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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight – 6 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $45,000 WIN + EXACTA
Boltless appears to be the clear class of the field according to Pick Pony analysts, with nearly unanimous support for the top spot based on a strong recent neck defeat. Divine Wind is widely regarded as the primary threat, consistently projected to hit the board. Hugh Glass is a popular value play, with some analysts suggesting he could upset the favorite.
Win: 6 Boltless (86% Confidence)Place: 3 Divine Wind (43% Confidence)🥇
Show: 1 El Chino Vaca (43% Confidence)🥈Alternative: 4 Hugh Glass
Race 2 – Maiden Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $29,500 WIN
Your Money is the heavy favorite to break maiden here, drawing the rail and bringing solid form. Love N Be Loved is the consensus alternative, often picked to spoil the favorite's party. Flaquita has gathered significant support for the minor awards, while Whiskey On Ice is seen as a live longshot for the bottom of the exotics.
Win: 1 Your Money (71% Confidence)🥇
Place: 4 Love N Be Loved (29% Confidence)🥉
Show: 2 Flaquita (29% Confidence)
Alternative: 10 Whiskey On Ice
Race 3 – Starter Optional Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles – Dirt – Purse $40,000 WIN + TRIFECTA
Pick Pony analysts are united in their support for Barossa, citing outstanding track form and a perfect record as a favorite. The race for second is tighter, with Dennard and Cat Gamer splitting opinions for the place position. Vinniebob is frequently mentioned as a reliable option to round out the trifecta or superfecta.
Win: 3 Barossa (100% Confidence)🥇
Place: 2 Dennard (43% Confidence)🥈
Show: 7 Cat Gamer (29% Confidence)🥉
Alternative: 4 Vinniebob
Race 4 – Allowance – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $50,000 WIN ($6.60)
R R Bougie commands the majority of the attention after a promising debut at this track. Lucky Vegas is viewed as the main danger, with some analysts preferring his experience. Native Charmer is a consistent inclusion in top-three selections, making him a key for exotic wagers.
Win: 3 R R Bougie (71% Confidence)Place: 5 Lucky Vegas (29% Confidence)🥇
Show: 4 Native Charmer (57% Confidence)🥉
Alternative: 1 Maga Kai
Race 5 – Maiden Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $22,500 WIN
This race is wide open. American Secrets holds a slight edge in the consensus, but Twisted Steel and Blameitonblantons have strong backers who believe they can win. The conflicting opinions suggest this is a prime race for value betting, as no single horse has established dominance in the expert forecasts.
Win: 7 American Secrets (43% Confidence)Place: 3 Blameitonblantons (29% Confidence)🥇
Show: 8 Dashing American (29% Confidence)🥉
Alternative: 6 Twisted Steel
Race 6 – Allowance – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Dirt – Purse $62,000
Stand Up Guy is a strong consensus favorite, with analysts pointing to his recent placing at the track as a key indicator. Indy's Song and Hardy Boy are in a dead heat for the secondary spots, with both being used interchangeably in the place and show positions across different reports.
Win: 7 Stand Up Guy (86% Confidence)
Place: 6 Indy's Song (43% Confidence)
Show: 5 Hardy Boy (29% Confidence)🥇
Alternative: 4 Grifter🥈
Race 7 – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $31,500
Sis Spender is the overwhelming choice to win, with analysts highlighting her track specialist status. Forty Five is the clear consensus for second place, while Caden's Girl is consistently projected to finish in the money. This race shows a very stable hierarchy in the expert predictions.
Win: 5 Sis Spender (86% Confidence)
Place: 4 Forty Five (43% Confidence)
Show: 1 Caden's Girl (29% Confidence)🥈
Alternative: 2 Artful Rose🥇
Race 8 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $32,000 WIN
A split decision between Brandyn and Comfort J Byrd makes this a competitive betting affair. Brandyn has the support of several major outlets, while Comfort J Byrd is favored by others for his recent win. Dora's Storm is a notable wild card that could crash the party at a price.
Win: 6 Brandyn (43% Confidence)🥇
Place: 3 Comfort J Byrd (29% Confidence)🥉
Show: 1 Daux (29% Confidence)
Alternative: 4 Dora's Storm
Race 9 – Claiming – 5 1/2 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $31,000
Ineedamarker is a fragile favorite here, with Hotshot Luk breathing down his neck in the expert polls. Charlotte's Spider also has win support, suggesting a potential three-way battle. This race is considered one of the more difficult puzzles on the card to solve.
Win: 4 Ineedamarker (43% Confidence)🥉
Place: 11 Hotshot Luk (43% Confidence)
Show: 10 Charlotte's Spider (43% Confidence)🥇
Alternative: 5 Musical Money
Race 10 – Allowance – 5 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse $62,000 WIN ($7.00)
Opinions are scattered in the finale. Gamblaway and Eyecandothisallday share the most win votes, but Jmark and G B Harrison also have their supporters. This lack of consensus points to a potentially chaotic finish and a high-paying exotic payout.
Win: 10 Gamblaway (43% Confidence)Place: 3 Jmark (43% Confidence)🥇
Show: 9 Eyecandothisallday (14% Confidence)🥈
Alternative: 7 El Huarache Prieto
Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Pick Pony analysts identify Race 3 as the most reliable anchor for multi-race wagers, with Barossa carrying a perfect 100% confidence rating from the expert panel. Boltless in Race 1 (86%) and Stand Up Guy in Race 6 (86%) also serve as strong singles for Pick 3 or Pick 4 tickets.
For value hunters, Race 10 appears ripe for an upset; with the favorite carrying only 43% confidence, spreading coverage to include Jmark or G B Harrison could yield a higher return. In Race 5, the split decision suggests Twisted Steel is a dangerous contender that may offer better odds than the lukewarm favorite American Secrets.
A cold Exacta box of Ineedamarker and Hotshot Luk in Race 9 is a statistically sound play, as these two dominate the top selections despite the lack of a clear favorite. In Race 4, Native Charmer has remarkably high confidence (57%) for a Show/Alternative spot, making him an excellent “key” for the bottom of Trifecta and Superfecta tickets to add stability to your wagers.
