Posted inAnalysis Reports

Retama Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the August 20, 2026 card

No CommentsPosted inAnalysis, Reports

TL;DR


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Retama Park Race Day Overview — August 20, 2026

Retama Park returns to action on Thursday evening with a full ten-race card that leans heavily on the quarter horse and sprint formats that define the Texas circuit. Tonight's card spans distances from 250 feet all the way out to 440 feet for the closing allowance, with conditions ranging from maiden claiming affairs to a restricted allowance finale. The purse structure tops out at $15,100 in Race 9, a 440-foot allowance that shapes up as the card's marquee event. The early races cater to the lower claiming ranks, while the middle and late card delivers a run of maiden special weight sprints that should attract the sharpest quarter horse talent stabled at the San Antonio oval.

Retama Park operates as a boutique quarter horse and mixed meet, and tonight's card reflects the regional flavor of South Texas racing — tight connections between trainers and jockeys, repeat riders on barn-loyal mounts, and significant value hiding in the mid-card maiden races. The claiming ranks tonight sit at $7,500 (Race 1) and $20,000 (Race 2), while four maiden special weight events (Races 3, 6, 7, and 8) offer the highest quality horses on the program. The maiden claiming races in Races 4 and 5 round out the program at the $10,000 level.

Several trainer-jockey combinations bear watching throughout the night. The Jungers-Ramirez partnership appears in multiple races, and trainer Javier N. Hernandez sends out runners across several events, suggesting strong barn form. John Boegner targets at least two races on the card, and the Stinebaugh family — both Zackary and John A. — have separate starters in tonight's program. The Perez-Reyes and Sanchez-Martinez connections also surface multiple times.

Race 1

Post time for Race 1 is 7:45 PM Central (6:45 PM Mountain / 5:45 PM Pacific / 4:45 PM Arizona).

Weather and Track Conditions

August in San Antonio typically delivers oppressive heat and humidity, with afternoon highs in the upper 90s that slowly ease into the lower 80s by post time. For the evening of August 20, 2026, conditions at Retama Park are expected to be seasonably warm with temperatures hovering between 84 and 88 degrees Fahrenheit at first post, gradually dropping through the card. Humidity will remain elevated, likely in the 55 to 65 percent range, which is standard for the San Antonio corridor in mid-August.

The primary concern for this card is the potential for scattered evening thunderstorms, which are common in the Texas Hill Country region during late August. If precipitation arrives before or during the card, the track surface — a sandy loam composition that is standard for Texas quarter horse tracks — can shift quickly. A wet track at Retama tends to compact and play slightly faster in the early going before becoming sloppy if heavy rain persists. Trainers with horses that have previously shown a preference for a sealed or wet track would hold a tactical edge if conditions deteriorate.

As of this writing, the main track is listed as fast and the chute surface in good condition. Evening starts at Retama typically hold their surface integrity better than afternoon programs due to reduced sun exposure throughout the racing day. Expect the track to play honest and fair unless storm activity materializes between Races 4 and 7, which is the window where weather models show the highest probability of isolated showers.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Retama Park is a compact quarter horse oval where post position bias varies significantly by distance. At the ultra-short 250-foot distance, which appears in Races 1, 4, and 8, gate speed and a clean break are paramount, and inside posts have a slight statistical edge in terms of a straight line to the finish. However, because 250-foot races are essentially drag races from the gate, any horse that breaks cleanly from any post can contend.

At 300 and 330 feet (Races 2 and 5), outside posts begin carrying a slightly larger disadvantage, though speed horses from gates 4 through 7 tend to perform well at these distances. The 350-foot races (Races 3, 6, and 7) represent the most common distance at Retama, and historical data suggests a modest advantage for posts 3 through 7, where horses can run freely without fighting for position on a crowded track. Inside posts 1 and 2 at 350 feet can be susceptible to traffic trouble.

For the lone route-ish event at 440 feet in Race 9, the longer distance neutralizes post position bias considerably, though early position remains important given the tight turns at Retama. Posts in the middle of the gate, roughly 3 through 7, tend to produce the best results at this distance, as horses can settle into rhythm without being squeezed inside or forced to use excessive energy from an extreme outside post.

Overall bias assessment for tonight: the track is playing fair with no pronounced bias toward speed or pace. Clean breaks and clean trips will be the determining factor across most races on this card.

RACE 1 — Post 7:45 PM — 250f | D | C | Clm 7500n3l | BUN | Purse $10,100

Pace Analysis

At 250 feet, pace analysis is almost irrelevant in the traditional sense — this is a dead sprint from the gate with no sustained pace scenario to consider. The entire race will be decided within two to three seconds, and whoever breaks cleanly and runs the fastest individual time wins. Gate speed, reaction time, and raw acceleration are the sole determining factors. Any horse carrying speed figures from recent races that suggest a fast first jump will have the edge.

Key Contenders

Chile Ancho (POST 4) is the morning line favorite at 2-1 and deserves the top billing tonight. Trained by Enrique Alvarado, who runs a competent operation at Retama, and ridden by Eleazar Rivera Hernandez, this one draws a favorable middle gate for the 250 and should be among the quickest away. The Alvarado barn has been active this summer and Chile Ancho fits this $7,500 level with room to perform. The non-winner of three lifetime condition suggests a horse that has been placing or finishing close without breaking through, which is often a sign of consistent quality.

Kleyopatra (POST 1) breaks from the rail under Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., a rider who knows this oval as well as anyone. Trained by Joseph D. Manucy, this one is listed at 3-1 and figures to break sharply. Inside post at 250 feet is workable, and if Kleyopatra gets a clean jump, she will be right there in the thick of it. Urieta is one of the more reliable jockeys on the Retama circuit and keeps horses balanced in the gate.

Secondary Choices

Good Friday Patrona (POST 3) at 4-1 and Wild Senorita (POST 7) at 4-1 share the co-third pick on the morning line and both deserve serious consideration. Good Friday Patrona, trained by Abraham Rangel and ridden by Luis L. Vivanco, draws gate 3, which is a clean, favorable post for the 250. Rangel is a solid regional conditioner. Wild Senorita from post 7, trained by Angel Sanchez and ridden by Olvin Josue Martinez, is an outside draw but at 250 feet that matters less than raw speed.

Longshots

Glory Chick Cartel (POST 8) at 10-1, trained by Victor G. Fierro and ridden by Claudio Ponce Aguilar, is the deepest outside post in this field. At 250 feet, post 8 is the most disadvantageous, but if the horse breaks clean, the gap is minor. Vp Prize Time Heart (POST 6) at 15-1, trained by Martin Rodriguez and ridden by Alejandro Medina, faces a tough task from a mid-outside gate. Trs Lumbre (POST 2) at 12-1 for trainer Javier N. Hernandez, ridden by Eduardo Luviano, is a legitimate longshot with a fair post draw but questionable class. Runnaway Rose (POST 5) at 20-1 for trainer Francisco Perez Jr. and jockey Leonardo V. Reyes is the extreme longshot of the field and would require a perfect trip and probable field misfire to factor.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Chile Ancho (POST 4) at 2-1 is a reasonable single in horizontal exotics, but the 2-1 price compresses the value. The best play is an exacta box connecting Chile Ancho (POST 4) with Kleyopatra (POST 1) and Good Friday Patrona (POST 3). A tri-key with Chile Ancho (POST 4) on top and all combinations beneath captures the upside if the favorite hits. Given the all-or-nothing nature of the 250, chalk plays are common, and light exacta investments are the preferred structure here.

Selections

Win: Chile Ancho (POST 4) Place: Kleyopatra (POST 1) Show: Good Friday Patrona (POST 3)

RACE 2 — Post 8:15 PM — 330f | D | C | Clm 20000n2l | BUN | Purse $12,600

Pace Analysis

The 330-foot distance is slightly longer than the pure drag race format, but it still rewards horses that break alertly and run straight. At this claiming level ($20,000, non-winners of two lifetime), the quality of horses is appreciably higher than Race 1, and the larger field of nine creates more potential for gate trouble and traffic. Horses breaking from the middle of the gate have the clearest path, while outside posts beyond gate 7 carry a modest disadvantage. Whoever establishes early momentum in the first jump will likely hold on to the wire.

Key Contenders

Jet Black Viper (POST 8) is listed as the 2-1 morning line favorite, trained by Richard D. Sedillo and ridden by Ruben Jr. Delarosa. The Sedillo operation at Retama is well-regarded, and Delarosa is a capable rider on this circuit. Post 8 in a nine-horse field is outside but workable at 330 feet. The non-winners of two lifetime condition is a step up from what Jet Black Viper faced previously, but if the horse has been placing in maiden special weight or maiden claiming competition, this is a logical targeting spot.

Music Maestro (POST 7) at 3-1 is trained by Marc E. Jungers, one of the more accomplished conditioners on this card tonight. Ridden by Lucas Constantin, Music Maestro is positioned just inside Jet Black Viper and draws an advantageous post for the 330. Jungers has multiple runners on this card, suggesting a barn in good form, and the fact that Music Maestro is listed as the second choice at 3-1 reflects handicapper confidence in the connections.

Secondary Choices

Tarzannita (POST 9) at 4-1, trained by Alfred A. Aparicio and ridden by Angel A. Fierro, is the deepest outside post in this nine-horse field but has attracted a relatively short morning line price, suggesting the horse has shown enough to be taken seriously despite the outside draw. Aparicio is a trainer who runs horses to win. A Dash Of Dahlia (POST 1) at 5-1, trained by Marc E. Jungers and ridden by Raul Jr. Ramirez, gives Jungers a two-pronged attack in this race. Two horses from the same barn in the same race can work in the bettor's favor when trying to identify the trainer's sharpest contender — and in this case, the odds suggest Music Maestro (POST 7) is the barn's primary hope.

Longshots

Hardly Shining (POST 4) at 10-1, trained by Jose Dolores Camacho and ridden by Eliazar T. Vera, is a mid-field gate draw that could surprise at a price. Nikos (POST 6) at 10-1, trained by Jose Jr. Nevarez and ridden by Eleazar Rivera Hernandez, also carries double-digit odds from a reasonable gate. Fourl Corazonzita (POST 3) at 12-1, trained by Janessa Lee Muniz and ridden by Olvin Josue Martinez, is a longer shot with some appeal from the 3 gate. Flying Reya (POST 5) at 15-1 for trainer Brittany N. Tellez and jockey Froylan Tellez Ramirez is a family-connected pairing that occasionally produces surprises. Eb Kiss My Piloto 67 (POST 2) at 20-1 for Javier N. Hernandez and Eduardo Villatoro Noe is the longest of the longshots and would need significant improvement.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The Jungers barn running two horses creates a key angle here. Music Maestro (POST 7) is the preferred play from that barn based on the jockey assignment (Constantin is a reliable choice) and post draw. An exacta using Jet Black Viper (POST 8) and Music Maestro (POST 7) as a top-two combination is the primary play, with Tarzannita (POST 9) and A Dash Of Dahlia (POST 1) as backup inclusions in a wider exacta wheel. The quinella combining the top two on the morning line offers reasonable value.

Selections

Win: Jet Black Viper (POST 8) Place: Music Maestro (POST 7) Show: Tarzannita (POST 9)

RACE 3 — Post 8:42 PM — 350f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $14,100

Pace Analysis

The first maiden special weight event of the night goes 350 feet with a ten-horse field of fillies. At this distance, early speed remains crucial but there is slightly more opportunity for horses that break second or third to rally in the final yards. The pace scenario here will depend on how many horses break with urgency from the gate. With ten fillies going 350 feet, expect at least five or six to be sent aggressively, making the pace fast and potentially honest. The winner will need to both break well and sustain her run to the wire.

Key Contenders

Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) is the 2-1 morning line favorite, trained by Jose Luis III Sanchez and ridden by Noe Villatoro. The Sanchez barn is active throughout tonight's card and sends this one to the post as the top choice. The 2 gate is a slight inside draw at 350 feet, where posts 3 through 7 typically fare best, but Villatoro is experienced enough to navigate the situation. At maiden special weight level for fillies, breeding and connections matter, and the Sanchez-Villatoro pairing is a known quantity at Retama.

Mj Watters (POST 7) at 4-1, trained by Francisco Jr. Perez and ridden by Raul Padilla Jr. Hernandez, draws the 7 post, which is among the better draws in this ten-horse field. Perez has multiple runners on the card and appears in good form. The 4-1 morning line is an accurate reflection of MJ Watters' chances, and this could be the horse that catches the favorite if Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) encounters any early difficulty.

Sensational Sinner (POST 9) at 4-1, trained by Mario J. Loza and ridden by Gilberto Linares, is co-third on the morning line from the 9 gate. The outside post is a mild concern at 350 feet, but Loza sends this one out with confidence. If Sensational Sinner breaks alertly, she can overcome the post disadvantage.

Secondary Choices

Cartel Dreamz (POST 4) at 6-1, trained by Raul Ramirez and ridden by Ali Rivera, draws a favorable middle post and is a worthwhile secondary option. The 6-1 morning line price offers some value if Cartel Dreamz has been working well. Dynastys Princess (POST 10) at 12-1, trained by Marc E. Jungers and ridden by Luis L. Vivanco, is the Jungers entry from the outside post. Jungers appears sharp tonight based on his multiple entries, and Vivanco is a capable partner. The 10 gate at 350 feet is a genuine obstacle, but Jungers horses often run their best early in a card cycle.

Longshots

Zinfee (POST 6) at 10-1, trained by Isidro Hinojosa and ridden by Jr. Jr. Ramirez, is a mid-field draw that could improve at a price. Pyc Queen Of Spades (POST 3) at 15-1, trained by Juan Ignacio Garcia and ridden by Ruben Jr. Delarosa, has a fair post and a capable jockey but faces a stiff morning line challenge. Eternal Sonata (POST 1) at 15-1, trained by Marchell Roberts and ridden by Eliazar T. Vera, draws the rail, which is difficult at 350 feet and contributes to the long odds. La Enedina Arellano (POST 8) at 20-1, trained by Martin Rodriguez and ridden by Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., is a longer shot from a mid-outside gate. Boricua Tacha (POST 5) at 20-1, trained by Gilberto Gonzalez and ridden by Alejandro Medina, rounds out the field at the extreme longshot level.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The 2-1 morning line on Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) compresses the win price but creates value in the exactas if her running mates at 4-1 can be sorted correctly. The best structure is a win bet on Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) paired with exacta combinations involving Mj Watters (POST 7), Sensational Sinner (POST 9), and Cartel Dreamz (POST 4). A three-horse exacta box using posts 2, 7, and 9 is the primary exotic play. Dynastys Princess (POST 10) is the longshot inclusion worth a small exacta ticket using Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) on top.

Selections

Win: Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) Place: Mj Watters (POST 7) Show: Sensational Sinner (POST 9)

RACE 4 — Post 9:09 PM — 250f | D | M | Md 10000 | AON | Purse $9,100

Pace Analysis

A ten-horse maiden claiming field going 250 feet for $10,000 is the lowest class event on tonight's card, and accordingly, the pace analysis returns to pure gate speed. Ten horses breaking from a tight chute creates the highest probability of traffic scenarios on the card. Horses in the middle of the field — posts 4 through 7 — have the cleanest path statistically at 250 feet in large fields. The winner will almost certainly be a horse that exits the gate cleanly and runs straight.

Key Contenders

Mas Amor (POST 9) is the 2-1 morning line favorite, trained by Jose M. Farias and ridden by H. Javier Hernandez. The 9 post in a ten-horse 250-foot field is an outside concern, but Farias has targeted this spot for a reason. If Mas Amor can get a clean break and run straight, the outside post matters little at this distance. The morning line reflects strong confidence from the connections.

Rio Shacarri (POST 2) at 4-1, trained by Jose Luis III Sanchez and ridden by Noe Villatoro, gives the Sanchez barn another strong entry on the card. Post 2 at 250 feet is a favorable position, and Villatoro brings consistency to the mount. The Sanchez barn is active tonight and Rio Shacarri is one of the more logical challengers to the favorite.

First A Tarzanito (POST 3) at 4-1, trained by Miguel Angel Medina and ridden by Luis L. Vivanco, draws the 3 gate, another clean position at 250 feet. This is a co-favorite situation, and Vivanco's experience at Retama gives this one a fair chance.

Secondary Choices

Miss Abril (POST 4) at 5-1, trained by Brittany N. Tellez and ridden by Froylan Tellez Ramirez, is the family entry from a solid gate draw. The Tellez connections are active this evening and Miss Abril from gate 4 could surprise. Scuba (POST 10) at 8-1, trained by Francisco Jr. Perez and ridden by Alfredo Garza, draws the extreme outside in a ten-horse field at 250 feet. While the post is disadvantageous, Perez has runners competing throughout tonight and may have this one ready.

Longshots

Texis Cash Jess (POST 5) at 10-1, trained by Carlos A. Fierro and ridden by Angel A. Fierro, is a family pairing from gate 5. Checkout Shala (POST 8) at 12-1, trained by John Boegner and ridden by Jose M. Gonzales-Corral, is a Boegner entry in the maiden claiming ranks. Well Balanced Time (POST 7) at 20-1, trained by Manuel IV Gonzalez and ridden by Aniceto Gomez, is a longer shot from a workable post. Mr Jess Zoom (POST 6) at 30-1, trained by Juan Johnny M. Hernandez and ridden by Claudio Ponce Aguilar, faces steep odds. El Tiempo (POST 1) at 15-1, trained by Jorge E. Rubio and ridden by Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., draws the rail in a ten-horse field, which is particularly challenging at 250 feet.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The spread of 4-1 co-favorites and the 2-1 chalk suggests a field where handicappers are relatively unsure of the outcome. In a $10,000 maiden claimer going 250 feet, gate speed is everything and upsets are common. The best play here is to use Mas Amor (POST 9), Rio Shacarri (POST 2), and First A Tarzanito (POST 3) in a trifecta box, accepting that any combination of those three could finish in the top three. Light win plays on the 4-1 shots offer better value than the 2-1 favorite.

Selections

Win: Mas Amor (POST 9) Place: Rio Shacarri (POST 2) Show: First A Tarzanito (POST 3)

RACE 5 — Post 9:36 PM — 300f | D | M | Md 10000 | GON | Purse $9,100

Pace Analysis

The 300-foot maiden claimer for geldings and colts gives slightly more distance to work with than Race 1 and Race 4, but at $10,000 maiden claiming level, the pace dynamics remain straightforward. Early speed is rewarded, and the ten-horse field creates a congested gate scenario. Posts 4 through 7 offer the cleanest runs at 300 feet. Any horse that can break in the top two or three and run clean should be competitive.

Key Contenders

Iceman Watters (POST 10) at 2-1 is the morning line choice, trained by Arnold Lewis and ridden by Oliver E. Martinez. The 10 post in a ten-horse field at 300 feet is clearly the worst draw on the gate, and the 2-1 price reflects significant ability that must overcome a real post disadvantage. Lewis is confident enough to send this one out as the top pick despite the draw. If Iceman Watters can break cleanly and angle toward the center of the track, this one has the talent to still win.

Dulces Hero (POST 1) at 4-1, trained by Zackary Stinebaugh and ridden by Rosendo E. Pina Garcia, draws the opposite extreme from Iceman Watters (POST 10) — the rail in a ten-horse field. Inside at 300 feet is workable but tight. The Stinebaugh name is well-known at Retama and Zackary continues that tradition.

Cedar Post (POST 4) at 4-1, trained by Janessa Lee Muniz and ridden by Olvin Josue Martinez, draws the sweet spot in this field. Gate 4 at 300 feet is one of the better draws, and Martinez has been an active rider on tonight's card. Cedar Post at 4-1 from gate 4 could be the most dangerous horse in this race.

Secondary Choices

Cm Nova (POST 9) at 6-1, trained by Leonardo Rivera-Antopia and ridden by H. Javier Hernandez, sits just inside the favorite and from gate 9 has a potential view of the field. The 6-1 morning line is a fair reflection of CM Nova's chances against the top three. Flyn Honey Senator (POST 2) at 8-1, trained by Brittany N. Tellez and ridden by Froylan Tellez Ramirez, is another Tellez family entry. Gate 2 at 300 feet is workable, and if the pace from the outside posts struggles, Flyn Honey Senator could inherit a forward position early.

Longshots

Lil Baby D (POST 3) at 10-1, trained by Adan Guzman and ridden by Ali Rivera, draws gate 3 and has a fair starting position. Marshall Hogan (POST 8) at 10-1, trained by Jose Luis III Sanchez and ridden by Noe Villatoro, keeps Sanchez going through the night with another entry. One Separate Seis (POST 5) at 12-1, trained by Enrique Alvarado and ridden by Eleazar Rivera Hernandez, is from the Alvarado barn that also ran Chile Ancho in Race 1 — a barn worth monitoring throughout the card. Zommin Bolt (POST 6) at 15-1, trained by Isidro Hinojosa and ridden by Luis L. Vivanco, is a gate-6 draw with standard longshot credentials. Jl La Monja Two (POST 7) at 30-1, trained by Octavio Jr. Saenz and ridden by Arturo Alvarez, is the longest shot in this field and needs significant improvement.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Cedar Post (POST 4) at 4-1 from the sweet-spot gate represents the best value play in this race. The post draw alone gives this one a meaningful edge over Iceman Watters (POST 10), and the morning lines are equal at 4-1. A win bet on Cedar Post (POST 4) combined with an exacta using Iceman Watters (POST 10) and Dulces Hero (POST 1) as the top two, with Cedar Post (POST 4) in second, gives multiple ways to collect.

Selections

Win: Cedar Post (POST 4) Place: Iceman Watters (POST 10) Show: Dulces Hero (POST 1)

RACE 6 — Post 10:03 PM — 350f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOC | Purse $14,100

Pace Analysis

The second maiden special weight event of the night goes 350 feet for colts and geldings. Ten horses breaking at the maiden special weight level means these are typically the better-bred horses on the grounds, and pace at 350 feet becomes a legitimate factor. With multiple early-speed types in the field, the pace is expected to be fast through the first half of the run, with the winner emerging from the group of horses that can sustain their acceleration to the wire. Mid-field posts figure best at 350 feet.

Key Contenders

Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) is the 2-1 morning line choice, trained by J.W. Plunkett and ridden by Eliazar T. Vera. The 5 gate at 350 feet is close to ideal, and Vera is one of the more reliable riders on the Retama circuit. Plunkett is an experienced conditioner, and the low morning line reflects genuine talent. RC Said Cap Em needs to break cleanly and hold his run to win.

Perrys Wagon (POST 6) at 4-1, trained by Jose M. Farias and ridden by H. Javier Hernandez, draws the 6 gate, another prime position at 350 feet. Farias had the 2-1 favorite in Race 4 and returns here with another legitimate contender. Hernandez is a capable partner at this level.

The King Karver (POST 9) at 4-1, trained by John Boegner and ridden by Jr. Jr. Ramirez, is co-third on the morning line from the 9 gate. The outside draw at 350 feet is a minor concern, but Boegner is a reliable trainer who places his horses in spots where they can compete.

Secondary Choices

Eagle Desire (POST 10) at 5-1, trained by Joseph D. Manucy and ridden by Lucas Constantin, rounds the outside from gate 10. Manucy has a busy card tonight and Constantin keeps his workload consistent. The 5-1 price from gate 10 at 350 feet may offer a shade of value if Eagle Desire has shown sharp works. Rc Featherweight (POST 8) at 8-1, trained by Javier N. Hernandez and ridden by Olvin Josue Martinez, is an interesting secondary option from the Hernandez barn, which sends out several runners tonight.

Longshots

Ojo Caliente (POST 2) at 12-1, trained by Ryan Basham and ridden by Alejandro Landeros Zuniga, is an inside draw but Basham is a capable conditioner and occasionally springs upsets at this maiden special weight level. Justa Perfect Cowboy (POST 4) at 12-1, trained by Manuel Flores and ridden by Oliver E. Martinez, draws gate 4, which is workable at 350 feet despite the long odds. Cowboys Love Ladys (POST 1) at 15-1, trained by Oscar Nunez and ridden by Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., draws the rail at 350 feet, a difficult position. Obonato (POST 7) at 20-1, trained by John A. Stinebaugh and ridden by Aniceto Gomez, is a Stinebaugh entry that projects as the bottom of the field based on morning line. Ohtani (POST 3) at 30-1, trained by Carlos Lopez and ridden by Raul Jr. Ramirez, is the longest shot on the morning line in Race 6 and faces a steep assignment.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) from the prime gate with the most trusted morning line is the cornerstone of this race. The ideal play is a win-place bet on Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) with exacta combinations using Perrys Wagon (POST 6) and The King Karver (POST 9) in second. An exacta box of posts 5, 6, and 9 captures the most likely finishing order at a cost-effective price point.

Selections

Win: Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) Place: Perrys Wagon (POST 6) Show: The King Karver (POST 9)

RACE 7 — Post 10:30 PM — 350f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $14,100

Pace Analysis

The third consecutive maiden special weight event brings ten fillies back to the 350-foot distance. This card has featured quality fillies' maiden races throughout the evening, and Race 7 continues that pattern. At this level, the pace will be aggressive from the gate, and the winner will likely be a horse that breaks in the top two or three and never relinquishes position. Traffic in a ten-filly field at 350 feet is a genuine concern, and post draw matters more than in the colts' equivalent.

Key Contenders

Adieu (POST 6) is the 2-1 morning line choice, trained by Alfred A. Aparicio and ridden by Eliazar T. Vera. Aparicio had the second-best morning line horse in Race 2 with Tarzannita (POST 9) and returns here with what handicappers consider the top filly in this field. Gate 6 at 350 feet is a prime draw. Vera, who has ridden multiple horses on the card tonight, will be sharp and conditioned to the track's speed. Adieu is the logical single for this race.

Lorenzita (POST 8) at 4-1, trained by John A. Stinebaugh and ridden by Gilberto Linares, is one of the more interesting colts-and-fillies situations on the card. The Stinebaugh barn has a presence across multiple races tonight and Lorenzita from gate 8 at 4-1 represents genuine competitiveness at 350 feet.

Jess Send Her (POST 4) at 4-1, trained by Raul Ramirez and ridden by Oliver E. Martinez, draws gate 4, which is among the better positions in this ten-horse field. Martinez has been active tonight and the 4-1 morning line is fair for a horse from this trainer.

Secondary Choices

Ab Real Eagle 67 (POST 10) at 5-1, trained by Javier N. Hernandez and ridden by Noe Villatoro, is the Hernandez barn entry from the outside post. Hernandez is active all night, and Villatoro knows how to handle outside posts at Retama. The 5-1 from gate 10 may offer mild value. Freight Up (POST 2) at 10-1, trained by Shae L. Cox and ridden by Jr. Jr. Ramirez, is an interesting secondary pick at a price from inside the gate. Cox is an underrated trainer at Retama and Freight Up could hit the board.

Longshots

Backed By Fame (POST 1) at 12-1, trained by Bradley Bolen and ridden by Jose R. Herbert, draws the rail. Bolen is also represented in Race 8 and Race 9 tonight, showing the barn's depth. Lucky Rose Cartel (POST 5) at 12-1, trained by Richard Washington and ridden by Alejandro Medina, is a mid-field runner at long odds. Jess Go Almighty (POST 3) at 15-1, trained by Angel J. Reyes and ridden by Angel A. Fierro, draws gate 3 at 15-1. Its Barbs Party (POST 7) at 15-1, trained by John Boegner and ridden by Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., is the Boegner entry in Race 7. Lets Jess Talk (POST 9) at 20-1, trained by Jimmy Jr. Guerra and ridden by Claudio Ponce Aguilar, rounds out the field at the longest odds.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Adieu (POST 6) is a strong single in Pick 3 and Pick 4 combinations through the back half of the card. The win price at 2-1 is modest, but the quality of the draw and connections justifies confidence. Exacta plays using Adieu (POST 6) on top with Jess Send Her (POST 4) and Lorenzita (POST 8) in second offer reasonable return. A modest each-way bet on Ab Real Eagle 67 (POST 10) at 5-1 is a price play worth including in wider exotic structures.

Selections

Win: Adieu (POST 6) Place: Jess Send Her (POST 4) Show: Lorenzita (POST 8)

RACE 8 — Post 10:57 PM — 250f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | GON | Purse $14,100

Pace Analysis

The final maiden special weight race of the card returns to the 250-foot distance for geldings. At this level — maiden special weight quality going 250 feet — the event is a pure speed test among the better-bred horses on the grounds. No pace scenario, no stalking strategy: the fastest horse out of the gate wins. Ten horses going 250 feet in a maiden special weight setting should produce a fast, clean race with sharp fractions.

Key Contenders

Maxis Round Up (POST 8) is the 2-1 morning line choice, trained by Miguel Angel Medina and ridden by Luis L. Vivanco. Medina also trained First A Tarzanito in Race 4, showing consistent barn form. Gate 8 in a ten-horse field at 250 feet is a slight outside draw, but Vivanco is an experienced pilot who handles this type of sprint confidently. Maxis Round Up at 2-1 projects as the fastest horse in the field based on breeding and connections.

Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1) at 4-1, trained by Bradley Bolen and ridden by Jose R. Herbert, is the Bolen barn entry from the inside rail. Bolen is one of the busier trainers on tonight's card, appearing in Race 7, Race 8, and Race 9. Rail at 250 feet is workable, and Herbert keeps this one balanced in the gate. At 4-1, Big Sky Cowboy offers fair value as a challenger.

Eyesa Got It (POST 5) at 4-1, trained by Jesse E. Ramos and ridden by Raul Padilla Jr. Hernandez, draws the 5 gate, which is close to optimal for the 250. The morning line at 4-1 is competitive with Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1), and Ramos appears to target this spot specifically.

Secondary Choices

Kissin Kachina (POST 6) at 6-1, trained by Shae L. Cox and ridden by Jr. Jr. Ramirez, is from the Cox barn that also ran Freight Up in Race 7. Back-to-back runners from a trainer often indicates a barn in rhythm, and Kissin Kachina from gate 6 at 6-1 is a legitimate second-tier choice. The Lost Princess (POST 9) at 8-1, trained by Alejandro Trujillo and ridden by Victor Manuel Urieta Jr., is a secondary option from a moderate outside gate. Urieta has been busy all night and knows the surface well.

Longshots

Chilicote Bugs (POST 2) at 12-1, trained by Katie Carlos and ridden by Noe Villatoro, is inside and at a price — Villatoro could engineer a surprise. High Dashing (POST 4) at 10-1, trained by Bonifacio Bustos and ridden by H. Javier Hernandez, draws gate 4 at 10-1, which is a slightly undervalued position for the odds. Jl Train Bambino (POST 3) at 15-1, trained by Octavio Jr. Saenz and ridden by Arturo Alvarez, is a Saenz entry at long odds. Southern Saddletramp (POST 10) at 15-1, trained by Jesus Jr. Soto and ridden by Angel A. Fierro, draws the extreme outside. Really Handsome Man (POST 7) at 20-1, trained by Mario J. Loza and ridden by Gilberto Linares, is the longest price in the field and rounds out the card's fourth maiden special weight.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Maxis Round Up (POST 8) is the top choice but the 2-1 price limits win value. The best angle is a win-place on Maxis Round Up (POST 8) combined with exacta plays over Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1) and Eyesa Got It (POST 5). Kissin Kachina (POST 6) at 6-1 is the value inclusion worth a small win bet and inclusion in the exacta. A wide trifecta using Maxis Round Up (POST 8) on top, Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1) and Eyesa Got It (POST 5) in second, and all others in third captures maximum value.

Selections

Win: Maxis Round Up (POST 8) Place: Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1) Show: Eyesa Got It (POST 5)

RACE 9 — Post 11:24 PM — 440f | D | A | Alw 15100n2l | BUN | Purse $15,100

Pace Analysis

The card's finale is the classiest race of the evening — a 440-foot allowance event for non-winners of two lifetime at $15,100. The 440-foot distance is the longest on this card by a significant margin and introduces a genuine pace scenario. Horses that break well and find position through the first 200 feet will have an advantage, but the additional ground allows for more strategic racing. This field of ten will likely develop into a pace battle among the several speed-types present, and horses with the ability to rate or close from a stalking position have a legitimate shot at the wire.

Mitoles Princess (POST 7) at 3-1 is the morning line favorite, trained by Kie Mushinski and ridden by Claudio Ponce Aguilar. Gate 7 at 440 feet is a fair outside draw, and Mushinski is a conditioner who targets spots purposefully. The 3-1 favorite status suggests this horse has shown the ability and fitness to take on this allowance level. Aguilar has been steadily riding throughout the card and will be at his sharpest by Race 9.

Goliath Stone (POST 3) at 4-1, trained by John A. Stinebaugh and ridden by Ali Rivera, draws gate 3 in what is an excellent post for the 440-foot event. Stinebaugh sends Goliath Stone out as one of two co-second choices on the morning line. The Stinebaugh operation has had runners across multiple races tonight and Goliath Stone represents the barn's best chance at a major score.

Going For Gold (POST 6) at 4-1, trained by Adan Guzman and ridden by Noe Villatoro, is the co-second pick and shares the 4-1 line with Goliath Stone (POST 3). Gate 6 at 440 feet is clean and workable. Guzman has had Lil Baby D in Race 5 and returns with Going for Gold, showing the barn is firing on multiple cylinders tonight.

Secondary Choices

Rrelentless Dynasty (POST 2) at 5-1, trained by Alejandra Pena Dominguez and ridden by Diego Contreras, draws gate 2 at a workable inside position for the 440. The 5-1 morning line is interesting and if Contreras can position this one favorably early, Rrelentless Dynasty has the chance to hit the board. Hondo 44 (POST 5) at 8-1, trained by Bradley Bolen and ridden by Jose R. Herbert, is the third Bolen entry on tonight's card. Bolen has had a busy card with Big Sky Cowboy in Race 8 and Backed By Fame in Race 7, and if the barn is sharp, Hondo 44 from gate 5 at 8-1 offers genuine board value.

Longshots

Kissbehavin (POST 1) at 10-1, trained by Richard D. Sedillo and ridden by Ruben Jr. Delarosa, gives Sedillo another shot after Jet Black Viper (POST 8) in Race 2. The inside post at 440 feet is workable and the 10-1 price is worth a look in trifecta coverage. Stoic Dash (POST 4) at 12-1, trained by Guadalupe Deras and ridden by Angel A. Fierro, draws gate 4 and offers board coverage at 12-1. Elemyntal (POST 10) at 12-1, trained by Oscar Nunez and ridden by Gilberto Linares, draws the outside from gate 10, which is the most disadvantageous starting spot in the field at 440 feet. Lady Going Grand (POST 8) at 15-1, trained by Jimmy Jr. Guerra and ridden by Eliazar T. Vera, is the second-longest price from the 8 gate. Chilitos Movin Money (POST 9) at 20-1, trained by Abraham Rangel and ridden by Eleazar Rivera Hernandez, rounds out the field as the longest shot in the closer.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

This is the card's feature event and the most important betting race of the night. The spread of 3-1, 4-1, and 4-1 at the top of the morning line creates a competitive trifecta structure. The ideal play is a trifecta box using Mitoles Princess (POST 7), Goliath Stone (POST 3), and Going For Gold (POST 6), with an exacta using Mitoles Princess (POST 7) on top over Goliath Stone (POST 3). Adding Rrelentless Dynasty (POST 2) and Hondo 44 (POST 5) in trifecta coverage provides a wider safety net. At 440 feet for an allowance purse, value resides in the trifecta and superfecta rather than the win pool.

Selections

Win: Mitoles Princess (POST 7) Place: Goliath Stone (POST 3) Show: Going For Gold (POST 6)

Jockey Notes and Insights

Victor Manuel Urieta Jr. is among the most active riders on tonight's card, with mounts in Race 1 on Kleyopatra (POST 1), Race 3 on La Enedina Arellano (POST 8), Race 4 on El Tiempo (POST 1), Race 6 on Cowboys Love Ladys (POST 1), Race 7 on Its Barbs Party (POST 7), and Race 8 on The Lost Princess (POST 9). Urieta is the most-booked rider on the program, reflecting his standing as a top hand at the Retama circuit. His best individual chance on the card appears to be Kleyopatra (POST 1) in Race 1, where his gate skills could produce a sharp early jump.

Noe Villatoro picks up quality mounts throughout the card, including the morning line favorite Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) in Race 3, Marshall Hogan (POST 8) in Race 5, Going For Gold (POST 6) in Race 9, and others. Villatoro's book of rides tonight includes multiple top choices and legitimate contenders. His handling of Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) in Race 3 and Going For Gold (POST 6) in Race 9 will define his night.

Eliazar T. Vera has a strong book of mounts, including the morning line favorites Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) in Race 6 and Adieu (POST 6) in Race 7. Riding the top choice in back-to-back maiden special weight events suggests that Vera is in peak form and that connections trust him with their best horses. If both favorites fire, Vera could be the rider of the night.

Eleazar Rivera Hernandez rides Chile Ancho (POST 4) in Race 1, the morning line favorite, and has additional mounts throughout the card. His connection with the Alvarado barn in Race 1 is worth monitoring for future patterns. Angel A. Fierro is another high-volume rider tonight, appearing in Races 2, 5, 8, and 9, giving him a broad look at the track surface and conditions as the evening progresses.

Lucas Constantin picks up Music Maestro (POST 7) in Race 2 and Eagle Desire (POST 10) in Race 6 — two Jungers barn horses that reflect the trainer's confidence in this jockey-trainer partnership.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Marc E. Jungers is the most aggressive trainer on tonight's card with runners in at least three races: A Dash Of Dahlia (POST 1) and Music Maestro (POST 7) in Race 2, and Dynastys Princess (POST 10) in Race 3. Running two horses in the same claiming event in Race 2 is a strategic move, and Music Maestro (POST 7) at 3-1 appears to be the stable's primary weapon. When a trainer runs two horses in the same race, watch the odds movement in the minutes before post time to identify which horse the barn is supporting.

Jose Luis III Sanchez has entries spread across Race 3 with Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2), Race 4 with Rio Shacarri (POST 2), and Race 5 with Marshall Hogan (POST 8). The Sanchez barn is clearly active and in form tonight. Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) as the morning line favorite in the first fillies' maiden special weight is the barn's marquee entry.

Javier N. Hernandez sends out Trs Lumbre (POST 2) in Race 1, Eb Kiss My Piloto 67 (POST 2) in Race 2, Rc Featherweight (POST 8) in Race 6, and Ab Real Eagle 67 (POST 10) in Race 7. The volume of entries suggests a barn that is active and confident. Ab Real Eagle 67 (POST 10) at 5-1 in Race 7 may be the barn's best value opportunity.

Bradley Bolen has three runners on the card: Backed By Fame (POST 1) in Race 7, Big Sky Cowboy (POST 1) in Race 8, and Hondo 44 (POST 5) in Race 9. A trainer running three horses on one card, particularly in the later races, often indicates a sharp, well-conditioned barn. Hondo 44 (POST 5) at 8-1 in the card's finale is the best value opportunity from the Bolen operation.

Brittany N. Tellez trains multiple runners including Flying Reya (POST 5) in Race 2, Miss Abril (POST 4) in Race 4, and Flyn Honey Senator (POST 2) in Race 5. The family jockey connection with Froylan Tellez Ramirez riding the barn's horses creates a tight operation worth tracking. Francisco Jr. Perez also has multiple runners throughout the card, including Runnaway Rose (POST 5) in Race 1, Mj Watters (POST 7) in Race 3, and Scuba (POST 10) in Race 4.

John A. Stinebaugh targets both Race 7 with Lorenzita (POST 8) and Race 9 with Goliath Stone (POST 3), while brother Zackary Stinebaugh runs Dulces Hero (POST 1) in Race 5. The family operation is multi-pronged tonight and Goliath Stone (POST 3) at 4-1 in the finale is the barn's best opportunity for a stakes-level score.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The best value on tonight's card runs through the mid-card maiden special weight races and the closing allowance, where the morning line spreads create legitimate exotic opportunities. Here is the card-wide wagering strategy:

Race 1 single: Chile Ancho (POST 4) as the core of exacta combinations. This race is a coin flip for chalk bettors, and the $10,100 purse limits pari-mutuel pool size, keeping the exacta price elevated even with a short-priced favorite.

Race 2 exacta: The Jet Black Viper (POST 8) and Music Maestro (POST 7) exacta combination is the primary play. These are the two most logical horses in the field and the exacta should return between $12 and $18 on a $2 ticket if both perform as expected. Include Tarzannita (POST 9) as an alternate top selection in case Jet Black Viper struggles from the outside.

Race 3 value play: Cartel Dreamz (POST 4) at 6-1 from gate 4 is the best value offering in Race 3. With the favorite at 2-1 and multiple 4-1 co-choices, the 6-1 morning line on a horse from the prime gate is a legitimate overlay. A win bet on Cartel Dreamz (POST 4) combined with an exacta using Jess Sissy Cartel (POST 2) on top represents an asymmetric opportunity.

Race 5 value play: Cedar Post (POST 4) at 4-1 from the optimal gate in Race 5 is the best individual value play on the entire card. The horse is co-equal in morning line odds with Dulces Hero (POST 1) despite a dramatically superior post position. This is a clear edge, and a straight win bet on Cedar Post (POST 4) is the card's strongest single bet away from the favorites.

Race 6 to Race 7 to Race 9 Pick 3: This late-card Pick 3 using Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) in Race 6, Adieu (POST 6) in Race 7, and a spread of Mitoles Princess (POST 7), Goliath Stone (POST 3), and Going For Gold (POST 6) in Race 9 is the marquee sequence on tonight's card. Using two singles to open the sequence and spreading in the finale will produce a ticket that pays well if the first two legs hold. A $1 three-horse spread in Race 9 creates a $3 Pick 3 ticket off two singles, keeping the investment modest while offering meaningful return.

Race 9 trifecta: The closing allowance trifecta box using Mitoles Princess (POST 7), Goliath Stone (POST 3), and Going For Gold (POST 6) is the card's signature exotic play. A $1 trifecta box using three horses costs $6 and covers all six possible finishing combinations. Adding Rrelentless Dynasty (POST 2) and Hondo 44 (POST 5) as secondary inclusions in a partial trifecta wheel expands coverage at modest additional cost.

Card-wide best bet: Cedar Post (POST 4) in Race 5 at 4-1 is the best individual win value on the card. The combination of an ideal post, a fair morning line price, and a competitive field makes this the play of the night for bettors seeking straight win value. Back this up with a pick 3 starting in Race 5 using Cedar Post (POST 4) over Rc Said Cap Em (POST 5) and Adieu (POST 6), an inexpensive three-race sequence that covers the heart of the card's quality racing.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Tags:

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback