Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Race 1 – Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $34,200
Win: 2 Pretty Good Joke – 57% confidence🥈
Place: 6 Jinx Me – 43% confidence
Show: 1 Ami’s Cry – 43% confidence
Alternative: 5 Sky Runner – 14% confidence
Pretty Good Joke commands the consensus with strong recent form including a solid second-place finish at this venue. Jinx Me represents solid place value with competitive form at Woodbine. The race presents an interesting dynamic between the proven performers and several horses looking to break through.
Race 2 – Claiming, 7 Furlongs, $26,200
Win: 3 Serenading Amaya – 43% confidence
Place: 2 Sultry Sophie – 57% confidence🥉
Show: 7 Speak Up – 43% confidence🥇
Alternative: 5 Buff Bay – 14% confidence🥈
Analysts are split between Serenading Amaya and Sultry Sophie for the win, but there is strong consensus that Sultry Sophie will factor in the top positions. Serenading Amaya’s sprint debut warrants close attention. Speak Up offers excellent place value with its closing style and recent sharp form.
Race 3 – Maiden Optional Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $49,200
Win: 1 Silverdart – 71% confidence
Place: 7 Holy Mirage – 29% confidence🥉
Show: 9 Sans Dancer – 29% confidence
Alternative: 4 Sweet Ofelia – 14% confidence
Silverdart emerges as the overwhelming consensus favorite across Pick Pony analysts. Her game second-place effort on debut and ideal inside post establish her as the control horse. Sans Dancer offers intriguing value given her consistency at Woodbine despite the recent missed check.
Race 4 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $26,200 WIN ($6.20) + EXACTA ($9.15)
Win: 1 Googly Eyes – 29% confidence🥇
Win: 5 Lady Moonshine – 29% confidence🥈
Place: 2 Lemoncella Spritz – 57% confidence
Show: 5 Lady Moonshine – 29% confidence
This race presents genuine uncertainty with multiple analysts supporting different winners. Lemoncella Spritz emerges strongest for place with her outstanding form at Woodbine and recent victory. Lady Moonshine offers the most compelling value story as the consensus place horse that some analysts prefer for the win.
Race 5 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs, $34,200 WIN + EXACTA ($11.90)
Win: 3 Alta Calibre – 57% confidence🥇
Place: 1 Might Bee Trouble – 29% confidence🥈
Show: 10 Balls In Ur Court – 43% confidence
Alternative: 4 Sterling Heights – 14% confidence🥉
Alta Calibre commands strong consensus support based on back-to-back recent victories at this venue and dropping back to sprint distance after success at route. Might Bee Trouble offers place value with solid recent form including placing in stronger company.
Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs, $115,100 WIN ($7.70)
Win: 1 Cajun Influence – 43% confidence🥇
Place: 2 Alpha Gamma Girl – 57% confidence
Show: 6 Mew N Me – 29% confidence🥉
Alternative: 8 Kamasi – 14% confidence
Cajun Influence emerges as the consensus favorite despite quick turnaround from recent effort. Alpha Gamma Girl presents compelling place value as a consistent contender with late-running ability. Mew N Me’s recent competitive sprint performance against quality supports place and show consideration.
Race 7 – Claiming, 5.5 Furlongs, $26,900 WIN ($7.20) + EXACTA ($7.60)
Win: 2 Quiet Maddelena – 29% confidence🥇
Win: 4 Cymbal Court – 29% confidence🥈
Place: 1 Zippy Gamble – 29% confidence
Show: 7 Really Thirsty – 14% confidence
This sprint race presents high volatility with consensus split between Quiet Maddelena and Cymbal Court. Quiet Maddelena’s recent resurgence and multiple Woodbine wins provide solid backing, while Cymbal Court represents a formidable challenger. Zippy Gamble offers genuine place value with favorable early position and competitive recent form.
Race 8 – Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, $27,400
Win: 1 Fedorova – 43% confidence
Place: 3 She’s So Croatian – 57% confidence
Show: 10 Tanzanite Lily – 29% confidence🥇
Alternative: 4 Serious Green – 14% confidence🥉
Fedorova emerges with plurality support for the win based on her recent third-place effort and added class relief in the claiming ranks. She’s So Croatian presents the strongest place consensus with her competitive recent form at Woodbine.
Race 9 – Maiden Claiming, 7 Furlongs, $32,500
Win: 8 Dancin Mary Marie – 57% confidence
Place: 6 Earendel – 29% confidence🥇
Show: 11 Sunnyville – 29% confidence🥈
Alternative: 7 That’s A Fact – 14% confidence🥉
Dancin Mary Marie dominates the consensus with her consistent runner-up efforts and demonstrated speed figures to win. Earendel represents a sharp drop in class that could unleash improvement, offering place value.
Race 10 – Maiden Claiming, 7 Furlongs, $32,500
Win: 7 Lady On The Nile – 29% confidence
Win: 9 Sunlit – 29% confidence🥉
Place: 9 Sunlit – 29% confidence
Show: 4 Her Obsession – 29% confidence
This finale presents genuine competitive uncertainty with no single strong consensus. Sunlit emerges with the strongest overall support appearing in both win and place columns across multiple analysts. Lady On The Nile’s drop from metro class provides compelling winning angle.
Exotic Wagering Recommendations
Race 1
Exacta: 2-6 shows consistent analyst support across multiple picks. Trifecta: 2-6-1 leverages the consensus favorites. Consider superfecta using 2-6-1-5 to include Sky Runner’s late-running potential.
Race 2
Exacta: 3-2 and 2-3 both merit consideration depending on race dynamics. Superfecta: 3-2-7-5 captures the primary consensus contenders. The value may emerge in picking Speak Up to run for the win rather than place given the competitive nature of the field.
Race 3
Win single: 1 Silverdart demonstrates strong consensus support. Exacta: 1-7 or 1-9 provides win protection with place value. Trifecta: 1-7-9 or 1-9-7 captures the primary analytical preferences. Consider contarian superfecta including 4 Sweet Ofelia as a fourth-place play.
Race 4
Exacta: 5-2 and 1-2 both offer backing from multiple analysts. Superfecta: 5-2-1-8 leverages the consensus and value selections. Consider a four-horse exacta box with 1-5-2-8 given the competitive nature of the field.
Race 5
Win single: 3 Alta Calibre presents clear backing. Exacta: 3-1 and 3-10 both supported by multiple picks. Superfecta: 3-1-10-4 captures consensus preferences. Consider trifecta 3-1-10 as a focused play given Alta Calibre’s dominance in the win column.
Race 6
Exacta: 1-2 offers strong consensus backing. Superfecta: 1-2-6-4 captures both consensus picks and value inclusions. Trifecta: 1-2-6 presents a focused approach given Alpha Gamma Girl’s strong place support and Mew N Me’s show strength.
Race 7
Exacta: 2-4, 4-2, and 2-1 all merit consideration given the competitive nature and split consensus. Superfecta: 2-4-1-3 leverages the primary contenders and value angles. Consider a multi-race pick bet using consensus selections across Races 7, 8, and 9.
Race 8
Win single: 1 Fedorova has solid analytical backing. Exacta: 1-3 and 3-1 both offer reasonable odds. Superfecta: 1-3-10-4 captures the primary consensus selections. Consider trifecta play with 1-3-10 given the overlap between analysts on the top three selections.
Race 9
Win single: 8 Dancin Mary Marie merits primary emphasis. Exacta: 8-6 and 8-11 both have analytical support. Superfecta: 8-6-11-7 captures consensus preferences. The race suggests solid value in backing Earendel to upset for the win given the class drop and place value.
Race 10
Exacta: 7-9 and 9-4 both merit consideration given the split consensus. Superfecta: 7-9-4-1 leverages the primary contenders and includes first-time starters. Consider wheel strategies using top consensus horses given the competitive nature. The value may emerge in backing Sunlit to win rather than place given her improving form.
Multi-Race Wagering Strategy
The December 11th Woodbine card presents a well-balanced series of races with clear standouts and compelling value opportunities. Silverdart (Race 3), Alta Calibre (Race 5), and Dancin Mary Marie (Race 9) emerge as the strongest consensus favorites across multiple races, each offering solid fundamentals and analytical support. The card rewards bettors who identify secondary picks as value plays, particularly Jinx Me (Race 1), Lemoncella Spritz (Race 4), and Earendel (Race 9), each offering attractive odds relative to their consensus support.
Consider linking consensus plays through Pick 3 or Pick 4 sequences to maximize card value while protecting against potential upset possibilities. The optimal approach combines strong win singles on consensus favorites with strategic place and show coverage on value selections.
