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Race 1: Allowance, 1 1/16 Miles, Dirt, $39,000 | 5:45 PM ET WIN ($11.60)

Win: #1 Uncle Arlys (62%)🥇
Place: #4 McCrakens Ghost (83%)🥉
Show: #6 Malibu Warrior (60%)
Alternative: #3 Major Mischief (100%)

Notes: Pick Pony analysts see this as a clear standout race between the top two choices. Uncle Arlys has won all three career starts including a victory at Penn National when fresh. McCrakens Ghost returns from a 13-week layoff but has placed in four of five starts at Penn National previously. Malibu Warrior has three wins from 11 attempts this campaign and outstanding form at this track. Major Mischief should run fitter after a third-place finish last out and fits in exotics.​

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Race 2: Claiming, 1 Mile 70 Yards, Dirt, $13,000 | 6:14 PM ET BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: #6 Pocket Sand (62%)🥈
Place: #4 Koutoubia (33%)
Show: #5 Desi's Reward (40%)🥉
Alternative: #1 Mary's Reward (67%)🥇

Notes: Pick Pony analysts view this as a one-horse affair with Pocket Sand the heavy consensus choice. The filly won last start at Penn National when resuming and is a track specialist with three wins at the venue. Mary's Reward is on a two-race win streak but faces a tougher assignment today. Koutoubia returns from an eight-week break after winning at Delaware Park. Desi's Reward placed third last out and fits in exotics.​

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Race 3: Maiden Claiming, 5 Furlongs, Dirt, $15,000 | 6:43 PM ET WIN ($5.60)

Win: #4 Vivid Artiste (71%)🥇
Place: #1 Fifth Of June (60%)🥉
Show: #7 Queen Of Justice (50%)
Alternative: #9 Sandy Girl (100%)🥈

Notes: Vivid Artiste stands out as one of the best plays of the day according to Pick Pony analysts. The mare has four placings from seven runs this prep and finished second last start at Penn National. Fifth Of June draws well and drops in class, offering place value. Queen Of Justice makes her debut and warrants consideration. Sandy Girl has shown consistency with two recent placed efforts.​

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Race 4: Blue Mountain Stakes, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $50,000 | 7:12 PM ET

Win: #7 Keystone State (43%)
Place: #5 Tap Into Grace (100%)🥈
Show: #2 C'est Chouette (50%)
Alternative: #1 Smart Philly (100%)🥉

Notes: This two-year-old filly stakes race shows division among Pick Pony analysts. Keystone State is unbeaten in both career starts including a Penn National victory, making her hard to oppose. Tap Into Grace receives unanimous place consideration after surprising at long odds last start at Laurel Park. Ready To Dial draws support from some analysts looking for an upset. C'est Chouette broke maiden impressively at Delaware Park and should run fitter for past attempts. Smart Philly returns from a nine-week spell having placed in all three career starts.​

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Race 5: South Mountain Stakes, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $50,000 | 7:41 PM ET BOXED EXACTA

Win: #2 Cairo Surprise (50%)🥈
Place: #8 Tough Guy Tony (40%)🥇
Show: #3 Expresso Bay (50%)
Alternative: #1 Fine Diamond (100%)

Notes: Another closely contested juvenile stakes creates wagering opportunities for Pick Pony analysts. Cairo Surprise has won or placed in all three career starts and broke maiden impressively at Penn National. Tough Guy Tony steps down in class after running 14 lengths back in a stakes run at Belmont at the Big A, and his first-start maiden win shows ability. Bootleg Runner impressed when winning last time out and could factor. Expresso Bay has won at Penn National and placed twice this prep.​

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Race 6: Allowance, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $35,000 | 8:10 PM ET

Win: #3 Bermuda Run (83%)
Place: #9 Severn Run (40%)🥈
Show: #4 Mo Says (50%)
Alternative: #5 Pilote Comete (100%)

Notes: Pick Pony analysts show strong consensus for Bermuda Run despite his failure as favorite last start at Penn National. The gelding has strong course and distance form. Severn Run has won his last two at Penn National and has multiple wins at the track. Mo Says has won or placed in all three career starts and has won at this venue before. I Don't See Colors is coming off a win at Parx and draws attention from some analysts. Pilote Comete returns from a 23-week layoff and is racing back in non-metro class.​

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Race 7: Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $15,000 | 8:39 PM ET BOXED TRIFECTA

Win: #3 Lord Seabee (100%)🥉
Place: #4 Dancing On Air (80%)🥇
Show: #6 Rar (50%)🥈
Alternative: #1 Kerner (100%)

Notes: Lord Seabee receives unanimous support from Pick Pony analysts as a major contender. The horse placed second at his only start at Penn National and looks the deserving favorite. Dancing On Air ran third last out at Penn National and has two placings from seven runs this prep. Kerner returns from a 36-week spell having finished just a length back from the leader at Turfway Park. Rar returns from a layoff and is for the wider exotics.​

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Race 8: Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, $11,000 | 9:08 PM ET

Win: #7 Porch Swing (75%)🥉
Place: #1 Guns N' Rojas (50%)🥇
Show: #5 Ampersand (40%)
Alternative: #3 Ice Bar (67%)

Notes: Porch Swing is tough to beat according to Pick Pony analysts after narrowly missing as favorite last start at Penn National when first up. The gelding has multiple wins at the track. Ampersand has two placings from five runs this prep and receives support from some analysts who prefer the class. Guns N' Rojas ran third last out and fits in exotics. Ice Bar returns from a 12-week break having finished close last start at Penn National.​

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Race 9: Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $14,000 | 9:37 PM ET

Win: #7 Heaven Street (29%)🥉
Place: #2 Saponara (60%)
Show: #3 Chain Reaction (75%)🥈
Alternative: #6 Fire Down Below (100%)

Notes: Pick Pony analysts are divided on this race, creating potential exotic value. Heaven Street won at Meadowlands two starts back but disappointed last out at Laurel Park. Sir Mi Tolee receives support and is dropping in class. Chain Reaction finished just a neck back from the winner last start at Penn National. Saponara is a track specialist with seven wins at Penn National. Fire Down Below is coming off a winning effort at Penn National and has 10 career wins at the track.​

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Exotic Bet Recommendations and Value Plays

Pick Pony analysts have identified the following exotic wagering opportunities based on consensus analysis:

Best Bets of the Card:
Race 7 presents the strongest single-race play with Lord Seabee receiving 100% consensus support. Consider a win bet with exacta protection to Dancing On Air.

Exacta Boxes:
Race 1: Box 1-4-6 (Uncle Arlys, McCrakens Ghost, Malibu Warrior)
Race 2: Box 6-1-4 (Pocket Sand, Mary's Reward, Koutoubia)
Race 7: Box 3-4 with 1 and 6 for place (Lord Seabee and Dancing On Air key)

Trifecta Plays:
Race 3: Key #4 Vivid Artiste on top with 1-7-9 for place and show positions
Race 6: Key #3 Bermuda Run with 4-8-9 underneath
Race 8: Key #7 Porch Swing with 1-5-3 underneath

Pick 3 Sequences:
Races 1-2-3: Single Uncle Arlys (R1), Single Pocket Sand (R2), Key Vivid Artiste (R3)
Races 7-8-9: Single Lord Seabee (R7), Key Porch Swing with Ampersand (R8), Spread with Heaven Street, Chain Reaction, Sir Mi Tolee (R9)

Value Plays:
Race 4 Blue Mountain Stakes: Ready To Dial at 4-1 receives support from three analysts against the consensus favorite Keystone State. Consider for exacta with Tap Into Grace for second.

Race 5 South Mountain Stakes: The split consensus between Cairo Surprise and Tough Guy Tony creates opportunities for boxing the top two with Expresso Bay and Bootleg Runner.

Race 9: Fire Down Below at 3-1 brings 10 wins at the track and is coming off a closing victory. With the field divided, this experienced runner offers value.

Daily Double:
Races 1-2: Uncle Arlys to Pocket Sand offers a confident double at reasonable odds.