observer (60%)🥈
Place: 4-Katie King (30%)🥉
Show: 6-Sky Runner (25%)🥇
Alternative: 3-Classiwest (25%)
Pick Pony analysts show strong consensus for Observer, who finished a close second last start and should benefit from the fitness gained in recent outings. The gelding has been knocking on the door and drops into a softer claiming spot. Katie King makes a similar class drop and benefits from tactical positioning. Sky Runner cuts back in distance and drops in class, providing legitimate place threat with five previous placings at the track. Classiwest has been consistent with four placings from six starts this prep and represents solid exotic value.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 1323Y Dirt WIN + TRIFECTA
Win: 1-La Gran Artesana (45%)🥇
Place: 3-Light The Mira (40%)🥈
Show: 5-Practically Summer (20%)🥉
Alternative: 2-Mio Atlas (15%)
Pick Pony analysts are divided between the top two selections. La Gran Artesana draws the inside rail advantage and finished runner-up last start, positioning for breakthrough victory. Light The Mira has been knocking on the door with three placings at the track and displayed consistent form throughout this prep. Practically Summer adds depth with three placings from eight starts. Mio Atlas returns from 19-week freshening and could benefit from the layoff but faces fitness questions.
Race 4 – Claiming, 8F 66Y Dirt BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: 1-Cascade Cruiser (70%)🥉
Place: 6-Freedsdale (35%)🥇
Show: 4-Whiskey Frens (20%)🥈
Alternative: 7-Ice Time (15%)
Pick Pony analysts demonstrate overwhelming support for Cascade Cruiser, who has won his last two starts at the track and seeks three consecutive victories. The gelding has strong course form with multiple wins at Finger Lakes. Freedsdale possesses tactical speed advantage and finished second to Cascade Cruiser last start, positioned to challenge again. Whiskey Frens cannot be dismissed with back-to-back victories and excellent track form. Ice Time faced tougher competition previously and drops into softer spot but success depends on early pace dynamics.
Race 5 – Allowance, 8F 66Y Dirt, $27,300 Purse WIN
Win: 1-Ekwanok (100%)🥇
Place: 3-Last Glory (55%)
Show: 4-Shelly (20%)
Alternative: 5-Sounds Of Summer (15%)
Pick Pony analysts show unanimous support for Ekwanok, who possesses strong recent form including multiple wins and narrow defeats to classier rivals. The filly is a track specialist with three wins at Finger Lakes and demonstrates superior speed figures. Last Glory finished a close second last start and owns competitive numbers placing her firmly in the mix. Shelly profiles as the deep closer who can pass tiring horses late. Sounds Of Summer won her last two starts but faces significant class test.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 8F 110Y Dirt WIN
Win: 3-Arch’s Assault (40%)🥇
Place: 5-Trinity River (40%)
Show: 1-Hal Away (25%)🥉
Alternative: 2-Wisecracker (10%)
Pick Pony analysts are evenly divided between the top two selections. Arch’s Assault makes surface switch from turf to dirt but has shown tactical speed in previous attempts. Trinity River possesses slight edge after gaining valuable track experience last start, finishing competitively while learning. Hal Away has been consistent with three placings from seven starts and represents solid exotic value. Wisecracker ran his best career race last start and could continue improvement pattern.
Race 7 – Claiming, 8F Dirt WIN + EXACTA
Win: 6-Oh Mrs. Maisel (50%)🥇
Place: 2-Five To Two (45%)🥈
Show: 3-I Am Ev (15%)
Alternative: 7-Roshiell My Belle (10%)
Pick Pony analysts narrowly favor Oh Mrs. Maisel returning from six-week freshening and dropping into easier claiming level. The mare has shown consistent form with multiple placings. Five To Two has been remarkably consistent with four placings from nine starts this prep and rates as co-favorite with strong late-running style. I Am Ev won last start and owns two wins from eight attempts this campaign. Roshiell My Belle represents exotic value if firing best race.
Race 8 – Claiming, 8F Dirt
Win: 6-Otto Nipoti (50%)🥉
Place: 1-Kid Kreesa (40%)
Show: 2-Well Suited (15%)
Alternative: 4-One Morerep (10%)🥈
Pick Pony analysts project close competition between the top two. Otto Nipoti broke maiden in sharp fashion last start with strong time for the class level, demonstrating improvement pattern. Kid Kreesa drops significantly in class after dull effort at Aqueduct and possesses class advantage. Well Suited stretches back to preferred distance after competing at shorter trip. One Morerep plunges in claiming value after lackluster performance but cannot be completely dismissed.
Race 9 – Claiming, 1323Y Dirt
Win: 2-Beauty’s Bangle (40%)
Place: 5-Ace Up Her Sleeve (35%)🥉
Show: 8-Carol Said No (35%)🥈
Alternative: 1-Imalottalady (10%)
Pick Pony analysts favor Beauty’s Bangle cutting back in distance and dropping in class after facing tougher competition. The mare does best work at this shorter trip. Ace Up Her Sleeve ran within two lengths last start and won once this prep at the track, demonstrating consistency. Carol Said No finished third last start and should secure favorable trip. Imalottalady represents longshot exotic value at generous odds.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Exacta Box: 1-The Shoe Lady / 4-Fabulous Fox / 6-She’s Grand. Pick Pony analysts project competitive race among top three with any combination possible. The Shoe Lady owns superior early speed while Fabulous Fox possesses class edge stepping down.
Race 2 Win Bet: 5-Observer represents best value as consensus top choice at moderate odds. The gelding has been consistently close and benefits from class drop.
Race 4 Exacta: 1-Cascade Cruiser over 6-Freedsdale, 4-Whiskey Frens. Cascade Cruiser rates overwhelming top choice but Freedsdale possesses tactical speed to provide challenge. Whiskey Frens adds value underneath.
Race 5 Win/Place: 1-Ekwanok represents Pick Pony analysts’ strongest consensus play of the card. Unanimous support combined with superior form makes this the day’s top selection.
Multi-Race Exotic – Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6): Key 1-Cascade Cruiser / 1-Ekwanok / 3-Arch’s Assault, 5-Trinity River. This sequence features dominant favorites in races 4 and 5 with competitive maiden in race 6.
Race 7 Exacta Box: 6-Oh Mrs. Maisel / 2-Five To Two. These co-favorites project close finish with either capable of victory depending on pace dynamics.
Race 8 Value Play: 1-Kid Kreesa represents potential value despite recent poor performance. The class drop is significant and previous form suggests capability at this level.
Late Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9): 3,5 / 2,6 / 1,6 / 2,5,8. This ticket spreads primary contenders through competitive sequence while maintaining reasonable cost structure.
Race 9 Trifecta: 2-Beauty’s Bangle / 5-Ace Up Her Sleeve, 8-Carol Said No / 2-Beauty’s Bangle, 5-Ace Up Her Sleeve, 8-Carol Said No, 1-Imalottalady. The finale projects as competitive sprint with multiple logical contenders.
