Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Allowance, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This race features fillies and mares three years old and up. More Ransom comes off a strong win at Delaware Park and has shown consistency this campaign. Dancing Diana drops in class after an eight-week layoff and has proven form at the track. The race should set up well for horses with early speed given the sprint distance.
Win: #2 More Ransom – 63% confidence
Place: #3 Dancing Diana – 50% confidence
Show: #6 Winning Play – 38% confidence
Alternative: #5 Sadie’s Grace – 25% confidence
Race 2 – Claiming, 8.5 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This fillies and mares claiming race features horses returning from layoffs. Pocket Sand is a track specialist with two wins at Penn National and comes back after a 10-week break. Kazd’or also returns from a layoff with multiple wins at the track. The longer distance favors horses with proven route experience.
Win: #1 Pocket Sand – 56% confidence
Place: #4 Kazd’or – 75% confidence
Show: #7 Phabulous Phoebe – 38% confidence
Alternative: #2 My Sugar Boo – 25% confidence
Race 3 – Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This maiden claiming race for two-year-old fillies has thin form with limited starts. Kylie’s Kiss placed impressively at her only start at Penn National and draws perfectly. Let’em Hate has been consistent with three placed efforts but disappointed as the favorite last time. On The Beam finished second last start and should improve with fitness.
Win: #1 Kylie’s Kiss – 50% confidence
Place: #10 Let’em Hate – 44% confidence
Show: #3 On The Beam – 44% confidence
Alternative: #7 Inanoceanoflove – 25% confidence
Race 4 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This claiming race features horses three years old and up. Infamous Nono won impressively last start at Penn National when resuming and is a track specialist with five wins at the venue. Sunday Gilt drops in class and has shown strong form with two wins from 10 starts this campaign. Bruder has been consistent with two wins from six attempts.
Win: #4 Infamous Nono – 44% confidence
Place: #7 Sunday Gilt – 56% confidence
Show: #3 Bruder – 50% confidence
Alternative: #8 Fire Down Below – 19% confidence
Race 5 – Allowance, 8.5 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This allowance race for three-year-olds and up presents a competitive field. Wyoming Class steps down in class after breaking maiden impressively at Delaware Park. Trevesso finished midfield last start but has the ability to improve. Caughtandcollected has four wins from eight attempts this campaign and possesses strong course and distance form.
Win: #3 Wyoming Class – 50% confidence
Place: #5 Trevesso – 38% confidence
Show: #4 Caughtandcollected – 38% confidence
Alternative: #1 Admiral’s Wave – 25% confidence
Race 6 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 8 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This race features a tight competition among the top selections. Excellorator resumes from a 45-week spell and represents the Jamie Ness barn. Kissthemoon won last start at Penn National when fresh and has very strong track form. Ten Gauge comes off a win at Delaware Park after a layoff.
Win: #5 Excellorator – 50% confidence
Place: #2 Kissthemoon – 44% confidence
Show: #4 Ten Gauge – 44% confidence
Alternative: #6 Just Call Ray – 31% confidence
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This maiden claiming race for two-year-olds has questionable form depth. Stonecoldhandsome draws the rail and should benefit from the inside post. Paterno finished 10 lengths off the winner last start but drops in class. Bosh placed at long odds last time and could improve. Whiskey Alley returns from a layoff with potential.
Win: #1 Stonecoldhandsome – 50% confidence
Place: #5 Paterno – 38% confidence
Show: #7 Bosh – 31% confidence
Alternative: #4 Whiskey Alley – 25% confidence
Race 8 – Claiming, 8.5 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This claiming race for three-year-olds and up appears dominated by one selection. Porch Swing resumes from a 10-week spell and has won three times at Penn National with excellent course and distance form. Allaboutthemoney also resumes from a spell and draws the rail. Here’s Waldo has won 11 times at Penn National and possesses outstanding track form.
Win: #2 Porch Swing – 88% confidence
Place: #1 Allaboutthemoney – 63% confidence
Show: #5 Here’s Waldo – 75% confidence
Alternative: #8 Guns N’ Rojas – 25% confidence
Race 9 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, Purse
This fillies and mares claiming race features a close battle between the top two selections. Red Head Italian drops in class and won at Laurel Park when last second-up. Beach Queen returns from a layoff with a win at Penn National and one placing this campaign. Miss Wildwood has won at the track before and returns from a layoff.
Win: #3 Red Head Italian – 60% confidence
Place: #1 Beach Queen – 70% confidence
Show: #6 Miss Wildwood – 40% confidence
Alternative: #7 Mandy’s Miss – 20% confidence
Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Value Plays
The exacta box of #2 More Ransom with #3 Dancing Diana offers solid value given the strong consensus. Consider a trifecta with #2, #3, and #6 as the top three selections have clear separation from the field. Casa Juanita at #9 represents a longshot consideration for superfecta coverage at 5-1 odds.
Race 2 Value Plays
An exacta wheel with #1 Pocket Sand and #4 Kazd’or in both positions provides strong coverage given 75% of handicappers featured one or both in their top two selections. Consider including #7 Phabulous Phoebe in trifecta plays as three handicappers selected her for the win position, creating potential overlay value.
Race 3 Value Plays
This maiden race has divided opinions creating exacta opportunities. Box #1 Kylie’s Kiss, #10 Let’em Hate, and #3 On The Beam for the exacta and trifecta. The lack of consensus creates potential value with any of the top three winning at decent odds.
Race 4 Value Plays
An exacta box of #4 Infamous Nono and #7 Sunday Gilt captures both horses with the strongest support. Include #3 Bruder in trifecta plays given 50% show confidence. Fire Down Below at #8 received limited support but could provide longshot value for deeper exotics.
Race 5 Value Plays
The spread of opinions in this race creates value opportunities. Consider a trifecta box with #3 Wyoming Class, #5 Trevesso, and #4 Caughtandcollected. Wyoming Class represents the best value given 50% win confidence while others in the field received scattered support.
Race 6 Value Plays
This competitive race warrants exacta boxing #5 Excellorator, #2 Kissthemoon, and #4 Ten Gauge given the tight confidence percentages. All three horses received significant handicapper support. Consider including #6 Just Call Ray for superfecta coverage given 31% alternative confidence.
Race 7 Value Plays
The uncertainty in this maiden race creates value with exacta and trifecta boxes. Combine #1 Stonecoldhandsome, #5 Paterno, and #7 Bosh for coverage. Consider Christ Is King at #2 as a longshot given only one handicapper selection but potential overlay odds.
Race 8 Standout Value
Race 8 presents the strongest consensus of the entire card. Porch Swing at #2 received 88% win confidence from handicappers, making him a strong single in multi-race exotics. Use #2 Porch Swing as a key horse in Pick 3, Pick 4, and Pick 5 wagers. Box the exacta with #1 Allaboutthemoney and #5 Here’s Waldo for coverage underneath.
Race 9 Value Plays
The top two selections have strong separation from the rest of the field. An exacta box of #3 Red Head Italian and #1 Beach Queen provides excellent coverage given 70% place confidence for Beach Queen and 60% win confidence for Red Head Italian. Include #6 Miss Wildwood in trifecta plays for value coverage.
Multi-Race Exotic Strategies
Pick 3 Coverage (Races 7-8-9): Use #1 Stonecoldhandsome and #5 Paterno in Race 7, single #2 Porch Swing in Race 8, and box #3 Red Head Italian with #1 Beach Queen in Race 9.
Pick 4 Coverage (Races 6-7-8-9): Include #5 Excellorator, #2 Kissthemoon, and #4 Ten Gauge in Race 6, then follow the Pick 3 strategy for Races 7-9.
Late Pick 5 Strategy: If available, key #4 Infamous Nono in Race 4, spread in Race 5 with #3 Wyoming Class and #4 Caughtandcollected, then follow Pick 4 coverage through Race 9.
