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The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.
Every horse our AI Win Probability model rated, grouped by the chance we gave it, against how often that group actually won.
Where the two lines meet, the published percentage was exactly right.
Show the numbers
| Week | What we said | What happened |
|---|---|---|
| 3% | 3.0% | 3.6% |
| 7% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| 12% | 12.4% | 13.6% |
| 18% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| 26% | 26.0% | 29.9% |
| 39% | 39.1% | 43.1% |
Race Day Overview — Will Rogers Downs, November 10, 2026
Will Rogers Downs in Claremore, Oklahoma opens its fall meeting with a ten-race card heavily weighted toward Quarter Horse racing, featuring distances ranging from 250 feet to 350 feet on the main dirt surface. Today's card is a typical WRD mid-week afternoon program mixing claiming, allowance, and maiden events across all age groups. The card carries combined purses exceeding $160,000, with the allowance races in Races 3 and 7 drawing the strongest fields of the afternoon. The Jockey Club Derby news out of Belmont — with Venetian Prince shipping from Europe for the November 28 event — has no direct bearing on today's regional Quarter Horse program, but it underscores how active the late-fall racing calendar remains across North America.
There are no major headline scratches reported entering today's program. Trainers Stacy Charette-Hill, Capps Stacey, and Joe M. Davis each saddle multiple runners today, as does the dominant jockey colony led by Cordarelton J. Benn and Roman Cruz. Post time for Race 1 is 1:00 PM local (12:00 PM MT / 11:00 AM PT / 10:00 AM HT).
Weather and Track Conditions — Will Rogers Downs, November 10, 2026
November in Claremore, Oklahoma typically delivers cool-to-cold conditions with daytime highs in the mid-40s to low 50s Fahrenheit. The region has experienced a relatively dry stretch through early November 2026, and the Will Rogers Downs main track is expected to be rated fast or good for today's program. No significant precipitation is forecast for the Claremore area on November 10. Wind out of the north at 10–15 mph is typical for this time of year and can subtly affect gate-to-wire Quarter Horse sprints, particularly at shorter distances like 250 feet and 300 feet where fractions of a second separate the entire field. A fast, sealed surface favors horses with clean early foot and horses that demonstrate superior reaction time from the gate.
Track Bias and Post Position Analysis — Will Rogers Downs
Will Rogers Downs is a 7/8-mile oval with a straightaway chute used for all Quarter Horse sprints on today's card. At distances of 250 to 350 feet, the race is essentially entirely in the chute with virtually no turn involved, making gate position and break speed the dominant factors. Post position bias at WRD for short-distance Quarter Horse racing tends to slightly favor inside and middle posts in larger fields, as outside posts can require a touch more ground coverage on any arc toward the finish. In smaller fields, post position bias is minimal.
For the 250-foot and 300-foot events, reaction time from the gate and the horse's ability to achieve full stride quickly are paramount. At 350 feet, there is marginally more time for a horse that breaks slightly slower to compensate with pure speed, though at this level, breaking cleanly still dictates the outcome more than any other single factor. Horses with demonstrated gate proficiency and consistent early fractions should be prioritized throughout today's card. Middle posts (3 through 6) in fields of 7 to 10 horses historically perform slightly better at WRD short distances, though the advantage is modest.
RACE 1 — Post 1:00 PM (12:00 MT) — 300f | Dirt | C | Clm 10000n3l | BUN | Purse $10,500
This is a seven-horse claiming sprint for horses that have not won three lifetime races, run at 300 feet on the dirt. The modest $10,500 purse and the n3l condition suggest a field of horses still establishing their form. Trainer Abel Aguilar sends out two horses — Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) and Clutch Shot (POST 3) — which creates an interesting stable dynamic in a seven-horse field.
Pace Analysis
At 300 feet, every horse in this gate will be at or near maximum effort from the moment the doors open. There is no stalking scenario — this is pure gate speed from start to finish. The pace will be uniformly brutal and fast, determined entirely by who breaks cleanest and maintains their drive to the wire. With seven runners and a compact field, breaking trouble is the primary race-shaping concern.
Key Contenders
Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) draws the morning line favoritism at 2-1 and is trained by Abel Aguilar, one of the more consistent conditioners working this circuit. The inside-ish draw at post 2 is favorable at this distance. The n3l condition suggests MZ JAYHAWK has been competitive without winning three times, which at this level often means a horse that consistently hits the board without breaking through. The 2-1 morning line from track handicappers reflects strong local confidence in this horse's current form and Aguilar's ability to place horses effectively. Jockey Edwin G. Escobedo gets the call and is a capable hand for short-distance sprints.
Hotwire Silos (POST 7) draws the outside post but is installed at 4-1, suggesting track handicappers see genuine ability here despite the draw. Trainer Valerie Torres has shown an ability to develop sprinters at this level, and Jockey Jose Sosa is a known commodity on the WRD circuit. The outside post at 300 feet in a seven-horse field is a modest concern but not disqualifying if this horse fires from the gate with authority.
Secondary Choices
Clutch Shot (POST 3) at 3-1 is the stablemate of the favorite and also trained by Aguilar. The trainer is not likely to have both horses at peak targeting a win — typically one of the two is the preferred runner. At 3-1 on the morning line, Clutch Shot (POST 3) is respected by the morning line maker and must be included in exotic coverage. Jockey Aram S. Martinez takes the mount. Post 3 is an ideal draw at this distance.
Jt Apollitical Dee (POST 4) at 5-1 trained by Juan J. Gomez with Gonzalo Gutierrez aboard sits squarely in the middle of this field, both literally and in the morning line hierarchy. Gomez is an active trainer at WRD and Gutierrez is a go-to rider for the barn. Post 4 is excellent at 300 feet.
Longshots
TURNPIKE SPECIAL (POST 1) at 8-1 trained by J.S. Hunt with Bryan Candanosa up gets the rail draw. At 300 feet, the rail can be advantageous with clean air, but at 8-1 the morning line suggests this horse may need to outrun its recent form. The Cowboy Kind (POST 5) at 15-1 trained by Luz Chavira with Cordarelton J. Benn is a significant longshot despite having the leading jockey colony's key rider. Benn taking a 15-1 mount suggests either a training work caught someone's eye or the barn is a secondary priority for the rider today. Kung Fu Express (POST 6) at 20-1 trained by Jesus Ruben Ruiz with Roman Cruz is effectively a throwout at this level unless the morning line dramatically underestimates this runner.
Selections
Win: Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) Place: Clutch Shot (POST 3) Show: Jt Apollitical Dee (POST 4)
Betting Strategy: Use Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) as the win single. The Aguilar double entry makes exacta construction tricky — box Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) with Clutch Shot (POST 3) and Hotwire Silos (POST 7). The 2-3-7 exacta box in a seven-horse field offers manageable cost with solid coverage.
RACE 2 — Post 1:25 PM (12:25 MT) — 350f | Dirt | CO | OClm 25000 | BUN | Purse $12,000
An eight-horse optional claiming race at 350 feet with a $25,000 claiming tag. The optional claiming condition opens this to horses that have been running at higher levels who may be taking a soft spot. The extra 50 feet compared to Race 1 provides just enough additional ground for speed horses to press a touch harder on the finish. Wired Bb (POST 3) and Over The Shock (POST 7) are installed as the two top choices by the morning line.
Pace Analysis
At 350 feet in an eight-horse field, the pace will be blazing from the break. Wired Bb (POST 3) and Over The Shock (POST 7) figure to be the primary speed, and the question is whether any of the mid-post runners — particularly Inner G (POST 4) or Docs Panda (POST 8) — can sustain a challenge through the final stages. The outside post for Docs Panda (POST 8) in an eight-horse field at 350 feet is a minor concern.
Key Contenders
Wired Bb (POST 3) at 2-1 is the morning line choice trained by Juan J. Gomez with Cordarelton J. Benn aboard. Gomez placing Benn — typically one of the stronger riders on the circuit — on this horse in an optional claimer at $25,000 is a meaningful signal. Post 3 is very good at 350 feet. The “WIRED” prefix in the name and the optional claiming condition suggest this horse has been competitive at the $25k level and may be dropping or maintaining to find a soft spot.
Over The Shock (POST 7) at 3-1 trained by Matt E. Whitekiller with Cody Rodger Smith is the second choice. Whitekiller is a respected conditioner at WRD and Smith is an experienced rider who handles short distances well. Post 7 in an eight-horse field at 350 feet is not ideal but is manageable for a horse with genuine early speed.
Secondary Choices
Docs Panda (POST 8) at 4-1 trained by Jesus Ruben Ruiz with Roman Cruz closes out the outside post in this field. At the $25,000 optional claiming level, Ruiz has demonstrated competitive runners and Cruz provides reliable gate ability. The 4-1 morning line reflects legitimate regard for this horse's ability despite the outside draw.
Jh Blood Sweatandtear (POST 1) at 5-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Jorge Torres is an interesting play from the rail. Charette-Hill is one of the more successful trainers on this circuit and has a history of placing horses in spots where they can run competitively. The rail in an eight-horse field at 350 feet has its advantages if the horse breaks cleanly.
Inner G (POST 4) at 6-1 trained by Randy Chavez with Erik N. Esqueda is a mid-price runner from a good post position. Chavez is a capable trainer at this level and Esqueda is an established WRD jockey. At 6-1, Inner G (POST 4) represents a potential value price in the exacta.
Longshots
Hot Wired Fish (POST 2) at 10-1 trained by Edward L. Webb with Juan Pulido is a long price but draws post 2 which is favorable. At 10-1, the morning line suggests this horse needs improvement on its recent form to be competitive at $25,000. Lachismosa (POST 5) at 20-1 trained by Juliana Mancillas and Pasatiempo (POST 6) at 20-1 trained by Janessa Lee Muniz are essentially throwouts at these odds in an optional claiming route. Neither is likely to significantly impact the wagering pools.
Selections
Win: Wired Bb (POST 3) Place: Over The Shock (POST 7) Show: Docs Panda (POST 8)
Betting Strategy: Straight exacta Wired Bb (POST 3) over Over The Shock (POST 7) is the value play. Add Docs Panda (POST 8) and Jh Blood Sweatandtear (POST 1) as backup exacta partners. A $1 trifecta part-wheel with Wired Bb (POST 3) on top, Over The Shock (POST 7) and Docs Panda (POST 8) in the middle, and all in third is recommended.
RACE 3 — Post 1:50 PM (12:50 MT) — 300f | Dirt | A | Alw 19800n3l | BUN | Purse $19,800
One of the two allowance features on the card, this eight-horse field at 300 feet offers the richest purse seen in the opening half of the program. The n3l allowance condition means these horses have not won three races lifetime and are stepping up from maiden and lower-level claiming ranks. Jess Down Candy (POST 2) is installed as the 2-1 morning line choice with Ca Dynasty (POST 8) at 3-1 as the second choice.
Pace Analysis
Eight horses at 300 feet in an allowance condition sets up for a full-speed gate-to-wire contest. Jess Down Candy (POST 2) from post 2 figures to be quickest from the gate. The Sweetest Sign (POST 5) and Tempting Seis (POST 3) will be pressing early. With the purse elevated to $19,800, the quality of gate speed here should be noticeably better than the opening two races.
Key Contenders
Jess Down Candy (POST 2) at 2-1 trained by Justin W. Joiner with Mario Delgado is the class of this field on the morning line. Joiner is a trainer with a strong record placing horses in allowance spots where they can be competitive, and Delgado is a reliable rider on the WRD circuit. Post 2 is an excellent draw at 300 feet.
Ca Dynasty (POST 8) at 3-1 trained by Samuel Mendoza with Bryan Candanosa is the second choice despite drawing the outside post in an eight-horse field. The outside draw at 300 feet is a genuine concern — in a straight chute sprint, eight horses breaking at once from post 8 means covering slightly more ground. That the morning line still installs Ca Dynasty (POST 8) at 3-1 from the 8-hole speaks to handicappers' regard for this horse's ability.
Secondary Choices
Tempting Seis (POST 3) at 4-1 trained by Stacey Capps with Cody Rodger Smith is well positioned from post 3 and comes from a trainer who handles short sprinters effectively. Smith is a capable pilot at this distance. At 4-1 this horse represents strong value in exotics.
The Sweetest Sign (POST 5) at 5-1 trained by Manuel Mojica Campos with Giovany Estrada sits at mid-field in both the post draw and the morning line. The 5-1 price from post 5 in a 300-foot allowance is workable for exacta construction.
Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) at 8-1 trained by Manuel Carrillo Jr. with Cordarelton J. Benn is a horse that deserves more attention than its morning line suggests. Benn taking an 8-1 mount in an allowance race at $19,800 is a meaningful engagement — when the top rider takes a longer price, there is often a reason beyond the obvious.
Longshots
Lookin Famous Df (POST 6) at 15-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Ryder Olmstead is an outsider despite the well-regarded trainer. The 15-1 morning line and the selection of Olmstead rather than a top rider suggests this horse may be finding its spot rather than expected to win outright. No Reconciliation (POST 7) at 15-1 trained by Jesus Ruben Ruiz with Roman Cruz rounds out the field. Xpressiv (POST 1) at 20-1 trained by Hernesto Ramirez with Ramiro Haro Garcia is effectively at extreme long odds from the rail in a wide field.
Selections
Win: Jess Down Candy (POST 2) Place: Ca Dynasty (POST 8) Show: Tempting Seis (POST 3)
Betting Strategy: Jess Down Candy (POST 2) win single. Exacta: Jess Down Candy (POST 2) over Ca Dynasty (POST 8) and Tempting Seis (POST 3). Trifecta part-wheel with Jess Down Candy (POST 2) on top and Ca Dynasty (POST 8), Tempting Seis (POST 3), The Sweetest Sign (POST 5), and Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) filling second and third.
RACE 4 — Post 2:15 PM (1:15 MT) — 250f | Dirt | M | Md 10000 | AON | Purse $16,100
The shortest race on the card at 250 feet — essentially a standing quarter with minimal margin for error. Nine horses in a maiden $10,000 claiming event for all ages. Blood E Fast (POST 8) is installed as the 2-1 morning line choice with Another Rownd (POST 9) at 3-1 as the second selection. At 250 feet, gate reaction and raw early acceleration entirely determine the outcome.
Pace Analysis
Nine horses exploding from the gate at 250 feet is about as pure a speed test as exists in American racing. There is no pace scenario — there is only the break and the drive. Blood E Fast (POST 8) and Another Rownd (POST 9) draw the two outside posts in what is an unfortunate development for both top choices. Middle posts should have a marginal advantage in a nine-horse field at this distance.
Key Contenders
Blood E Fast (POST 8) at 2-1 trained by Joe M. Davis with Edwin G. Escobedo is the morning line favorite despite drawing post 8 of nine. Davis is a multiple-entry trainer today with Cd Christie James (POST 7) in Race 8 and Rippin Lindy (POST 10) in Race 9, suggesting an active and capable barn. Escobedo is a leading rider candidate today and handles gate speed horses well. The post 8 draw from nine is a legitimate concern at 250 feet.
Another Rownd (POST 9) at 3-1 trained by Samuel E. Valdivia with Mario Delgado draws the worst possible post at 250 feet in a nine-horse field. The outside post at this distance is a meaningful handicap, yet the 3-1 morning line suggests handicappers believe this horse possesses sufficient raw speed to overcome the disadvantage. Valdivia is an experienced conditioner and Delgado is a capable jockey.
Secondary Choices
Eyesa Fancy Fling (POST 6) at 5-1 trained by Jesus Ruben Ruiz with Roman Cruz sits in an excellent post position at 250 feet. At 5-1 from post 6 in a nine-horse field, this horse potentially represents the best overlay on the board in this race. Cruz is capable of delivering a sharp break.
My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4) at 6-1 trained by Luis Villafranco with Cordarelton J. Benn benefits from post 4 — the ideal middle ground in a nine-horse field at 250 feet. Benn's engagement here, as a leading rider taking a 6-1 mount, is worth noting. Villafranco has runners throughout today's card.
Ferry Handsome Man (POST 7) at 10-1 trained by Juliana Mancillas with Gonzalo Gutierrez is a mid-range longshot from an adjacent outside post. Mancillas has Lachismosa (POST 5) in Race 2 as well, running multiple horses today.
Longshots
Yonderway (POST 3) at 8-1 trained by Stacey Capps with Cody Rodger Smith has Capps' touch and Smith's gate ability working in its favor from post 3. At 8-1, this horse is worth a small exacta inclusion. Aniversario 310 (POST 2) at 15-1 trained by Yareli Melendez with Aram S. Martinez and Shez Painted Monday (POST 1) at 20-1 trained by Everardo N. Escamilla-Gonzalez with Ramiro Haro Garcia are longshots at extreme prices. Sams Lady (POST 5) at 20-1 trained by Michael C. Gunter with Randy Vega rounds out the extreme longshots.
Selections
Win: Blood E Fast (POST 8) Place: Eyesa Fancy Fling (POST 6) Show: My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4)
Betting Strategy: At 250 feet, the race will be decided in fractions of a second. Use Blood E Fast (POST 8) and Eyesa Fancy Fling (POST 6) as the exacta key pair in both orders. Include My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4) and Another Rownd (POST 9) in trifecta coverage. This is a race where a small upset by a mid-price horse from a good post could pay handsomely.
RACE 5 — Post 2:40 PM (1:40 MT) — 300f | Dirt | S | Md Sp Wt | AON | Purse $19,800
A nine-horse maiden special weight event at 300 feet with a $19,800 purse — the maiden event with the highest purse on the card and a field of horses not yet conditioned by claiming prices. Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) is the 2-1 morning line choice trained by Dee Keener, and the same barn also sends out Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) at 3-1 — a trainer double entry in a nine-horse maiden special weight.
Pace Analysis
Maiden special weight horses at 300 feet will often show more variance in gate reaction than seasoned claimers. The double Keener entry complicates pace analysis slightly — both Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) and Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) presumably possess similar speed, and their placement in the gate on opposite ends of the field (posts 1 and 4) means they will not directly impede each other. Imperial Cyber (POST 8) at 5-1 and Jess Wona Rock (POST 9) at 6-1 add depth to the speed picture.
Key Contenders
Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) at 2-1 trained by Dee Keener with Jorge Torres is the morning line choice from an ideal post. Post 4 in a nine-horse 300-foot sprint is excellent. Torres is a capable pilot and Keener clearly has confidence in this runner as the barn's primary bet in this race, reflected in the lower odds compared to Eclipse Rarity (POST 1).
Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) at 3-1 is the second choice from the same barn with Roman Cruz aboard. Cruz is a top rider at WRD and his presence on the rail horse at 3-1 in a maiden special weight is meaningful. Keener running two horses in the same maiden race suggests both have shown ability in the morning and the barn is confident of a strong performance from at least one of them.
Secondary Choices
Imperial Cyber (POST 8) at 5-1 trained by Buddy Leon Clay with Gonzalo Gutierrez draws post 8 in a nine-horse field. At the maiden special weight level, raw ability can overcome post position disadvantages, and at 5-1 this horse is priced as a legitimate contender. Clay is a trainer capable of developing young sprinters.
Jess Wona Rock (POST 9) at 6-1 trained by Kash Reed with Bryan Candanosa draws the extreme outside post. Reed is an experienced conditioner and Candanosa is a solid gate rider. Despite the outside post, the 6-1 morning line reflects genuine regard for this horse's ability.
Cheap Jammer (POST 7) at 8-1 trained by Randy Chavez with Christian Esqueda is another horse with workable odds from a reasonable post. Chavez has Inner G (POST 4) in Race 2 as well, running a multi-race afternoon.
Longshots
Ka Chow 1 (POST 3) at 10-1 trained by Valerie Torres with Jacob Cardenas and Paulino 27 (POST 2) at 12-1 trained by Luis Villafranco with Erik N. Esqueda are mid-range to long prices. Sayy Whenn (POST 6) at 15-1 trained by Manuel Carrillo Jr. with Cordarelton J. Benn is interesting only because Benn is listed — the 15-1 price suggests this is not a priority mount for the rider today. Ajs Green Eagle (POST 5) at 20-1 trained by Juan J. Gomez with Randy Vega is a throwout at this price in a maiden special weight.
Selections
Win: Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) Place: Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) Show: Imperial Cyber (POST 8)
Betting Strategy: The Keener double entry makes this race playable as a straight exacta between Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) and Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) in both orders. At combined prices of 2-1 and 3-1, the exacta payout may be modest but the probability is elevated when the same trainer sends the top two horses. Include Imperial Cyber (POST 8) and Jess Wona Rock (POST 9) in trifecta coverage.
RACE 6 — Post 3:05 PM (2:05 MT) — 350f | Dirt | M | Md 7500 | BUN | Purse $13,000
The lowest-level maiden event on the card at $7,500 claiming with ten horses going 350 feet. Famous Won (POST 7) is installed as the 2-1 morning line favorite trained by Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento with Roman Cruz. Ms Ranger (POST 2) at 3-1 trained by Christopher Tovar with Gonzalo Gutierrez is the second choice.
Pace Analysis
Ten horses at 350 feet in the cheapest maiden event of the day creates the most chaotic pace scenario on the card. At the $7,500 maiden level, gate breaking is often inconsistent, and the extra 50 feet compared to the 300-foot races gives horses a bit more time to find their stride. Famous Won (POST 7) and Ms Ranger (POST 2) figure to be the class of this field, but maiden claimers at this level can produce unexpected results.
Key Contenders
Famous Won (POST 7) at 2-1 trained by Gerardo Quinones-Sarmiento with Roman Cruz is the class choice. Cruz on the 2-1 favorite in any race at WRD is a meaningful signal — when the leading riders take the top-priced horse, it generally reflects the best available information. Post 7 from a ten-horse field at 350 feet is not ideal but manageable for a horse with genuine class advantage.
Ms Ranger (POST 2) at 3-1 trained by Christopher Tovar with Gonzalo Gutierrez draws excellently from post 2. Gutierrez is an established rider at WRD and Tovar placing him on the second choice speaks to the trainer's confidence. Post 2 at 350 feet in a ten-horse field is a significant advantage.
Secondary Choices
Our Special Shake (POST 5) at 5-1 trained by Stacey Capps with Cody Rodger Smith is well positioned from post 5 and comes from one of the more active trainer barns on today's card. Capps has runners in multiple races and Smith is a consistent rider at this distance.
Cartels Gold Feature (POST 6) at 6-1 trained by Valerie Torres with Jasten Pedraza is from a trainer with multiple runners today and sits at a workable price from post 6. The 6-1 morning line reflects moderate confidence from track handicappers.
County Line Bill (POST 3) at 8-1 trained by Mallory Norton with Oscar Jaquez draws post 3 which is excellent at 350 feet. Norton is a less prominent trainer on the circuit and the 8-1 price reflects that, but the post position is a significant asset.
Longshots
Topsy To The Top (POST 4) at 12-1 trained by Hernesto Ramirez with Mario Delgado. Cd Slate Wagon (POST 1) at 15-1 trained by Joe M. Davis with Edwin G. Escobedo — Davis having multiple runners today but the rail in a ten-horse field at 350 feet is not advantageous. Lil Jess Nippin (POST 9) at 20-1 trained by James Kevin Goodnight with Erik N. Esqueda, Squeakies Toy (POST 8) at 20-1 trained by Luis Villafranco with Randy Vega, and Monkey King (POST 10) at 20-1 trained by Buddy Leon Clay with Cordarelton J. Benn are extreme outside posts at extreme prices. Monkey King (POST 10) with Benn is the only intriguing angle, as Benn typically does not ride 20-1 shots without some reason, but the outside post is severely limiting at this distance.
Selections
Win: Famous Won (POST 7) Place: Ms Ranger (POST 2) Show: Our Special Shake (POST 5)
Betting Strategy: The cheapest race on the card is also among the most unpredictable. Keep win bets modest. Focus on the exacta: Famous Won (POST 7) over Ms Ranger (POST 2) is the primary ticket. Add Our Special Shake (POST 5) and Cartels Gold Feature (POST 6) as alternate exacta partners. Trifecta singling Famous Won (POST 7) on top with four runners below is a reasonable structure.
RACE 7 — Post 3:30 PM (2:30 MT) — 300f | Dirt | A | Alw 19800n3l | BUN | Purse $19,800
The second allowance feature of the day brings seven horses together at 300 feet. Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) at 2-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Jorge Torres is the morning line choice. Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) at 3-1 trained by Guillermo Valdivia with Rolando Raudales is the second pick. This is one of the strongest-looking races on the card from a handicapping standpoint.
Pace Analysis
Seven horses at 300 feet in an allowance race should produce a clean, fast running from the gate. Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) from the rail and Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) from post 2 are set up for a head-to-head battle from the break. With both top choices drawing posts 1 and 2, the inside lane is loaded with early speed, and outside horses like Fasterthanmybrothers (POST 6) and Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7) will need a superior break to remain in contention.
Key Contenders
Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) at 2-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Jorge Torres occupies the rail — which at 300 feet in a seven-horse field is a reasonable draw. Charette-Hill is one of the more successful trainers at WRD and the engagement of Torres on the morning line favorite signals confidence. At the allowance n3l level, Charette-Hill has a history of placing horses effectively.
Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) at 3-1 trained by Guillermo Valdivia with Rolando Raudales is adjacent to the favorite from an equally good post. Valdivia has multiple runners today across several races and is an active presence on the circuit. Post 2 at 300 feet allows for a clean, unimpeded run.
Secondary Choices
Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7) at 4-1 trained by Kasey Willis with Gonzalo Gutierrez draws the outside in a seven-horse allowance. At 4-1, the price is reasonable for a horse that could potentially benefit from a clean outside break if the inside horses engage each other and lose momentum. Willis has a solid record placing competitive runners and Gutierrez is capable here.
Rr Sweet Memories (POST 3) at 5-1 trained by Joe M. Davis with Edwin G. Escobedo sits at post 3 — an excellent position that gives this horse clean air away from the inside battle between posts 1 and 2. Davis has multiple runners today and Escobedo is a capable pilot.
Fasterthanmybrothers (POST 6) at 6-1 trained by Luis Villafranco with Erik N. Esqueda has a name that describes exactly what this horse needs to do at 300 feet. At 6-1 from post 6, this horse represents a possible overlay if Villafranco has this runner at peak condition.
Longshots
I Am A Candy Tree (POST 4) at 15-1 trained by Hernesto Ramirez with Mario Delgado and La Licenciada K (POST 5) at 15-1 trained by Jose Chavez with Jacob Cardenas are extreme longshots in a seven-horse field. At 15-1 each, these are essentially throwouts unless significant morning action changes the board dramatically.
Selections
Win: Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) Place: Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) Show: Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7)
Betting Strategy: Exacta Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) over Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) is the primary ticket. Also play the reverse: Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) over Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1). Include Rr Sweet Memories (POST 3) and Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7) in trifecta coverage. The two-horse allowance showdown at the top of this field is the race's defining feature.
RACE 8 — Post 3:55 PM (2:55 MT) — 300f | Dirt | M | Md 15000 | BUN | Purse $15,500
Nine horses in a $15,000 maiden claiming event at 300 feet. Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) at 2-1 trained by Manuel Carrillo Jr. with Jaime Mata is the morning line choice. Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) at 3-1 trained by Tony D. Jones with Jorge Torres is the second selection.
Pace Analysis
Nine horses in a $15,000 maiden at 300 feet will produce a wide-open gate battle. The mid-morning line prices suggest a fairly evenly matched field with a clear one-two preference. Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) from an excellent post and Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) from a good mid-field position are set up as the premier speed horses.
Key Contenders
Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) at 2-1 trained by Manuel Carrillo Jr. with Jaime Mata benefits from post 2 — one of the best draws at 300 feet. Carrillo has runners throughout today's card including Sayy Whenn (POST 6) in Race 5 and Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) in Race 3. This barn is active and knowing which horse is the primary runner of the day is critical — the morning line 2-1 price suggests Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) is the preferred runner.
Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) at 3-1 trained by Tony D. Jones with Jorge Torres is well-positioned from post 6. Jones is a trainer whose horses tend to perform consistently at this maiden claiming level, and Torres has multiple mounts today, suggesting he is among the leading riders.
Secondary Choices
Cd Christie James (POST 7) at 4-1 trained by Joe M. Davis with Bryan Candanosa is the barn's representative in Race 8. Davis also has Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) in Race 4 and Rippin Lindy (POST 10) in Race 9 — wait, Cd Slate Wagon (POST 1) in Race 6 and Rippin Lindy (POST 10) in Race 9. At 4-1, Cd Christie James (POST 7) is a legitimate contender at this maiden level.
Kvnferrarigirl (POST 5) at 8-1 trained by Guillermo Valdivia with Juan Pulido is a mid-range price from an excellent post 5. Valdivia has runners across the card and at 8-1, this horse could represent an overlay in exotics.
Gema Sola (POST 3) at 10-1 trained by Jose Chavez with Jacob Cardenas draws well from post 3 at a long morning line price. At the $15,000 maiden level, the morning line can sometimes underestimate horses from smaller barns.
Longshots
Dont Give A Rip (POST 4) at 12-1 trained by Jose Hernandez-Martinez with Gonzalo Gutierrez. Fantastic Wagon 07 (POST 1) at 15-1 trained by Maria Elisa A. Rodriguez with Cordarelton J. Benn — Benn on a 15-1 shot is worth a glance but the extreme price suggests the trainer lacks a competitive entry at this level. Kandu Corona (POST 8) at 15-1 trained by Luis Villafranco with Cody Rodger Smith and Mydesignatedpainter (POST 9) at 20-1 trained by Anthony G. Jones with Erik N. Esqueda are throwouts.
Selections
Win: Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) Place: Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) Show: Cd Christie James (POST 7)
Betting Strategy: Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) is the win play. Exacta: Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) over Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) and Cd Christie James (POST 7). Trifecta with Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) on top, Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) second, and Cd Christie James (POST 7), Kvnferrarigirl (POST 5), and Gema Sola (POST 3) in third.
RACE 9 — Post 4:20 PM (3:20 MT) — 300f | Dirt | C | Clm 15000n2l | AON | Purse $16,000
A ten-horse field in a $15,000 claiming sprint for horses that have not won two races. Mannfredi (POST 7) at 2-1 trained by Justin W. Joiner with Mario Delgado is the morning line favorite. Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) at 4-1 trained by Samuel Mendoza with Bryan Candanosa and Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4) at 4-1 trained by Samuel Gaytan Jr. with Roman Cruz share second-choice billing.
Pace Analysis
Ten horses in a $15,000 n2l claiming event will produce a wide, busy gate. With two horses tied at 4-1 as the second choice and a clear 2-1 favorite in Mannfredi (POST 7), the pace is set up for a potential split between the speed horses from the inside-middle (posts 3 and 4) and the preferred horse from post 7. Stephanie Rosie (POST 9) at 8-1 from the penultimate post could be an interesting pace factor.
Key Contenders
Mannfredi (POST 7) at 2-1 trained by Justin W. Joiner with Mario Delgado. Joiner also trains Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in Race 3, suggesting this is an active and confident barn today. Delgado is a capable rider at WRD short sprints. Post 7 from ten is not ideal but the 2-1 morning line reflects significant class advantage over this field.
Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) at 4-1 trained by Samuel Mendoza with Bryan Candanosa draws post 3 — an excellent position at 300 feet. Mendoza also trains Ca Dynasty (POST 8) in Race 3, running two horses in allowance and claiming company today. At 4-1 from post 3, Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) represents solid value.
Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4) at 4-1 trained by Samuel Gaytan Jr. with Roman Cruz shares the second-choice price from post 4. Cruz on a 4-1 morning line horse in a ten-horse claiming field is a meaningful engagement. The “WRS” prefix — Will Rogers Downs bred or based — often indicates a horse with local experience and familiarity with the track surface.
Secondary Choices
Stephanie Rosie (POST 9) at 8-1 trained by Stacey Capps with Cody Rodger Smith is from an active trainer barn today and draws post 9 from ten horses. At 8-1, the morning line offers value if this horse can break sharply from the outside. Capps has runners in multiple races today.
Bad N Bourgeoisie (POST 6) at 10-1 trained by Kasey Willis with Gonzalo Gutierrez is a mid-range price from post 6. Willis also trains Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7) in Race 7. At 10-1, Bad N Bourgeoisie (POST 6) is an exotic inclusion at minimum.
Nyx At Nite (POST 5) at 10-1 trained by Edward Ross Hardy with Christian Esqueda sits at post 5 from a mid-price morning line. At 10-1 with Christian Esqueda up, this horse needs to outrun its odds substantially.
Longshots
Country High (POST 2) at 12-1 trained by Michelle Hurdle with Javier Hernandez-Gallardo. Rippin Lindy (POST 10) at 15-1 trained by Joe M. Davis with Edwin G. Escobedo draws the extreme outside post. La Reyna Del Surr (POST 8) at 20-1 trained by Valerie Torres with Jasten Pedraza. Uno Ojo (POST 1) at 20-1 trained by Stacey Capps with Aram S. Martinez — Capps has the extreme inside and Stephanie Rosie (POST 9) at the same meeting, spreading across the field.
Selections
Win: Mannfredi (POST 7) Place: Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) Show: Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4)
Betting Strategy: The 4-1 co-second choices from posts 3 and 4 adjacent to each other create a logical exacta structure: Mannfredi (POST 7) over Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) and Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4). Also play Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) over Mannfredi (POST 7) as the upset exacta. Trifecta: Mannfredi (POST 7) on top, Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) and Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4) second, with Stephanie Rosie (POST 9) and Bad N Bourgeoisie (POST 6) in third.
RACE 10 — Post 4:45 PM (3:45 MT) — 300f | Dirt | S | Md Sp Wt | BUN | Purse $18,500
The finale is a ten-horse maiden special weight at 300 feet, closing the card with one of the more competitive maiden events of the afternoon. Cyber Star (POST 1) at 2-1 trained by Dee Keener with Mario Delgado is the rail horse and morning line favorite. Tiny Temptress (POST 6) at 3-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Jorge Torres is the second choice. Keener, who sent out the top two in Race 5, adds the 2-1 morning line choice in the finale.
Pace Analysis
Ten horses in a maiden special weight at 300 feet to close the card is an excellent betting opportunity. Cyber Star (POST 1) from the rail is a strong morning line choice but the rail in a ten-horse field at 300 feet can be problematic if traffic develops. Tiny Temptress (POST 6) from post 6 is ideally positioned at this distance in a ten-horse field.
Key Contenders
Cyber Star (POST 1) at 2-1 trained by Dee Keener with Mario Delgado. Keener having the top choice in both Race 5 and Race 10 makes this trainer the dominant force on the closing portion of the card. Delgado steps off Another Rownd (POST 9) in Race 4 to ride the morning line favorite here, suggesting where his primary commitments lie. Post 1 at 300 feet in a ten-horse field is a risk — if any horse breaks sharply to the inside, Cyber Star (POST 1) could face traffic.
Tiny Temptress (POST 6) at 3-1 trained by Stacy Charette-Hill with Jorge Torres is ideally positioned from post 6. Charette-Hill has Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) in Race 7 and Jh Blood Sweatandtear (POST 1) in Race 2, running three horses across the card. The 3-1 morning line from an excellent post position makes Tiny Temptress (POST 6) a compelling play.
Secondary Choices
Corona Blood Rights (POST 7) at 4-1 trained by Maria Elisa A. Rodriguez with Cordarelton J. Benn. Rodriguez also trains Fantastic Wagon 07 (POST 1) in Race 8. Benn taking a 4-1 mount in the finale of a maiden special weight is worth noting — when the leading rider takes a morning line mid-price horse in the last race, the barn often has strong morning gate times supporting the engagement.
Uptowne Patriot (POST 4) at 12-1 trained by Guillermo Valdivia with Bryan Candanosa is a longer price from a good post position. Valdivia has runners throughout the card and at 12-1, Uptowne Patriot (POST 4) represents a potential value play if this horse has shown morning improvement.
Streakin Laico Bull (POST 9) at 15-1 trained by Sonny Ward with Erik N. Esqueda is at the edge of the outside from a long price. The name “Streakin” in a Quarter Horse's name often indicates descent from the Streakin Six or similar influential speed lines, which could be relevant at 300 feet.
Longshots
Zees Desperado (POST 2) at 20-1 trained by Thearon Talley with Christian Esqueda. Miss Ds Wagon (POST 3) at 15-1 trained by Hernesto Ramirez with Roman Cruz — Cruz taking a 15-1 mount in the finale is unusual for a rider typically engaged on shorter-priced horses. Can U Paint (POST 5) at 20-1 trained by David Ridgeway with Randy Vega. Ds Susy (POST 8) at 15-1 trained by Jose Chavez with Jacob Cardenas. Kiss Me Jess (POST 10) at 15-1 trained by Samuel E. Valdivia with Cody Rodger Smith from the extreme outside post.
Selections
Win: Tiny Temptress (POST 6) Place: Cyber Star (POST 1) Show: Corona Blood Rights (POST 7)
Betting Strategy: Upgrade Tiny Temptress (POST 6) to the top of the win bet based on the superior post position compared to Cyber Star (POST 1) at equivalent morning line pricing. The exacta between Tiny Temptress (POST 6) and Cyber Star (POST 1) in both orders is the primary ticket. Add Corona Blood Rights (POST 7) in all trifecta positions. This race has the potential for a strong trifecta payout if one of the mid-priced horses from a good post position outbreaks the two top choices.
Jockey Notes and Insights
Cordarelton J. Benn is among the most active riders on today's card with mounts in Races 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, and 10. The sheer volume of his engagements makes it important to identify where his strongest opportunities lie. His assignments on Wired Bb (POST 3) in Race 2, Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) in Race 3, and My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4) in Race 4 stand out as his most significant mounts of the afternoon in terms of trainer placement and morning line pricing. When Benn takes a morning line longshot like Sayy Whenn (POST 6) in Race 5 or Monkey King (POST 10) in Race 6, those should be noted but not heavily invested.
Roman Cruz is equally active across the card with mounts in Races 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, and 10. Cruz on Wired Bb (POST 3) in Race 2 — wait, Benn has that mount — Cruz rides Eyesa Fancy Fling (POST 6) in Race 4, Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) in Race 5, Famous Won (POST 7) in Race 6, and Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4) in Race 9. Cruz's engagement on the 2-1 favorite Famous Won (POST 7) in Race 6 is his most prominent assignment of the afternoon.
Jorge Torres has key mounts on Jh Blood Sweatandtear (POST 1) in Race 2, Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) in Race 5, Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) in Race 7, Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) in Race 8, and Tiny Temptress (POST 6) in Race 10. Torres riding the 2-1 morning line favorite in both Race 7 and the closing Race 10 makes him one of the busiest and most consequential riders on the second half of this card.
Mario Delgado rides Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in Race 3, Another Rownd (POST 9) in Race 4, Topsy To The Top (POST 4) in Race 6, I Am A Candy Tree (POST 4) in Race 7, and Mannfredi (POST 7) in Race 9, plus the finale Cyber Star (POST 1) in Race 10. Delgado on Mannfredi (POST 7) in Race 9 — the 2-1 morning line favorite — and Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in Race 3 are his key mounts.
Edwin G. Escobedo takes Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) in Race 1, Hot Wired Fish (POST 2) in Race 2, Blood E Fast (POST 8) in Race 4, Cd Slate Wagon (POST 1) in Race 6, Rr Sweet Memories (POST 3) in Race 7, and Rippin Lindy (POST 10) in Race 9. His most important mount is Blood E Fast (POST 8) in Race 4 as the 2-1 morning line favorite.
Erik N. Esqueda rides Inner G (POST 4) in Race 2, Fasterthanmybrothers (POST 6) in Race 7, Lil Jess Nippin (POST 9) in Race 6, and Streakin Laico Bull (POST 9) in Race 10. Esqueda and Christian Esqueda may be related or unrelated — both appear on the card, with Christian Esqueda taking Cheap Jammer (POST 7) in Race 5 and Zees Desperado (POST 2) in Race 10.
Bryan Candanosa has TURNPIKE SPECIAL (POST 1) in Race 1, Ca Dynasty (POST 8) in Race 3, Jess Wona Rock (POST 9) in Race 5, Cd Christie James (POST 7) in Race 8, Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) in Race 9, and Uptowne Patriot (POST 4) in Race 10. His engagement on Ca Dynasty (POST 8) in Race 3 from the outside post despite the 3-1 morning line is his most consequential ride.
Gonzalo Gutierrez rides throughout the card including Jt Apollitical Dee (POST 4) in Race 1, Ferry Handsome Man (POST 7) in Race 4, Ms Ranger (POST 2) in Race 6, Shez An Outgoing Gal (POST 7) in Race 7, Dont Give A Rip (POST 4) in Race 8, and Bad N Bourgeoisie (POST 6) in Race 9. His assignment on Ms Ranger (POST 2) in Race 6 at 3-1 is the highlight.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Stacy Charette-Hill operates as one of the more active and successful trainers on the WRD circuit. With entries in Races 2, 3, 7, and 10, Charette-Hill presents Jh Blood Sweatandtear (POST 1) in Race 2, Lookin Famous Df (POST 6) in Race 3, Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) in Race 7, and Tiny Temptress (POST 6) in Race 10. The trainer's decision to put Jorge Torres on Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) in Race 7 at 2-1 and Tiny Temptress (POST 6) in Race 10 at 3-1 suggests strong confidence in both entries.
Dee Keener fields double entries in both Race 5 (Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) and Eclipse Rarity (POST 1)) and the Race 10 favorite Cyber Star (POST 1). Three horses across two races from one trainer is an unusually active presence, and when a trainer sends multiple horses in the same race, the stronger performance from the barn is often indicated by the lower morning line odds — Kissimmee Bay (POST 4) at 2-1 over Eclipse Rarity (POST 1) at 3-1 in Race 5.
Joe M. Davis runs Cd Slate Wagon (POST 1) in Race 6, Cd Christie James (POST 7) in Race 8, and Rippin Lindy (POST 10) in Race 9, in addition to being the trainer of Blood E Fast (POST 8) in Race 4 as the morning line favorite. Davis is one of the more prominent multiple-entry trainers on today's card.
Juan J. Gomez trains Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) in Race 1 — wait, Gomez trains Jt Apollitical Dee (POST 4) in Race 1 — along with Wired Bb (POST 3) in Race 2 and Ajs Green Eagle (POST 5) in Race 5. His engagement of Benn on Wired Bb (POST 3) in Race 2 is his primary opportunity.
Abel Aguilar runs Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) and Clutch Shot (POST 3) in Race 1 as a stable entry situation. The trainer double in a seven-horse field gives Aguilar a significant statistical advantage, covering two of the top three morning line positions.
Justin W. Joiner trains Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in Race 3 and Mannfredi (POST 7) in Race 9 — both are morning line favorites in their respective races. When a trainer has two race-day favorites on the same card, one is typically the “best bet” of the afternoon. The stronger case can be made for Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in the allowance condition at Race 3, where the purse is higher and the class of opponent may be slightly more manageable.
Luis Villafranco has an extremely active card with Paulino 27 (POST 2) in Race 5, My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4) in Race 4, Fasterthanmybrothers (POST 6) in Race 7, Squeakies Toy (POST 8) in Race 6, Kvnferrarigirl (POST 5) in Race 8, and Kandu Corona (POST 8) in Race 8, plus Uptowne Patriot (POST 4) in Race 10. The trainer is spreading horses across the card, and identifying his primary bet is challenging — My Kind Of Fancy (POST 4) at 6-1 in Race 4 with Benn may be the spot.
Stacey Capps trains Tempting Seis (POST 3) in Race 3, Yonderway (POST 3) in Race 4, Our Special Shake (POST 5) in Race 6, Stephanie Rosie (POST 9) in Race 9, and Uno Ojo (POST 1) in Race 9. Tempting Seis (POST 3) at 4-1 in the Race 3 allowance is Capps' best opportunity.
Valerie Torres trains Hotwire Silos (POST 7) in Race 1, Ka Chow 1 (POST 3) in Race 5, Cartels Gold Feature (POST 6) in Race 6, La Reyna Del Surr (POST 8) in Race 9. Hotwire Silos (POST 7) at 4-1 in Race 1 is the trainer's most prominent entry.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The ten-race WRD card today offers strong opportunities across multiple wagering structures. Here are the key angles and value plays to focus on:
WIN BET OF THE DAY: Jess Down Candy (POST 2) in Race 3 at 2-1 is the most solid-looking morning line favorite on the card. The Justin W. Joiner barn has two favorites today, and the allowance condition in Race 3 provides the best combination of class, post position (post 2 at 300 feet is ideal), and jockey engagement. This is the foundation of a parlay if Jess Down Candy (POST 2) wins early.
VALUE PLAY OF THE DAY: Tiny Temptress (POST 6) in Race 10 at 3-1 from post 6 in a ten-horse maiden special weight is the best overlay candidate on the card. While Cyber Star (POST 1) is installed as the 2-1 morning line choice for the same Dee Keener barn that dominated Race 5, the rail post in a ten-horse field at 300 feet carries real risk. Tiny Temptress (POST 6) trained by the well-regarded Charette-Hill from post 6 at 3-1 is a strong win candidate and excellent exotic foundation.
LONGSHOT OF THE DAY: Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) in Race 3 at 8-1 with Cordarelton J. Benn. When the leading rider takes an 8-1 mount in an allowance race, the possibility of an overlay exists. The exacta combining Jess Down Candy (POST 2) over Duanes Gold Wagon (POST 4) at 8-1 could provide significant value.
PICK 3 STRUCTURE (Races 7-8-9): Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) with Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) in Race 7, Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) with Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) in Race 8, and Mannfredi (POST 7) with Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) in Race 9 creates a 2-2-2 Pick 3 for 8 combinations. At $1 each, this costs $8 for a Pick 3 spanning three solid races with clear morning line preferences.
PICK 5 STRUCTURE (Races 6-7-8-9-10): For a closing Pick 5 beginning in Race 6, structure as follows — Famous Won (POST 7) and Ms Ranger (POST 2) in Race 6, Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) and Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) in Race 7, Jess Duanes Capo (POST 2) and Queens Royal Ride (POST 6) in Race 8, Mannfredi (POST 7) and Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) in Race 9, Tiny Temptress (POST 6) and Cyber Star (POST 1) in Race 10. This 2-2-2-2-2 structure creates 32 combinations. At $0.50 base, this Pick 5 costs $16 and covers all the primary and secondary choices in the closing sequence.
EXACTA OF THE DAY: Race 7 exacta between Kissin Mary Ann (POST 1) and Pyc Fancy Wagon (POST 2) in both orders. The two top choices from adjacent posts in a seven-horse allowance race where the same trainer (Charette-Hill) holds the favorite is as clean a head-to-head exacta situation as this card offers. At combined morning line odds of 2-1 and 3-1, the exacta payout should be workable in both directions.
TRIFECTA OF THE DAY: Race 9 — Mannfredi (POST 7) on top, Bluegrass Fancy (POST 3) and Wrs Cyber Sam (POST 4) in second, with Stephanie Rosie (POST 9), Bad N Bourgeoisie (POST 6), and Nyx At Nite (POST 5) in third. The two co-second choices at 4-1 from adjacent posts provide an interesting trifecta base, and including mid-priced runners from post 5, 6, and 9 in third gives coverage for a healthy payout. A $1 trifecta part-wheel on this structure runs approximately $12 and could return significantly in a full field.
TRAINER ANGLE: Abel Aguilar's double entry of Mz Jayhawk (POST 2) and Clutch Shot (POST 3) in Race 1 creates the most lopsided training advantage on the card. With two of the three morning line favorites coming from the same barn in a seven-horse field, any straight win bet on this race should consider the boxed exacta between posts 2 and 3 as an adjunct wager. The 2-1 and 3-1 morning line prices for both create an exacta that may pay $8-$12 for a $2 ticket depending on pool development — worth a small investment given the near-certainty that one of these two horses will hit the board.
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