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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 Claiming
Win: 6 Booted Up (80% confidence)
Place: 1 Rocket Night (80% confidence)
Show: 8 We Miss Neil (80% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Prince Lucas (40% confidence)
Pick Pony analysts note that Booted Up faltered in wet conditions recently but is dropping back to a level where they have previously succeeded. Rocket Night showed good early speed before weakening last time and should be dangerous on the front end here.
Race 2 Starter Optional Claiming
Win: 5 Outdoor Cat (100% confidence)
Place: 6 Nuedorf (75% confidence)
Show: 4 Palm Island (50% confidence)
Alternative: 3 Face the Facts (75% confidence)
Outdoor Cat has been running determinedly despite some trouble and has a solid win record. Nuedorf is in peak form with 9 wins and brings excellent speed to the contest.
Race 3 Claiming
Win: 8 Aztec (50% confidence)
Place: 6 Midlaner (50% confidence)
Show: 2 Lucky Dude (75% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Recker Point (50% confidence)
Aztec recently broke a long losing streak and looks well-placed in this spot. Midlaner fits well at this distance and level, while Lucky Dude is a frequent winner this year who can never be discounted.
Race 4 Claiming
Win: 2 Chelsea Wall (100% confidence)
Place: 7 Majestic Creed (50% confidence)
Show: 1 Zoning Order (50% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Amy Mule (50% confidence)
Chelsea Wall is a heavy consensus favorite across the board, seeking a 14th career victory against a beatable field. Majestic Creed drops in class and could be the primary speed threat if they break cleanly.
Race 5 Maiden Claiming
Win: 6 Nohai (83% confidence)
Place: 5 Cynthia Gail (83% confidence)
Show: 4 Hope She Fires (33% confidence)
Alternative: 1 Refined Elaine (50% confidence)
Nohai closed nicely in a sprint and now stretches out, which often signals a strong effort. Cynthia Gail had early trouble in her return but figures to be very competitive against this softer company.
Race 6 Starter Optional Claiming
Win: 7 Normandy Hero (80% confidence)
Place: 5 Hes in Charge (80% confidence)
Show: 9 Brother Rice (40% confidence)
Alternative: 1 Lucky Larry (40% confidence)
Normandy Hero has been firing consistently and is spotted well here. Hes in Charge saw a long win streak snap recently but remains a formidable win machine with 17 lifetime victories.
Race 7 Maiden Special Weight
Win: 7 Monster Max (75% confidence)
Place: 3 Grey Bull (75% confidence)
Show: 4 Quaker City (50% confidence)
Alternative: 6 Higher Sense (75% confidence)
Monster Max ran a huge second in his first route attempt and looks capable of wiring this field. Grey Bull gets blinkers today, which could be the key to turning the tables on the top choice.
Race 8 Claiming
Win: 7 Tunisian Spring (100% confidence)
Place: 5 Tricolour (40% confidence)
Show: 4 Hermoso Hombre (40% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Fromanothamutha (20% confidence)
Tunisian Spring is the unanimous top pick, coming off a strong local effort and a decent run on turf. Tricolour returns to sprinting where they have a strong record, making them a logical exotic contender.
Race 9
Win: 8 Carousel Queen (60% confidence)
Place: 7 Dewey Doit (40% confidence)
Show: 5 Patty Cakes (40% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Aoife’s Magic (40% confidence)
Carousel Queen is coming off a career-best effort and should have plenty of pace to close into. Dewey Doit is a consistent threat, while Patty Cakes has found winning form recently after a frustrating season.
Race 10 Claiming
Win: 7 Backtrack (100% confidence)
Place: 6 Davola (75% confidence)
Show: 9 Moving to Kentucky (50% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Deportivo (50% confidence)
Backtrack held on nicely last time and is the clear standout in the finale. Davola ran into some trouble recently but fits well here, and Deportivo showed improvement with blinkers on in their last start.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1
Exacta: 6 / 1, 8
Trifecta: 6 / 1, 8 / 1, 2, 4, 8
Race 4
Exacta: 2 / 1, 5, 7
Trifecta: 2 / 1, 7 / 1, 5, 6, 7
Race 6
Exacta: 7 / 5, 9
Trifecta: 7 / 5, 9 / 1, 5, 6, 9
Race 8
Exacta: 7 / 4, 5
Trifecta: 7 / 4, 5 / 2, 3, 4, 5
Value Play Observations
Race 2: 3 Face the Facts has shown effective form from off the pace and could offer value underneath the favorites.
Race 5: 4 Hope She Fires drops in class significantly and moves to a new barn; a wake-up call at a price is possible.
Race 7: 3 Grey Bull adds blinkers for this start. Often a potent equipment change, this could lead to a much-improved performance at better odds than the favorite.
Race 10: 8 Deportivo enters off an improved effort and could upset the chalk if they can build on that performance.
