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Pick Pony Tip Sheet – Expert picks for Parx Racing, December 1, 2025. 50% WIN RATE + 1 TRIFECTA + 2 BOXED EXACTAS

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Race 1 – Claiming 7500 – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Dirt – Purse 21000 BOXED EXACTA

Win: Get Like Mike (7) – 75% confidence🥈
Place: Gametime Gladiator (9) – 63% confidence
Show: B D Saints (4) – 63% confidence
Alternative: He's Got Swagger (3) – 50% confidence🥇

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts see a deep, class-tested group of older route runners, but Get Like Mike attracts the widest support as an improving horse stepping forward off a dominant win and multiple strong endorsements. Speedy Gametime Gladiator figures to be prominent again but faces more pressure and may be slightly less reliable late. B D Saints brings back-class and consistency and is a logical underneath key. He's Got Swagger has tactical speed and trips depend heavily on how aggressively the inside riders use their mounts. The race shape suggests a lively early pace, giving some chance for a mild closer like Get Like Mike to finish best. Exactas keying Get Like Mike over Gametime Gladiator and B D Saints look attractive, with Get Like Mike as a potential single in early multi-race wagers.

Race 2 – Maiden 40000 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 32000 WIN

Win: Our Notion (3) – 88% confidence🥇
Place: Filled With Desire (4) – 63% confidence🥉
Show: Chubasco Sauce (1) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Vino Gray (6) – 38% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts are strongly aligned that Our Notion is the key maiden in this field, with nearly every analyst placing this gelding on top. The horse has prior sprint experience and drops from tougher company, with several analysts noting positive equipment and placement changes. Filled With Desire projects a better fit turning back to a sprint and should be in the first flight. Chubasco Sauce and Vino Gray both own enough figure potential to hit the frame and offer better value underneath. The race contains several lightly raced or debut runners, so there is some uncertainty, but the consensus strongly favors building tickets around Our Notion on top of exactas and doubles, with vertical spreads including the other three.

Race 3 – Claiming 7500 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 21000

Win: Stillwater Moon (6) – 75% confidence
Place: Davola (3) – 63% confidence🥈
Show: Wyatt Hunter (1) – 63% confidence
Alternative: We Miss Neil (4) – 50% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts view this as a compact, competitive sprint where four horses tower over the rest. Stillwater Moon gets the consensus edge off consistent sprint efforts and strong recent second-place finishes, with multiple analysts and data-driven models placing this runner atop their rankings. Davola has been heavily used on the pace and owns the right style to control things if left alone; analysts see Davola as the main danger if the pace is not contested. Wyatt Hunter offers mid-pack tactical speed and fits underneath for many selections, while We Miss Neil has solid form but may need a perfect trip. This race shapes well for exacta and trifecta boxes using Stillwater Moon and Davola on top with Wyatt Hunter and We Miss Neil underneath, and for multi-race tickets Stillwater Moon is a primary A while Davola serves as an important backup.

Race 4 – Claiming 5000 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 18000

Win: Power Agenda (4) – 75% confidence
Place: Backtrack (1) – 75% confidence🥈
Show: Big Brown Shoes (3) – 63% confidence🥇
Alternative: Shanghai Superfly (2) – 50% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts expect a fast, contested sprint with multiple seasoned claimers. Power Agenda earns the consensus top spot with repeated strong efforts across surfaces and a clear pace-forward style that could prove decisive from an outside draw. Backtrack plunges in class and attracts multiple strong opinions despite some recent form concerns, making this runner a key threat if the drop wakes him up. Big Brown Shoes is consistently in the mix and figures to track just behind the leaders, while Shanghai Superfly is older but still retains enough late punch to pick up pieces if the top trio overdo it. Vertical wagers can lean on Power Agenda and Backtrack as key win candidates, with Big Brown Shoes and Shanghai Superfly as reliable exacta and trifecta components.

Race 5 – Claiming 7500 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 21000 WIN

Win: My Kid Syd (5) – 100% confidence🥇
Place: Prince Lucas (4) – 63% confidence🥉
Show: Crack The Code (1) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Private Cabana (2) – 38% confidence

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts are unanimously behind My Kid Syd as the standout of this claiming sprint, making this one of the strongest single candidates on the card. Nearly every analyst places My Kid Syd on top, citing the strong rally last time despite a poor start and wide trip, along with the class relief. Prince Lucas offers the most consistent pace factor and appears in many quinella and exacta structures as the primary rival. Crack the Code and Private Cabana are perceived as mid-priced stalkers who could fill in the third or fourth slots, especially if either favorite underperforms. This race profiles as a classic key favorite over several logical underneath horses in exactas, trifectas, and the middle leg of multi-race sequences.

Race 6 – Claiming 7500 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 20000 WIN + TRIFECTA

Win: Borracho (4) – 88% confidence🥇
Place: Tatum (8) – 63% confidence🥈
Show: Curlins Cruzin (2) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Jebologist (3) – 25% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts see Borracho as the class standout, dropping sharply with an enormous career win total and strong speed figures, and this horse receives top billing from nearly all sources. Tatum, another fast gelding with multiple barn changes, is viewed as the main pace rival and second-most-likely winner, especially if Borracho shows any regression off the drop. Curlins Cruzin has been competitive stalking similar paces and holds strong placement as a reliable underneath play. Jebologist picks up some interest as a late-running type who could clunk up into the lower rungs of exotics at a price. The projected shape is a high-tempo duel between Borracho and Tatum; analysts favor keying Borracho on top of Tatum and Curlins Cruzin in verticals, and using Borracho as a key single or heavy A in late multi-race bets.

Race 7 – Claiming 10000 – 7 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 26000 BOXED EXACTA

Win: Ambitiously Placed (4) – 88% confidence🥈
Place: Popover Gal (1) – 75% confidence🥇
Show: Goldieness (3) – 63% confidence
Alternative: Karen's Honor (7) – 13% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts identify Ambitiously Placed as a high-confidence rebound candidate, a prolific winner dropping to a friendlier level after a rare losing streak. The mare appears on top for nearly every analyst and is seen as a cornerstone of the late sequence. Popover Gal draws inside again with speed and game determination and is widely used underneath as the most likely runner to keep Ambitiously Placed honest. Goldieness adds pace pressure and fits as a key trifecta piece, especially if a duel develops. Karen's Honor lacks winning efficiency but owns a sporadic late kick that could be flattered by a strong early pace. The race projection favors Ambitiously Placed as a strong single, with exactas and trifectas emphasizing Popover Gal and Goldieness, and a small coverage inclusion for Karen's Honor in deeper vertical spreads.

Race 8 – Maiden – 5.5 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 50000 WIN

Win: Connor's Crew (5) – 75% confidence🥇
Place: Capitaine (2) – 50% confidence
Show: Gold In My Hands (6) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Frankie Coffeecake (7) – 50% confidence🥈

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts consider this juvenile maiden dash one of the deeper betting races on the card, but the consensus leans clearly to Connor's Crew as the most reliable foundation runner, thanks to prior experience and strong figures against similar fields. Capitaine is a well-bred first-time starter from a barn that excels with debut types and therefore draws heavy respect despite no race-day experience. Gold In My Hands and Frankie Coffeecake are both lightly raced or debuting and offer upside profiles that several analysts treat as win threats and key underneath contenders. The race incorporates multiple unknowns, so Pick Pony analysts recommend building wider multi-race coverage here, anchoring around Connor's Crew but including Capitaine, Gold In My Hands, and Frankie Coffeecake on more aggressive exotic tickets.

Race 9 – Claiming 50000 – 6 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 52000 WIN

Win: Centre Court Champ (3) – 88% confidence🥇
Place: Carousel Queen (1) – 50% confidence
Show: Maximus Angelicus (2) – 38% confidence
Alternative: Aoife's Magic (5) – 25% confidence🥈

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts show very strong agreement that Centre Court Champ is the filly to beat, with nearly every analyst placing her on top or in the key win slot based on prior graded-level performances and powerful sprint figures. Carousel Queen is widely regarded as the main danger after a career-best effort, especially if she can sit just behind the speed and finish with the same vigor. Maximus Angelicus owns versatile prior form and appears frequently as a secondary threat and valuable trifecta piece, while Aoife's Magic offers tactical speed and is live in exotics, particularly if the pace scenario plays to a forward runner. This is a rich spot with several high-class mares, and analysts lean toward exactas and trifectas that key Centre Court Champ over Carousel Queen and Maximus Angelicus, while still respecting Aoife's Magic as a price-boosting alternative.​

Race 10 – Claiming 5000 – 6.5 Furlongs – Dirt – Purse 18000

Win: Bedtime Story (6) – 75% confidence🥈
Place: Bucks Some (10) – 63% confidence
Show: Union Belle (4) – 50% confidence🥇
Alternative: Queen Wiggy (11) – 25% confidence🥉

Notes:
Pick Pony analysts close the card with another strong favorite in Bedtime Story, a mare with an excellent win percentage and sharp recent form who appears atop many sheets and in most algorithmic rankings. Bucks Some is considered the main value rival, consistently running late and drawing key support as both a win alternative and high-confidence exacta partner. Union Belle has progressed with class relief and is repeatedly cited as a solid underneath type who can benefit from a contested pace. Queen Wiggy has enough speed and prior success at this level to be dangerous if she shakes loose, and some analysts treat her as a live longshot to upset or fill out deeper exotics. The race stacks up well for using Bedtime Story as another primary single, while building vertical tickets that lean heavily on Bucks Some and Union Belle, with Queen Wiggy providing upside in the fourth slot.​

Exotic Bets and Value Plays (Pick Pony Analysts)

Pick Pony analysts recommend structuring exotic wagers around the strongest consensus horses while looking for value underneath and in multi-race sequences:

My Kid Syd and Ambitiously Placed stand out as the two most universal win keys on the card, with every major analyst placing My Kid Syd on top in Race 5 and near-unanimous support for Ambitiously Placed in Race 7. Both are prime single candidates in horizontal wagers such as late daily doubles, pick threes, and anchor legs of the big five sequence.

Borracho, Centre Court Champ, and Bedtime Story are rated just below those two in confidence but still attract very strong consensus as win types. Pick Pony analysts suggest treating Borracho in Race 6, Centre Court Champ in Race 9, and Bedtime Story in Race 10 as heavy A-level horses in multi-race tickets, with small backup coverage using their main rivals Tatum, Carousel Queen, and Bucks Some.

For value-focused vertical plays, several mid-priced runners appear repeatedly as strong underneath keys. In Race 1, B D Saints offers a solid blend of class and consistency that fits well in exacta and trifecta slots under Get Like Mike and Gametime Gladiator. In Race 2, Chubasco Sauce provides a useful price alternative to the heavy favorite Our Notion, and represents a logical partner in exactas and a stronger inclusion in trifectas.

In the middle of the card, Prince Lucas and Crack the Code in Race 5 profile as key supporting characters behind My Kid Syd and deserve inclusion as primary exacta and trifecta fillers. In Race 6, Curlins Cruzin rates as a fair-priced horse who can sit just off the top pair and round out vertical tickets at decent odds. Race 7 offers Popover Gal and Goldieness as pace-involved runners with enough backing to form the core of exacta and trifecta structures beneath Ambitiously Placed.

Among the late races, Connor's Crew in Race 8 and Carousel Queen in Race 9 both hold strong consensus support and are attractive components in rolling exotics, especially when coupled with price horses like Gold In My Hands and Maximus Angelicus for deeper coverage. In the finale, Bucks Some and Union Belle figure prominently in value-oriented exactas and trifectas built around Bedtime Story, with Queen Wiggy offering a speculative but appealing option to spice up superfectas.

Overall, Pick Pony analysts favor a strategy of building tickets around the strongest consensus keys (My Kid Syd, Ambitiously Placed, Borracho, Centre Court Champ, Bedtime Story), while leveraging well-supported mid-priced runners such as B D Saints, Chubasco Sauce, Prince Lucas, Curlins Cruzin, Popover Gal, Connor's Crew, Carousel Queen, and Bucks Some to extract value in both vertical and horizontal exotic wagers.

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