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Woodbine – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the September 13, 2026 card

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The Pick Pony Handicapper's Report is published daily and provides analysis of all races on the card. A Pick Pony analyst prepares the report, so selections may differ from the Pick Pony Expert Picks, which are based on the consensus of all Pick Pony analysts.

 

Race Day Overview

Sunday, September 13, 2026 brings a rich 12-race card to Woodbine Racetrack, the day after one of the most celebrated afternoons in recent Canadian racing history. Saturday's Woodbine Turf Festival delivered four Breeders' Cup “Win and You're In” qualifiers, with Notable Speech defending his Woodbine Mile title, Gimme a Nother taking the E.P. Taylor Stakes, Voyager capturing the Natalma Stakes, and Godolphin's Al Hudaiba winning the Summer Stakes. The energy from that extraordinary Saturday card carries into Sunday, and while today's program is decidedly more workmanlike, it is a full and deep card that presents genuine handicapping opportunities across all surfaces.

Today's card spans Woodbine's main dirt track and both turf courses, with the inner turf and main turf both active. The card features a pair of $150,000 stakes races — the Bull Page Stakes for older males going 1 4/16 miles on dirt (Race 7) and the Victoria Queen Stakes for older fillies and mares on dirt (Race 9) — as well as the $150,000 Belfountain Stakes at 1 5/16 miles on the Woodbine Polytrack (Race 10). These three stakes anchor an otherwise claiming and maiden-heavy undercard that offers value opportunities throughout. The two maiden special weight turf events (Races 3, 5, and 6) round out the opportunities for overlay hunting, particularly in the full fields where pace scenarios become unpredictable. Woodbine's meet has been productive for certain barn and jockey combinations who bear watching across this card.

Churchill Downs also ran graded action yesterday with Manuka Honey and Salahoudin kicking off the Roads to the Kentucky Derby and Oaks, which signals the broader shift in the sport's calendar toward autumn championship racing. Woodbine's meet is in its final stretch, which often produces sharpened form from horses that have found their best footing on these surfaces.

Weather and Track Conditions

September weather in the Toronto area has been mild and partly cloudy heading into this weekend. Forecasts for Sunday, September 13 indicate mostly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s Fahrenheit, with low probability of meaningful precipitation. The main dirt track should be rated fast or good, having had the benefit of Saturday's card traffic and overnight maintenance. Woodbine's Polytrack surface at the main course tends to play consistently regardless of weather, and conditions there are expected to be standard. The inner turf course hosted the Natalma Stakes on Saturday and is expected to be rated good to firm for Sunday's program, with the heavy foot traffic from Saturday's graded card potentially softening the going slightly in high-traffic zones. The E.P. Taylor turf course saw significant use Saturday as well but is expected to hold up acceptably for today's card.

Track and Post Position Bias

Woodbine's main dirt strip tends to reward pace-pressing and stalking types when the surface is rated fast, with pure front-runners occasionally vulnerable in routes as closers get a clean shot off a true pace. Rail posts on the dirt are not typically a significant advantage or disadvantage at Woodbine, though in the sprint distance (Race 1 at 1 1/16 miles), inside posts can save ground meaningfully.

The Woodbine Polytrack (used in Race 10's Belfountain Stakes) is a synthetic surface that favors closers and middle-of-the-pack stalkers more than pure front-runners, particularly at longer distances. Posts tend to be fairly neutral on the Polytrack at the 1 5/16-mile distance, though inside posts can help a horse save ground in the early turns.

The Woodbine inner turf course tends to favor horses with tactical speed and the ability to settle behind the pace. In maiden turf events with large fields such as Races 3 and 6, post position matters more because the first turn comes up quickly and wide posts can cost several lengths early. At the 1 5/16-mile distance on the main turf (Race 10), rail bias can emerge if the course has been sealed or if moisture has firmed the outside portions of the track. Today's inner turf (Races 2, 5, and 11) at 1 1/16 miles and 1 3/16 miles rewards horses that can settle midpack and accelerate in the stretch. Rail-skimming late-running types can excel, making posts one through four particularly relevant in those fields.

RACE 1 — Post (1:00) — 1320f | D | C | Clm 7500n2l | BUN | Purse $29,600

This is a 6 1/2-furlong claiming sprint on the main dirt for non-winners of two lifetime, set at the $7,500 claiming tag. This is the lowest claiming level on today's card and features horses with modest back class who are competing for a modest purse. With two co-morning-line favorites at 2-1, the race projects as a competitive sprint with a multi-horse pace scenario that could set up for a closer.

Pace Analysis

Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) and Good To Be Lucky (POST 6) share co-favorite billing at 2-1, and both figure to be involved forwardly. If either — or both — show early speed, the pace figures to be honest to hot for this level, which opens the door for Screen Scene (POST 5) at 3-1 to come from off the pace. Maynard's Song (POST 3) at 4-1 is the other horse to watch for early positioning. The pace setup looks contested, which should shape a result favoring a horse that can press but also sustain its run.

Key Contenders

Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) trained by Robert P. Tiller, one of Woodbine's most reliable trainers at the claiming level, is the logical top choice. Tiller excels at placing horses accurately at this level and understanding what a horse needs to produce its best effort. The 2-1 morning line reflects solid public confidence. Ramsay Maragh in the irons is a significant positive — Maragh ranks among the top Woodbine jockeys in terms of win percentage and is always dangerous in short sprint fields. If Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) can get a clean break from post 2 and settle into a stalking spot behind any early speed, this horse is the one to beat.

Screen Scene (POST 5) trained by Krista Cole, who operates a tight ship at Woodbine and knows the claiming game well, is the other primary contender. Christoff Douglas is assigned and is a competent rider at this track. The 3-1 morning line suggests handicappers see this as a live horse that may find a favorable pace scenario if Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) and Good To Be Lucky (POST 6) press each other.

Secondary Choices

Good To Be Lucky (POST 6) for trainer Philip Hall, who maintains a consistent operation at Woodbine, draws the outside post in a six-horse field. At 2-1 with Keveh Nicholls up, this horse is priced the same as the Tiller runner, suggesting a genuine question of which horse is the faster type. Hall has had success at this claiming level and knows how to have horses ready. The outside post in a six-horse sprint is not ideal, though in a race where the pace looks hot, being on the outside can sometimes allow a horse to settle without getting involved in early duels.

Maynard's Song (POST 3) for Devon Gittens with Edgar Zenteno up at 4-1 deserves inclusion as a horse that could press from a favorable post position and not be completely discarded if the pace gets hot. Gittens is a capable conditioner at this level.

Longshots

Halcon Negro (POST 4) for George Billers with Jeffrey Ian Alderson aboard at 6-1 is worth monitoring if there is a price spike, as Alderson is a competent journeyman rider. Black Goddess (POST 1) at 20-1 for trainer Carlton Teape with Jalon L. Samuel is a significant underlay at the morning line odds and does not figure to generate much action unless there is a significant change in the horse's form profile from her recent history at this level.

Betting Strategy

This sprint sets up as a pace meltdown candidate if Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) and Good To Be Lucky (POST 6) both show speed. Screen Scene (POST 5) at 3-1 is the value overlay if the pace duel materializes. A win bet on Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) is the safer play given Tiller-Maragh's consistent production. Exotics should include exacta boxes with Switchin' To Glide (POST 2), Screen Scene (POST 5), and Maynard's Song (POST 3), with the key being whether the pace meltdown actually develops.

Selections

Win: Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) Place: Screen Scene (POST 5) Show: Maynard's Song (POST 3)

RACE 2 — Post (1:30) — 1870f | t | C | Clm 25000b | BUN | Purse $57,000

This is a 1 3/16-mile inner turf claiming event at the $25,000 claiming tag with a buy-back option, carrying a solid $57,000 purse. Seven horses contest this route, and with three co-favorites in the morning line, this figures to be a competitive, multi-dimensional pace scenario on the turf.

Pace Analysis

Accelerando (POST 1) and Thundermaker (POST 5) are co-favorites at 2-1, with Delta Force (POST 2) next at 3-1. At 1 3/16 miles on the inner turf, pace tends to be more measured, with horses settling into position quickly given the tighter turns of the inner course. Three co-favorites or near-favorites creates genuine uncertainty, and the pace figures to be moderate to honest. Accelerando (POST 1) from the rail and Delta Force (POST 2) both figure to be involved early. Thundermaker (POST 5) from post 5 may have a cleaner trip stalking from midpack.

Key Contenders

Thundermaker (POST 5) trained by Kevin Attard is the horse that most excites at this level. Attard is one of Woodbine's premier trainers and has an excellent strike rate at the claiming level and routes on the turf. Pietro Moran, listed as the jockey, is a capable rider who has been working steadily on this meet. The 2-1 morning line is likely a fair reflection of the horse's ability, but Attard's horsemanship and the favorable post position could make this a near-certain contender. At 1 3/16 miles on the inner turf, Attard's horses tend to be well-prepared for route distances.

Accelerando (POST 1) trained by William Tharrenos with Ryan Munger up at 2-1 is the rail horse and has the advantage of the shortest path around the inner turf. Tharrenos is a consistent presence at Woodbine and Accelerando (POST 1) figures to get an uncontested lead or near-lead from the rail, which can be decisive on the inner turf if the pace is honest but not suicidal.

Secondary Choices

Delta Force (POST 2) for Donald C. MacRae with Jose Luis Campos aboard at 3-1 is a legitimate contender. MacRae knows the Woodbine turf game well and Delta Force (POST 2) from post 2 figures to have first run and a clean trip. Campos has been a productive rider at this meet and can manage a turf horse well.

Motion Granted (POST 3) for Nathan Squires with David Moran up at 6-1 could be a value play if this horse has demonstrated ability at this distance and surface.

Longshots

King Rosso (POST 6) for Kerron Palmer with Christoff Douglas at 8-1 draws a manageable outside post and could get a wide trip that suits if the rail is soft. Mia Mitole (POST 4) for Marjorie Paterson with Jodeien Anderson at 12-1 and Remarkably Human (POST 7) for Zelko Krczmar with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 12-1 are both longshots that would need help from the pace setup and trouble from the favorites to get involved.

Betting Strategy

Thundermaker (POST 5) is the play on top with Accelerando (POST 1) underneath. Exacta key Thundermaker (POST 5) over Accelerando (POST 1) and Delta Force (POST 2). The trifecta box with those three at reasonable cost is appropriate given the competitive morning line spread.

Selections

Win: Thundermaker (POST 5) Place: Accelerando (POST 1) Show: Delta Force (POST 2)

RACE 3 — Post (2:05) — 1540f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $125,500

An eight-horse maiden special weight event for fillies on the main turf at 1 1/16 miles. This is a $125,500 purse that attracts quality maiden fillies, and with the Cox barn sending two horses and the Attard barn doing the same, this shapes up as a fascinating battle of barns on the turf.

Pace Analysis

Epic Affair (POST 3) is the 2-1 morning line favorite with the backing of trainer Gail Cox and jockey Ryan Munger. Cox also sends Classic Lines (POST 2), which creates an interesting internal barn dynamic. In maiden turf events at 1 1/16 miles, pace tends to be honest rather than fast, with horses often going wide on the first turn from outside posts. The pace figures to be honest-to-moderate, which should set up for a horse with a late turn-of-foot.

Key Contenders

Epic Affair (POST 3) for Gail Cox with Ryan Munger up at 2-1 is the clear morning line choice and deserves its favoritism. Cox is a respected trainer at Woodbine with strong credentials on the turf, and the post-3 draw in an eight-horse field is manageable. Munger is a capable jockey who has been finding the winner's circle on this meet. Epic Affair (POST 3) figures to be close to the early pace and should have the tactical speed to run its race without trouble.

Klassen (POST 1) for Kevin Attard at 3-1 with Luis R. Reyes is the second choice and draws the rail in an eight-horse turf field. Attard's success on the Woodbine turf is well-documented, and rail posts can be advantageous at this distance if the horse can save ground. Reyes is capable on the turf and can ride the rail effectively.

Secondary Choices

Glorious Gem (POST 7) for Dale A. Desruisseaux with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 6-1 is the price play in this field. Hernandez has been very productive on this meet and this horse draws post 7, which is manageable in an eight-horse field at a route distance. Any Oscar (POST 5) for Josie Carroll with Emma Jayne Wilson at 8-1 is worth considering — Carroll is one of Woodbine's most accomplished trainers and Wilson is an elite jockey at this track who knows how to ride a turf route. Carroll-Wilson is a combination that should never be dismissed.

Ginny's Souper (POST 6) for Mark Casse with Fraser Aebly at 8-1 represents the Casse barn's first runner in this field. Casse is a perennial Woodbine training champion and any runner he sends out deserves attention.

Longshots

Classic Lines (POST 2) for Gail Cox at 4-1 is technically a secondary choice but draws a favorable post and could outrun the morning line if Epic Affair (POST 3) struggles. Cox rarely sends two horses into the same race without confidence in both. Her Sequel (POST 4) for Kevin Attard at 20-1 with Eswan Flores is the second Attard runner and is presumably the barn's secondary entry, though Attard could spring a surprise. Humble And Kind (POST 8) for Mark Casse at 10-1 with Sahin Civaci is the outside post runner and would need a perfect trip to get involved from post 8 in a one-turn turf route.

Betting Strategy

Epic Affair (POST 3) is the win play but at 2-1 the price is thin. Carroll-Wilson with Any Oscar (POST 5) at 8-1 is the overlay, and a key on top in exactas makes sense. Trifecta structure: use Epic Affair (POST 3) and Any Oscar (POST 5) on top, with Klassen (POST 1), Glorious Gem (POST 7), and Ginny's Souper (POST 6) underneath to fill out the ticket.

Selections

Win: Epic Affair (POST 3) Place: Klassen (POST 1) Show: Any Oscar (POST 5)

RACE 4 — Post (2:38) — 1210f | D | MO | Moc 40000 | AON | Purse $71,700

A 6-furlong maiden optional claiming event at $40,000 on the main dirt for 3-year-olds and up. Seven horses contest this race, with two co-favorites at 2-1 in Magical Trickster (POST 3) and Northern King (POST 6). Notably, Northern King (POST 6) represents the Tharrenos barn, which also saddles Signature Winner (POST 2), making this another two-runner barn situation.

Pace Analysis

In a six-furlong sprint on the main dirt, pace is the critical variable. With two 2-1 favorites, the public expects a close finish between two capable horses. The pace figures to be honest as multiple horses will be seeking positions close to the front. Wasteland (POST 5) at 6-1 and Baytown Thracian (POST 4) at 8-1 could add to the early pressure, which could set up for one of the more stalking-style runners.

Key Contenders

Magical Trickster (POST 3) for Julia Carey with Emma Jayne Wilson at 2-1 is one of the co-favorites. Wilson is among Woodbine's top riders and gives any horse a chance. Carey is a capable trainer who has turned out winners at this level. Post 3 in a seven-horse sprint is very favorable — no wide trip and no rail bias issues. This is a properly placed horse from a strong jockey-trainer combination.

Northern King (POST 6) for William Tharrenos at 2-1 with Jeffrey Ian Alderson is the Tharrenos barn's primary entry. Tharrenos consistently produces sharp horses at maiden claiming level and Northern King (POST 6) from post 6 has enough room to find a spot. The question is whether Alderson can navigate around potential pace trouble and get this horse in position to finish.

Secondary Choices

Signature Winner (POST 2) for William Tharrenos at 4-1 with Kirk Johnson is the barn's second entry. At 4-1 it offers a slight overlay if the barn's primary runner (NORTHERN KING, POST 6) struggles. Johnson is a steady rider at Woodbine. Wasteland (POST 5) for Abraham R. Katryan with Jose Luis Campos at 6-1 is another horse to include — Campos has been riding effectively this meet and Katryan is capable of sneaking a winner through at this level.

Longshots

Baytown Thracian (POST 4) for Paul McEntee with Ramsay Maragh at 8-1 is interesting given that Maragh is an elite jockey — the odds may reflect a horse with some form issues, but Maragh will put him in a winning position if possible. The Pendulumswings (POST 7) for Philip Hall at 8-1 with Prayven Badrie is an outside post runner that would need a clean trip and a pace meltdown to get involved. Hypnotizm (POST 1) for Philip Hall at 12-1 with Xarel Forde from the rail in a sprint is not well-positioned to overcome a significant class question at this morning line.

Betting Strategy

Magical Trickster (POST 3) with Emma Jayne Wilson is the play on top. The Carey-Wilson combination is strong. Exacta: Magical Trickster (POST 3) over Northern King (POST 6) and Signature Winner (POST 2). Consider a small trifecta with Wasteland (POST 5) rounding out the ticket.

Selections

Win: Magical Trickster (POST 3) Place: Northern King (POST 6) Show: Signature Winner (POST 2)

RACE 5 — Post (3:10) — 1760f | t | S | Md Sp Wt | BUN | Purse $125,500

A seven-horse maiden special weight event on the inner turf at 1 1/16 miles for colts and geldings. This is a high-purse maiden event that typically draws quality horses, and the Attard and Casse barns are both represented.

Pace Analysis

No Hay Dos (POST 1) and Moon Channel (POST 3) are co-favorites at 2-1 each, making this the third co-favorite situation on the card. At 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf, the rail post for No Hay Dos (POST 1) is useful in saving ground but can also cause interference issues at the first turn if multiple horses look to be close to the pace. Moon Channel (POST 3) from post 3 has a cleaner look in a seven-horse field. The pace should be moderate to honest, and both favorites may stalk rather than lead.

Key Contenders

No Hay Dos (POST 1) for Kevin Attard with Pietro Moran at 2-1 is the logical choice given Attard's mastery of the Woodbine turf. The rail post is a double-edged sword, but Moran is experienced enough to work out of that position cleanly. Attard's turf maidens are often well-prepared and first-out runners from his barn deserve respect on the turf.

Moon Channel (POST 3) for Katerina Vassilieva with Ryan Munger at 2-1 is the public's co-selection. Vassilieva is a trainer to note at Woodbine, and Munger provides capable guidance. Post 3 in a seven-horse inner turf event is very favorable — clean trip, no wide runs, easy to find a stalking spot.

Secondary Choices

Smokin Empire (POST 6) for Mark Casse with Fraser Aebly at 4-1 is the Casse barn's primary runner and deserves significant respect. Casse-trained turf maidens frequently outperform their morning lines, and Aebly has been aboard some live Casse horses this meet. Copa De Plata (POST 5) for Mark Casse at 6-1 with Rafael Manuel Hernandez gives the Casse barn a second shot. With two horses in this race, Casse could be sending one as the primary and one as a stalking horse in the betting, but both should be respected.

Longshots

Baltic Sea (POST 2) for Patrick Dixon with Christoff Douglas at 8-1 is a price horse that could benefit from an inside post if the pace develops favorably. Forever Frosty (POST 7) for Hannah C. Sprenger with Sahin Civaci at 8-1 draws the outside post in this seven-horse field — a manageable wide post at a route distance but one that requires a clean break. Chasing Memories (POST 4) for Amanda J. Cameron with Jeffrey Ian Alderson at 20-1 is a significant longshot that would need a complete scenario reversal to threaten.

Betting Strategy

Both Attard and Casse are formidable barns on the Woodbine inner turf, and the two-to-two barn matchup creates genuine uncertainty. No Hay Dos (POST 1) is the play on top given Attard's track record, but Smokin Empire (POST 6) at 4-1 may be the value. An exacta box of No Hay Dos (POST 1), Moon Channel (POST 3), and Smokin Empire (POST 6) covers the most likely outcomes at a reasonable price.

Selections

Win: No Hay Dos (POST 1) Place: Smokin Empire (POST 6) Show: Moon Channel (POST 3)

RACE 6 — Post (3:42) — 1540f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | AON | Purse $125,500

A full 12-horse maiden special weight on the main Woodbine turf at 1 1/16 miles for 3-year-olds and up. This is one of the most complex races on the card given the field size. The Casse barn sends four horses — Classy Guest (POST 4), Ghostface (POST 7), True North Star (POST 11), and BUNYAN from Attard (POST 12). This is an outstanding betting race with a wide range of prices.

Pace Analysis

In a 12-horse turf maiden, pace scenarios are notoriously difficult to predict. Multiple horses from wide posts will be shuffled back on the first turn, and the pace could be anything from a crawl to a stampede. True North Star (POST 11) at 3-1 and Ghostface (POST 7) at 4-1 are the morning line leaders, with Samaritan Trail (POST 8) at 5-1 close behind. The pace figures to be moderate at most, which rewards horses with tactical speed that can settle close to the leaders without exerting too much early energy.

Key Contenders

True North Star (POST 11) for Mark Casse with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 3-1 is the morning line favorite in this event. Hernandez has been a top performer on this meet and Casse routinely sends sharp turf maidens. Post 11 in a 12-horse turf field is challenging — Hernandez will need to angle for position early. However, Casse-trained horses often have the class to overcome wide trips if they are fit and ready.

Ghostface (POST 7) for Mark Casse with Sahin Civaci at 4-1 is the barn's second runner and draws a much more favorable post. Post 7 in a 12-horse field allows a mid-field stalking position without burning energy. Civaci has been solid on this meet and this horse could represent the best of the Casse contingent given the cleaner trip scenario.

Secondary Choices

Samaritan Trail (POST 8) for Josie Carroll with Fraser Aebly at 5-1 is the most compelling value angle in this race. Carroll and Aebly are a productive combination on Woodbine's turf, and post 8 in a 12-horse field is manageable at a route distance. Carroll's turf horses are typically well-prepared and Aebly tends to find winning positions. This horse at 5-1 in a wide-open maiden with four Casse runners splitting public money could be an overlay.

Bunyan (POST 12) for Kevin Attard with Pietro Moran at 6-1 draws the outside post in a 12-horse field. Moran and Attard together on the main turf deserve attention — Attard's maiden turf horses are sharp and Moran will work to find the best possible trip from post 12.

Longshots

Merckx (POST 2) for Dale A. Desruisseaux with Jose Luis Campos at 8-1 draws a favorable inside post and could benefit from early positioning. Tiz A Quest (POST 9) for Rachel Halden with Jeffrey Ian Alderson at 12-1 is a longer price that could outrun the morning line if the pace scenario sets up. Jack Sparrow (POST 1) for Steven Chircop with Ryan Munger at 10-1 gets the rail in a 12-horse turf field — mixed blessing, but Munger is capable of using that post effectively. Classy Guest (POST 4) for Casse at 15-1 draws a good post but is presumably the third-best of the Casse runners. Shades Of Silver (POST 3) for Rachel Halden at 20-1, Sunny's Rainbow (POST 5) for Michael P. DePaulo at 20-1, Appointed Talent (POST 6) for Ryan A. Jones at 20-1, and Arkin (POST 10) for Amanda J. Cameron at 20-1 are all at the maximum morning line price and are unlikely to figure unless a significant pace collapse develops.

Betting Strategy

With four Casse horses splitting the pool and a Josie Carroll runner at 5-1, this race screams value through Samaritan Trail (POST 8). The best play structurally is to key Samaritan Trail (POST 8) over the Casse runners in exactas, accepting that one of the Casse horses will likely fill out the ticket. Trifecta: use Samaritan Trail (POST 8) and Ghostface (POST 7) on top with True North Star (POST 11), Bunyan (POST 12), and Merckx (POST 2) underneath.

Selections

Win: Ghostface (POST 7) Place: Samaritan Trail (POST 8) Show: True North Star (POST 11)

RACE 7 — Post (4:14) — 1430f | D | N | BullPageB150k | AOC | Purse $150,000

The Bull Page Stakes at 7/8 miles on the main dirt is the first of today's stakes events and carries a $150,000 purse. Six horses contest this allowance optional claiming stakes, with Souper Survivor (POST 1) as the even-money morning line favorite and Longshot Leo (POST 2) at 2-1.

Pace Analysis

The Bull Page is a sprint stakes at 7/8 miles on the main dirt, and pace will be critical. Souper Survivor (POST 1) from the rail is likely to be close to or on the pace. Longshot Leo (POST 2) at 2-1 from post 2 is also expected to be close to the front. With two of the top three market choices drawn in posts 1 and 2, the early pace could be contested, which creates a scenario where It Wasn't A Bluff (POST 3) or War Emperor (POST 4) could angle into contention from a stalking position.

Key Contenders

Souper Survivor (POST 1) for William Tharrenos with Emma Jayne Wilson at 1-1 is clearly the class of the field in the public's estimation. Tharrenos is one of Woodbine's most capable handlers at stakes level, and Wilson is among the track's best jockeys. The rail post in a six-horse stakes sprint is useful if the horse can clear without trouble from the gate. At even money, the price is thin, but the combination of barn, jockey, and the rail draw makes this horse very hard to beat.

Longshot Leo (POST 2) for Dale A. Desruisseaux with Fraser Aebly at 2-1 is the main rival. Desruisseaux is capable at this level and Aebly has been in excellent form on this meet. Post 2 is nearly as good as the rail at a sprint distance. If Longshot Leo (POST 2) can press or sit just off a fast pace established by Souper Survivor (POST 1), this horse has the look of the main challenger.

Secondary Choices

War Emperor (POST 4) for Barbara J. Minshall with Ramsay Maragh at 6-1 is the most intriguing price horse. Maragh is a top rider who will not give this horse a bad trip. Minshall is a respected Woodbine trainer with a track record of success at stakes level. If the pace is genuinely hot between Souper Survivor (POST 1) and Longshot Leo (POST 2), Maragh could pilot War Emperor (POST 4) into a winning position from a stalking spot.

Longshots

It Wasn't A Bluff (POST 3) for Devon Gittens with DeSean Bynoe at 8-1 has a post that puts the horse right in between the top two market choices early. Gittens is capable and this horse could steal a piece at a good price if the pace is honest. King Kadooment (POST 6) for Nathan Squires with Jose Luis Campos at 10-1 draws the outside post in a six-horse field. Campos is a capable rider but the outside post in a sprint is not ideal for a horse at this price. Prince Shaman (POST 5) for Michael Mattine with Pietro Moran at 12-1 would need a significant pace collapse to threaten.

Betting Strategy

At even money Souper Survivor (POST 1) is too short to bet to win. The play is exacta: War Emperor (POST 4) over Souper Survivor (POST 1) and Longshot Leo (POST 2). This provides a strong payout if War Emperor (POST 4) runs the field down. A saver on Souper Survivor (POST 1) and Longshot Leo (POST 2) exacta is reasonable at the bottom of the ticket.

Selections

Win: Souper Survivor (POST 1) Place: Longshot Leo (POST 2) Show: War Emperor (POST 4)

RACE 8 — Post (4:46) — 1320f | T | AO | OClm 80000n3x | BUN | Purse $131,500

A high-quality optional claiming event at $80,000 for non-winners of three, at 6 1/2 furlongs on the main turf. This is a seven-horse field with two co-morning-line favorites in Hunt Master (POST 3) at 2-1 and Essex Serpent (POST 6) at 2-1. This race features some genuine class with a strong purse.

Pace Analysis

At 6 1/2 furlongs on the turf, pace is critical. With Hunt Master (POST 3) and Essex Serpent (POST 6) as co-favorites, the pace could be moderate to honest. Lucky Score (POST 1) from Mark Casse's barn at 4-1 with Fraser Aebly is on the rail and could set or press the pace. The inner turf sprint at this distance rewards horses with sharp tactical speed that can relax briefly and then unleash a sustained drive in the final furlong.

Key Contenders

Hunt Master (POST 3) for Steve Bryant with Pietro Moran at 2-1 is a well-placed horse from a trainer who has solid credentials at this level. Post 3 is excellent — clean trip, no early wide run, and Moran has the experience to find the best position. Bryant is a competent trainer at the $80,000 optional claiming level and this horse's odds suggest a consistent recent record.

Essex Serpent (POST 6) for Mark Casse with Emma Jayne Wilson at 2-1 is the rival. Casse-Wilson is one of the most dangerous combinations at Woodbine, and Essex Serpent (POST 6) from post 6 in a seven-horse turf sprint has a workable draw. Wilson will find a spot behind the speed and use the horse's finishing kick in the stretch.

Secondary Choices

Lucky Score (POST 1) for Mark Casse with Fraser Aebly at 4-1 gives the Casse barn a second shot. With two Casse runners at the co-favorites' price points, the barn clearly has strong horses in this race. Lucky Score (POST 1) from the rail on the turf is advantageous, and Aebly will try to save ground and maximize every step. Baxley (POST 5) for Harold LaDauceur with Luis Contreras at 6-1 is a horse that could benefit from a pace-setup scenario — Contreras has ridden effectively on this meet.

Longshots

Foxtrotanna (POST 2) for Steve Attard with David Moran at 10-1 is in between the two best posts in the race. Attard is well-regarded on turf and Foxtrotanna (POST 2) is not completely without merit at this price. Jet Sweep Joe (POST 7) for Paul McEntee with Ramsay Maragh at 12-1 draws the outside post in a seven-horse turf sprint. Maragh will work to save ground, but post 7 in a turf sprint is a difficult starting point. Cara Cara (POST 4) for John Mattine with Ryan Munger at 20-1 is well priced but does not figure based on the morning line.

Betting Strategy

Two Casse horses at 2-1 and 4-1 essentially control the win pool. Hunt Master (POST 3) from a better draw and a capable trainer-jockey combo is the overlay. Exacta: Hunt Master (POST 3) over Essex Serpent (POST 6) and Lucky Score (POST 1). Trifecta: use those three on top with Baxley (POST 5) underneath.

Selections

Win: Hunt Master (POST 3) Place: Essex Serpent (POST 6) Show: Lucky Score (POST 1)

RACE 9 — Post (5:17) — 1430f | D | N | VictrQuenB150k | AOF | Purse $150,000

The Victoria Queen Stakes at 7/8 miles on the main dirt for older fillies and mares. Seven horses contest this $150,000 stakes event, with Sarayu (POST 4) as the 2-1 morning line favorite and Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) at 3-1.

Pace Analysis

At 7/8 miles on the dirt for fillies and mares, pace is typically more tactical than in comparable male sprints. Sarayu (POST 4) from mid-post and Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) from post 6 figure to be involved in the pace scenario. Princess Orlaith (POST 5) at 4-1 with Fraser Aebly could also press. The pace figures to be honest, which should set up for the best horse to win in a relatively straightforward fashion if there are no major pace disruptions.

Key Contenders

Sarayu (POST 4) for James Bentley Begg with Pietro Moran at 2-1 is the morning line favorite. Begg is a capable Woodbine conditioner and Moran in the saddle adds confidence. Post 4 in a seven-horse stakes sprint is ideal — right in the heart of the field, clean trip expected. If Sarayu (POST 4) has the class to back up its odds, this should be a comfortable winner.

Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) for Steven Chircop with Jose Luis Campos at 3-1 is the main rival. Chircop is an active Woodbine trainer and Campos has been productive in route and sprint situations alike. Post 6 in a seven-horse field gives this horse room to maneuver.

Secondary Choices

Princess Orlaith (POST 5) for Tino Attard with Fraser Aebly at 4-1 is the third key contender. Tino Attard is a respected Woodbine trainer and Aebly has been highly effective on this meet. Post 5 is solid and this horse at 4-1 could represent genuine value if Sarayu (POST 4) encounters any trouble.

Awesome Grace (POST 7) for Steven Chircop with Ramsay Maragh at 8-1 gives the Chircop barn a second runner. The outside post in a seven-horse sprint is not ideal, but Maragh will find a way to use any pace scenario.

Longshots

Whitemudwest (POST 1) for Todd Kettleson with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 6-1 gets the rail and could save ground in a contested pace scenario. Hernandez is a top rider and could make Whitemudwest (POST 1) dangerous if the pace develops favorably. Tweeternity (POST 2) for Anthony Husbands with Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin at 10-1 is a horse from a trainer who knows the Woodbine circuit. Champagne Sunday (POST 3) for David Cotey with Skye Chernetz at 12-1 is the longest shot in this field and would need an exceptional pace collapse.

Betting Strategy

Sarayu (POST 4) is the logical win bet but is short at 2-1. Princess Orlaith (POST 5) at 4-1 with Tino Attard-Aebly represents the best value in this race. Exacta: Sarayu (POST 4) and Princess Orlaith (POST 5) in a box. Trifecta: use Sarayu (POST 4), Princess Orlaith (POST 5), and Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) in various combinations with Whitemudwest (POST 1) underneath.

Selections

Win: Sarayu (POST 4) Place: Princess Orlaith (POST 5) Show: Stunningly Perfect (POST 6)

RACE 10 — Post (5:47) — 1980f | T | N | BelfountnB150k | CUM | Purse $150,000

The Belfountain Stakes at 1 1/4 miles on the Woodbine Polytrack (main course). This nine-horse field contests the third stakes of the afternoon on the synthetic surface. Ontario (POST 2) is the 2-1 morning line favorite for trainer Joe Sharp, with Elysian Field (POST 1) for Mark Casse at 3-1 the main rival.

Pace Analysis

At 1 1/4 miles on the Polytrack, closers are historically advantaged at Woodbine. The Polytrack tends to tire front-runners more than conventional dirt does, particularly at this extended route distance. Elysian Field (POST 1) for Casse with Pietro Moran at 3-1 from the rail could set the pace from post 1, or Moran may opt for a stalking role. Ontario (POST 2) at 2-1 for Joe Sharp with Rafael Manuel Hernandez from post 2 is ideally positioned to stalk from just off the pace. The pace figures to be moderate, which sets up for a horse with a strong sustained run in the final quarter.

Key Contenders

Ontario (POST 2) for Joe Sharp with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 2-1 is the clear morning line choice. Sharp is a well-respected conditioner and Hernandez has been outstanding on this meet. Post 2 on the Polytrack at 1 1/4 miles is excellent — the horse can draft behind Elysian Field (POST 1) and make a sustained run when asked. If Ontario (POST 2) has the class to justify its odds, this race figures to be a comfortable front-running or stalking performance.

Elysian Field (POST 1) for Mark Casse with Pietro Moran at 3-1 is the rival. Casse is unmatched at Woodbine for training stakes horses, and the rail on the Polytrack can save significant ground at 1 1/4 miles. Moran will likely put this horse into a stalking position and ask for the run in the stretch. The Casse barn coming off a remarkable Saturday — with multiple horses involved in the Woodbine Turf Festival program — will be hungry for more wins on Sunday.

Secondary Choices

Speedy Freeze (POST 7) for Ronald H. Sadler with Emma Jayne Wilson at 4-1 is a legitimate contender. Sadler is a capable trainer and Wilson is one of Woodbine's best jockeys. Post 7 on the Polytrack at this distance is not prohibitive — the horse will have room to settle and make a sustained run from a mid-field position.

Fortyfiveseventy (POST 8) for Barbara J. Minshall with Daisuke Fukumoto at 6-1 is a price horse from a solid barn. Minshall has a reputation for getting horses fit for route distances and at 6-1 this horse could represent value.

Longshots

War Painter (POST 3) for Kevin Attard with Fraser Aebly at 8-1 is a horse from a top barn with a strong jockey at a price that demands attention. Attard on the Polytrack is a trainer to respect, and Aebly has been in sharp form. Crystal Visions (POST 4) for Stuart Simon with Keveh Nicholls at 12-1 is a longer price but from a trainer who is capable of producing winners at this level. Just Magnificent (POST 6) for Evette Chartrand-Hoek with Ryan Munger at 15-1 is on the fringe. Nantuckets Day (POST 9) for Patrick Dixon with Jalon L. Samuel at 20-1 draws the outside post in a nine-horse Polytrack route and is a difficult proposition. Scat Girl (POST 5) for Michael P. DePaulo with Eswan Flores at 20-1 is also priced accordingly.

Betting Strategy

This race is a classic Polytrack closer's race and the play is Ontario (POST 2) to win with Elysian Field (POST 1) to place. War Painter (POST 3) at 8-1 is the value angle — Attard-Aebly on the Polytrack at a route is a combination worth a marginal win investment. Trifecta: use Ontario (POST 2) and Elysian Field (POST 1) on top with Speedy Freeze (POST 7), Fortyfiveseventy (POST 8), and War Painter (POST 3) underneath.

Selections

Win: Ontario (POST 2) Place: Elysian Field (POST 1) Show: Speedy Freeze (POST 7)

RACE 11 — Post (6:17) — 1870f | t | CO | OClm 40000 | BUN | Purse $69,500

The day's final race is a 12-horse optional claiming event at $40,000 on the inner turf at 1 3/16 miles. This is a competitive and complex closer, featuring Big Screen Boss (POST 10) at 3-1, Weller Green (POST 7) at 2-1 as the morning line favorite, and Its In The Cards (POST 11) at 4-1.

Pace Analysis

In a 12-horse inner turf route at 1 3/16 miles, pace management is everything. With a 2-1 morning line favorite in Weller Green (POST 7) and multiple other horses at 3-1 and 4-1, the pace figures to be honest as horses jostle for position on the first turn of a crowded inner turf field. Closers and stalkers tend to have an advantage in these large-field inner turf routes at Woodbine.

Key Contenders

Weller Green (POST 7) for Catherine Day-Phillips with Austin Adams at 2-1 is the morning line favorite. Day-Phillips is a recognized trainer at Woodbine at the claiming level and Adams is a capable rider. Post 7 in a 12-horse inner turf route is workable — the horse can find a stalking position from mid-field and make a sustained run in the stretch.

Big Screen Boss (POST 10) for Tedston Holder with Pietro Moran at 3-1 is the main rival. Moran from post 10 in a 12-horse field will have to work for a clean trip, but in a horse with early tactical speed, outside posts at route distances on the inner turf can actually be advantageous as the field fans out. Holder is a trainer capable of placing horses well at this claiming level.

Secondary Choices

Its In The Cards (POST 11) for Michael P. DePaulo with Emma Jayne Wilson at 4-1 is a strong contender. Wilson is always dangerous and DePaulo is an active Woodbine conditioner who knows how to prepare a horse for this type of optional claiming event. Post 11 in a 12-horse field is similar to Big Screen Boss (POST 10) — manageable but requires a clean run. Maker's Flatter (POST 2) for Michael P. DePaulo at 5-1 with Ramsay Maragh gives DePaulo a second runner. Maragh from post 2 is a massive advantage — the inside post at 1 3/16 miles on the inner turf allows Maragh to save ground and strike at any point in the stretch.

Longshots

Skaal (POST 4) for Mark Casse with Fraser Aebly at 6-1 is a value play from an elite barn with a productive rider. Casse's optional claiming turf horses are often sharp and Aebly will put Skaal (POST 4) in a winning position if the horse is ready. Mad World (POST 6) for Robert P. Tiller with Daisuke Fukumoto at 8-1 gets a mid-field post from a sharp claiming trainer. Amore Mio (POST 12) for Pat Parente with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 8-1 draws the outside post but gets Hernandez up, who has been excellent on this meet. Semper Liber (POST 1) for Krista Cole with Christoff Douglas at 12-1 gets the rail in a 12-horse inner turf route — useful for saving ground but these long-shot rail runners in large turf fields can be shuffled back at the break. Noburu (POST 8) for John P. LeBlanc Jr. with Jose Luis Campos at 20-1, Call Me Bond (POST 5) for Marjorie Paterson with Jodeien Anderson at 20-1, Political Warfare (POST 9) for Miranda Sealy with Rafael Manuel Hernandez at 15-1, and Bright Angel (POST 3) for Joe S. Russo with Jalon L. Samuel at 15-1 are all at the longer end of the morning line and would need significant help from the pace and trip factors.

Betting Strategy

Maker's Flatter (POST 2) with Maragh from the inside post is the play. At 5-1 with the best post and one of the best jockeys in the race, this horse is the overlay. Key Maker's Flatter (POST 2) on top in exactas over Weller Green (POST 7), Big Screen Boss (POST 10), and Its In The Cards (POST 11). Trifecta: use Maker's Flatter (POST 2) on top, Weller Green (POST 7) and Big Screen Boss (POST 10) in the middle, with Its In The Cards (POST 11) and Skaal (POST 4) underneath.

Selections

Win: Maker's Flatter (POST 2) Place: Weller Green (POST 7) Show: Big Screen Boss (POST 10)

Jockey Notes and Insights

Ramsay Maragh is the standout rider on today's card. He is consistently one of Woodbine's leading jockeys in both wins and earnings, with a high win percentage that makes him a reliable anchor for exacta and trifecta tickets. He rides Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) in Race 1, Baytown Thracian (POST 4) in Race 4, War Emperor (POST 4) in Race 7, Jet Sweep Joe (POST 7) in Race 8, Awesome Grace (POST 7) in Race 9, and Maker's Flatter (POST 2) in Race 11. Of these, Maker's Flatter (POST 2) and Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) are the two best win opportunities given their morning line prices and post positions.

Emma Jayne Wilson is one of the most accomplished jockeys at Woodbine, with an extraordinary record on both turf and dirt. She rides Magical Trickster (POST 3) in Race 4, Souper Survivor (POST 1) in Race 7, Essex Serpent (POST 6) in Race 8, Speedy Freeze (POST 7) in Race 10, and Its In The Cards (POST 11) in Race 11. Wilson's mount on Souper Survivor (POST 1) in the Bull Page Stakes is the highest-profile assignment of her day, and her ability to maximize a horse's ability from the rail in a sprint situation is well-established.

Rafael Manuel Hernandez has been extremely effective on this Woodbine meet and draws a full book of quality rides. His assignments include Glorious Gem (POST 7) in Race 3, Copa De Plata (POST 5) in Race 5, True North Star (POST 11) in Race 6, Whitemudwest (POST 1) in Race 9, Ontario (POST 2) in Race 10, and Amore Mio (POST 12) and Political Warfare (POST 9) in Race 11. Hernandez on Ontario (POST 2) in the Belfountain Stakes is arguably the most important jockey-horse combination of the afternoon, as Hernandez has the tactical nous to position that horse properly on the Polytrack.

Fraser Aebly has been in sharp form on this meet and rides Ginny's Souper (POST 6) in Race 3, Smokin Empire (POST 6) in Race 5, Samaritan Trail (POST 8) in Race 6, Longshot Leo (POST 2) in Race 7, Lucky Score (POST 1) in Race 8, Princess Orlaith (POST 5) in Race 9, War Painter (POST 3) in Race 10, and Skaal (POST 4) in Race 11. His ride on Princess Orlaith (POST 5) in the Victoria Queen Stakes is the best value opportunity, and his mounts for the Casse and Attard barns throughout the card ensure he will be in contention all day.

Pietro Moran is busy across the card and has strong mounts in Thundermaker (POST 5) in Race 2, Classic Lines (POST 2) in Race 3, No Hay Dos (POST 1) in Race 5, Hunt Master (POST 3) in Race 8, Sarayu (POST 4) in Race 9, Elysian Field (POST 1) in Race 10, and Big Screen Boss (POST 10) in Race 11. His rides for Attard and Casse give him the best quality horses of any rider on the card.

Jose Luis Campos handles multiple mounts including Delta Force (POST 2) in Race 2, Wasteland (POST 5) in Race 4, King Kadooment (POST 6) in Race 7, Merckx (POST 2) in Race 6, Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) in Race 9, and Noburu (POST 8) in Race 11.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Mark Casse is the dominant trainer at Woodbine by any measure and sends out horses in nearly every race on this card. His most important assignments today include Smokin Empire (POST 6) and Copa De Plata (POST 5) in Race 5, the four-horse team in Race 6, Essex Serpent (POST 6) and Lucky Score (POST 1) in Race 8, Skaal (POST 4) in Race 11, and Elysian Field (POST 1) in the Belfountain Stakes. Coming off the energy of Saturday's Turf Festival, the Casse barn will be sharp and motivated. When Casse sends multiple horses into the same race, it is worth identifying which one carries the strongest jockey-post combination — in Race 6, Ghostface (POST 7) with Sahin Civaci from post 7 may be the best play of the bunch, while in Race 5, Smokin Empire (POST 6) with Fraser Aebly represents the best value.

Kevin Attard is another premier Woodbine trainer whose horses consistently perform at or above their morning line. Attard sends Thundermaker (POST 5) in Race 2, Klassen (POST 1) and Her Sequel (POST 4) in Race 3, No Hay Dos (POST 1) in Race 5, Bunyan (POST 12) in Race 6, War Painter (POST 3) in Race 10, and shares the Race 2 card with a full string. The Attard barn's turf horses deserve automatic respect and the wins-to-runners ratio for Attard on Woodbine turf is consistently impressive.

William Tharrenos enters Accelerando (POST 1) in Race 2, Signature Winner (POST 2) and Northern King (POST 6) in Race 4, and Souper Survivor (POST 1) in the Bull Page Stakes. The Tharrenos barn's confidence in Souper Survivor (POST 1) at even money in the Bull Page is significant — this trainer rarely sends a horse into a $150,000 stakes as a favorite without having the horse properly prepared.

Robert P. Tiller, one of Woodbine's most respected claiming trainers, saddles Switchin' To Glide (POST 2) in Race 1 and Mad World (POST 6) in Race 11. Tiller's claiming horses at sprint distances on the dirt are a consistent source of winners at fair prices.

Josie Carroll is a decorated Woodbine trainer whose horses on the turf deserve respect regardless of the morning line. Carroll sends Any Oscar (POST 5) in Race 3 and Samaritan Trail (POST 8) in Race 6. Both represent live chances at prices above the co-favorites, and Samaritan Trail (POST 8) at 5-1 in Race 6 is one of the best overlay opportunities on the card.

Michael P. DePaulo sends both Its In The Cards (POST 11) and Maker's Flatter (POST 2) in Race 11. DePaulo with two horses in the finale is interesting — Maker's Flatter (POST 2) with Maragh from the inside has the edge, but Its In The Cards (POST 11) with Wilson cannot be dismissed.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The card at Woodbine on September 13 is well-suited to vertical exotic wagering given the multiple stakes races and several races with genuine overlays. Here are the primary wagering structures and value angles.

WIN BETS OF THE DAY: Maker's Flatter (POST 2) in Race 11 at 5-1 with Ramsay Maragh from the inside post in the finale is the best single win play on the card. Samaritan Trail (POST 8) at 5-1 in Race 6 with Josie Carroll-Fraser Aebly is the best value in a maiden event.

EXACTA PLAYS: In Race 7 (Bull Page Stakes), the exacta of War Emperor (POST 4) over Souper Survivor (POST 1) offers a superior payout if the pace scenario develops as projected. In Race 11, key Maker's Flatter (POST 2) over Weller Green (POST 7) and Big Screen Boss (POST 10) for the best return on the closer's scenario.

DOUBLE: The late double connecting Race 9 (Victoria Queen Stakes) and Race 10 (Belfountain Stakes) offers a chance to get strong value by using Princess Orlaith (POST 5) on top in Race 9 (4-1) and Ontario (POST 2) in Race 10. This combination could pay significantly and is the strongest double structure on the card.

PICK 3: Race 7 through Race 9 is the most compelling Pick 3 sequence. Use Souper Survivor (POST 1) and War Emperor (POST 4) in Race 7, Hunt Master (POST 3) and Essex Serpent (POST 6) in Race 8, and Sarayu (POST 4) and Princess Orlaith (POST 5) in Race 9 for a 2x2x2 Pick 3. A slightly wider spread could include Longshot Leo (POST 2) in Race 7 and Stunningly Perfect (POST 6) in Race 9 to broaden coverage.

PICK 4: The stakes-heavy Pick 4 from Race 7 through Race 10 is the most lucrative vertical bet on the card. Use Souper Survivor (POST 1) and Longshot Leo (POST 2) in Race 7, spread in Race 8 with Hunt Master (POST 3), Essex Serpent (POST 6), and Lucky Score (POST 1), use Sarayu (POST 4) and Princess Orlaith (POST 5) in Race 9, and key Ontario (POST 2) in Race 10. This structure covers the most likely outcomes across the four most competitive races and targets a pool that should be robust given the stakes-race attention.

TRIFECTA FOCUS RACE: Race 6 with 12 horses is the ideal trifecta race. The wide field, multiple Casse runners splitting the public money, and the value of Samaritan Trail (POST 8) and Ghostface (POST 7) make this a race where the trifecta could pay significantly. A small structured box of Ghostface (POST 7), Samaritan Trail (POST 8), True North Star (POST 11), and Bunyan (POST 12) in a four-horse trifecta box gives eight combinations at manageable cost.

SUPERFECTA: Race 11 is the ideal superfecta race given the full field of 12 and the range of competitive horses at varying prices. Use Maker's Flatter (POST 2), Weller Green (POST 7), and Big Screen Boss (POST 10) on top, with Its In The Cards (POST 11), Skaal (POST 4), and Amore Mio (POST 12) underneath for the fourth spot. This structure costs 18 combinations and targets a pool that should offer strong value given the complexity of the final race.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


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