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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1: Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $38,000 Purse
Win: 1 West Code Mischief (100%)
Place: 3 Tizabellarina (38%)🥈
Show: 2 Lucked Out (25%)
Alternative: 8 Let’sgojlo (25%)🥇
Notes: West Code Mischief represents an extremely strong consensus pick with unanimous support from all Pick Pony analysts. The filly narrowly missed as the favorite in her last start at Remington Park and draws the rail which should allow her to save ground. Tizabellarina has shown consistency with three placings from six starts this prep. Lucked Out placed at long odds last start and could offer value. Let’sgojlo has solid back class and finished mid-pack last out.
Race 2: Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $12,500 Purse
Win: 1 Twentyone N Change (100%)🥈
Place: 4 Buckin Again (38%)
Show: 8 Touchdown Oklahoma (50%)🥇
Alternative: 7 Euromantic (25%)
Notes: Twentyone N Change is a unanimous selection returning from a brief layoff and drawing the advantageous rail position. This experienced gelding has 13 wins from 42 career starts and should control the pace. Buckin Again returns to form after a win two back. Touchdown Oklahoma won earlier this prep at the track and cannot be dismissed. Euromantic placed once this prep and drops in distance.
Race 3: Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $27,000 Purse
Win: 2 Oh My Darling (75%)🥇
Place: 5 Ooh Baby It’s Me (38%)🥉
Show: 1 Speaking Of Art (25%)🥈
Alternative: 6 Last Pick (38%)
Notes: Oh My Darling is stepping down in class after competing against stronger company and represents the class of this field. Two-year-old fillies with limited form make this a guessing game. Speaking Of Art is making her career debut for a barn that wins with first-time starters. Last Pick showed promise with a third-place finish in her only career start. Ooh Baby It’s Me has placed in better company.
Race 4: Starter Allowance, 6.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $27,000 Purse
Win: 2 Blue Light (38%)
Place: 8 Bron And Brow (50%)🥈
Show: 9 J. P. Race (38%)🥇
Alternative: 1 Under Oath (38%)
Notes: This is a highly competitive race with split opinions among Pick Pony analysts. Blue Light has won 12 of 29 career starts with strong Remington Park form. Bron And Brow comes off an impressive wire-to-wire victory last out and draws well. J. P. Race won last start and has two wins from five attempts this campaign. Under Oath is a last-out winner returning from a lengthy layoff and offers value at likely longer odds.
Race 5: Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, $11,500 Purse
Win: 7 Powerwashed (38%)🥉
Place: 10 Kara (50%)
Show: 2 Crafty Aunt (38%)
Alternative: 12 La Camelia (25%)
Notes: A contentious race with several live contenders. Powerwashed won at the track two runs back and projects to set the pace. Kara has the highest earnings in the field and placed when fresh. Crafty Aunt returns from a layoff and drops to this level which should suit. La Camelia placed at long odds last out and could hit the board at a price. Spin The Breeze is a longshot with experience that could factor if pace collapses.
Race 6: Allowance, 6 Furlongs, Dirt, $39,000 Purse
Win: 6 While I (62%)
Place: 8 Cajun Stoops (38%)🥇Show: 9 Waylon’s Guitar (12%)Alternative: 3 Washita Valley (38%)🥈
Notes: While I earned his diploma last start at this track and has previous wins here, making him a solid favorite. Cajun Stoops has been remarkably consistent with four placings from five starts this prep and just missed last time. Waylon’s Guitar finished a neck back from the winner last out and has four placings from five runs. Washita Valley placed when fresh and has shown versatility.
Race 7: Allowance, 1 Mile, Dirt, $40,000 Purse
Win: 2 Compendium (38%)
Place: 5 Take Me Serious (50%)🥇
Show: 1 Bang Bang Fury (38%)🥉
Alternative: 6 Honor Cat (25%)
Notes: Competitive allowance for fillies and mares with multiple contenders. Compendium has won her last two at Remington Park and profiles as a front-running type. Take Me Serious has an outstanding record with eight wins and 16 placings from 23 starts. Kinzie Queen ships in with the highest career earnings ($529,920) but faces questions at this distance. Bang Bang Fury has won twice and placed in all other outings this campaign. Honor Cat is a last-out winner at Delaware Park who could impact.
Race 8: Allowance, 5.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $40,000 Purse
Win: 5 Perfect Magic (88%)🥇Place: 2 Kunan (38%)Show: 1 Frack Baby (38%)🥉
Alternative: 6 Cool Cowboy (25%)
Notes: Perfect Magic is a near-unanimous selection coming off a win at the track and dropping back in distance to a trip that suits his running style. Kunan won impressively at Keeneland when fresh and has versatility. Frack Baby is a last-out winner at Delaware Park and competitive. Greg Compton trains both Kunan and Frack Baby, giving his barn two strong chances. Cool Cowboy has early speed and could factor if left alone on the lead.
Race 9: Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, Dirt, $12,500 Purse
Win: 4 Tigers ‘N Bears (38%)Place: 11 Lea Me Be (25%)Alternative: 14 Cash Follows Me (50%)
Show: 13 Derby Date (25%)
Notes: Wide-open finale with a large field of 14 runners. Tigers ‘N Bears just missed last start by three-quarters of a length and is stepping down in class. Lea Me Be has the running style to dictate terms from an inside draw and has seven wins from 36 career starts. Derby Date has been consistent with three placings from 10 starts this prep. Cash Follows Me has won twice from nine attempts this campaign and has strong recent form, making the alternative position interesting for exacta/trifecta players.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Daily Double (Races 1-2)
Pick Pony analysts strongly recommend a Daily Double combining the two heavy favorites: 1 West Code Mischief with 1 Twentyone N Change. Both are unanimous consensus picks with exceptional win probabilities. This should return a modest payout but represents the highest-probability play of the card.
Suggested Ticket: 1 with 1 ($2 cost: $2)
Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Build on the strong chalky plays in the first two races and spread in Race 3 where there is more uncertainty.
Suggested Ticket: 1 with 1 with 2,5,6 ($0.50 cost: $1.50)
Exacta Plays
Race 4 (Best Exacta Value): This race offers excellent exacta value with a three-way battle for the win. Box 2 Blue Light, 8 Bron And Brow, and 9 J. P. Race.
Suggested Ticket: 2,8,9 BOX ($2 cost: $12)
Race 7 (Value Exacta): Compendium, Take Me Serious, and Kinzie Queen are all live. Consider keying Take Me Serious underneath the other two.
Suggested Ticket: 2,8 with 5 ($2 cost: $4)
Trifecta Plays
Race 8 (Strong Trifecta): Perfect Magic appears to be a single for the win. Build trifectas with him on top.
Suggested Ticket: 5 with 1,2 with 1,2,6,7 ($0.50 cost: $6)
Race 9 (Wide-Open Trifecta): With a large field and split opinions, a wider ticket makes sense.
Suggested Ticket: 4,11,13,14 with 4,11,13,14 with 4,11,13,14 ($0.50 cost: $12)
Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Late Pick 4 offers good value with several competitive races.
Suggested Ticket: 6,8 with 2,5,8 with 5 with 4,11,13,14 ($0.50 cost: $12)
Value Longshot Plays
Race 3 – 1 Speaking Of Art (12-1): First-time starter for a barn that wins with debut horses. Two analysts have this filly on top, suggesting insider confidence. Worth a small win bet and including in exacta/trifecta positions.
Race 4 – 1 Under Oath (10-1): Last-out winner returning from a long layoff. Three analysts included this horse in their top four selections. Strong each-way play.
Race 9 – 4 Tigers ‘N Bears (6-1): Consensus win pick at fair odds. This is a value play as the horse represents three analysts’ top choice yet is not the morning-line favorite.
Best Bet of the Card
Race 8 – 5 Perfect Magic: With 88% consensus support (7 of 8 analysts), this is the strongest non-unanimous pick on the card. The horse is dropping back to a sprint distance after winning at 6.5 furlongs and has the tactical speed to control the race. Win and exacta key recommended.
