Remington Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the September 24, 2026 card

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Do our stated chances come true?

Every horse our AI Win Probability model rated, grouped by the chance we gave it, against how often that group actually won.

What we saidWhat happened
0%16%31%47%62%3%7%13%18%26%38%What we said — 3.4%What we said — 7.4%What we said — 12.5%What we said — 18.0%What we said — 25.6%What we said — 38.3%What we saidWhat happened — 2.6%What happened — 7.1%What happened — 13.5%What happened — 21.7%What happened — 31.5%What happened — 50.3%What happened

Where the two lines meet, the published percentage was exactly right.

Show the numbers
WeekWhat we saidWhat happened
3%3.4%2.6%
7%7.4%7.1%
13%12.5%13.5%
18%18.0%21.7%
26%25.6%31.5%
38%38.3%50.3%

Race Day Overview — Remington Park, September 24, 2026

Remington Park opens the Wednesday edition of its fall meet with a ten-race card headlined by a trio of maiden special weight sprints and a $40,000 allowance turf route. The card is front-loaded with maiden claimers and claimers at the lower end of the conditions spectrum before elevating in class through the back half of the evening. Steven Asmussen, who operates a dominant satellite division out of Remington Park each fall, has runners in eight of the ten races, including a pair of two-year-old MSW sprints in Races 4 and 8. His son Erik Asmussen picks up the call aboard his father's horses and arrives as one of the most active jockeys on the card. Justin Evans also saddles multiple runners and represents one of the more dangerous local training outfits when dropping horses into claiming company. Robertino Diodoro, a perennial leader at Remington Park, has two entries and pairs with Geovanni Franko-Angeles in Race 2. The Oklahoma Derby at Remington Park has come and gone for the season, and the fall card is now focused on supporting stakes and overnight racing as the Breeders' Cup approaches in November. Silent Tactic recently topped the Oklahoma Derby morning-line analysis at USRacing, underscoring that the regional stakes scene remains active. Lake Forest's connections have confirmed a Breeders' Cup Mile target, and several horses on tonight's card carry connections with eyes on late-season opportunities.

Weather and Track Conditions — September 24, 2026

Remington Park sits in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, where late September can still bring residual heat and scattered storms from Gulf moisture. Forecast models for the Oklahoma City metro on September 24 indicate partly cloudy skies with temperatures at post time in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit. Humidity will be noticeable but not extreme for this time of year. No significant rainfall is anticipated ahead of or during the card, which suggests the main track should be listed as fast and the turf course should be firm to good. Remington's turf course, a one-mile oval inset, has held up well through the fall meeting and the surface is expected to ride consistently throughout the evening. Trainers shipping in turf horses should encounter a true, even surface without significant moisture influence. The main track has been harrowed and sealed following morning training and should produce consistent, fast fractions. Wind out of the south at ten to fifteen miles per hour could assist horses running down the backstretch in the route races.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Remington Park's main track is a one-mile oval with a relatively short stretch run of approximately 660 feet. The configuration historically rewards horses that can secure a forward position or at least a ground-saving trip along the rail in routes. In sprints, particularly the six-furlong (1320f) distance, early speed from the inside posts is advantageous given the tight first turn. The 1210-furlong (roughly six-furlong) sprints on this card will see horses load in the chute, and inside posts can occasionally face traffic pressure early, though speed horses in Posts 1 through 4 still enjoy a slight geometric advantage at the quarter-pole.

In turf racing at Remington Park, the inside posts are at a premium. The turf course draws heavily rail-centric through the first turn, and horses breaking from Posts 1 through 4 in the turf routes have a measurable statistical edge. Posts 9 through 12 in full turf fields can place horses at a disadvantage unless they possess the tactical flexibility to work toward the rail early or rate off the pace. Tonight's Race 1 (1650f turf) features twelve starters, and the wide posts should be noted as a slight negative. Race 5 (1870f turf) and Race 9 (1650f turf) also carry full turf fields where inside real estate will be contested.

On the main track, the rail has been moved in recent weeks at many Oklahoma tracks to preserve the inside path. If the rail is set out at Remington for this meeting, horses closer to the middle of the track will benefit in route races. For sprint races, particularly the 1210-furlong distances, horses breaking from the one-hole can be at risk of being pinched if speed horses attack from Posts 2 and 3. Overall, moderate speed horses with tactical flexibility in Positions 3 through 6 represent the best post position equity on this card.

RACE 1 — Post 7:30 — 1650f | Turf | Maiden | Md 20000 | Fillies and Mares | Purse $21,000

This opening race is a turf maiden claimer for fillies and mares going about one mile and one sixteenth on the grass. Twelve starters are loaded for this field, and the wide draw will spread the pace out considerably through the first turn. At the $20,000 maiden claiming price, the class level is at the bottom of the turf maiden spectrum at Remington, and horses breaking their maiden here are often late-developing or inconsistent types. The connections who claim horses out of this race often upgrade to starter allowances or similar conditions.

Pace Analysis

With twelve starters in a turf route, the early pace will be contested by several horses willing to press forward. Swiftliketaylor (6) from the Cravens barn figures to show speed based on her connections' tendencies. Authentic Kitten (2) trained by Asmussen and ridden by Erik Asmussen will likely be positioned within striking distance early but may not lead outright. River Bomber (3) under S. Elliott is another who figures to press forward. The tempo should be moderate to honest, and closers will have an opportunity to rally if the front-runners overextend. The turf at Remington favors horses that can rate and finish, making this a pace scenario where a mid-pack stalker could prove best.

Key Contenders

Authentic Kitten (2) carries the second-lowest morning line at 3-1 and benefits from the powerful Asmussen barn paired with Erik Asmussen in the irons. Asmussen's fillies at Remington Park turf routes carry strong win percentages when spotted in maiden claiming conditions, and Erik Asmussen has shown improvement as a jockey at this circuit. Being drawn on the inside is a major advantage in a twelve-horse turf field, and Authentic Kitten (2) should be able to secure a ground-saving position through the first turn without burning extra energy.

Swiftliketaylor (6) opens at 4-1 on the morning line and represents the Ronnie Cravens III barn, which is a solid presence at Remington Park. D.L. Parker takes the mount. The name suggests a horse bred or conditioned for early pace, and in a turf maiden route, a horse that can dictate tempo from Post 6 with a clear run to the first turn has genuine upside. Cravens is a crafty local conditioner who spots horses well, and Swiftliketaylor (6) figures to be well-meant in this spot.

Secondary Choices

River Bomber (3) at 5-1 is trained by Mindy Willis and ridden by S. Elliott, who is one of the more productive jockeys on the Remington Park circuit. Post 3 is workable on the turf. Willis tends to run her horses aggressively in maiden company, and River Bomber (3) from a middle draw could be sitting in a perfect stalking position if the pace collapses. I Rest My Case (1) at 6-1 draws the rail, which is a significant asset in a twelve-horse turf field. Trainer Lyle Johnston has a solid record at the local level, and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is a capable jockey who knows how to exploit a rail advantage in a pacey turf field.

Longshots

Miss Popularity (12) at 10-1 exits the outside post, which is a genuine negative in a twelve-horse turf field. Trainer Boyd Caster will need a perfect trip from the twelve-hole for this filly to overcome the post position disadvantage, but the price could be attractive if she finds her way to the rail early. Cowgirl Cool (7) at 12-1 trained by Jayde Gelner and ridden by Lane Luzzi is not without appeal at the price, but Luzzi and Gelner need things to set up perfectly for their horses in cheap claiming company. Highlight Show (11) at 12-1 from trainer Logan Ashford and jockey Ronnie Huckaby is another wide post horse who faces a difficult assignment. Mucho Pink (4) at 12-1 trained by Terry Eoff and ridden by Isaiah Wiseman represents a barn that competes regularly at Remington, but the morning line suggests limited expectations. Overthrow (8) at 15-1 from Scott Corderman's barn and David Cabrera in the irons is likely too far back in a field this large. Jelly Road (9) at 15-1 trained by M. Brent Davidson and ridden by Luis Huaman is a name to file away if Davidson has a recent form spike that would justify a longer look. Arias (5) at 20-1 from Jim Roberts's barn and Luis Quinonez in the saddle is a deep longshot. Daily Gin (10) at 30-1 from Shon Dunlap and Rene Diaz is at the bottom of the morning line and faces a difficult task.

Betting Strategy

The Race 1 approach is to make Authentic Kitten (2) the cornerstone of exacta and trifecta wagers given the post position edge and trainer-jockey combo. Use Swiftliketaylor (6) and River Bomber (3) underneath and on top in exacta boxes. For trifectas, include I Rest My Case (1) as a potential third-leg horse given the rail draw. Avoid wide posts in exotics unless taking a contrarian approach with Miss Popularity (12) as a value trifecta add at the bottom.

Selections

Win: Authentic Kitten (2) Place: Swiftliketaylor (6) Show: River Bomber (3)

RACE 2 — Post 7:58 — 1320f | Dirt | Maiden | Md 7500 | Geldings | Purse $11,000

This six-furlong maiden claimer for geldings at the $7,500 price point is one of the lowest claiming conditions on the card. Nine horses are entered, and the small field at a low price creates a race that can be volatile from a handicapping perspective. Horses in this class have often been repeatedly tested in maiden claiming company and have found it difficult to win.

Pace Analysis

This is a sprinting field and several horses figure to show early speed. Attack Now (2) from Robertino Diodoro's barn and Crypto Cory (5) from Donnie Von Hemel's barn are morning-line co-favorites at 4-1 alongside Hartzus (7) from Ronald Moquett. Diodoro runners typically show tactical speed, and Attack Now (2) out of Post 2 should get a clean break to the first turn. Mckinsense (3) from Steve Martin's barn and Rodrigo Vazquez is another who figures to run near the front. The pace should be contested and honest at six furlongs in this class, which could set things up for a closer.

Key Contenders

Mckinsense (3) is the morning-line favorite at 3-1 and is conditioned by Steve Martin with Rodrigo Vazquez aboard. Martin is a consistent presence at Remington Park and Vazquez is one of the more reliable jockeys in the colony. At 3-1 from Post 3 in a contested sprint, Mckinsense (3) needs to break cleanly and secure a forward position to realize his potential.

Attack Now (2) at 4-1 is the Diodoro-Franko-Angeles combination, which has been producing results throughout the Remington fall meet. Diodoro is a perennial leading trainer at this track, and Attack Now (2) from Post 2 in a nine-horse sprint has a clean approach to the first turn. Diodoro horses at this level often show improved efforts with each start.

Hartzus (7) at 4-1 is trained by Ronald Moquett and ridden by David Cabrera. Moquett has a solid win percentage at Remington Park, and Cabrera has been picking up mounts across the card. From Post 7 in a nine-horse field, Hartzus (7) has enough room to find his position and could prove the best horse in the race if he finds the right trip.

Secondary Choices

Crypto Cory (5) at 4-1 trained by Donnie Von Hemel and ridden by Luis Quinonez represents a barn that has a longstanding presence at Oklahoma tracks. Von Hemel is a crafty conditioner who places his horses carefully at the maiden claiming level. Kochan (6) at 6-1 trained by Terry Eoff and ridden by Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is a horse that the Eoff barn may be pointing aggressively in this spot. Buck O Five (1) at 10-1 trained by Asmussen and ridden by Erik Asmussen carries the powerful connections but opens at a long price, suggesting the stable is not overly confident.

Longshots

Cowboy Song (4) at 12-1 trained by Jesse Oberlander and ridden by Ronnie Huckaby is a deep longshot in cheap maiden claiming company. Shannon Road (9) at 15-1 trained by Jerry Donaldson and ridden by Isaiah Wiseman closes out the outside post and faces a difficult task. Habayeb's Legacy (8) at 20-1 from Jesus Munoz Escobedo's barn and Emanuel Castillo Zabala is at the bottom of the morning line and is included for completeness in exotic structures.

Betting Strategy

This is a field where multiple horses are clustered at 4-1, making exacta wheels an attractive play. Use Mckinsense (3) and Attack Now (2) as a tandem in exacta combinations with Hartzus (7) and Crypto Cory (5) as the underneath horses. The race is too chaotic at the bottom of the claiming ladder to invest heavily in trifectas, but a small trifecta box of the top four is worth consideration.

Selections

Win: Mckinsense (3) Place: Attack Now (2) Show: Hartzus (7)

RACE 3 — Post 8:26 — 1830f | Dirt | Claiming | Clm 5000b | Purse $12,500

A one-mile-and-one-sixteenth dirt claimer for a $5,000 claiming price. Seven starters are entered, and this is the classic short-field claiming route where connections are either trying to win or strategically placing horses. The “b” suffix indicates a bottom-of-the-ladder condition where every horse is acquirable for $5,000.

Pace Analysis

With seven starters at a route distance, the pace will be shaped by whoever breaks alertly. Tis Charming (1) from the Asmussen barn and Vivir Con Alegria (2) from Oscar Flores's barn are co-favorites at 2-1. Both figure to be forwardly positioned, and the pressure they put on each other in the early going could produce a pace meltdown that benefits a closer. Boca Guy (5) at 5-1 trained by Lyle Johnston and ridden by Ronnie Huckaby is another who can press the tempo. The fractions should be moderate in a $5,000 claimer going a route, but competitive early speed could set up the stretch.

Key Contenders

Tis Charming (1) at 2-1 from the Asmussen barn with Erik Asmussen up is the most powerful combination in this field. The rail post in a route is workable, and Asmussen horses at short claiming prices at Remington are typically well-prepared. Tis Charming (1) figures to be well-meant and should demonstrate a forward style that applies pressure to the field from the opening quarter.

Vivir Con Alegria (2) at 2-1 trained by Oscar Flores and ridden by Rodrigo Vazquez is the main competition for favoritism. Flores is a capable local conditioner, and Vazquez has the experience to handle a co-favorite role in a small field. The horse's name and connections suggest a horse that may be more comfortable rating mid-pack in a route, which could be ideal if Tis Charming (1) is sent hard early.

Secondary Choices

Boca Guy (5) at 5-1 trained by Lyle Johnston and ridden by Ronnie Huckaby from Post 5 is a credible threat. Johnston's barn has shown consistent results at Remington Park, and Boca Guy (5) may be able to capitalize on any pace breakdown between the two favorites. Tucker Flats (4) at 6-1 trained by Michael Gunter and ridden by Leandro Goncalves is a horse to consider in trifectas if the race sets up favorably.

Longshots

Charming Tiger (6) at 10-1 from Jory Ferrell's barn and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez in the irons is a horse that could outrun the morning line at a longer price if the pace collapses. Code Eleven (7) at 8-1 trained by Steve Davis and ridden by Emanuel Castillo Zabala from the outside post faces the widest trip in a seven-horse field and must overcome that disadvantage. Vienna Prize (3) at 15-1 from the Williams barn and Lindsey Hebert is the longest shot in the field and is unlikely to factor at this level.

Betting Strategy

The two 2-1 co-favorites create an awkward wagering situation. Rather than trying to separate Tis Charming (1) and Vivir Con Alegria (2), consider boxing both in exactas and using Boca Guy (5) as a third option underneath in trifectas. The small field limits exotic value, but a Tis Charming (1) over Boca Guy (5) exacta could produce a modest overlay if Asmussen's horse wins at 2-1.

Selections

Win: Tis Charming (1) Place: Vivir Con Alegria (2) Show: Boca Guy (5)

RACE 4 — Post 8:54 — 1210f | Dirt | Two-Year-Olds | Md Sp Wt | Purse $38,000

The first maiden special weight sprint for two-year-olds on the card features eleven starters going approximately six furlongs on the main track. At $38,000 in purse money, this is one of the richer races on the card and figures to produce competitive juveniles. Asmussen sends out two runners here, which is typical of his operation's depth at Remington Park fall meetings.

Pace Analysis

J J Warrior (6) at 2-1 is clearly the Asmussen first string in this race, with Erik Asmussen up. Famous Slewfoot (5) at 5-1 is the second Asmussen entry ridden by S. Elliott. Having two horses from the same barn can create tactical complications, though Asmussen frequently separates his runners stylistically. Powerchord (10) at 4-1 trained by Justin Evans and ridden by Jose Alvarez is another expected leader from the outside draw. The pace should be honest as multiple horses from different barns will want to show speed in a two-year-old sprint. Silent Joker (8) at 6-1 trained by C.R. Trout and ridden by Rodrigo Vazquez could emerge as a pace factor.

Key Contenders

J J Warrior (6) is the morning-line favorite at 2-1 and represents Asmussen's top choice in this field. Erik Asmussen on the top pick from a barn that dominates Remington Park two-year-old racing is a powerful angle. Post 6 in an eleven-horse sprint is workable, and J J Warrior (6) should be able to secure a forward position without burning up ground. Asmussen's juvenile first-timers and lightly raced horses carry a strong win percentage at this track.

Powerchord (10) at 4-1 from Evans's barn and Jose Alvarez represents the main local challenge to the Asmussen duo. Evans is a skilled conditioner of juveniles at regional tracks, and Alvarez has enough experience to guide a first- or second-time starter through a competitive field. Post 10 in an eleven-horse field is a minor concern for trip purposes, but Evans horses at this class level have repeatedly outperformed their prices.

Secondary Choices

Famous Slewfoot (5) at 5-1 is the second Asmussen runner and ridden by S. Elliott, who is a capable senior jockey on the circuit. Elliott often rides the Asmussen second string and knows how to position these horses. Famous Slewfoot (5) from Post 5 is well-drawn and could benefit if J J Warrior (6) draws multiple challengers into a pace battle. Silent Joker (8) at 6-1 from the Trout barn and Rodrigo Vazquez is a horse that could outrun his morning line if Trout has a well-prepared first- or second-time starter.

Longshots

Shai A (9) at 10-1 from Jonathan Thomas's barn and David Cabrera in the irons is a horse with potential if Thomas has been patient with this juvenile. Last Call Cowboy (3) at 12-1 from Justin Evans's second barn entry and Rene Diaz is notable as Evans runs two horses in this race. Texatonian (2) at 15-1 from Ronnie Cravens III's barn and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is a live underdog if Cravens has spotted this juvenile correctly. Uncle Willie (4) at 15-1 from Allen Milligan's barn and Richard Eramia has long odds that reflect modest expectations. Shake Til Dawn (7) at 15-1 trained by Jesse Oberlander and ridden by Ronnie Huckaby is another deep price. Moonlit Wings (1) at 30-1 from Jaime Castellanos's barn and Geovanni Franko-Angeles is the longest shot in the field and will need a significant performance to factor. Flebotomist (11) at 12-1 from Jayde Gelner's barn and Lane Luzzi rounds out the field from the outside post and faces the widest trip in the field.

Betting Strategy

J J Warrior (6) is the play, but keying a single 2-1 favorite in two-year-old sprint exotics is risky given the inherent unpredictability of juvenile racing. Use J J Warrior (6) on top in exactas with Powerchord (10) and Famous Slewfoot (5) underneath. In trifectas, spread underneath with Silent Joker (8) and Shai A (9) as secondary options.

Selections

Win: J J Warrior (6) Place: Powerchord (10) Show: Famous Slewfoot (5)

RACE 5 — Post 9:22 — 1870f | Turf | Claiming | Clm 20000n2l | Fillies and Mares | Purse $22,000

A turf route for fillies and mares going one mile and three-sixteenths at a $20,000 non-winners of two lifetime claiming level. Twelve starters are entered, making this a full turf field and amplifying post position concerns. The n2l condition means these mares have limited experience winning races.

Pace Analysis

Pronunciation (1) from Kari Craddock's barn and Leandro Goncalves draws the rail and should benefit enormously from the inside post in a twelve-horse turf field. Added Touch (4) at 3-1 from the Asmussen barn and Erik Asmussen is the morning-line second choice and will need to be positioned toward the front or in a comfortable stalking spot. Cayman Hot (9) at 6-1 from Justin Evans's barn and David Cabrera is another projected pace factor. The tempo should be moderate in a longer turf route at the n2l level, but with twelve horses, early position will be fiercely contested.

Key Contenders

Added Touch (4) at 3-1 is the Asmussen barn's primary entry here, paired with Erik Asmussen. Post 4 on the turf is excellent, and the Asmussen operation's turf fillies at Remington Park regularly perform at or above expectations. The n2l condition is ideal for a horse that Asmussen has been developing carefully, and Added Touch (4) figures to be well-prepared for this distance and surface.

Pronunciation (1) at 4-1 trained by Kari Craddock and ridden by Leandro Goncalves draws the prime post in a twelve-horse turf field. Goncalves is a skilled jockey who understands how to use a rail advantage, and Craddock's barn has a solid record with turf fillies. The rail draw alone makes Pronunciation (1) a legitimate contender regardless of other factors.

Secondary Choices

Cayman Hot (9) at 6-1 from Evans's barn and Cabrera is another well-qualified contender. Evans horses in turf routes are worth respecting, and Cabrera has a strong familiarity with the Remington Park turf course. Lookatthatgirlrun (10) at 8-1 trained by Ronnie Cravens III and ridden by Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez from Post 10 faces a difficult post but is from a barn with a history of producing live turf runners. Cincalita (12) at 8-1 from Danny Pish's barn and Weston Hamilton draws the extreme outside in a twelve-horse turf field, which is a significant negative, though Pish is a sharp conditioner who can overcome trip issues with the right horse.

Longshots

Dialing For Dough (11) at 12-1 from Jayde Gelner's barn and Lane Luzzi faces wide post concerns. Gold Makin Girl (2) at 12-1 from Terry Eoff's barn and I.V. Diego is better drawn than most of the price horses but faces Asmussen from two posts over. Honor Society (3) at 10-1 trained by M. Brent Davidson and ridden by D.L. Parker from Post 3 is a mid-price horse that could find a ground-saving trip if she breaks cleanly. Go Thunder Go (5) at 15-1 from Scott Young's barn and Fernando Jara is a deep price. Shari's Magic (6) at 15-1, also from the Young barn and ridden by Floyd Wethey Jr., is the stable's second entry and at the same price. Love That Witch (7) at 20-1 from Wade Rarick's barn and Jose Alvarez is a distant longshot. Eighties (8) at 20-1 trained by Robertino Diodoro and ridden by Rodrigo Vazquez is a surprise at 20-1 given Diodoro's strong record at this track. This price deserves a second look if Diodoro has been training this filly toward this spot.

Betting Strategy

The combination of Added Touch (4) and Pronunciation (1) offers the strongest foundation for exacta wagering. Box those two and use Cayman Hot (9) as a trifecta underneath option. Eighties (8) at 20-1 is worth a small single-ticket play to win given the Diodoro connection at an inflated price.

Selections

Win: Added Touch (4) Place: Pronunciation (1) Show: Cayman Hot (9)

RACE 6 — Post 9:50 — 1320f | Dirt | Claiming | Clm 7500n2l | Purse $11,500

A six-furlong dirt sprint at the $7,500 non-winners of two lifetime claiming level. Eleven starters give this race a full field and create a legitimate pace scenario. The n2l condition means most of these horses have only one win to their credit or none.

Pace Analysis

Gorrono Ranch (2) at 3-1 from the Asmussen barn and Erik Asmussen is the morning-line favorite and projects as one of the early pace setters given Asmussen's preference for forwardly positioned horses in sprints. Tate Batz (11) at 4-1 from Evans's barn and Cabrera and Topic Thunder (9) at 5-1 from Rarick's barn and Richard Eramia are the other major contenders that figure to be involved early. The pace in a six-furlong sprint at this level should be honest, which could set up a late kick for closers.

Key Contenders

Gorrono Ranch (2) at 3-1 from Asmussen's barn with Erik Asmussen aboard is the logical top choice. Post 2 is excellent in a six-furlong sprint, and Asmussen's forwardly positioned runners at this class level are consistently dangerous. The n2l condition is appropriate for a horse in development, and the Asmussen barn rarely sends a horse out as the morning-line favorite without a legitimate shot at winning.

Tate Batz (11) at 4-1 from Evans's barn and Cabrera is the main challenger. Evans and Cabrera have teamed effectively throughout the Remington fall meet, and Tate Batz (11) from Post 11 in an eleven-horse field will need to overcome a wide draw. If Evans has a horse that can work toward the inside early, the wide post becomes less of a factor.

Topic Thunder (9) at 5-1 from Rarick's barn and Richard Eramia is another legitimate contender. Rarick is a capable local trainer, and Eramia has experience in sprint conditions at this class level. Post 9 is a modest concern but workable.

Secondary Choices

Vaedra (6) at 6-1 from Michael Biehler's barn and Weston Hamilton is a horse that could outrun the morning line in a wide-open sprint. Hello Goodbye (8) at 8-1 from Dick Cappellucci's barn and Floyd Wethey Jr. is another mid-price contender. Gold Mesa (4) at 8-1 from M. Brent Davidson's barn and D.L. Parker is a horse with legitimate credentials if Davidson has this horse ready for this class condition.

Longshots

Dialed Into You (7) at 15-1 trained by Scott Corderman and ridden by Ronnie Huckaby is a deep price but Corderman occasionally springs a surprise in sprint claiming races. Say As I Say (5) at 15-1 from Allen Dupuy's barn and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is another longshot at this level. Gambling Den (3) at 15-1 from Danny Pish's barn and Luis Huaman is a horse that Pish could have pointed toward this spot. Sanoviv (10) at 15-1 from Jaime Castellanos's barn and Rene Diaz closes out the field at a significant price. Chip Alternative (1) at 20-1 from Miguel Silva's barn and Javier Padron-Barcenas draws the rail but at 20-1 is not expected to be a significant factor.

Betting Strategy

Use Gorrono Ranch (2) on top in straight exactas to Tate Batz (11) and Topic Thunder (9). Reverse those exactas as a secondary play. In trifectas, include Vaedra (6) and Hello Goodbye (8) at the bottom. Tate Batz (11) to win is worth a small straight bet as an overlay at 4-1 with Evans and Cabrera teaming up.

Selections

Win: Gorrono Ranch (2) Place: Tate Batz (11) Show: Topic Thunder (9)

RACE 7 — Post 10:18 — 1210f | Dirt | Maiden | Md 20000 | Geldings | Purse $21,000

A six-furlong maiden claimer for geldings at the $20,000 price. Seven starters create a manageable field, and the two co-favorites at 2-1 are Metric Man (4) from Francisco Bravo's barn and Eskimo Charlie (7) from Steve Martin's barn. This sets up as a binary handicapping decision.

Pace Analysis

With two 2-1 horses in a seven-horse sprint, the early pace will be determined by which of these two is the front-runner. Docket (5) at 5-1 from Jaime Castellanos's barn and Rene Diaz is another projected pace factor. Twoshai S G A (3) at 6-1 from Jory Ferrell's barn and I.V. Diego could also show early speed. The fractions should be honest in a six-furlong maiden sprint, and the horse who best handles the pressure will prevail.

Key Contenders

Metric Man (4) at 2-1 trained by Francisco Bravo and ridden by Floyd Wethey Jr. is the morning-line co-favorite from the centerfield post. Bravo is a trainer with experience in maiden claiming sprints at Remington Park. Post 4 in a seven-horse sprint is ideal, giving Metric Man (4) a clean run to the first turn and flexibility to go forward or rate.

Eskimo Charlie (7) at 2-1 trained by Steve Martin and ridden by S. Elliott from Post 7 in a seven-horse field. Martin is a consistent presence at Remington Park, and Elliott is a reliable senior jockey on the circuit. The outside post in a seven-horse sprint is manageable, and Eskimo Charlie (7) will need to break sharply to avoid being shuffled wide into the first turn.

Secondary Choices

Docket (5) at 5-1 from Castellanos's barn and Rene Diaz is the third choice and could be the value play in this race. Castellanos and Diaz have worked together frequently on the card, and Docket (5) from Post 5 has a workable draw. If the two favorites create an honest pace, Docket (5) could close into the teeth of the stretch run for a productive exacta return.

Longshots

Twoshai S G A (3) at 6-1 trained by Jory Ferrell and ridden by I.V. Diego is a mid-price longshot with a workable post. No Name Necessary (1) at 8-1 from Scott Young's barn and Fernando Jara draws the rail in a seven-horse sprint, which is passable. Passed Promise (2) at 10-1 from Joe Offolter's barn and Richard Eramia is a longer price but Offolter occasionally produces ready runners at the maiden claiming level. Turbo Rocket (6) at 10-1 trained by Jerry Donaldson and ridden by Lindsey Hebert rounds out the field at a long price.

Betting Strategy

The two 2-1 shots create an exacta situation with modest potential payout. The better play is to use Docket (5) to win and underneath the two favorites in the exacta, creating a value-oriented position. A Metric Man (4) and Eskimo Charlie (7) exacta box pays limited value, so look to include Docket (5) in all exotic combinations.

Selections

Win: Metric Man (4) Place: Eskimo Charlie (7) Show: Docket (5)

RACE 8 — Post 10:46 — 1210f | Dirt | Two-Year-Olds | Md Sp Wt | Purse $38,000

The second two-year-old maiden special weight sprint of the evening, also going six furlongs on the dirt with twelve starters. Bon Voyage (9) from Evans's barn and Cabrera opens as the 2-1 morning-line favorite in a field that also features two Asmussen entries.

Pace Analysis

Bon Voyage (9) at 2-1 is the clear top selection, but twelve starters in a juvenile sprint can produce chaotic early fractions. Celestial Law (6) at 5-1 from the Calhoun barn and Jose Alvarez is another likely pace factor from a reasonable inside draw. Everglow (5) at 6-1 and Famous Arch (7), both from the Asmussen barn, will be positioned by their respective riders to exploit different parts of the pace. John Elneigh (4) at 8-1 from Austin Gustafson's barn and Rene Diaz is another potential front-runner. The pace should be quick in a twelve-horse juvenile sprint, which could set up closers.

Key Contenders

Bon Voyage (9) at 2-1 from Evans's barn and David Cabrera is the definitive top choice. Evans has built a reputation for producing ready juveniles at the maiden special weight level at Remington Park, and Cabrera is an experienced jockey who knows how to handle a 2-1 favorite in a chaotic juvenile sprint. Post 9 in a twelve-horse field is a minor concern, but Evans horses regularly overcome wider draws.

Celestial Law (6) at 5-1 from Bret Calhoun's barn and Jose Alvarez is the major challenger. Calhoun is a nationally recognized trainer who sends sharp, well-prepared horses to the regional circuit. Post 6 in a twelve-horse sprint is workable, and Alvarez has the experience to secure a clean trip. Calhoun's first-time starters and lightly raced juveniles carry a strong win percentage when spotted in MSW conditions.

Secondary Choices

Everglow (5) at 6-1 from Asmussen's barn and Erik Asmussen up represents the Asmussen first string in this race over Famous Arch (7) at 8-1 with S. Elliott. Post 5 for Everglow (5) is excellent, and the Asmussen barn regularly wins at least one MSW juvenile sprint per card at Remington in the fall. John Elneigh (4) at 8-1 from Gustafson's barn and Rene Diaz is a potential sleeper if Gustafson has this horse pointed aggressively.

Longshots

Famous Arch (7) at 8-1 is the Asmussen second string and trained well enough that Elliott's presence in the irons provides added credibility. Jersey Slew (8) at 10-1 trained by Rodney Davis and ridden by Javier Padron-Barcenas is a longer price but the Davis barn occasionally surfaces live juveniles. Pushrod (12) at 15-1 from Allen Milligan's barn and Richard Eramia draws the widest post in a twelve-horse field. Fastenurseatbelts (1) at 15-1 from Sarah Nicole Davidson's barn and Mario Fuentes draws the rail, which provides a geometric edge but at a significant price. Grandpa Bob (3) at 20-1 from M. Brent Davidson's barn and Weston Hamilton and Oh Well It's Wemby (2) at 20-1 from Jesse Sauceda's barn and Geovanni Franko-Angeles are long shots. Violent Strike (10) at 20-1 from Jerry Glen Stephens's barn and Obed Sanchez and Gospel Bill (11) at 20-1 from Steve Williams's barn and Emanuel Castillo Zabala round out the field at the bottom of the price spectrum.

Betting Strategy

Bon Voyage (9) at 2-1 is the foundation of this race's wagering approach, but single-keying a 2-1 shot in a twelve-horse juvenile sprint is volatile. Use Bon Voyage (9) on top in exactas with Celestial Law (6) and Everglow (5) underneath. In trifectas, add John Elneigh (4) and Famous Arch (7) as additional bottom legs to capture the chaos that twelve-horse juvenile sprints regularly produce.

Selections

Win: Bon Voyage (9) Place: Celestial Law (6) Show: Everglow (5)

RACE 9 — Post 11:14 — 1650f | Turf | Allowance | Alw 40000n3l | Purse $40,000

The feature race of the evening is a turf route allowance for non-winners of three lifetime going about one mile and one sixteenth on the grass. At $40,000 in purse money and an n3l condition, this is the richest and most competitive race on the card. Twelve starters make for a full turf field.

Pace Analysis

Stoney Brick Road (4) at 4-1 from Roger Neff's barn and David Cabrera and Nucleus (7) at 4-1 from Asmussen's barn and Erik Asmussen are the morning-line co-favorites. Endless Skyway (5) at 8-1 from Francisco Bravo's barn and Leandro Goncalves could be positioned as a stalker. Easy As Pie (12) at 6-1 from Michael Biehler's barn and Weston Hamilton is another contender to consider in the pace scenario. With twelve horses in a turf route, the early fractions will be moderated by the surface and distance, and this race should set up for a horse with a sustained closing move.

Key Contenders

Nucleus (7) at 4-1 from Asmussen's barn and Erik Asmussen is the feature race's most attractive selection. Asmussen turf horses in n3l allowance conditions at Remington Park are among the strongest angles in handicapping this circuit. The barn sends these horses out well-prepared, and at a $40,000 purse level, they are typically placing horses with legitimate class credentials. Post 7 in a twelve-horse turf field is a workable outside draw if Nucleus (7) can find the rail through the backstretch.

Stoney Brick Road (4) at 4-1 from Roger Neff's barn and David Cabrera is co-favored at the same price. Post 4 on the turf is excellent, providing a clear path to the inside while remaining off the rail. Neff is a seasoned conditioner who campaigns horses in allowance turf conditions regularly, and Cabrera's experience on the Remington turf course is a major asset. This horse figures to be on or near the lead throughout.

Secondary Choices

Easy As Pie (12) at 6-1 from Biehler's barn and Weston Hamilton draws the widest post in a twelve-horse turf field, which is a significant negative. However, Biehler's turf horses tend to rate and close, making the wide post less catastrophic if the horse can eventually find the rail. Kitty Code (11) at 4-1 from Joe Offolter's barn and Richard Eramia is another horse at the same price as the co-favorites. Offolter has a respectable record at Remington Park, and Eramia is a capable jockey in turf route conditions. Post 11 is a concern, but at 4-1 the price is fair.

Endless Skyway (5) at 8-1 from Bravo's barn and Goncalves is well-drawn from Post 5 and represents a barn with two entries in this race. Goncalves is one of the more accomplished jockeys in the colony and handles turf routes confidently.

Longshots

Code Nate (1) at 12-1 from Offolter's barn and Jose Alvarez draws the rail and is the stable's second entry alongside Kitty Code (11). The rail in a twelve-horse turf field is a genuine asset. Gunny Highway (10) at 12-1 trained by Tim Dixon and ridden by Cassidy Fletcher is a horse that could outrun the price in a twelve-horse field if the pace collapses and closers are rewarded. Magna Tap (2) at 15-1 from Joe Petalino's barn and Javier Padron-Barcenas is a longer price but the inside draw is attractive. Work Zone (3) at 15-1 from M. Brent Davidson's barn and S. Elliott is a horse that Davidson may have pointing toward this spot. Mortify (9) at 20-1 from Castellanos's barn and Rene Diaz is a deep longshot. Washita Valley (8) at 20-1 from Bravo's second entry and Fernando Jara gives the Bravo barn two chances. Lyman (6) at 20-1 trained by Riley Dean Seaton and ridden by Isaiah Wiseman is a significant longshot.

Betting Strategy

This is the feature race and the most important betting race on the card. Nucleus (7) and Stoney Brick Road (4) are the logical exacta foundation. Box those two and use Code Nate (1) for its rail advantage in trifectas alongside Kitty Code (11) and Easy As Pie (12) as third-leg options. Gunny Highway (10) at 12-1 is worth a small win bet as a long-priced closer in a race that could produce an honest pace.

Selections

Win: Nucleus (7) Place: Stoney Brick Road (4) Show: Easy As Pie (12)

RACE 10 — Post 11:42 — 1210f | Dirt | Fillies | Md Sp Wt | Purse $38,000

The closing race is a six-furlong maiden special weight for two-year-old fillies. Twelve starters are entered, and Maricamp Road (1) from Bob Young's barn and I.V. Diego opens as the 3-1 morning-line favorite, with Holy Halo (2) from Asmussen's barn at 4-1 as the second choice.

Pace Analysis

Maricamp Road (1) from the rail draws a favorable position in a twelve-filly sprint. Holy Halo (2) from Post 2 is also ideally positioned. Won Cyber Lady (12) at 5-1 from Padilla's barn and David Cabrera draws the widest post and will need to overcome a significant disadvantage in a twelve-horse juvenile filly sprint. Texas Splendor (5) at 6-1 from Karen Jacks's barn and S. Elliott is another projected pace factor. The pace will be rapid in a twelve-filly juvenile sprint and closers will have opportunities if the front-runners overextend.

Key Contenders

Maricamp Road (1) at 3-1 trained by Bob Young and ridden by I.V. Diego from the rail is the logical top choice. The rail draw in a twelve-horse juvenile filly sprint is a substantial advantage, and Young has a solid record with two-year-old fillies at Remington Park. Diego has ridden several horses on this card and knows the track well.

Holy Halo (2) at 4-1 from Asmussen's barn and Erik Asmussen from Post 2 is the main competition. The Asmussen barn's juvenile fillies at Remington Park carry a consistently strong win percentage in MSW conditions. Post 2 alongside the rail in a twelve-horse field is nearly as advantageous as Post 1. This will be a closely contested race between the two inside horses.

Secondary Choices

Won Cyber Lady (12) at 5-1 from Padilla's barn and David Cabrera faces the worst post in the field but is a morning-line second short chalk, suggesting Padilla may have a horse good enough to overcome the outside draw. If Won Cyber Lady (12) can find the rail early, the wide post becomes less consequential. Texas Splendor (5) at 6-1 from Jacks's barn and S. Elliott from Post 5 is a solid mid-field contender with a workable draw.

Longshots

Volden (7) at 8-1 from Danny Pish's barn and Lane Luzzi from Post 7 is an interesting mid-price horse if Pish has this filly ready. Mi Bella Reina (6) at 10-1 from Gustafson's barn and Rodrigo Vazquez is a horse that could outrun the morning line in a chaotic twelve-filly sprint. Coral Breeze (3) at 15-1 from Pish's barn and D.L. Parker gives Pish two chances in the closer. Lady Artemesia (4) at 15-1 from Padilla's barn and Richard Eramia is the stable's second entry with Padilla also running Won Cyber Lady (12). Special Kitty (9) at 20-1 from Travis Swan Murphy's barn and Lindsey Hebert, Watch This Witch (10) at 20-1 from J.R. Caldwell's barn and Rene Diaz, Burglarized (8) at 20-1 from Rarick's barn and Jose Alvarez, and Mogold Forme (11) at 20-1 from Sarah Nicole Davidson's barn and Mario Fuentes all represent longer price options. Fastenurseatbelts (1) in Race 8 drew the rail earlier in the card, while in this race Maricamp Road (1) has the equivalent advantage.

Betting Strategy

Pair Maricamp Road (1) and Holy Halo (2) in an exacta box, then add Won Cyber Lady (12) as a wild card underneath in trifectas given Padilla's morning-line confidence in the horse despite the outside draw. Use Texas Splendor (5) as a fourth trifecta option.

Selections

Win: Maricamp Road (1) Place: Holy Halo (2) Show: Won Cyber Lady (12)

Jockey Notes and Insights

Erik Asmussen is the most active rider on the card with mounts in eight of the ten races, always aboard the top Asmussen entry. He has been building his book at Remington Park alongside his father's operation and has shown improvement in terms of positioning and race management. His major assignments today include J J Warrior (6) in Race 4, Added Touch (4) in Race 5, Gorrono Ranch (2) in Race 6, Nucleus (7) in Race 9, and Holy Halo (2) in Race 10.

David Cabrera ranks among the most productive jockeys on the card with mounts in seven races. He has strong connections to the Evans barn and picks up Bon Voyage (9) in Race 8 as the 2-1 favorite, a significant assignment that reflects his growing status in the colony. Cabrera also gets Stoney Brick Road (4) in the Race 9 feature and Hartzus (7) in Race 2.

S. Elliott is a senior member of the Remington jockey colony with significant experience on both the main track and turf. His major assignments include River Bomber (3) in Race 1, Famous Slewfoot (5) in Race 4, Famous Arch (7) in Race 8, Work Zone (3) in Race 9, and Texas Splendor (5) in Race 10. Elliott's experience in two-year-old sprint racing is a significant asset for the Asmussen barn.

Leandro Goncalves is a skilled journeyman jockey with strong turf credentials and handles Pronunciation (1) in Race 5 and Endless Skyway (5) in Race 9. Goncalves is particularly adept at using an inside draw to maximum advantage on turf courses, which makes his mounts on Pronunciation (1) in Race 5 especially appealing.

Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is active throughout the card with mounts in Races 1, 3, 4, 5, and 6. He pairs with several different barns and is a capable journeyman who knows Remington Park well.

Rodrigo Vazquez handles the top pick Mckinsense (3) in Race 2 and also rides Vivir Con Alegria (2) in Race 3 and Silent Joker (8) in Race 4. Vazquez is a consistent performer at this track and is the go-to rider for Steve Martin's barn.

Rene Diaz has a full book with mounts in seven races including Docket (5) in Race 7 and John Elneigh (4) in Race 8. Diaz has been a consistent presence at Remington Park and handles a variety of barn affiliations.

Ronnie Huckaby handles multiple secondary assignments throughout the card, including Highlight Show (11) in Race 1, Cowboy Song (4) in Race 2, Boca Guy (5) in Race 3, and Shake Til Dawn (7) in Race 4.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Steven M. Asmussen is the dominant trainer on the card with entries in eight of the ten races. His fall operation at Remington Park is one of the most powerful in the country at the regional level. He uses his son Erik as the primary rider for his top picks, and the combination carries strong win percentages across all conditions. Today he saddles two horses each in Races 4 and 8 (the two juvenile MSW sprints), which is consistent with the depth of his two-year-old program. His top picks on the card are J J Warrior (6) in Race 4, Added Touch (4) in Race 5, Gorrono Ranch (2) in Race 6, Nucleus (7) in Race 9, and Holy Halo (2) in Race 10.

Justin Evans has runners in five races and represents the most significant local competition to the Asmussen operation. Evans has demonstrated a particular skill with juvenile sprinters and his Bon Voyage (9) at 2-1 in Race 8 is one of the most confident morning lines on the card. His Tate Batz (11) in Race 6 and Cayman Hot (9) in Race 5 are also worth watching as Evans barns have a strong win rate when pointing horses at appropriate conditions.

Robertino Diodoro trains Attack Now (2) in Race 2 and Eighties (8) in Race 5. Diodoro is a perennial leading trainer at Remington Park and both of his horses deserve respect. The 20-1 morning line on Eighties (8) in Race 5 is a significant price for a Diodoro turf filly, and that number should be examined carefully when the tote opens.

Ronnie Cravens III saddles Swiftliketaylor (6) in Race 1, Texatonian (2) in Race 4, and Lookatthatgirlrun (10) in Race 5. Cravens is a solid local conditioner who knows how to spot horses effectively at this level.

M. Brent Davidson has multiple entries including Jelly Road (9) in Race 1, Gold Mesa (4) in Race 6, Grandpa Bob (3) in Race 8, Work Zone (3) in Race 9, and Coral Breeze (3) in Race 10. Davidson is a productive local trainer who campaigns a large stable across multiple conditions.

Jayde Gelner saddles Cowgirl Cool (7) in Race 1, Flebotomist (11) in Race 4, and Dialing For Dough (11) in Race 5. Gelner's horses tend to be well-prepared and occasionally outrun their morning lines.

Francisco Bravo is represented in Race 7 with Metric Man (4) and has two entries in the Race 9 feature with Endless Skyway (5) and Washita Valley (8), both trained by Bravo.

Danny Pish has entries in four races, including Cincalita (12) in Race 5, Gambling Den (3) in Race 6, and two fillies in Race 10, Coral Breeze (3) and Volden (7). Pish is a crafty conditioner who regularly surfaces value plays at extended prices.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The best wagering approach for this Remington Park card centers on two primary themes: the Asmussen barn's dominance in key spots and the value available from underdogs in the chaotic juvenile sprints.

In Race 2, the clustering of three horses at 4-1 creates an exacta situation where any combination of Attack Now (2), Crypto Cory (5), and Hartzus (7) finishing second behind Mckinsense (3) would pay a productive price. An exacta wheel with Mckinsense (3) on top is recommended.

In Race 5, Eighties (8) at 20-1 from Diodoro's barn is the card's top overlay. Diodoro is a dominant trainer at Remington Park who rarely goes to the post without a live horse, and 20-1 on any Diodoro turf filly in a twelve-horse field demands attention. A small win bet on Eighties (8) alongside a primary position in the exacta with Added Touch (4) and Pronunciation (1) represents the best single-race value play on the card.

The Pick 5 sequence beginning in Race 6 offers the best exotic opportunity. Suggested structure:

Race 6: Gorrono Ranch (2) / Tate Batz (11) (2 horses) Race 7: Metric Man (4) / Docket (5) (2 horses) Race 8: Bon Voyage (9) / Celestial Law (6) / Everglow (5) (3 horses) Race 9: Nucleus (7) / Stoney Brick Road (4) / Kitty Code (11) (3 horses) Race 10: Maricamp Road (1) / Holy Halo (2) / Won Cyber Lady (12) (3 horses)

This 2x2x3x3x3 structure produces 108 combinations. At $0.50 per combination, the total investment is $54, which is appropriate for a $0.50-base Pick 5 pool. The Asmussen barn's presence in Races 6, 8, 9, and 10 provides a strong spine, while the inclusion of Kitty Code (11) and Won Cyber Lady (12) adds the necessary longshot component to produce a substantial payout if the sequence plays out with any non-favorites contributing.

The daily double in Races 9 and 10 using Nucleus (7) and Stoney Brick Road (4) in Race 9 over Maricamp Road (1) and Holy Halo (2) in Race 10 is a four-ticket combination that covers the two most likely outcomes of the feature race with an affordable investment.

The most important single-race betting opportunity on the card is Race 9, the feature allowance turf route. Nucleus (7) at 4-1 in an Asmussen-heavy allowance condition is likely to be bet down from the morning line, and using Stoney Brick Road (4) and Easy As Pie (12) underneath provides an exacta structure with genuine payout potential. If Code Nate (1) draws any support late given the rail post, including that horse in trifectas at a reduced price could produce exceptional value.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback