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Race 1 | Claiming | 1 Mile 70 Yards | Dirt | $21,000 WIN + TRIFECTA ($13.60)
Win: #4 Preach It Warrior (100%)🥇
Place: #7 Ramiel (50%)🥈
Show: #6 Exclusive Dancer (50%)🥉
Alternative: #5 Kevin’s Strike (25%)
Notes: Unanimous win selection from all Pick Pony analysts. Preach It Warrior shows consistent form at this level with a 38% career win rate and recent victory at this distance. The Kulp-Rodriguez combination has been highly productive. Ramiel and Exclusive Dancer are closely matched for the minor awards, with both receiving strong support from analysts for underneath positions. This is a solid single play for multi-race wagers.
Race 2 | Maiden Claiming | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $19,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: #3 Joseph Potato (100%)Place: #6 Rag Mama Rag (50%)🥇
Show: #1 Whiskey Stones (50%)🥉
Alternative: #5 Lucky Capo (25%)🥈
Notes: Another unanimous consensus pick with Joseph Potato standing out in this maiden field. The colt showed improvement in his last start with a runner-up finish. Rag Mama Rag and Whiskey Stones are in a virtual dead heat for place consideration. Lucky Capo has trainer Michael V. Pino’s 37% meet win rate working in his favor but may need more experience.
Race 3 | Starter Optional Claiming | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $26,000
Win: #2 Golden Philly (100%)
Place: #1 Misspent (50%)🥇
Show: #5 Western Woman (50%)🥈
Alternative: #6 Mink Stole (25%)
Notes: Golden Philly garners unanimous support with a class edge over these rivals. The filly boasts a 32% career win rate and consistent speed figures. Misspent profiles as the main threat with an 81% in-the-money rate from recent starts and possesses early speed that suits Parx’s track bias. Western Woman won last out and could be sitting on another effort.
Race 4 | Maiden Claiming | 6.5 Furlongs | Dirt | $26,000 WIN + EXACTA
Win: #1 Vix (75%)🥇
Place: #6 Passionforglory (75%)🥈Show: #5 Up the Kingdom (50%)Alternative: #3 Warheaded (25%)
Notes: Vix receives strong support as the morning-line favorite. The Solis-Hernandez connection has been productive this meet. Passionforglory enters off a third-place finish in debut at Penn National and could improve second time out. Up the Kingdom has shown flashes in three career starts. Warheaded has placings in six of seven starts and could finally break through.
Race 5 | Starter Optional Claiming | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $26,000
Win: #5 Calisa (50%)
Place: #8 Cocktail Humor (50%)🥇
Show: #1 Leretha (50%)🥉
Alternative: #3 Wine and Roses (25%)🥈
Notes: Most contentious race on the card with Pick Pony analysts split evenly between Calisa and Cocktail Humor for the win. Calisa won this same type of race previously and has been running against better. Cocktail Humor has early speed and the Ness-Sanchez combination that delivers at high percentage. Leretha has hit the board in 54% of career starts and is a threat for an exacta slot. Large field creates value opportunities.
Race 6 | Allowance | 7 Furlongs | Dirt | $41,000 WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: #3 Quasi Warrior (100%)🥇
Place: #6 Cool Million (50%)🥉Show: #4 Great Lilo (25%)Alternative: #2 Mr Punctuality (25%)🥈
Notes: Quasi Warrior is a unanimous selection with a perfect 2-for-2 career record and a 100% in-the-money rate. The gelding steps up in class but appears poised for the jump. Cool Million has back-to-back wins and could provide value if overlooked. Mr Punctuality has an 80% ITM rate in five career starts. This race projects as a standout single in pick sequences.
Race 7 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 Mile | Dirt | $42,000
Win: #7 Up N Runnin (75%)Place: #1 Devils Arrow (75%)Show: #2 Didn’t It Rain (50%)
Alternative: #5 Harmony Road (25%)
Notes: Up N Runnin is favored by analysts with a remarkable 78% ITM rate from nine career starts. The filly stretches to a mile where she’s run competitively. Devils Arrow has shown improvement and offers a value alternative to the win pick with proven early speed. Didn’t It Rain won last out and could repeat. This trio appears solid for trifecta play.
Race 8 | Allowance Optional Claiming | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $50,000 WIN ($7.00)
Win: #3 I Feelucky Tonite (75%)🥇
Place: #5 Harp’s Hot Corner (75%)
Show: #2 Tricolour (50%)
Alternative: #4 All American Rod (25%)🥈
Notes: I Feelucky Tonite is a heavy morning-line favorite at 6-5 and receives strong analyst support. The Solis trainee has proven class with over $264,000 in career earnings. Harp’s Hot Corner gets one analyst nod for win and is a consistent exacta threat. Tricolour steps up but showed promise last out. Appears to be a straight exacta race with the top two.
Race 9 | Claiming | 6 Furlongs | Dirt | $23,000
Win: #7 Girl Dynamite (50%)🥈Place: #3 Silver City Kitty (50%)Show: #8 Alyvia’s Girl (25%)
Alternative: #2 Maggie Mischief (50%)
Notes: Girl Dynamite returns from Gulfstream and has tactical speed. She pairs with hot jockey Yedsit Hazlewood who has a 23% win rate at the meet. Silver City Kitty has a 60% ITM career rate and fits well at this level. Alyvia’s Girl is a longshot with a win in her last start. Maggie Mischief has early speed but has been inconsistent. This is a wide-open race with several viable contenders.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Best Bets of the Day
Race 1 and Race 6 are the strongest plays for Pick Pony analysts, with unanimous consensus on Preach It Warrior and Quasi Warrior respectively. Both can be used as singles in Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 5 sequences.
Exacta Plays
Race 3: Golden Philly over Misspent (2-1 exacta) appears solid with unanimous win support and strong place consensus.
Race 8: I Feelucky Tonite over Harp’s Hot Corner offers a straight exacta with both horses receiving 75% consensus support for their respective positions.
Trifecta Recommendations
Race 7: A trifecta box of Up N Runnin, Devils Arrow, and Didn’t It Rain covers the three horses receiving the most analyst attention. A key of #7 over #1 and #2 in exactas is also recommended.
Race 1: Key Preach It Warrior on top with Ramiel and Exclusive Dancer for second/third.
Value Plays
Race 5: With analysts split 50/50 between Calisa (6-1 ML) and Cocktail Humor (5-2 ML), Calisa offers potential overlay value if the public hammers Cocktail Humor down to lower odds.
Race 9: Alyvia’s Girl at 10-1 morning line received one analyst selection for win and has a victory in her most recent start. Could provide value in a wide-open field.
Daily Double Suggestions
Early Double (Races 1-2): Preach It Warrior with Joseph Potato is a strong consensus play with both unanimous picks.
Late Double (Races 8-9): I Feelucky Tonite with Girl Dynamite links two strong consensus selections.
Pick 3 Plays
Races 1-2-3: Single Preach It Warrior, single Joseph Potato, single Golden Philly for a low-cost ticket on three unanimous selections.
Races 7-8-9: Key Up N Runnin and Devils Arrow in Race 7, I Feelucky Tonite in Race 8, and spread in Race 9 with Girl Dynamite, Silver City Kitty, and Alyvia’s Girl for coverage.
