Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 1M 40Y, Dirt, Purse: $25,000 WIN ($7.80) + EXACTA
Win: 1. Fabulous Candy (37% confidence)🥇
Place: 8. Shy Shy (21% confidence)🥈Show: 6. Tortuga Island (16% confidence)Alternative: 4. Omikami (16% confidence)
Moderate consensus with 37% analyst support for the top selection. Opening day race featuring fillies and mares. Several analysts favor proven local performers with strong Tampa Bay Downs experience.
Race 2 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, Purse: $19,000
Win: 11. Queen Atlas (31% confidence)
Place: 7. La Gata Salvaje (19% confidence)🥇Show: 14. Answer The Call (19% confidence)
Alternative: 3. Freud’s Fancy (12% confidence)
Moderate consensus with 31% analyst support for the top selection. Claiming race for fillies and mares at 6.5 furlongs. Track specialists and horses with prior course experience could have significant advantage.
Race 3 – Claiming, 6F, Dirt, Purse: $19,000
Win: 10. Coercive (40% confidence)
Place: 9. Fit To Fire (33% confidence)🥈
Show: 2. Bourbon Street Boy (13% confidence)
Alternative: 6. Article (7% confidence)
Strong consensus favorite with 40% confidence among analysts. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Six furlong sprint where early speed may prove decisive on opening day surface. Multiple analysts identify horses with tactical versatility.
Race 4 – Maiden Claiming, 5.5F, Dirt, Purse: $23,500
Win: 8. Questnbled’cisions (35% confidence)🥉
Place: 2. Great Actress (29% confidence)
Show: 6. La Chismosa (18% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 9. Precious Cat (18% confidence)🥈
Moderate consensus with 35% analyst support for the top selection. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Maiden claiming event for 2-year-old fillies with wide variety of analyst selections. First-time starters mixed with experienced runners create uncertainty.
Race 5 – Claiming, 1M 110Y, Turf, Purse: $23,300
Win: 2. Americandreammaker (29% confidence)🥉
Place: 1. Attending (29% confidence)
Show: 3. My Gal (12% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4. A Great Date (12% confidence)
Moderate consensus with 29% analyst support for the top selection. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Turf route at 1 1/16 miles with multiple analysts spreading support across several contenders. Horses with recent grass experience and stamina should be favored.
Race 6 – Claiming, 6F, Dirt
Win: 5. Auger (36% confidence)
Place: 12. Old Town Road (29% confidence)
Show: 11. Test Pilot (21% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 8. Elusive D’oro (7% confidence)🥈
Moderate consensus with 36% analyst support for the top selection. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Competitive claiming sprint where track familiarity appears crucial. Multiple analysts backing horses with proven Tampa Bay Downs form.
Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 8F, Turf WIN + EXACTA
Win: 2. Yankee Dollar (28% confidence)Place: 9. Silver Moonlight (28% confidence)🥇
Show: 10. Rugelach (17% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 3. Duboff (14% confidence)
Moderate consensus with 28% analyst support for the top selection. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Allowance optional claiming on turf with significant analyst disagreement. Class and recent form appear crucial factors in selections.
Race 8 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 6F, Dirt BOXED EXACTA
Win: 7. Impacto (40% confidence)🥈
Place: 1. Secret Empire (30% confidence)🥇
Show: 4. Messi The Great (10% confidence)
Alternative: 9. Riding A Dream (10% confidence)
Strong consensus favorite with 40% confidence among analysts. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Allowance optional claiming sprint on dirt with strong two-horse consensus. Several analysts backing proven track performers with course experience.
Race 9 – Claiming, 8F, Turf, Purse: $29,000
Win: 2. Smart Striker (22% confidence)
Place: 4. Max’s Map (17% confidence)
Show: 5. Power Attack (17% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 9. Eldest Son (17% confidence)🥇
Wide-open race with no clear consensus favorite among Pick Pony analysts. Very competitive race between top two selections based on analyst picks. Turf mile to close the card with wide distribution of analyst picks. Multiple analysts identify longshots with upset potential.
Exotic Betting Recommendations and Value Plays
High-Confidence Exacta Plays
Race 1: Box 1. Fabulous Candy with 4. Omikami and 8. Shy Shy. Top three selections receive strong analyst support, creating multiple exacta combinations. The 1-8 and 8-1 combinations show particularly strong backing.
Race 2: Key 11. Queen Atlas and 14. Answer The Call over 7. La Gata Salvaje and 3. Freud’s Fancy. Multiple analysts support the top two selections in this competitive claiming race.
Race 4: Consider exacta wheel of 8. Questnbled’cisions and 6. La Chismosa with 2. Great Actress and 9. Precious Cat. Four horses receive significant analyst backing across 11 handicappers, suggesting any combination could hit.
Race 8: Box 1. Secret Empire with 7. Impacto. Strong consensus support shows these two as clear standouts in the allowance optional claiming sprint.
Trifecta Value Plays
Race 3: Box 10. Coercive, 9. Fit To Fire, and 2. Bourbon Street Boy for a trifecta. Wide distribution of analyst picks suggests all three have legitimate winning chances with tactical speed advantage.
Race 5: Key 1. Attending and 2. Americandreammaker on top with 3. My Gal and 4. A Great Date in trifecta. Multiple analysts identify different contenders in this turf route, creating value in covering several combinations.
Race 7: Box 2. Yankee Dollar, 3. Duboff, 9. Silver Moonlight, and 10. Rugelach. Analysts are split across four legitimate contenders in this allowance optional claiming turf event.
Race 9: Include 2. Smart Striker, 1. Eddie The Great, 4. Max’s Map, and 9. Eldest Son in trifecta combinations. Consensus spread creates opportunity for value return in closing race.
Multi-Race Wager Value
Daily Double (Races 1-2): Pick Pony analysts suggest keying 1. Fabulous Candy, 4. Omikami, and 8. Shy Shy in Race 1 with 11. Queen Atlas, 14. Answer The Call, and 7. La Gata Salvaje in Race 2. Strong support across multiple handicappers for all selections justifies this approach.
Pick 3 (Races 7-9): Structure includes 2. Yankee Dollar, 3. Duboff, 4. Princess Bettina, 9. Silver Moonlight in Race 7; 1. Secret Empire, 7. Impacto, 9. Riding A Dream in Race 8; and 1. Eddie The Great, 2. Smart Striker, 4. Max’s Map, 9. Eldest Son in Race 9. This combination reflects consensus while covering legitimate contenders.
Pick 4 (Races 4-7): Cover multiple analyst selections in the maiden race and turf events. Include 6. La Chismosa, 8. Questnbled’cisions, 9. Precious Cat in Race 4; spread wide in Race 5 with 1. Attending, 2. Americandreammaker, 3. My Gal, 4. A Great Date; use 5. Auger, 12. Old Town Road, 11. Test Pilot in Race 6; and 2. Yankee Dollar, 3. Duboff, 4. Princess Bettina, 9. Silver Moonlight in Race 7.
Longshot Value Plays
Race 4: 9. Precious Cat (15-1) receives specific backing from multiple analysts despite long odds. Analyst notes indicate horses from Meadowlands circuit were effective moving turf-to-dirt during initial weeks of last season. Trainer Mike Dini had strong success rate with 4 top-2 finishers from first 10 starters here last season, including a 12-1 winner. Second career start with trainer success at Tampa Bay creates value win-place opportunity.
Race 6: 11. Test Pilot draws support from analysts at value odds. Three wins from 10 attempts this campaign combined with track experience suggests each-way potential.
Race 7: 4. Princess Bettina (8-1) draws analyst attention in allowance optional claiming event. Trainer change to high-percentage Jose D’Angelo outfit appears significant. Analyst notes indicate D’Angelo scored with first turf starter of last Tampa Bay season with Samuel Marin riding. Pressing running style suits course configuration.
Race 8: 9. Riding A Dream (6-1) receives analyst backing as track specialist with two Tampa Bay Downs wins. Strong favorite record of two wins from three attempts suggests potential upset value.
Race 9: 4. Max’s Map (10-1) identified as track specialist by multiple analysts. Eight furlong turf distance suits running style. Prior course success makes this longshot selection attractive for win-place value.
Pick Pony analysts emphasize opening day track conditions may favor horses with prior Tampa Bay Downs experience. Track specialists appear prominently in consensus selections across multiple races. Several selections reflect strategy of backing horses with proven course form, particularly in claiming and allowance races where familiarity often proves decisive factor. Analysts note surface conditions and rail placement on opening day can significantly impact results, especially in turf races where post position and early tactical speed become crucial.
