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Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 1214Y – Turf – 11:00am

Christmas Jones (3) – 70%
Clearly Sophia (7) – 55%🥈
More Than A Notion (8) – 50%
As The Bell Toles (12) – 35%

Race 2 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – 11:28am

Forward Move (1) – 65%
Irish Hero (2) – 55%
Pay Zone (4) – 45%
Excellent Timing (7) – 30%🥈

Race 3 – Maiden Claiming – 8F – Turf – 11:57am

Sugar Magnolia (10) – 60%
Khokela Miss (3) – 55%🥈
Mysunshinegirl (8) – 45%🥇
Zeta Jones (5) – 30%

Race 4 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – 12:26pm

Mo Missile (1) – 65%
Lundi Loot (8) – 50%
Worker Bee (3) – 45%🥇
Blue Forty Two (5) – 35%🥈

Race 5 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1214Y – Turf – 12:55pm WIN + EXACTA

Uncle Dar (3) – 70%🥇
Kohoutek (13) – 60%🥈
Green Beans (4) – 45%
Inchon (6) – 40%

Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight – 1323Y – Dirt – 01:25pm

Juniper’s Jubilee (11) – 65%🥈
Cupid’s Choice (10) – 55%
Watch Me Sparkle (5) – 45%
Hoof And Boots (8) – 35%

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1214Y – Turf – 01:54pm

Simply Stated (4) – 60%
Independenceavenue (7) – 55%
Quadra (6) – 50%
Pinotslilgirl (12) – 30%

Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming – 1214Y – Turf – 02:24pm

Aldene (4) – 70%
The Magic Ofmovies (7) – 60%
The Pauly Factor (2) – 40%
Winrooski (10) – 35%

Race 9 – Maiden Claiming – 1323Y – Dirt – 02:54pm

Nit Witness (6) – 75%
Over My Cents (7) – 60%
Persian (1) – 45%
Beautiful Mcclean (2) – 35%

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Value Plays and Exotic Bets

• Several races feature a strong favorite, suggesting single-race exactas and trifectas focused around Christmas Jones in Race 1, Uncle Dar in Race 5, and Nit Witness in Race 9 should be solid plays for value.
• Kohoutek in Race 5 and The Magic Ofmovies in Race 8 may present value for win/place based on broad analyst support but slightly lower public odds.
• For multi-race wagers such as Pick 3, structuring tickets with the consensus wins and including second-choice alternatives greatly increases coverage for reasonable cost.
• Superfecta and deeper exotic structures should consider the alternative picks in the consensus order, particularly race 3 and race 7 where the field’s quality is tightly grouped and finish order is less predictable.

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Analyst Notes

• The abundance of lightly raced or debuting two-year-olds leaves several races open to surprise results—especially races 1, 3, and 6.
• Turf sprints at Laurel frequently favor speed, but several consensus win picks such as Christmas Jones and Uncle Dar have finishing ability off the pace.
• Weather conditions are expected to be mild and should not alter any bias assumptions today.
• Race 5 and Race 8 offer the most robust opportunities for finding overlays given the consensus and odds discrepancies.