Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 1m, Dirt – $12,100
Win: Starofthegame (50% confidence)🥉
Place: Daytona Gold (50% confidence)
Show: Charlieslitldevil (33% confidence)🥈
Alternative: Valid Connection (33% confidence)🥇
Multiple analysts converge on Starofthegame despite longer odds after recent sixth-place finish at this track. Three-day rest advantage for Daytona Gold suggests improved chances. Wide range of supporting opinion provides path to exacta and trifecta opportunities.
Race 2 – Allowance, 6f, Dirt – $26,400
Win: Vespera (33% confidence) or Khali J (33% confidence)🥇
Place: Vespera (33% confidence)
Show: She’s So Sexy (50% confidence)
Alternative: Little Miss Munny (33% confidence)
Split win opinion creates interesting overlay opportunities. She’s So Sexy shows strongest collective support for show position after recent victory here. Layoff concerns moderate favorite appeal for both win contenders. Pace configuration likely favorable for closers.
Race 3 – Claiming, 6f, Dirt – $24,300
Win: Wetzel (33% confidence)🥉Place: May Mayhem (50% confidence)Show: Dark Vader (50% confidence)🥇
Alternative: Elliot The Dragon (33% confidence)
Competitive field with balanced opinion creates underlaid favorite situations. May Mayhem and Dark Vader show strongest consensus support in place and show positions suggesting possible use in exotics. Tight form lines indicate pace-dependent outcome.
Race 4 – Maiden Special Weight, 6f, Dirt – $24,300
Win: Docs Legend (33% confidence) or Fracture (33% confidence)🥈
Place: Fracture (33% confidence)🥇
Show: Caesarea (33% confidence)Alternative: Ghostagain (33% confidence)
Even spread across main contenders indicates wide-open race dynamics. Returning horses from long layoffs create unpredictability factors. Bottom-level maiden racing inherently produces surprises when favorites struggle with pace changes.
Race 5 – Claiming, 6f, Dirt – $11,025
Win: Diamonds N Dew (50% confidence)Place: Kat Trax (33% confidence)
Show: Box Step (33% confidence)🥉
Alternative: Big Facts (33% confidence)🥇
Diamonds N Dew shows strongest consensus support for win position. Big Facts brings formidable track record and fresh condition advantages. Kat Trax offers place position value. Return-from-layup angle suggests exercise caution with top choice longevity.
Race 6 – Claiming, 1m, Dirt – $9,388
Win: Magically Vanished (50% confidence)
Place: Shieldmewithprayer (33% confidence)🥇
Show: My Fine Aquiline (33% confidence)
Alternative: Here Kitty Kitty (33% confidence)
Magically Vanished strongest consensus pick after consecutive wins at different venue. Track change angle combined with non-metro class drop suggests legitimate overlay situation. Here Kitty Kitty rail post position could offer utility value in exotics despite long absence.
Race 7 – Allowance, 6f, Dirt – $16,632
Win: Colonel Vargo (50% confidence)🥇
Place: Bold Buckeye (33% confidence)
Show: Ruffin (33% confidence)🥉
Alternative: Thunderian (33% confidence)
Colonel Vargo shows dominant consensus approaching morality tier despite modest odds. Consecutive victories at course with perfect favorite record creates compelling betting foundation. Secondary contenders show balanced support suitable for exacta construction.
Race 8 – Allowance, 6f, Dirt – $33,700
Win: Be An Eddie (33% confidence)
Place: Truth N Soul (50% confidence)🥈
Show: Jacobi (33% confidence)
Alternative: Last Minute Mikey (33% confidence)🥇
Truth N Soul shows strongest place position consensus after recent maiden win. Be An Eddie drawing favorable post after extended layoff creates narrow consensus edge. Spread opinion across alternatives suggests competitive finishing sequence likely.
Race 9 – Allowance, 6f, Dirt – $21,231
Win: Couple Beers Deep (50% confidence)
Place: P J’s Boy (33% confidence)
Show: Mobil Mission (33% confidence)🥈
Alternative: Bumpkin (33% confidence)
Couple Beers Deep shows strongest consensus support for win after breaking maiden here. P J’s Boy and Mobil Mission present secondary positioning value. Shortening distance angle provides technical advantage for Mobil Mission suggesting potential underlap situation.
Exotic Betting Recommendations
Pick Pony analysts identify following optimal exotic strategies:
Race 1: Valid Connection advancing from showing form here offers exacta leverage. Daytona Gold using strong place credentials singles well over field. Consider Starofthegame-Daytona Gold-Charlieslitldevil trifecta box using consensus consensus foundation.
Race 2: Khali J-Vespera win split creates exacta coverage opportunity. She’s So Sexy pressing top selections creates trifecta value. Five-horse superfecta using consensus + Long Shot approaches justified.
Race 3: May Mayhem-Dark Vader tight form suggests exacta spreads over Wetzel. Elliot The Dragon upset angle offers 4th place position value in superfecta. Consensus trifecta likely underlaid given competitive form.
Race 4: Docs Legend-Fracture split win situation creates exacta coverage utility. Caesarea underneath in show position suggests super box opportunity. Layoff angles support $2 superfecta approach over top four selections.
Race 5: Diamonds N Dew-Kat Trax placing exacta structure recommended. Big Facts 4th place potential offers superfecta foundation. Box Step show coverage provides additional trifecta construction support.
Race 6: Magically Vanished-Shieldmewithprayer exacta likely underlaid. Here Kitty Kitty rail position angle supports trifecta spreads. Non-metro class drop creates exotic opportunity window.
Race 7: Colonel Vargo single-heavy exacta approach justified given consensus strength. Thunderian underneath pricing creates value. Ruffin rail drawing offers super box support. Pick 3 races 7-8-9 recommended using consensus picks.
Race 8: Truth N Soul trifecta base position recommended. Be An Eddie placed position overlay opportunities exist. Jacobi long shot covering approach suitable for $3-4 trifecta stakes.
Race 9: Couple Beers Deep single primary win pick. Mobil Mission shortening distance advantage offers underneath position utility. Pick 5 final race angle worth constructing given day’s consensus patterns.
Recommended Betting Strategy: Pick Pony analysts suggest constructing primary Pick 3 using races 7-8-9 with consensus selections. Follow with Pick 5 if confidence levels support additional cash outlay. Daily double races 5-6 using consensus overlaid picks worth modest play given value spreads observed across field data.
