Pick Pony Track Condition Report — Churchill Downs, November 13, 2026

Weather Forecast

Cloudy conditions are expected, with temperatures near 25–26°F during the afternoon, a 4–6% precipitation chance, and a south-southwest wind around 15–16 mph.

Track Surface & Bias

The dirt and turf outlook favors a generally dry, compact surface. Churchill's dirt has recently rewarded early speed, particularly rail and inside posts in shorter races, while routes can be more balanced and may benefit outside-placed pressers; turf has shown a modest edge to tactical stalkers drawn middle to outside.

Handicapper’s Edge

Give additional weight to runners able to secure forward position without overexerting early, especially inside speed on sprint distances. On turf, prioritize adaptable stalkers with middle or outside draws, and require stronger value from deep closers unless the pace projects unusually demanding.