Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 Mile 110 Yards – Turf – $24,000
Win: #1 Better Watch It (88%)
Place: #7 Your Mission (56%)
Show: #5 Keen Surge (50%)
Alternative: #9 Pico (44%)
Better Watch It earned strong consensus support with 14 of 16 Pick Pony analysts selecting this horse. Recent form shows consistent placings over course and distance with the draw favorable for a forward trip. Your Mission returns from a brief layoff after finishing within striking distance last time. The turf specialist possesses competitive speed figures and should appreciate the distance. Keen Surge was heavily backed when narrowly beaten last start and won earlier this campaign at Tampa Bay Downs. Pico offers tactical speed suitable for the mile trip.
Race 2 – Maiden Special Weight – 1323 Yards – Dirt – $45,000
Win: #1 Pont Aven (94%)Place: #3 Caseofthemondays (76%)🥉
Show: #5 Code Of Silence (65%)🥇
Alternative: #6 Geno Doak (35%)
Near-unanimous consensus behind Pont Aven with 16 of 17 experts selecting this runner. The horse placed as favorite in the career debut, showing promise in limited exposure. Caseofthemondays finished just half a length from the winner last start and maintains consistent form throughout this preparation. Code Of Silence steps down in class after competing at stakes level. This appears as a thin maiden event with limited form to evaluate. The breeding suggests these runners can handle the dirt distance effectively.
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – 1 Mile – Turf – $30,000
Win: #5 The Hero Code (67%)
Place: #9 Freedom Glider (47%)Show: #6 Manilaman (47%)Alternative: #3 Oxford Union (40%)
The addition of new Pick Pony analysts shifted this race consensus to The Hero Code with 10 of 15 experts now supporting this selection. The horse shows consistent placing throughout this campaign, finishing just two lengths behind the winner last time. Freedom Glider remains a strong alternative after finishing mid-pack last start but the pace scenario suits better today. Manilaman brings versatility and tactical speed to the equation. Oxford Union demonstrates remarkable consistency with five placings from six starts this preparation.
Race 4 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1214 Yards – Turf – 1:26 PM WIN
Win: #5 Where’s Ray (87%)🥇
Place: #1 Great Idea (53%)🥉
Show: #3 Maya Prince (47%)
Alternative: #4 Magic Monkey (27%)
Where’s Ray dominates the consensus with 13 of 15 Pick Pony analysts selecting this runner for a hat trick attempt. The last two victories came over course and distance with outstanding form at this specific track and distance combination. Great Idea drops in class and should appreciate the relief from tougher competition. Maya Prince maintains consistent placing form throughout the campaign. The pace scenario appears favorable for the pressing types in this competitive starter optional claiming event.
Race 5 – Claiming – 1323 Yards – Dirt – 1:55 PM
Win: #6 Anotherhope (80%)
Place: #9 Thunder In Paris (80%)
Show: #1 Bond’s Belle (47%)🥈
Alternative: #2 Lost River (36%)🥇
Anotherhope looks well-positioned to complete a hat trick with 12 of 15 experts supporting this selection. The consecutive course and distance victories demonstrate the mare has found the appropriate level. Thunder In Paris equally supported for a placing position despite returning from a 16-week layoff. The competitive form before the break provides confidence. Lost River brings three wins from eight attempts this campaign with the ability to handle the distance. Bond’s Belle provides tactical speed from an inside post position.
Race 6 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 Mile 110 Yards – Turf – $25,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: #7 Hall Monitor (73%)🥇
Place: #1 Robert’s Moon (67%)🥉Show: #3 Caddiemaster (33%)Alternative: #6 Agent Kelly (20%)🥈
Hall Monitor receives strong support from 11 of 15 Pick Pony analysts after returning from a brief layoff with two placings from five starts. The recent maiden victory provides momentum and confidence. Robert’s Moon demonstrates consistency in this class with an inside post draw for a forward trip. Caddiemaster offers tactical versatility from a favorable position. Agent Kelly previously placed seven times at Laurel Park and won earlier in the campaign at Pimlico.
Race 7 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1214 Yards – Turf – $16,000
Win: #7 Wonder Girl (93%)🥈
Place: #1 Lady Zeta (47%)
Show: #3 Afterneath (40%)
Alternative: #9 Patria (47%)
Wonder Girl receives near-unanimous support with 14 of 15 experts selecting this mare. She was narrowly beaten as the favorite last start over course and distance. Three wins from seven attempts this campaign demonstrate her class at this level. Afterneath returns from a layoff with two wins from six attempts and recent victory momentum. Lady Zeta and Patria both offer value as alternative selections in this competitive starter optional claiming event.
Race 8 – Allowance – 1 Mile 110 Yards – Dirt – $49,000
Win: #4 Indy Magic (93%)
Place: #3 Mika (60%)🥇
Show: #1 Romp (27%)
Alternative: #1A Mad Banker (20%)🥉
Indy Magic dominates with 14 of 15 Pick Pony analysts supporting this selection after winning three consecutive races. The last victory came at Keeneland with the horse winning all previous races as the favorite. Mika returns from a 24-week spell after breaking maiden last out. Mad Banker comes back from an 11-week layoff as a track specialist with multiple Laurel Park victories. Masayoshi offers longshot value at 30-1 morning line according to trip notes, stretching out to two turns second off the layoff with strong pedigree suggesting route ability.
Race 9 – Allowance – 1 Mile 1 Furlong – Turf – $49,000
Win: #6 Border War (47%)
Place: #1 Primed To Go (53%)🥇
Show: #10 Ennis Town (40%)🥈
Alternative: #4 Dr. Hyde (33%)🥉
The most competitive and challenging betting race on the card with multiple legitimate contenders. Border War receives slight consensus edge though only 7 of 15 experts selected this runner for the win. The horse drops in class with strong recent form. Primed To Go was narrowly beaten as favorite last start with two wins from six attempts this campaign. Ennis Town won earlier at Saratoga bringing quality graded form experience. Dr. Hyde possesses outstanding form at Laurel Park returning to favorable class level. Phil’s Prince merits serious consideration at 12-1 morning line with steady improvement pattern and upside potential. Whiskeyinthejaro brings devastating late kick that has proven effective at this level regardless of distance.
Race 10 – Claiming – 1 Mile – Dirt – $12,500 WIN
Win: #1A Uncle Irish (62%)🥇
Place: #4 Shogun Be Fast (38%)
Show: #6 Admit Nothing (56%)🥉
Alternative: #8 Mister Agent (38%)
Uncle Irish receives support from 10 of 16 Pick Pony analysts after coming off a victory at Laurel Park. The Jamie Ness trainee drops to non-metro class appearing well-positioned. Admit Nothing returns from a six-week layoff with two wins from seven attempts this campaign. Shogun Be Fast brings tactical speed switching back to dirt surface. Addicted To You offers value at 6-1 morning line according to trip notes despite difficult trips against tougher company in recent starts. The horse won last dirt start with ability to settle behind lively early pace before making a run.
Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5)
Key Race 1 with #1 Better Watch It and #7 Your Mission providing coverage for the two strongest consensus selections. Single Race 2 with #1 Pont Aven given the overwhelming 94% consensus support across all Pick Pony analysts. Spread in Race 3 using #5 The Hero Code, #9 Freedom Glider, and #6 Manilaman to account for the divided opinions after consensus shift. Single Race 4 with #5 Where’s Ray given the 87% consensus and hat trick attempt over course and distance. Key Race 5 with #6 Anotherhope and #9 Thunder In Paris as both runners received equal 80% consensus support.
Late Pick 4 (Races 7-10)
Single Race 7 with #7 Wonder Girl given 93% consensus agreement across Pick Pony analysts. Single Race 8 with #4 Indy Magic showing 93% expert support after three consecutive victories. Spread widest in Race 9 using #6 Border War, #1 Primed To Go, #10 Ennis Town, #4 Dr. Hyde, #7 Phil’s Prince, and #8 Whiskeyinthejaro for the most competitive betting race on the card. Key Race 10 with #1A Uncle Irish and #6 Admit Nothing providing coverage for the consensus selections.
Daily Double Value Plays
Races 4-5: #5 Where’s Ray with #6 Anotherhope represents strong value as both horses seek consecutive victories with dominant consensus support.
Races 7-8: #7 Wonder Girl with #4 Indy Magic creates an attractive double with both horses showing 93% consensus support and proven winning form.
Races 8-9: #4 Indy Magic with multiple selections in Race 9 provides coverage for the competitive allowance event with solid favorite leading into wide-open turf route.
Trifecta Box Recommendations
Race 2: Box #1 Pont Aven, #3 Caseofthemondays, #5 Code Of Silence for competitive maiden event with strong consensus on top three selections.
Race 4: Box #5 Where’s Ray, #1 Great Idea, #3 Maya Prince with strong consensus support across all three positions.
Race 5: Box #6 Anotherhope, #9 Thunder In Paris, #1 Bond’s Belle with two dominant consensus selections and tactical speed third.
Race 8: Box #4 Indy Magic, #3 Mika, #1A Mad Banker in the allowance feature with clear favorite and quality alternatives.
Exacta Value Opportunities
Race 1: #1 Better Watch It over #7 Your Mission provides solid exacta value with 88% and 56% consensus support respectively.
Race 5: #6 Anotherhope over #9 Thunder In Paris offers value with both horses showing 80% consensus and strong recent form.
Race 7: #7 Wonder Girl over #3 Afterneath presents value with dominant favorite over runner returning from layoff with recent victory.
Superfecta Long Shot Plays
Race 3: Use #5 The Hero Code, #9 Freedom Glider, #6 Manilaman, #3 Oxford Union with all four horses receiving significant consensus support in divided maiden claiming event.
Race 9: Use #6 Border War, #1 Primed To Go, #10 Ennis Town, #4 Dr. Hyde with deeper selections including #7 Phil’s Prince, #8 Whiskeyinthejaro, and #15 Outrunner for exotic coverage in the most competitive race.
Longshot Value Considerations
Race 1: #12 Zihuatanejo selected by Hitch Abernathy offers contrarian value as lone expert supporting this runner.
Race 8: Masayoshi at 30-1 morning line provides exotic value second off layoff stretching out to two turns with strong pedigree and room for improvement.
Race 9: #7 Phil’s Prince at 12-1 morning line shows steady improvement pattern with upside potential in fifth career start.
Race 10: #5 Addicted To You at 6-1 morning line offers value despite difficult recent trips with winning dirt form and favorable pace scenario.
