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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Allowance, 350Y, Dirt, Purse: $15,600
Win: 3 Konspire (100% confidence)
Place: 1 Jess Go West (83% confidence)🥈
Show: 4 Tf Eyesa Dashin (50% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Noquit Inhim (33% confidence)
AI: 8🥉-3-9-4
Konspire receives unanimous support from all analysts, coming off a strong win at Will Rogers Downs. Jess Go West shows excellent course and distance form with multiple track wins. Tf Eyesa Dashin returns from a 25-week layoff but finished just a length behind winner last start. Sprint distance of 350 yards should produce a very fast finish with minimal margin for error.
Race 2 – Claiming, 5.5F, Dirt, Purse: $9,500
Win: 5 My Little Lady (71% confidence)
Place: 4 Lotsa Steel (71% confidence)🥉
Show: 3 Prancing Matilda (86% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 2 Daddys Nina (86% confidence)
AI: AI: 5-6-4🥉-1🥇
My Little Lady and Lotsa Steel receive split support as top choices. Both runners showed solid form at this track in recent starts. Prancing Matilda returns from 14-week spell with decent Emerald Downs form. Daddys Nina rounds out consensus picks with good closing ability. Distance of 5.5 furlongs should suit front-running types.
Race 3 – Claiming, 4.5F, Dirt, Purse: $17,000 WIN
Win: 2 Plane Talk (86% confidence)🥇
Place: 4 Bodenheimer (86% confidence)
Show: 6 King Adrock (71% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 1 A View From Above (43% confidence)
AI: 1-2🥇-6🥉-4
Plane Talk draws strong support returning from layoff with last-start Canterbury Park win. Bodenheimer has outstanding Turf Paradise form with multiple track wins. King Adrock has perfect record when favored and strong local form. A View From Above receives alternative consideration at value odds. Competitive 4.5-furlong sprint should feature fast early pace.
Race 4 – Claiming, 5F, Dirt, Purse: $12,000 BOXED EXACTA
Win: 2 Selinus (100% confidence)🥈
Place: 7 Donna Wyn (57% confidence)🥇
Show: 3 Kaely’s Candy (57% confidence)
Alternative: 5 She’s A One Of One (57% confidence)
AI: 6-5-2🥈-4🥉
Selinus garners consensus support despite finishing eighth last start when resuming. She’s A One Of One brings strong California form from Santa Anita win. Donna Wyn returns from 9-week break with solid overall record. Kaely’s Candy finished second fresh at Prairie Meadows and looks well-placed. Five-furlong distance favors horses with tactical speed.
Race 5 – Starter Optional Claiming, 1 Mile, Dirt, Purse: $16,000
Win: 2 Go Cats (100% confidence)🥉
Place: 1 Surprsinglyperfect (60% confidence)
Show: 3 French Onion (80% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Sir Maximus (80% confidence)🥇
AI: 3-4🥇-5🥈-2🥉WIN + TRIFECTA
Go Cats receives unanimous top billing after winning last two starts including one at this track. Surprsinglyperfect returns with strong Turf Paradise form history. French Onion enters off Mountaineer victory with 8-week freshening. Sir Maximus also comes in fresh from Mountaineer win. One-mile distance should test stamina and favor closers if pace is honest.
Race 6 – Starter Allowance, 5.5F, Dirt, Purse: $12,000
Win: 6 Good Lovin (50% confidence)
Place: 8 Immelmann (50% confidence)🥈
Show: 5 Shackleford Strong (50% confidence)
Alternative: 3 Yes He Can (50% confidence)🥇
AI: 2🥉-3🥇-5-6
Good Lovin seeks fourth consecutive victory including recent Turf Paradise win. Immelmann has three wins from campaign but stumbled last start at Remington Park. Multiple analysts split on top choice between these two strong contenders. Shackleford Strong enters off Hawthorne win and suits distance well. Distance drop to 5.5 furlongs favors horses with early speed.
Race 7 – Claiming, 6.5F, Dirt, Purse: $9,500
Win: 4 Classic American (71% confidence)
Place: 2 Smooching (57% confidence)🥇
Show: 6 Birdie Curdy (43% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 9 Dansmetothendoflov (29% confidence)
AI: 4-2🥇-1-7
Classic American won fresh last start at Turf Paradise and has won all previous races as favorite. Birdie Curdy brings solid experience with consistent placings. Smooching returns from spell with three previous Turf Paradise victories. Dansmetothendoflov shows strong recent form and closing ability. 6.5-furlong distance should see tactical positioning crucial in final furlong.
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming, 6F, Dirt, Purse: $12,000
Win: 7 Chica Tigre (67% confidence)
Place: 3 Clam Beach (83% confidence)
Show: 5 Song Of Songs (33% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 8 Cheekwood (33% confidence)🥉
AI: AI: 8🥉-3-10🥈-7
Race quality appears modest with several first-time starters. Chica Tigre receives strongest support despite midfield finish at Santa Anita. Clam Beach has two placings from four prep runs but finished well back last time. Song Of Songs and By The Law both make debuts and warrant respect. Maiden claiming race over six furlongs typically produces unpredictable results.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1
Exacta: 3-1 box provides solid value with top two consensus picks
Trifecta: Key 3 over 1,4 with 1,4,5 offers coverage of top contenders
Superfecta: 3-1-4-5 straight combines consensus top four
Value Play: Consider 3 to win given unanimous analyst support
Race 2
Exacta: Box 5-4 covers split top choices between My Little Lady and Lotsa Steel
Trifecta: 5,4/5,4,3/2,3,4 allows for position flexibility among top picks
Superfecta: Use 5,4 in first two spots with 2,3 for third and fourth
Value Play: Lotsa Steel at 3-1 offers value if challenging favorite My Little Lady
Race 3
Exacta: 2-4 or 2-6 provides coverage of Plane Talk with strong place contenders
Trifecta: Key 2 on top over 4,6 with 1,4,6 for all positions
Superfecta: 2-4-6-1 follows consensus order
Value Play: Bodenheimer could upset at 9-5 with strong track record
Race 4
Exacta: Box 2-5-7 covers three most mentioned runners
Trifecta: Wheel 2,5,7 for maximum coverage given split opinions
Superfecta: 5-2-7-3 combines consensus picks
Value Play: Donna Wyn at 4-1 warrants consideration with multiple analyst mentions
Race 5
Exacta: 2 over 1,3,4 provides strong coverage with Go Cats on top
Trifecta: Key 2 with 1,3,4 for second and third positions
Superfecta: 2-1-3-4 follows clear consensus order
Value Play: Go Cats appears standout play given win streak and unanimous support
Race 6
Exacta: Box 6-8 covers two top choices with recent strong form
Trifecta: 6,8/6,8,5/3,5,9 allows flexibility for top contenders
Superfecta: Use 6,8 for win position with 3,5,9 underneath
Value Play: Good Lovin seeks fourth straight and may offer best value despite recent success
Race 7
Exacta: 4-6 or 4-2 combines Classic American with strong place threats
Trifecta: Key 4 over 2,6,9 with 1,2,6,9 for all spots
Superfecta: 4-6-2-9 provides coverage of top consensus picks
Value Play: Classic American at 3-1 appears solid given perfect favorite record
Race 8
Exacta: Box 3-7 covers top two mentions despite race quality concerns
Trifecta: 7,3/3,5,7/2,3,5,7 allows for unpredictability
Superfecta: Use wider spread given maiden race uncertainty
Value Play: Low confidence race warrants smaller wagers or passing
Pick Pony analysts identify several standout betting opportunities across the Monday card. Race 1 presents exceptional value with Konspire receiving unanimous support at 4-1 odds. Race 5 features Go Cats as another unanimous selection coming off back-to-back wins. The most competitive races appear to be Race 4 and Race 6, where analysts show significant disagreement on top selections, suggesting potential value in exotic wagers that provide broader coverage. Race 8 draws caution from analysts due to maiden race unpredictability and should be approached with smaller stakes or avoided entirely for serious wagering.
