Del Mar – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for November 8, 2025

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Del Mar presents a nine-race card on Saturday, November 8, 2025, with first post at 12:30 PM PST. The card features the 43rd running of the Chosen Vron Stakes (formerly the Cary Grant Stakes), a $100,000 stakes race for California-bred three-year-olds and upward going seven furlongs on the main track. The meet is currently in its sixth day of the Bing Crosby Season, which runs through November 30. Juan Hernandez continues his dominance in the Del Mar rider standings, having won five consecutive titles at the track, while Phil D’Amato, Tim Yakteen, John Sadler, and Doug O’Neill lead the trainer colony with strong barn form entering the weekend.​

Weather and Track Conditions

The forecast for Del Mar on Saturday calls for scattered clouds with temperatures ranging from a high of 73 degrees to an overnight low of 58 degrees. Light winds from the west-southwest should stay below 10 mph with humidity around 70 percent. The main track is expected to be listed as fast, while the turf course should maintain firm conditions with the rail positioned at 18 feet. These conditions favor horses with tactical speed who can save ground, particularly on the turf where the rail placement offers no significant advantage or disadvantage.​

Race 1 – Maiden Special Weight (Fillies and Mares, 1 Mile Turf)

Post Time: 12:30 PM

Key Contenders

Pura Vida Princesa exits an encouraging runner-up finish in her most recent start that stamps her as the horse to beat in this turf mile for maiden fillies and mares. Trained by Doug O’Neill and ridden by Antonio Fresu, this three-year-old filly showed significant improvement in her comeback effort and appears ready to graduate. The O’Neill barn has been sharp during the fall meet, and the trainer-jockey combination has been productive.​

My Perfect Wave brings solid connections with Umberto Rispoli aboard for Tim Yakteen. The American Pharoah filly represents Southern California Equine Stables and has been working steadily for this debut. Yakteen’s first-time starters are always dangerous, particularly with Rispoli in the irons, as this jockey-trainer duo has excellent chemistry from their success together.​

Secondary Choices

Bint Al Dandy (IRE) is a four-year-old mare trained by Robert Falcone Jr. and piloted by Hector Berrios. The Irish-bred mare brings international breeding and experience that could translate to success at this level if she can handle the American style of racing.

Magica represents the powerful H. Graham Motion barn with Juan Hernandez up. The three-year-old filly gets one of the hottest riders in Southern California, and Motion has been effective with his Del Mar runners when he ships horses from the East Coast.​

Pace Analysis

This race should unfold with a moderate pace on the turf course. With no confirmed early speed dominators in the field, expect fillies to break alertly and establish position early. The stretch-out to one mile should favor horses with tactical speed who can position well off the pace and make sustained runs in the stretch.

Selections: Pura Vida Princesa figures to graduate here with natural progression off her last effort. My Perfect Wave rates a strong second choice with Yakteen’s touch, while Magica offers value with Hernandez aboard.​

Selections

Win: Pura Vida Princesa
Place: My Perfect Wave
Show: Magica

Race 2 – Maiden Claiming (California-Bred, 5.5 Furlongs Dirt)

Post Time: 1:00 PM

Key Contenders

Tamarando Beach is bred for sprint speed and makes his second start for trainer Dean Pederson with Tiago Pereira in the saddle. Second-time starters in California-bred maiden claimers often show significant improvement as they learn the racing experience.

Shadowban represents George Papaprodromou and gets Jeremy Laprida up for this assignment. The Papaprodromou barn has been active during the meet and often finds spots for his runners to graduate.

Secondary Choices

One Step Beyond debuts for Jorge Periban with Geovanni Franco riding. The first-time starter will need to show natural ability to compete with horses who have racing experience.

Voucher is trained by Rolando Quinonez with Kevin Orozco aboard. The California-bred colt will look to break his maiden at the $50,000 claiming level.

Pace Analysis

This five and one-half furlong sprint should see aggressive early pace with multiple horses looking to establish position from the gate. The short distance leaves little room for error, favoring horses with natural early speed who can maintain their position throughout.

Selections: Tamarando Beach should improve second time out and looks best in this field. Shadowban provides a solid alternative, while Voucher could offer value if the price is right.​

Selections

Win: Tamarando Beach
Place: Shadowban
Show: Voucher

Race 3 – Claiming (5 Furlongs Turf)

Post Time: 1:30 PM

Key Contenders

Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) is an Irish-bred gelding trained by Steve Knapp with Umberto Rispoli handling the riding duties. The five-year-old brings international breeding and Rispoli’s hot hand to this assignment. Rispoli has been among the leading riders at Del Mar for years and excels on the turf.

Harcyn is a five-year-old gelding trained by Genaro Vallejo with Mirco Demuro aboard. The class relief moving down to the $25,000 level could be the key for this runner.

Secondary Choices

Margot’s Boy is an eight-year-old gelding trained by Jeff Mullins with Kazushi Kimura riding. The veteran has been competitive at this level and brings experience to the table.

Simplexity (IRE) is another European import trained by Mullins with Berrios in the saddle. The four-year-old gelding should appreciate the turf course and the drop in class.​

Pace Analysis

Five furlongs on the turf plays to horses with tactical speed who can secure good position early without using excessive energy. The short distance means there is minimal time to recover from a poor start, so quick breakers who can save ground will hold distinct advantages.

Selections: Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) with Rispoli gets the nod as the top choice. Harcyn rates second with the class relief, while Margot’s Boy provides experience and consistency.​

Selections

Win: Betterdaysrcoming (IRE)
Place: Harcyn
Show: Margot’s Boy

Race 4 – Maiden Optional Claiming (2 Year Olds, 6 Furlongs Dirt)

Post Time: 2:00 PM

Key Contenders

Captivator showed solid early speed through taxing early fractions before settling for second in an encouraging runner-up finish on October 10 for trainer John Sadler. The Charlatan colt was well-backed in that debut and figures to be tough with any normal second-out improvement. Hector Berrios retains the mount, and Sadler’s record with second-time starters is excellent.​

Caves makes her debut for Philip D’Amato with Juan Hernandez aboard. The Hard Spun filly has been working encouragingly, and while D’Amato does not typically win first out, the jockey-trainer combination has clicked at a 25 percent rate with first-time starters over the past five years with a positive return on investment. The addition of Hernandez, who has been dominant at Del Mar, makes this filly extremely dangerous.​

Secondary Choices

In the Mix debuts for Doug O’Neill with Antonio Fresu riding. O’Neill has been sharp during the meet, and his first-time starters always warrant respect, particularly in maiden races.

Sharons Angels is a first-time starter for Richard Baltas with Edwin Maldonado up. The barn has been solid during the meet, and Baltas knows how to win with juveniles.​

Pace Analysis

This six-furlong race for two-year-olds should develop with moderate early pace as the youngsters break from the gate. Captivator showed he can handle pace pressure in his debut, which gives him an advantage over several first-time starters who are untested in race conditions.

Selections: Captivator rates as the top selection with second-race improvement expected. Caves is a dangerous first-time starter with Hernandez, while In the Mix brings O’Neill’s shrewd training to the table.​

Selections

Win: Captivator
Place: Caves
Show: In the Mix

Race 5 – Allowance Optional Claiming (Fillies and Mares, 1 Mile Turf)

Post Time: 2:30 PM

Allowance Optional Claiming. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $63,000. For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won $21,000 twice other than maiden, claiming, or starter or state bred or which have never won three races or claiming price $80,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners of two races at a mile or over since August 8 allowed 2 lbs. Such a race since then allowed 4 lbs. Claiming price $80,000. Maiden races and claiming races for $50,000 or less not considered in allowances. Non-starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 2 starts preferred. Rail at 18 feet.

Post Time

2:30 PM PST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

This one-mile turf race should develop with a moderate to honest pace given the field composition. Word Play (GB) has demonstrated the ability to press or track the pace depending on race flow, while Laudatory has shown tactical speed to secure forward position. Princesa Moche typically races with a stalking style, positioning herself within a few lengths of the leaders before making her bid. The European imports in this field, including Word Play (GB), Certitude (FR), and Hannah Buckle (IRE), bring international racing experience where horses are taught to settle and finish, which should set up a scenario favoring fillies with sustained stretch drives.​

The rail positioned at 18 feet offers no particular advantage or disadvantage, meaning the race should develop with fillies seeking clear paths and saving ground where possible. With nine fillies entered, traffic issues could develop in the latter stages, making tactical positioning and jockey skill crucial factors. The one-mile distance allows sufficient time for fillies coming from off the pace to mount their rallies, though horses positioned within striking distance entering the stretch will hold distinct advantages.​

Word Play (GB)

Word Play (GB) enters this assignment off consecutive victories at the Del Mar summer meet, scoring impressive wins on both August 8 and September 6, 2025. The British-bred four-year-old filly by Saxon Warrior out of Parlance has found her best form on the Del Mar turf course, winning the September 6 race in a time of 1:36.77 for the mile. In that effort, she tracked the pace through fractions of 49.18 for the opening half-mile before unleashing a powerful stretch drive under Umberto Rispoli.​​

The Cheveley Park Stud-bred filly has earned $340,480 in career earnings with a record showing strong consistency across 24 career starts. Her breeding combines the stamina of Saxon Warrior with the tactical speed of Invincible Spirit through her female family, making her ideally suited for one-mile turf contests. Trainer Jeff Mullins has found the perfect placement for this filly in Del Mar’s allowance ranks, and the combination with Rispoli has proven exceptionally effective. Rispoli continues his dominant riding performance at Del Mar and knows this filly’s racing style intimately after their recent successes together.​

The weight assignment of 123 pounds reflects her recent success, but this filly has carried weight effectively in her European campaigns. Her ability to track pace and finish with sustained speed makes her formidable in this spot. The only concern is whether she faces a class test against some of these rivals, particularly those coming off graded stakes attempts.​

Laudatory

Laudatory represents the powerful Philip D’Amato barn with Kyle Frey handling the riding assignment. This four-year-old grey or roan filly by Tapit brings classic American breeding suited for turf racing. D’Amato’s stable has been training at championship levels throughout 2025, with the trainer securing the Santa Anita autumn season trainers title in October. His success with turf fillies and mares has been particularly notable, with the barn showing expertise in placing horses where they can succeed.​

The filly showed promising form in July when she benefited from an honest pace scenario, demonstrating her ability to position well and make sustained runs. Her breeding suggests stamina and class, as Tapit has become one of North America’s most successful sires across all surfaces, with particular effectiveness when his progeny race on turf. The tactical speed she has shown allows her to secure favorable position early without expending excessive energy.​

At 123 pounds, Laudatory faces the same weight assignment as Word Play (GB), putting both fillies on even terms. The D’Amato-Frey combination has shown solid results throughout the meet, and this filly fits the profile of D’Amato’s successful turf runners. Her form cycle suggests she is training forward toward a peak performance, and the barn’s recent dominance makes her a serious contender.​

Certitude (FR)

Certitude (FR) ships in from a demanding effort in the Grade 3 Goldikova Stakes on November 1 at Del Mar, where she faced significantly tougher competition including eventual Breeders Cup contenders. Trained by John Sadler and ridden by Hector Berrios, this French-bred four-year-old filly by City Light out of Modestie brings European breeding and graded stakes experience to this allowance spot.​

The class relief dropping from a $300,000 Grade 3 stakes to a $63,000 allowance represents a significant drop in class that could prove decisive. Sadler’s barn has been exceptionally effective with European imports, understanding how to place them where their international experience provides advantages. While Certitude (FR) finished well back in the Goldikova Stakes, she faced fillies and mares competing at championship levels during Breeders Cup weekend.​

At 121 pounds, Certitude (FR) receives a four-pound weight concession compared to the top weights, which could prove significant over the one-mile distance. Berrios has been riding consistently during the meet, and the Sadler-Berrios combination has produced strong results throughout 2025. The question remains whether this filly bounces back quickly from the Grade 3 effort or needs additional time between races. Sadler’s training methods typically prepare horses to handle quick turnarounds effectively.​

Jane Austen

Jane Austen brings solid credentials from the Mark Glatt barn with Abel Lezcano handling the riding assignment. This four-year-old filly by Tapit out of Shayjolie (by Indian Charlie) combines classic American breeding with proven turf ability. Glatt’s stable has shown consistent success with allowance-level turf runners, particularly fillies and mares who benefit from his patient training approach.​

The filly’s recent form shows a record of 4:2-0-1, indicating she has won twice while hitting the board in one other effort from four career starts. This suggests she is relatively lightly raced but has shown ability when racing. Lezcano brings excellent turf riding skills to this assignment and has demonstrated strong form throughout the meet. The Glatt-Lezcano combination has clicked at solid percentages with turf horses.​

At 121 pounds, Jane Austen receives the same four-pound weight concession as Certitude (FR), which could prove advantageous. Her breeding suggests she should handle the one-mile distance effectively, with Tapit providing stamina and Indian Charlie’s influence through the dam adding tactical speed. The concern is whether she possesses sufficient class to handle some of these more experienced rivals, particularly Word Play (GB) and Laudatory.​

Princesa Moche (PER)

Princesa Moche (PER) represents the Doug O’Neill barn with Mirco Demuro in the irons. This Peruvian-bred five-year-old mare brings international experience and a strong career record of 20:9-0-2, indicating she has won nine races while hitting the board in two others from 20 career starts. Her recent form line of 5111111761 shows remarkable consistency with multiple consecutive victories.​

O’Neill has been training exceptionally well during the fall meet, with particular success in turf races. His sprint-to-route turf winners have shown a positive return on investment over the past year, suggesting his training methods effectively prepare horses for distance stretches on grass. Demuro brings European riding experience and has shown excellent form on the Del Mar turf course throughout the meet.​

At 121 pounds, Princesa Moche (PER) receives the four-pound weight advantage over the top weights. Her extensive racing experience and proven ability to win races makes her dangerous in this spot. The question is whether she can handle the step up in class to face these allowance-level fillies after competing primarily in lower-level company. Her consistency suggests she merits serious consideration.​

Sakura Blossom

Sakura Blossom represents Leonard Powell’s barn with Diego Herrera aboard. The four-year-old filly has been competitive in similar allowance company at Del Mar, showing ability to position well throughout her races. Powell trains a smaller stable but has been effective placing his runners in spots where they can compete effectively.​

The filly receives a weight concession at 121 pounds and draws the rail post position, which could prove advantageous if she shows early speed to secure good position. Herrera has been riding consistently during the meet and understands the Del Mar turf course well. The concern is whether Sakura Blossom possesses sufficient tactical speed to avoid being shuffled back from the inside post.​

Her recent form suggests she has been knocking on the door in allowance company without breaking through. The rail position at 18 feet offers no particular bias, meaning she must secure good position through jockey skill rather than post position advantage alone.​

Moment’s Pleasure

Moment’s Pleasure ships in for trainer Craig Anthony Lewis with Kazushi Kimura riding. This four-year-old filly has shown ability in allowance ranks but faces a competitive field in this spot. Kimura brings experience and has shown solid form during the meet, particularly with horses who can position well throughout their races.​

At 121 pounds, Moment’s Pleasure receives the four-pound weight advantage. The challenge is whether she possesses sufficient class to compete with the top-tier fillies in this field, particularly Word Play (GB), Laudatory, and Certitude (FR). Her connections suggest she fits better as a secondary contender who could benefit from a pace meltdown or traffic issues affecting the favorites.​

Baltic Fire

Baltic Fire represents the Simon Callaghan barn with Serafin Carmona up. The four-year-old filly has been competitive in similar company but faces a challenging assignment against this field. Carmona has been riding consistently during the meet, and Callaghan’s stable has shown effectiveness with turf runners.​

At 121 pounds, Baltic Fire receives the weight advantage but must overcome what appears to be a class disadvantage against several rivals in this field. Her best chance comes if the pace develops honestly and she can make a sustained late run to pick up the pieces. The distance should suit her running style if she can secure good position early.​

Hannah Buckle (IRE)

Hannah Buckle (IRE) represents another entry from Leonard Powell’s barn with Armando Ayuso handling the riding duties. The Irish-bred four-year-old filly brings international breeding but was scratched from an October 10 allowance race at Santa Anita due to veterinarian concerns. The scratch watch indicates she was a non-starter for a $82,900 allowance race, raising questions about her current condition.​

At 121 pounds, Hannah Buckle (IRE) receives the weight advantage if she makes it to the starting gate. The veterinarian scratch from her last intended start creates uncertainty about her current form and fitness. If she is sound and ready to run her best race, her European breeding could prove advantageous on the turf course. However, the recent scratch suggests caution when evaluating her chances.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Word Play (GB) enters with the highest speed figures in the field based on her recent Del Mar victories, posting competitive numbers that suggest she is training and racing at peak form. Her consecutive victories at the meet demonstrate she has adapted exceptionally well to the Del Mar turf course and consistently produces fast times. The September 6 victory in 1:36.77 for the mile represents solid form for this class level.​​

Laudatory brings competitive speed figures from her Santa Anita and Del Mar efforts, with her breeding suggesting she possesses additional class reserves she has yet to fully demonstrate. The D’Amato barn’s success throughout 2025 indicates she is training at high levels and could produce career-best figures in this spot.​

Certitude (FR) competed in the Grade 3 Goldikova Stakes, facing significantly tougher competition than she encounters in this allowance race. While her figures from that effort may not appear competitive, the class relief dropping to this level suggests she could produce significantly faster figures when facing more appropriate competition. Sadler’s barn excels at placing horses where they can succeed after graded stakes attempts.​

Princesa Moche (PER) brings consistent figures from her winning streak, though the class level of her previous competition raises questions about whether those figures translate when facing tougher allowance competition. Her extensive racing experience and proven ability to win races suggests she will be competitive if her figures translate to this class level.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Del Mar turf course with the rail positioned at 18 feet creates a fair racing surface where tactical positioning and jockey skill matter more than post position advantages. The one-mile distance allows sufficient time for horses breaking from outside posts to secure good position entering the first turn, while inside posts must show alertness to avoid being shuffled back as the field settles.​

Historical data from Del Mar turf routes shows that closers who position themselves within three lengths of the pace at the half-mile mark enjoy the highest success rates. Horses making ground from more than three lengths back have succeeded, but those races typically involve contested early pace scenarios that set up late runners. In this field, the moderate pace scenario suggests horses positioned within striking distance will hold advantages.​

Sakura Blossom drawing post position one must show tactical speed to secure good position from the rail. Word Play (GB) breaking from post nine faces the challenge of securing position from the outside, though Rispoli’s skill and the filly’s tactical speed should allow her to overcome the wide draw. The middle posts from four through six appear most advantageous for this distance and configuration.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Word Play (GB) rates as a strong win bet based on her proven ability on the Del Mar turf course, consecutive victories at the meet, and partnership with Umberto Rispoli. The combination of current form, proven course effectiveness, and elite jockey makes her the logical choice to build around in all exotic wagers. Her morning line odds should offer reasonable value given the competitive nature of this field.​​

Exacta plays should key Word Play (GB) on top with Laudatory, Certitude (FR), and Jane Austen underneath. The D’Amato barn’s championship form makes Laudatory a mandatory inclusion in all horizontal wagers, while Certitude (FR) brings graded stakes class that could prove decisive with the significant class relief. An exacta box including Word Play (GB), Laudatory, and Certitude (FR) offers solid value with three legitimate winning chances.​

Trifecta plays should expand to include Princesa Moche (PER) given her consistency and the O’Neill barn’s strong form. A trifecta structure keying Word Play (GB) on top, boxing Laudatory and Certitude (FR) for second, and including Jane Austen, Princesa Moche (PER), and Sakura Blossom for third creates an attractive ticket with reasonable coverage.​

For superfecta plays, the value comes from including Moment’s Pleasure and Baltic Fire in the fourth position, as both could benefit from pace dynamics and secure minor awards at generous odds. A superfecta keying Word Play (GB) to win, boxing Laudatory and Certitude (FR) for place and show, and using the full field for fourth provides maximum coverage with focused structure on top.​

Win-place betting on Word Play (GB) offers solid value with reasonable risk, while place-show betting on Laudatory provides opportunities to profit from the D’Amato barn’s strong form even if she finishes second or third. Certitude (FR) represents excellent value in place-show betting given the significant class relief from her graded stakes attempt.​

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Word Play (GB)

Word Play (GB) earns top selection based on her proven effectiveness on the Del Mar turf course demonstrated through consecutive victories at the summer meet. The British-bred filly has adapted exceptionally well to American racing and continues improving with each start. Her partnership with Umberto Rispoli provides distinct advantages, as Rispoli knows her racing style intimately and continues riding at championship levels. The one-mile distance suits her perfectly, allowing her to employ tactical speed to track the pace before unleashing her sustained stretch drive. While she faces weight of 123 pounds, this filly has carried weight effectively throughout her career. The combination of current form, proven course effectiveness, elite jockey, and solid trainer makes her the horse to beat in this allowance feature.

Place: Laudatory

Laudatory represents the powerful Philip D’Amato barn, which has been training at championship levels throughout 2025. The four-year-old Tapit filly brings breeding that suggests significant class reserves she has yet to fully demonstrate. D’Amato’s expertise with turf fillies and mares gives her distinct advantages, as the barn consistently places horses where they can succeed. Kyle Frey provides competent riding and understands how to position horses throughout their races on the Del Mar turf. The weight of 123 pounds puts her on even terms with Word Play (GB), creating an honest assessment of their relative abilities. Her form cycle suggests she is training toward a peak performance, and the barn’s recent dominance makes her extremely dangerous. The tactical speed she has shown allows her to secure favorable position early and make sustained runs in the stretch.

Show: Certitude (FR)

Certitude (FR) offers exceptional value based on the significant class relief dropping from the Grade 3 Goldikova Stakes to this allowance spot. While she faced defeat in the graded stakes, she competed against fillies and mares preparing for Breeders Cup championship races. John Sadler’s barn excels at placing horses where they can succeed after graded stakes attempts, and this represents an ideal spot for her to demonstrate her true ability against more appropriate competition. The four-pound weight advantage at 121 pounds provides additional help over the one-mile distance. Hector Berrios brings consistent riding and has partnered effectively with Sadler-trained horses throughout the meet. Her French breeding and European racing background give her tactical versatility that could prove decisive if pace dynamics favor her running style. The quick turnaround from November 1 to November 8 raises minor concerns, but Sadler’s training methods typically prepare horses to handle short rest periods effectively.

Race 6 – Claiming (3YO+, 6 Furlongs Dirt)

Post Time: 3:00 PM

Key Contenders

Naismith is a seven-year-old gelding trained by Robert Hess Jr. with Kyle Frey riding. The veteran has been competitive at this claiming level and brings significant experience to this spot.

Last Call Paul is trained by Steve Knapp with Edwin Maldonado up. The four-year-old gelding has been knocking on the door in similar company and appears ready to break through.

Secondary Choices

Chasing Rain represents Kelly Bainum’s barn with Armando Aguilar aboard. The four-year-old gelding has shown glimpses of ability and could be competitive with class relief.

Mischief Moments is trained by Ruben Gomez with Serafin Carmona riding. The four-year-old gelding has been consistent in claiming ranks.​

Pace Analysis

This six-furlong claiming race should develop with aggressive early pace as multiple horses vie for the early lead. The short distance favors horses with natural speed who can establish position and maintain it throughout the race.

Selections: Naismith brings experience and should handle this field. Last Call Paul rates a strong second choice, while Mischief Moments offers value as a consistent runner.​

Selections

Win: Naismith
Place: Last Call Paul
Show: Mischief Moments

Race 7 – Allowance Optional Claiming (California-Bred Fillies and Mares, 1 Mile Turf)

Post Time: 3:30 PM

Allowance Optional Claiming. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $61,000. For California bred or California sired fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won $21,000 once other than maiden, claiming, or starter or which have never won two races or claiming price $20,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter at a mile or over allowed 2 lbs. Claiming price $20,000. Non-starters for a claiming price of $16,000 or less in the last 2 starts preferred. Rail at 18 feet.

Post Time

3:30 PM PST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

This California-bred fillies and mares turf mile should develop with moderate pace given the composition of this field. The restricted nature of California-bred competition often produces tactical races where positioning and jockey skill become paramount factors. With nine fillies entered, the pace scenario suggests horses with tactical speed to secure favorable position early will hold distinct advantages entering the stretch drive.​

The rail positioned at 18 feet creates a fair racing surface where post position advantages diminish compared to races with inside rail placement. Fillies breaking from middle posts should have optimal positioning opportunities, while those from outside posts must demonstrate alertness to avoid being pushed wide around the first turn. The one-mile distance allows sufficient time for closers to mount their rallies, though horses positioned within three lengths of the pace at the half-mile mark historically enjoy higher success rates on the Del Mar turf course.​

Several fillies in this field show closing running styles, including Quantum Innergy and Dorie Miller, suggesting the pace could set up well for late runners if the early tempo develops honestly. However, the California-bred restrictions often produce moderate pace scenarios where horses with tactical speed who can position well throughout hold advantages over pure closers who must make up significant ground.​

She’s a Joker

She’s a Joker represents the powerful Peter Miller barn with Antonio Fresu handling the riding assignment. This six-year-old mare by Practical Joke out of Hollywood Queen (by Giant’s Causeway) brings breeding that combines tactical speed with stamina, making her ideally suited for one-mile turf contests. Miller has been training at championship levels throughout 2025, with the barn showing particular expertise with California-bred turf runners.​

The mare most recently competed on October 30 at Del Mar in a California-bred allowance race where she settled in the two path, followed in range on the far turn, and finished willingly down the lane to earn a minor award. That effort demonstrated her ability to position well throughout races and maintain sustained speed in the stretch. The connections switch from Irad Ortiz Jr. in that start to Antonio Fresu for this assignment, with Fresu bringing excellent turf riding skills and strong chemistry with the Miller barn.​

Miller’s statistics with California-bred turf runners show exceptional effectiveness, with the trainer earning multiple Del Mar training titles including the 2018, 2020, and 2021 summer meets. His career 15 percent win rate with turf runners demonstrates consistent success on grass surfaces. The barn has been particularly effective during the fall meet, with California-bred runners showing strong form throughout the session.​

At 123 pounds, She’s a Joker carries weight that reflects her experience and class level. Her breeding by Practical Joke provides tactical speed and versatility, while Giant’s Causeway through her female family adds stamina and durability. The combination makes her effective at distances from six furlongs to one mile on turf. Her ability to position well throughout races and finish with sustained speed makes her formidable in this California-bred allowance spot.​

Hey Demps

Hey Demps makes her first start for the George Papaprodromou barn after being claimed, partnering with Umberto Rispoli for this assignment. The five-year-old mare brings experience with a form line showing 74/244-8, indicating she has been competitive in similar California-bred allowance company. Papaprodromou’s statistics with first-time-off-the-claim turf routers show solid effectiveness at 36 percent win rate with a $4.05 return on investment over the past three years.​

The addition of Rispoli represents a significant upgrade in the saddle, as the Italian jockey continues his dominant riding performance at Del Mar. Rispoli has demonstrated exceptional ability on turf courses throughout his California campaign and knows how to position horses throughout their races to maximize their chances. His patient hands and powerful finishes make him particularly effective in turf routes where tactical positioning matters.​

Hey Demps has been a popular commodity at the claiming box over recent months, suggesting connections recognize her ability while understanding she fits at this allowance level. The mare’s experience and proven ability to compete in California-bred allowance ranks make her dangerous with the trainer-jockey upgrade. Papaprodromou’s patient training methods should allow this mare to show her best form in her barn debut.​

At 123 pounds, Hey Demps carries top weight but has demonstrated ability to handle weight in previous starts. The one-mile distance suits her running style, and the firm turf course should provide optimal racing conditions. Her tactical versatility allows her to adapt to various pace scenarios, whether that requires pressing the pace or stalking from slightly off the leaders.​

Mendelssohns Angel

Mendelssohns Angel brings youth and upside for trainer Brendan Galvin with Juan Hernandez handling the riding assignment. This three-year-old filly by Mendelssohn out of Angel Alessandra represents Four Quarters Corp and has shown ability in California-bred maiden company. Her breeding by Mendelssohn, a son of Scat Daddy who has proven effective with turf runners, suggests she should handle the one-mile distance effectively.​

The significant advantage comes from getting Juan Hernandez, who continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar with five consecutive riding titles at the track. Hernandez maintains a 40 percent win rate at the seaside oval and has been particularly effective with developing horses making steps forward in their careers. His ability to position horses throughout their races and time his moves perfectly makes him invaluable on turf routes.​

At 120 pounds, Mendelssohns Angel receives a five-pound weight advantage compared to the older mares carrying 125 pounds and a three-pound advantage over most of the four-year-olds carrying 123 pounds. This weight concession becomes significant over the one-mile distance and could prove decisive if she possesses the class to compete with these more experienced mares. Her youth suggests she may still be improving and could take a significant step forward in this spot.​

Galvin’s barn has shown steady form with California-bred runners, and this filly has been working consistently for this assignment. The step up from maiden company to allowance level represents a class test, but her breeding and connections suggest she possesses the talent to compete effectively. The combination of Hernandez’s riding skill and the weight advantage creates an attractive package for bettors seeking value.​

Quantum Innergy

Quantum Innergy represents Jeff Mullins’ barn with Hector Berrios handling the riding duties after a jockey change from previous starts. This four-year-old filly has shown consistency with three consecutive third-place finishes in similar California-bred turf miles, though traffic trouble has compromised her chances in those efforts. The switch to Berrios, one of the top turf pilots in Southern California, could prove significant if he can navigate her through traffic more effectively.​

The filly’s running style typically sees her rally from last, requiring a clean trip and honest pace to maximize her late kick. Her recent pattern of finishing third with traffic trouble suggests she possesses the ability to win at this level if circumstances align properly. Mullins has shown excellent form during the fall meet, and this filly appears ready to breakthrough if she gets a cleaner trip.​

At 123 pounds, Quantum Innergy carries weight appropriate for her class level. Her breeding and running style suggest she needs pace to close into, and this field composition should provide the setup she requires. The addition of Berrios represents an upgrade in tactical riding ability, as he understands how to position closers throughout their races to avoid traffic while still maintaining striking position.​

The filly’s statistics show 14 starts on turf with one victory, indicating she has won on grass surfaces and understands how to handle the course. Her consistency in hitting the board suggests she possesses the class to compete at this level, and the jockey change could provide the difference between finishing third again or finally breaking through for the victory.​

Dorie Miller

Dorie Miller represents Leonard Powell’s barn with Mirco Demuro in the irons. This four-year-old filly by Grazen out of Queenofhercastle (by Ministers Wild Cat) brings California breeding and recent form showing competitiveness in allowance company. Demuro provides European riding experience and has demonstrated effectiveness on the Del Mar turf course during his California campaign.​

The filly’s form line shows she has been competing in similar California-bred allowance races with mixed results. Her breeding by Grazen suggests she should handle turf surfaces effectively, with Ministers Wild Cat through her female family adding tactical speed and versatility. Powell’s patient training methods have prepared her for this assignment, and the stable notes suggest she could be ready for a significant effort.​

At 123 pounds, Dorie Miller carries weight that reflects her class level and experience. The one-mile distance suits her running style, and she has shown ability to position well throughout races before making sustained runs in the stretch. Demuro’s European background gives him excellent understanding of how to rate horses and time his moves on turf courses.​

Powell’s statistics with turf route starters at Del Mar show solid effectiveness, particularly since summer 2021 when the barn won with 8 of 20 maiden special weight turf route starters at the track. While this filly is beyond maiden level, the statistics demonstrate Powell’s ability to prepare horses for turf routes at Del Mar. Her recent works suggest she is training forward toward a peak performance.​

Summer Lake

Summer Lake is a six-year-old mare trained by Carla Gaines with Ricardo Gonzalez handling the riding assignment. Sired by Lakerville out of Ultimate Summer, this California-bred mare brings experience and proven durability through 13 career starts. Gaines has established herself as one of California’s premier trainers of state-bred horses, with particular success developing fillies and mares for turf racing.​

Gaines earned recognition in 2024 when her trainee Closing Remarks was named the 2023 Champion California-bred Turf Horse and Champion California-bred Older Female by the California Thoroughbred Breeders Association. That success demonstrates the barn’s expertise with California-bred turf runners and suggests Summer Lake receives top-level training and care. The stable has earned over $39 million in career earnings across nearly 5,000 starts.​

At 123 pounds, Summer Lake carries weight appropriate for a six-year-old mare at this class level. Her experience and proven ability to compete in California-bred allowance ranks make her a legitimate contender if she shows her best form. Gonzalez brings consistent riding and understands how to position horses throughout turf routes.​

The mare’s consistency and experience could prove valuable in a field with several younger, less experienced fillies. Her ability to handle various pace scenarios and track conditions makes her a solid choice for bettors seeking horses who deliver honest efforts. The Gaines barn’s current form suggests this mare should be competitive in this spot.​

Perfect Life

Perfect Life is a three-year-old filly trained by Ruben Gomez with Serafin Carmona handling the riding duties. As a three-year-old, she receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to older mares carrying 125 pounds and four-year-olds at 123 pounds. This five-pound advantage over older mares becomes meaningful over the one-mile distance.​

The filly’s youth suggests she may still be improving and could take a step forward in her development. However, the challenge is whether she possesses sufficient class to compete with more experienced mares who have established themselves in California-bred allowance ranks. Carmona brings competent riding skills and has shown effectiveness with turf runners during the meet.​

The breeding and connections suggest she fits as a secondary contender who could benefit from a pace meltdown or traffic issues affecting the favorites. Her best chance comes if she can secure good position early and make a sustained run in the stretch while the favorites encounter trouble. The weight advantage provides her with every opportunity to be competitive.​

Lady Mendelssohn

Lady Mendelssohn is a three-year-old filly trained by Carla Gaines with Diego Herrera aboard. As a three-year-old, she carries 122 pounds, receiving weight advantages over older competition. Trained by Gaines, who has shown exceptional effectiveness with California-bred turf fillies, this runner brings solid connections and breeding suited for turf racing.​

The filly’s recent form line shows 133310, indicating she has won a race and shown consistency in California-bred company. Her youth and weight advantage create potential for improvement, particularly if she continues developing under Gaines’ patient training methods. The barn’s expertise with California-bred turf fillies gives her every opportunity to succeed.​

Herrera brings competent riding skills and has shown effectiveness throughout the meet. The combination with Gaines creates a partnership that understands how to position horses throughout turf routes and maximize their chances. The filly’s breeding and connections suggest she deserves consideration in exotic wagers as a potential value play.​

Shamrockin

Shamrockin represents Paul Aguirre’s barn with Tiago Pereira handling the riding assignment. This four-year-old filly by Clubhouse Ride out of Irish Winnie (by Broken Vow) brings interesting breeding and a remarkable debut victory. The filly shocked bettors in her career debut by rallying from last under Armando Ayuso to win by a nose at 55-1 odds, returning $111.80 for a $2 win bet.​

That stunning debut came in January 2024 in a six-furlong California-bred maiden turf race at Santa Anita. Aguirre acknowledged before the race that he thought she would need the experience, making her victory even more impressive. The filly is bred to be competitive, being the sixth winner from six foals produced by her dam Irish Winnie, whose best offspring Irish Heatwave earned $426,830.​

Recent form shows Shamrockin has struggled to replicate that debut success, with chart notes from October 25 indicating she raced near the back in the opening stages, traveled two wide on the turn, and angled out over the dirt without being a factor. The inconsistency raises questions about her current form and whether she can rediscover the ability she showed in that debut victory.​

At 123 pounds, Shamrockin carries weight appropriate for her age and class level. Aguirre operates a modest 10-horse stable but has shown ability to identify spots where his limited runners can compete. The jockey change to Pereira from previous pilots could signal connections believe a fresh approach might help this filly return to form. Her breeding suggests talent exists if she can harness it consistently.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

She’s a Joker brings competitive speed figures from her recent starts in California-bred allowance company, with her October 30 effort at Del Mar demonstrating she possesses the class to compete at this level. The Miller barn’s consistent success with California-bred turf runners suggests she is training at high levels and should produce strong figures in this spot.​

Hey Demps brings proven class from previous starts in similar California-bred allowance races, though her exact speed figures from recent efforts require evaluation. The trainer change to Papaprodromou suggests connections believe she fits at this level, and the barn’s strong statistics with first-time-off-claim turf routers indicate she should be competitive.​

Quantum Innergy has posted consistent figures with her three consecutive third-place finishes in similar California-bred turf miles. Her ability to finish third despite traffic trouble suggests she possesses sufficient class to win at this level if circumstances improve. The jockey change to Berrios could help her produce career-best figures if he navigates traffic more effectively.​

Mendelssohns Angel steps up from maiden company to allowance level, representing a significant class test. Her breeding by Mendelssohn suggests she should improve with experience and distance, and the weight advantage combined with Hernandez’s riding creates opportunities to compete beyond her current speed figures. The class test remains her biggest challenge.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Del Mar turf course with rail positioned at 18 feet creates a fair racing surface where post position advantages diminish compared to races with inside rail placement. The one-mile distance allows sufficient time for horses from outside posts to secure favorable position entering the first turn, while inside posts must show alertness to avoid being shuffled back as the field settles.​

She’s a Joker draws post position four, placing her in an ideal middle spot where Fresu can secure good position without expending excessive energy. The middle posts from three through six have historically performed well in Del Mar turf miles, allowing jockeys tactical flexibility to position horses based on early pace dynamics.​

Hey Demps draws post position one, placing her on the rail where Rispoli must show tactical awareness to secure good position without being shuffled back. Rispoli’s exceptional skill and experience on Del Mar turf courses gives Hey Demps every opportunity to overcome the inside draw and secure favorable position. The rail position could prove advantageous if she shows early tactical speed.​

Dorie Miller draws post position nine, placing her on the outside where Demuro must secure position without being pushed wide around the first turn. The outside post fits her closing running style, as it allows her to settle toward the back without being compromised by traffic early. The wide draw could prove beneficial if the pace develops honestly and she gets a clean run in the stretch.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

She’s a Joker rates as a strong win bet based on the powerful Miller barn’s exceptional success with California-bred turf runners and the proven effectiveness of Fresu on grass surfaces. The mare’s recent form shows she possesses the class to compete at this level, and the trainer-jockey combination creates confidence in her chances. Her morning line odds should offer reasonable value given the competitive nature of this field.​

Exacta plays should key She’s a Joker on top with Hey Demps, Mendelssohns Angel, and Quantum Innergy underneath. Hey Demps brings significant value as a first-time starter for Papaprodromou with Rispoli aboard, creating an attractive package at potentially generous odds. An exacta box including She’s a Joker, Hey Demps, and Mendelssohns Angel offers solid coverage with three legitimate winning chances.​

Trifecta structures should expand to include Dorie Miller and Summer Lake given their connections and proven ability in California-bred allowance ranks. A trifecta keying She’s a Joker on top, boxing Hey Demps and Mendelssohns Angel for second, and including Quantum Innergy, Dorie Miller, and Summer Lake for third creates attractive tickets with reasonable coverage of likely outcomes.​

For superfecta plays, the value comes from including Perfect Life and Lady Mendelssohn in the fourth position, as both three-year-olds carry weight advantages and could secure minor awards at generous odds. A superfecta keying She’s a Joker to win, boxing Hey Demps and Mendelssohns Angel for place and show, and using the full field for fourth provides maximum coverage with focused structure on top.​

Win-place betting on She’s a Joker offers solid value with reasonable risk given the Miller barn’s championship form. Place-show betting on Hey Demps provides opportunities to profit from the trainer-jockey upgrade even if she finishes second or third. Mendelssohns Angel represents excellent value in exacta and trifecta plays given the significant jockey upgrade to Hernandez and the weight advantage she enjoys as a three-year-old.​

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: She’s a Joker

She’s a Joker earns top selection based on the powerful Peter Miller barn’s exceptional success with California-bred turf runners and the proven partnership with Antonio Fresu. The six-year-old mare has demonstrated consistent ability in California-bred allowance company, with her October 30 effort at Del Mar showing she can position well throughout races and finish with sustained speed. Miller’s statistics with California-bred turf runners show championship-level effectiveness, including multiple Del Mar training titles and a career 15 percent win rate with grass runners. The combination of proven class at this level, elite trainer, and competent jockey makes her the horse to beat. Her breeding by Practical Joke provides tactical speed that allows her to adapt to various pace scenarios, while Giant’s Causeway through her female family adds stamina for the one-mile distance. The middle post position places her in an ideal spot where Fresu can secure favorable position without expending excessive energy.

Place: Hey Demps

Hey Demps represents exceptional value as a first-time starter for the George Papaprodromou barn after being claimed. The five-year-old mare brings proven ability in California-bred allowance company and gets a significant upgrade with Umberto Rispoli handling the riding assignment. Papaprodromou’s statistics with first-time-off-claim turf routers show remarkable effectiveness at 36 percent win rate with a $4.05 return on investment over the past three years, demonstrating the barn’s ability to improve horses after claiming them. Rispoli continues his dominant riding performance at Del Mar with patient hands and powerful finishes that make him exceptionally effective on turf courses. The mare has been a popular commodity at the claiming box over recent months, suggesting connections recognize her ability while understanding she fits at this allowance level. The rail draw requires tactical awareness, but Rispoli’s skill gives her every opportunity to overcome the inside post and secure favorable position. The trainer-jockey upgrade combined with her proven class creates an attractive betting proposition.

Show: Mendelssohns Angel

Mendelssohns Angel offers exceptional value based on getting Juan Hernandez, who continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar with five consecutive riding titles at the track. The three-year-old filly receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to older mares carrying 125 pounds and most four-year-olds at 123 pounds, with this five-pound advantage becoming meaningful over the one-mile distance. Her breeding by Mendelssohn, a son of Scat Daddy who has proven effective with turf runners, suggests she should handle the distance effectively. The step up from maiden company to allowance level represents a class test, but her youth indicates she may still be improving and could take a significant step forward in this spot. Hernandez maintains a 40 percent win rate at Del Mar and has been particularly effective with developing horses making steps forward in their careers. His ability to position horses throughout their races and time his moves perfectly provides this filly with every opportunity to exceed expectations. The combination of Hernandez’s elite riding skill, the significant weight advantage, and the filly’s potential for improvement creates an attractive value proposition for bettors seeking horses who could outrun their oddso could outrun their odds.

Race 8 – The Chosen Vron Stakes (California-Bred Stakes, 7 Furlongs Dirt)

Post Time: 4:00 PM

Stakes. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $100,000. For Golden State Series eligible California bred or California sired three-year-olds and upward. By subscription of $100 each to accompany the nomination, closed Thursday October 30, 2025 with 13 nominations, or by supplementary nomination of $1,000 for Golden State Series eligible horses by closing time of entries. Non-Golden State eligible horses $25,000 to supplement, which will make that horse eligible to all future Golden State Series Stakes. $1,500 additional to start with $100,000 Guaranteed, of which $57,000 to first, $19,000 to second, $12,000 to third, $6,000 to fourth, $4,000 to fifth and $2,000 to sixth. Weight: Three-year-olds 122 lbs., Older 124 lbs. Non-winners of a sweepstakes of $60,000 since May 30 allowed 2 lbs.; of $35,000 since April 1 allowed 4 lbs. Maiden and claiming races not considered. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner.

Post Time

4:00 PM PST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

This California-bred stakes race figures to develop with honest early pace given the composition of the field. Man O Rose has demonstrated front-running ability in his recent stakes victories, winning the E.B. Johnston Stakes wire-to-wire by 5¼ lengths before pressing the pace in the California Flag Handicap. Clovisconnection brings blazing early speed with a recent Beyer Speed Figure of 116, suggesting he will challenge for the early lead from post position two.​

The seven-furlong distance on the main track creates a tactical race where early positioning matters significantly. With both Man O Rose and Clovisconnection likely to contest the early lead, the pace scenario suggests an honest opening quarter and half-mile that could set up stalkers and closers for late runs. Style Cat and R Heisman, both three-year-olds from the Peter Miller barn, bring tactical versatility and could benefit from pressing tactics behind the speed duel.​

The weight assignments create intriguing dynamics, with three-year-olds carrying 120 pounds or less while older horses shoulder 124 pounds at topweight. Man O Rose carries 124 pounds as a five-year-old, giving significant weight concessions to the younger challengers. Clovisconnection receives a four-pound advantage at 120 pounds despite being a five-year-old, as he has not won a sweepstakes of $60,000 since May 30.​

Man O Rose

Man O Rose enters this stakes assignment riding a two-race winning streak that has stamped him as the horse to beat in California-bred sprints. The five-year-old Stanford gelding opened his 2025 campaign with a dominant wire-to-wire victory in the E.B. Johnston Stakes at Los Alamitos on September 13, romping by 5¼ lengths in a commanding performance. He followed that effort with a gritty nose victory in the California Flag Handicap on October 11 at Santa Anita, holding off the on-coming charge of Lovesick Blues, the Grade 1 Bing Crosby Stakes winner who was prepping for the Breeders Cup Sprint.​

Trained by Jeff Mullins for B and B Zietz Stables, Man O Rose brings an impressive career record of 16:9-3-0 with $440,965 in earnings. The homebred gelding demonstrates remarkable versatility, having won stakes on both dirt and turf at various distances. His California Flag Handicap victory came over Santa Anita’s unique downhill turf course at six and one-half furlongs, showcasing his ability to handle different racing conditions.​

Edwin Maldonado has piloted Man O Rose to all nine of his career victories, creating a partnership with intimate understanding of the horse’s racing style and capabilities. Maldonado’s patient handling and strong finishes have maximized Man O Rose’s effectiveness in stakes company. The jockey-trainer combination has proven highly effective, particularly in California-bred stakes where they understand the competition and pace dynamics.​

Man O Rose competed in this race last year when it was called the Cary Grant Stakes and finished second, beaten 8½ lengths by Big City Lights. That performance suggests he needed time to mature into the horse he has become in 2025. His current form cycle indicates he is racing at peak levels, and the return to Del Mar’s main track for seven furlongs should suit his front-running style perfectly.​

At 124 pounds, Man O Rose carries topweight but has demonstrated ability to handle weight throughout his career. The seven-furlong distance represents his optimal distance, allowing him to employ his tactical speed to secure favorable position early while maintaining enough stamina for the stretch drive. His breeding by Stanford out of Kathleen Rose combines speed and stamina, making him effective at sprint distances from six furlongs to seven furlongs.​

Style Cat

Style Cat represents the powerful Peter Miller barn with Umberto Rispoli handling the riding assignment. This three-year-old dark bay or brown gelding by Curlin to Mischief out of Kittens Trip brings impressive breeding that combines the stamina of Curlin with the tactical speed of Kitten’s Joy through his dam. Bred and owned by J. Kirk and Judy Robison, Style Cat has earned $308,272 with a record showing three wins from 14 career starts.​

Style Cat opened his stakes account with a convincing victory in the Echo Eddie Stakes back in April, demonstrating his effectiveness on dirt surfaces at Santa Anita. However, he has gone winless in his last four starts, including a fourth-place finish in the Real Good Deal Stakes and two recent turf experiments that proved unsuccessful. Miller acknowledged his belief that Style Cat performs better on dirt, prompting the surface switch for this assignment.​

The three-year-old gelding receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to Man O Rose’s 124 pounds, creating a four-pound advantage that becomes meaningful over seven furlongs. The weight concession reflects both his age and his lack of recent stakes success, but his earlier form demonstrates he possesses the class to compete at this level when racing on his preferred dirt surface.​

Rispoli brings championship-caliber riding to this assignment, with patient hands and powerful finishes that have made him one of Southern California’s most successful jockeys. The partnership with Miller creates confidence, as the trainer-jockey combination has produced numerous stakes victories throughout 2025. Rispoli’s ability to position horses throughout their races and time his moves perfectly gives Style Cat every opportunity to return to his winning ways.​

Style Cat faces his first test against older horses, having competed exclusively against three-year-olds in his previous starts. The class test represents his biggest challenge, though his breeding and earlier form suggest he possesses sufficient talent to be competitive. His versatility in running styles allows him to adapt to the pace scenario, whether that requires pressing the pace or stalking from slightly off the leaders.​

Clovisconnection

Clovisconnection brings intriguing credentials for trainer Blaine Wright with Juan Hernandez handling the riding assignment. The five-year-old gelding has proven himself a well-traveled competitor with 11 wins from 18 career starts and earnings of $463,300. His recent Beyer Speed Figure of 116 represents the highest in this field, suggesting he possesses significant tactical speed that could prove decisive in this sprint.​

His pedigree carries special significance in this race, as it is laced with Vronsky, the sire of The Chosen Vron, the race’s namesake. The Chosen Vron was a two-time California-bred horse of the year for 2024 and 2025, a four-time winner at Del Mar who captured the Cary Grant Stakes twice before his retirement. Clovisconnection’s bloodline connection creates romantic appeal and suggests he should appreciate the seven-furlong distance.​

At 120 pounds, Clovisconnection receives a four-pound weight advantage over Man O Rose despite being the same age. The weight relief stems from not winning a sweepstakes of $60,000 since May 30, creating a significant concession that could prove decisive over seven furlongs. The combination of high speed figures, weight relief, and elite jockey makes him a formidable upset candidate.​

Juan Hernandez continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar, having won five consecutive riding titles at the seaside oval. His 40 percent win rate at Del Mar makes him a must-use angle regardless of horse or trainer. Hernandez excels at positioning horses throughout their races and timing his moves perfectly, skills that become particularly valuable in sprint stakes where tactical positioning determines outcomes.​

The concern with Clovisconnection centers on his pattern of fading late after using excessive energy early. His blazing speed creates advantages in securing position, but maintaining that speed through the final furlong has proven challenging in previous sprint attempts. If he can harness his speed more effectively and rate kindly under Hernandez’s patient handling, he becomes extremely dangerous in this spot.​

R Heisman

R Heisman represents Peter Miller’s stable with Antonio Fresu riding. This three-year-old gelding by Twirling Candy showed promise as a two-year-old when he captured the Graduation Stakes at Del Mar. However, he has not visited the winner’s circle since that juvenile victory, though he did finish second in the Golden State Juvenile Stakes at Del Mar on Breeders Cup Day 2024.​

At 118 pounds, R Heisman receives maximum weight relief with six pounds off Man O Rose’s topweight assignment. The significant weight concession reflects both his age and his lack of recent stakes success, but it creates opportunities to compete more effectively against older, more accomplished rivals. The weight advantage becomes particularly meaningful over seven furlongs where horses carry weight the entire distance.​

Miller removed the blinkers following a fifth-place finish in a first-level allowance for open three-year-olds at Santa Anita, suggesting the equipment change aims to help him settle more kindly in his races. The tactical adjustment could prove significant if it allows him to rate behind the early pace duel between Man O Rose and Clovisconnection before making his run in the stretch.​

Fresu brings competent riding skills and has partnered effectively with Miller-trained horses throughout the meet. The trainer-jockey combination understands how to position horses throughout their races and maximize their chances in stakes company. R Heisman’s earlier form demonstrates he possesses talent, and the equipment change combined with weight relief could help him rediscover his best form.​

The challenge remains whether R Heisman can compete with the top tier of California-bred older horses after struggling against open three-year-old competition. His breeding by Twirling Candy suggests he should handle seven furlongs effectively, with the distance representing his optimal trip. If the pace develops honestly and he benefits from the equipment change, he could secure a piece at generous odds.​

Shea Brennan

Shea Brennan brings solid credentials for Phil D’Amato with Armando Ayuso in the irons. This three-year-old Tough Sunday colt has compiled an impressive record at Del Mar with a mark of 5:2-1-2, demonstrating his affinity for the seaside oval. Bred and owned by Nick Alexander, Shea Brennan has earned $269,530 while consistently hitting the board in stakes company.​

The colt most recently finished fourth in the California Flag Handicap on October 11, beaten 1¼ lengths by Man O Rose. That performance came in his first attempt on turf, suggesting the surface switch may have compromised his chances. His return to dirt for this assignment should benefit him, as he previously scored a 3½-length victory in an optional claiming race at Del Mar on August 31.​

At 120 pounds, Shea Brennan receives a four-pound weight advantage over Man O Rose. The weight relief combined with his proven effectiveness at Del Mar creates an attractive package for bettors seeking value. D’Amato has trained at championship levels throughout 2025, earning multiple training titles and demonstrating expertise with California-bred stakes horses.​

Ayuso has partnered effectively with Shea Brennan in recent starts, guiding him to his August victory at Del Mar. The jockey-trainer-horse combination demonstrates chemistry and understanding of how to position this colt throughout his races. Ayuso’s tactical skills allow him to adapt to various pace scenarios, whether that requires pressing the pace or stalking from slightly off the leaders.​

Shea Brennan’s breeding by Tough Sunday out of Carrie Rose provides tactical speed and versatility suited for seven-furlong contests. His consistent form and proven Del Mar effectiveness make him a legitimate contender if the race develops favorably. The return to dirt represents his optimal surface, and his earlier form suggests he possesses the class to compete with these rivals.​

Drop Um

Drop Um brings intriguing credentials for trainer Felix Rondan with Kyle Frey handling the riding assignment. This three-year-old colt has won both career starts with earnings of $62,550, most notably upsetting odds-on favorite R Heisman in the Everett Nevin Stakes on July 7, 2024. Bred by Dr. & Mrs. William Gray and owned by Gray Farms, Drop Um has shown promise in limited opportunities.​

At 118 pounds, Drop Um receives maximum weight relief with six pounds off Man O Rose’s topweight. The significant weight concession creates opportunities to compete effectively despite his limited experience. His perfect record demonstrates he knows how to win races, though the class test against seasoned stakes horses represents his biggest challenge.​

Rondan operates a modest stable but has shown ability to identify spots where his runners can compete. The trainer’s patience with Drop Um, keeping him fresh with only two career starts, suggests confidence in his talent and belief he can develop into a quality California-bred stakes horse. The barn’s conservative approach has allowed the colt to mature physically and mentally.​

Frey brings tactical versatility and has shown effectiveness with lightly raced horses making steps forward in their development. His ability to adapt to different running styles allows him to position horses based on pace dynamics rather than predetermined tactics. If Drop Um shows continued improvement from his previous performances, he could surprise at generous odds.​

The concern remains whether Drop Um possesses sufficient seasoning to handle the class test against proven stakes horses. His victory over R Heisman demonstrates he can compete with quality California-bred three-year-olds, but facing older champions like Man O Rose represents a significant step up in competition. His breeding and limited sample size create uncertainty about his true ability level.​

Stamp My Passport

Stamp My Passport represents Leonard Powell’s barn with Diego Herrera handling the riding assignment. This six-year-old Vancouver gelding brings significant experience in stakes company and recently finished second to Man O Rose in the E.B. Johnston Stakes at 8-1 odds, proving he belongs at this level. His career record demonstrates consistency in California-bred allowance and stakes competition.​

The scratch watch indicates Stamp My Passport was pulled from the California Flag Handicap on October 11 by trainer decision, raising questions about his current condition and fitness. The scratch came just weeks after his runner-up finish in the E.B. Johnston Stakes, suggesting Powell may have identified issues that required additional time between races. His presence in Saturday’s field indicates those concerns have been resolved.​

At 122 pounds, Stamp My Passport carries weight that reflects his age and experience level, receiving a two-pound advantage over Man O Rose. The weight relief provides modest help but may not prove sufficient to offset the class difference between the two older horses. His breeding by Vancouver suggests he should handle the seven-furlong distance effectively.​

Herrera brings competent riding skills and has partnered with Powell-trained horses throughout the meet. The jockey-trainer combination understands how to position horses in California-bred stakes and maximize their chances. If Stamp My Passport has trained forward since his scratch from the California Flag Handicap, he could secure a piece at generous odds.​

The concern centers on whether the recent scratch indicates underlying fitness issues that could compromise his performance. Powell’s decision to run him back quickly after the scratch suggests confidence in his condition, but the pattern raises questions. His best chance comes if he can position well off the pace duel and make a sustained run in the stretch while the favorites encounter trouble.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Man O Rose brings the most impressive recent form with consecutive stakes victories demonstrating he is racing at peak levels. His wire-to-wire victory in the E.B. Johnston Stakes by 5¼ lengths produced competitive speed figures, while his nose victory over Breeders Cup Sprint contender Lovesick Blues in the California Flag Handicap stamps him with championship-level class. The versatility he has shown winning on both dirt and turf at various distances indicates his class transcends specific conditions.​

Clovisconnection brings the field’s highest recent Beyer Speed Figure of 116, suggesting he possesses significant tactical speed that could prove decisive. His extensive racing experience with 11 wins from 18 starts demonstrates proven ability to compete at this class level. However, his pattern of fading late after using excessive energy early raises questions about whether those speed figures translate to sustained performance over seven furlongs.​

Style Cat’s earlier stakes victory in the Echo Eddie Stakes demonstrated he possesses class when racing on dirt surfaces at his optimal distance. His recent struggles in four consecutive losses, including two unsuccessful turf experiments, create concerns about his current form. However, Miller’s belief that he performs better on dirt suggests the surface switch could help him produce significantly improved figures.​

Shea Brennan brings consistent class with his excellent Del Mar record and competitive performances in stakes company. His fourth-place finish in the California Flag Handicap on his first turf attempt suggests he fits better on dirt where he scored his August victory. The D’Amato barn’s championship-level training creates confidence he will produce competitive figures returning to his preferred surface.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The seven-furlong sprint on Del Mar’s main track creates a tactical race where early positioning proves crucial. Historical data shows that horses who can secure position within two lengths of the pace at the half-mile mark enjoy the highest success rates. Speed horses who establish clear leads often maintain those advantages, particularly when they can dictate moderate fractions without facing extreme pressure.​

Man O Rose draws post position five, placing him in the middle of the seven-horse field where Maldonado can employ tactical flexibility. The middle post allows him to break alertly and establish position without expending excessive energy. If he can secure the lead or press the pace comfortably, his proven ability to maintain speed throughout seven furlongs makes him formidable.​

Clovisconnection draws post position two, placing him inside where Hernandez must show tactical awareness to avoid being shuffled back or trapped along the rail. The inside post suits his front-running style, allowing him to break alertly and secure early position without being forced wide. If he can establish clear early lead and dictate moderate fractions, his high speed figures suggest he could prove difficult to catch.​

Style Cat draws post position seven on the outside, requiring Rispoli to secure position without being pushed wide around the turn. The outside post fits his tactical versatility, allowing him to assess the pace scenario before committing to a specific position. Rispoli’s skill gives Style Cat every opportunity to overcome the wide draw and secure favorable position for his stretch run.​

The inside posts from one through three create potential for traffic issues if horses break slowly or drift inward during the race. The middle posts from four through six appear most advantageous for this distance and configuration, offering tactical flexibility without risking wide trips. The outside post creates challenges but allows horses to avoid early traffic while maintaining clear paths throughout.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Man O Rose rates as a solid win bet despite his morning line favoritism at 8-5, based on his proven class at this level and current peak form demonstrated through consecutive stakes victories. His versatility winning on both dirt and turf creates confidence he can handle any pace scenario. The partnership with Maldonado provides tactical advantages as the jockey knows this horse’s capabilities intimately.​

Exacta plays should key Man O Rose on top with Style Cat, Clovisconnection, and Shea Brennan underneath. Style Cat represents significant value returning to dirt with the powerful Miller-Rispoli combination and substantial weight relief as a three-year-old. An exacta box including Man O Rose, Style Cat, and Clovisconnection offers solid coverage with three legitimate winning chances at reasonable investment.​

Trifecta structures should expand to include R Heisman and Shea Brennan given their weight advantages and proven ability in California-bred stakes. A trifecta keying Man O Rose on top, boxing Style Cat and Clovisconnection for second, and including Shea Brennan, R Heisman, and Drop Um for third creates attractive tickets with coverage of likely outcomes. The weight concessions to younger horses create upset potential in exotic wagers.​

For superfecta plays, the value comes from including Drop Um and Stamp My Passport in the fourth position, as both could secure minor awards at generous odds if they show improvement from previous efforts. A superfecta keying Man O Rose to win, boxing Style Cat and Clovisconnection for place and show, and using all for fourth provides maximum coverage with focused structure on top.​

Win-place betting on Man O Rose offers reasonable value despite his favoritism, as his proven class and current form create high probability of hitting the board. Place-show betting on Style Cat provides opportunities to profit from the Miller barn’s strong form even if he finishes second or third. Clovisconnection represents excellent value in exacta and trifecta plays given his high speed figures and the powerful Hernandez-Wright combination.​

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Man O Rose

Man O Rose earns top selection based on his dominant current form demonstrated through consecutive stakes victories and proven class at this level. The five-year-old Stanford gelding opened his 2025 campaign with a wire-to-wire romp in the E.B. Johnston Stakes before showing grit and determination to hold off Breeders Cup Sprint contender Lovesick Blues in the California Flag Handicap. His versatility winning stakes on both dirt and turf at various distances stamps him as a complete racehorse who can handle any conditions or pace scenarios. The partnership with Edwin Maldonado provides significant advantages, as the jockey has guided him to all nine career victories and understands his racing style intimately. While he carries topweight at 124 pounds, Man O Rose has proven ability to handle weight throughout his career, and the seven-furlong distance represents his optimal trip. His breeding by Stanford combines tactical speed with stamina, allowing him to establish position early while maintaining enough energy for strong stretch drives. The Jeff Mullins barn has Man O Rose racing at peak levels, and his form cycle suggests he will produce another championship-caliber performance.

Place: Style Cat

Style Cat represents exceptional value returning to dirt surfaces after two unsuccessful turf experiments. The three-year-old Curlin to Mischief gelding demonstrated his effectiveness on dirt when capturing the Echo Eddie Stakes back in April, and trainer Peter Miller’s acknowledgment that he performs better on dirt creates confidence in this surface switch. The significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to Man O Rose’s 124 pounds becomes meaningful over seven furlongs, particularly for a horse making his first start against older competition. Umberto Rispoli provides championship-caliber riding, with patient hands and powerful finishes that maximize horses’ chances in stakes company. The Miller-Rispoli combination has produced numerous stakes victories throughout 2025, demonstrating their effectiveness when partnered with quality horses. While Style Cat winless in his last four starts, those efforts included unsuccessful surface experiments and a fourth in the Real Good Deal Stakes where he showed ability. His breeding combines the stamina of Curlin with tactical speed, making him versatile enough to adapt to various pace scenarios. The outside post position allows Rispoli to assess the early pace before committing to specific tactics, and his skill gives Style Cat every opportunity to return to winning form.

Show: Clovisconnection

Clovisconnection offers intriguing value based on his high Beyer Speed Figure of 116 and the significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to Man O Rose’s topweight. The five-year-old gelding brings proven class with 11 wins from 18 career starts and earnings of $463,300, demonstrating his ability to compete at this level consistently. His pedigree laced with Vronsky, the sire of the race’s namesake The Chosen Vron, creates romantic appeal while suggesting he should handle the seven-furlong distance effectively. Juan Hernandez continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar with five consecutive riding titles and a 40 percent win rate at the seaside oval. His patient handling and tactical expertise could prove crucial in helping Clovisconnection harness his blazing speed more effectively while rating kindly for a sustained stretch drive. The concern remains his pattern of fading late after using excessive energy early, but if Hernandez can convince him to settle behind the pace while maintaining striking position, his high speed figures suggest he possesses sufficient talent to hit the board. The inside post position suits his running style and allows him to break alertly without being forced wide, creating optimal conditions for a competitive performance.

Race 9 – Allowance Optional Claiming (California-Bred Males, 1 Mile Turf)

Post Time: 4:30 PM

Allowance Optional Claiming. 1 Mile Turf. Purse $61,000. For California bred or California sired three year olds and upward which have never won $21,000 once other than maiden, claiming, or starter or which have never won two races or claiming price $20,000. Three Year Olds, 122 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than maiden, claiming, or starter at a mile or over allowed 2 lbs. Claiming price $20,000. Non-starters for a claiming price of $16,000 or less in the last 2 starts preferred. Rail at 18 feet.

Post Time

4:30 PM PST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

This California-bred turf mile should develop with moderate to honest pace given the presence of Known Idea, who has demonstrated front-running tendencies in previous starts. The Mark Glatt-trained gelding typically shows tactical speed to establish position early, though the pace scenario creates potential challenges if he faces pressure from other horses seeking the lead.​

Peter Miller’s dominance in this race is overwhelming, with three of the ten entries representing his powerful stable. The trainer has won multiple Del Mar training titles including the 2018, 2020, and 2021 summer meets, with career statistics showing a 13 to 15 percent win rate that increases on turf surfaces. His triple entry of Grazed, Left Hand Man, and Jack Fish suggests the barn has this race well-mapped and believes it holds strong chances to capture the winner’s share of the $61,000 purse.​

The one-mile distance on the Del Mar turf course with rail at 18 feet creates a fair racing surface where tactical positioning and jockey skill become paramount factors. Historical data from Del Mar turf routes indicates that horses positioned within three lengths of the pace at the half-mile mark enjoy the highest success rates, though closers making ground from farther back have succeeded when pace dynamics favor late runners.​

With ten horses entered, traffic issues could develop in the latter stages of the race, making clean trips and tactical positioning crucial elements for success. The combination of California-bred restrictions and allowance level conditions typically produces moderate pace scenarios where horses with tactical speed who can secure favorable position hold distinct advantages over pure closers requiring significant pace meltdowns.​

Grazed

Grazed represents Peter Miller’s stable with Umberto Rispoli handling the riding assignment, creating one of the most formidable jockey-trainer combinations in Southern California racing. This seven-year-old gelding by Brody’s Cause out of Just Grazed Me brings extensive racing experience and proven ability on turf surfaces. Bred in California by Nick Alexander, Grazed fits the restricted conditions perfectly and should appreciate the one-mile distance.​

Rispoli continues his dominant riding performance at Del Mar, demonstrating patient hands and powerful finishes that maximize horses’ chances in competitive fields. The Italian jockey’s partnership with Miller has produced numerous stakes victories throughout 2025, with the combination clicking at high percentages when paired with quality horses. Rispoli’s ability to position horses throughout their races and time his moves perfectly makes him particularly effective on turf courses.​

At 123 pounds, Grazed carries weight reflecting his age and experience level. The seven-year-old gelding receives a two-pound advantage compared to younger older horses carrying 125 pounds, though he gives weight to three-year-olds in the field. His breeding by Brody’s Cause, a son of Giant’s Causeway, provides stamina and tactical versatility suited for one-mile turf contests.​

Miller’s statistics with California-bred turf runners show exceptional effectiveness, particularly at Del Mar where his barn consistently performs at championship levels. The trainer’s decision to triple-enter this race demonstrates confidence in having multiple legitimate winning chances, and Grazed likely represents one of his strongest options based on post position five placing him in an ideal middle spot.​

The gelding’s extensive experience and proven ability to compete in California-bred allowance ranks make him a legitimate contender if he shows his best form. His tactical versatility allows him to adapt to various pace scenarios, whether that requires pressing the pace from the inside or stalking from slightly off the leaders before unleashing his stretch drive.​

Known Idea

Known Idea brings intriguing credentials for Mark Glatt with Juan Hernandez handling the riding assignment, creating an exceptionally powerful jockey-trainer combination. The four-year-old gelding by Goldencents out of Snap Out of It represents Linear Bannasch and has compiled an impressive record at Del Mar, demonstrating his affinity for the seaside oval. Hernandez continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar with five consecutive riding titles and a 40 percent win rate at the track.​

The scratch watch indicates Known Idea was withdrawn by trainer from an October 31 allowance race at Del Mar, raising questions about his current condition and fitness. The scratch came from the Pacific Shore Stakes on Breeders Cup Friday due to a full field as determined by stewards, though the race card shows trainer scratched him. His presence in Saturday’s field suggests Glatt believes any concerns have been resolved and the gelding is ready to deliver his best performance.​

Glatt’s barn has shown exceptional form during the fall meet, with the trainer earning recognition for his success with turf runners at Del Mar. The Mark Glatt-trained Dr. Venkman won four of six races at Del Mar this year, demonstrating the barn’s effectiveness at the seaside oval. Glatt’s patient training methods and attention to detail create confidence that Known Idea will be properly prepared for this assignment.​

At 123 pounds, Known Idea carries weight appropriate for a four-year-old at this class level. His breeding by Goldencents provides tactical speed and stamina suited for one-mile turf contests, while Uncle Mo through his dam adds class and versatility. The post position six places him in the middle of the ten-horse field where Hernandez can employ tactical flexibility based on early pace dynamics.​

The pace scenario creates potential challenges for Known Idea if he attempts to establish the lead, as other horses in the field may contest his early positioning. However, Hernandez’s skill and patient handling could allow the gelding to secure good position without using excessive energy, saving enough for a sustained stretch drive. His Del Mar record demonstrates proven effectiveness at the track, making him extremely dangerous with the meet’s leading rider.​

Left Hand Man

Left Hand Man represents another entry from Peter Miller’s powerful stable with Hector Berrios handling the riding duties. This five-year-old gelding brings proven ability in California-bred allowance company and benefits from Miller’s exceptional success rate with turf runners at Del Mar. The combination of elite trainer and competent jockey creates an attractive betting proposition, particularly given Miller’s track record of placing horses where they can succeed.​

Berrios has been riding consistently during the meet and has shown effectiveness with turf runners throughout his Del Mar campaign. His ability to position horses throughout their races and adapt to various pace scenarios makes him valuable in competitive California-bred allowance fields. The partnership with Miller creates confidence, as the trainer-jockey combination understands how to maximize horses’ chances in spots where they fit.​

At 123 pounds, Left Hand Man carries weight reflecting his age and class level. The five-year-old gelding receives no weight advantages or disadvantages compared to most older horses in the field, putting him on even terms with several rivals. His post position two places him inside where Berrios must show tactical awareness to avoid being shuffled back or trapped along the rail.​

Miller’s decision to enter three horses in this race demonstrates exceptional depth in his California-bred turf division. Left Hand Man likely serves as one of the barn’s secondary options behind Grazed, though the trainer’s record of winning races with multiple entries shows he gives each horse legitimate chances. The gelding’s proven ability in similar California-bred allowance company makes him competitive if circumstances favor his running style.​

His tactical positioning early in the race becomes crucial from the inside post, as Berrios must secure good position without being compromised by traffic. If he can establish position within striking distance of the pace and get a clean run in the stretch, his proven class at this level makes him capable of hitting the board at generous odds.​

King of Dragons

King of Dragons brings solid credentials for trainer Peter Eurton with Antonio Fresu riding. This three-year-old gelding has shown ability in California-bred company and benefits from significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to older horses carrying 123 to 125 pounds. Eurton has trained Thoroughbreds since 1989, accumulating nearly 500 race wins and over $20 million in career earnings, demonstrating his ability to compete at championship levels.​

Recent works show King of Dragons breezed five furlongs in 1:01.60 on October 27 at Santa Anita, suggesting he has been training steadily for this assignment. Eurton’s patient training methods have produced Grade 1 winners including Weemissfrankie and Grade 2 winners Madame Cactus and My Gi Gi, demonstrating his ability to develop horses properly. His success with Storm the Court, who won the 2019 Breeders Cup Juvenile at 45-1 odds, shows the barn can produce upset victories.​

At 120 pounds, King of Dragons receives a five-pound weight advantage compared to older horses carrying 125 pounds and a three-pound advantage over most four-year-olds at 123 pounds. The significant weight relief becomes meaningful over the one-mile distance and creates opportunities to compete more effectively against more experienced rivals. His youth suggests he may still be improving and could take a step forward in his development.​

Fresu brings competent riding skills and has shown effectiveness with turf runners during the meet. His ability to position horses throughout their races allows him to adapt to various pace scenarios rather than employing predetermined tactics. If King of Dragons shows continued improvement from his previous performances, he could surprise at generous odds.​

The challenge remains whether the three-year-old possesses sufficient seasoning to handle older, more experienced horses in California-bred allowance ranks. His breeding and connections suggest talent exists, and the weight advantage combined with Eurton’s training expertise creates potential for competitive performance. His best chance comes if he can position well throughout and make a sustained run in the stretch while favorites encounter trouble.​

Jack Fish

Jack Fish represents Peter Miller’s third entry with Diego Herrera handling the riding assignment. This three-year-old gelding has won at Del Mar and placed twice during the current campaign, demonstrating proven effectiveness at the seaside oval. The gelding benefits from Miller’s exceptional statistics with California-bred turf runners and receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds as a three-year-old.​

Herrera brings solid riding skills and has partnered effectively with Miller-trained horses throughout the meet. The jockey’s familiarity with the trainer’s methods and expectations creates chemistry that benefits horses in competitive spots. Miller’s decision to triple-enter this race shows exceptional confidence in his California-bred turf division, and Jack Fish likely serves as one of the barn’s backup options behind Grazed and Left Hand Man.​

At 120 pounds, Jack Fish receives a five-pound weight advantage compared to older horses carrying 125 pounds. The significant weight relief creates opportunities to compete effectively despite his youth and limited experience compared to seasoned older rivals. His post position nine places him on the outside where Herrera must secure position without being pushed wide around the turn.​

The gelding’s recent form shows he has been competitive in similar California-bred allowance company, with wins and places demonstrating his ability to hit the board consistently. Miller’s training expertise with turf horses gives Jack Fish every opportunity to perform at his best level. The trainer’s record of winning races with multiple entries shows he maps races strategically and gives each horse legitimate chances based on pace dynamics.​

Jack Fish fits as a secondary contender who could benefit if the pace develops favorably and traffic works in his favor. His proven Del Mar effectiveness combined with Miller’s training and the significant weight advantage creates potential for competitive performance. If he can position well throughout and avoid trouble, he possesses sufficient talent to secure a piece at generous odds.​

Mav Man

Mav Man represents Leonard Powell’s barn with Armando Ayuso handling the riding duties. This three-year-old gelding brings limited experience but receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds as a younger horse. Powell’s reputation as a superb grass conditioner is well-established among serious Southern California handicappers, with the trainer showing particular effectiveness with turf route races at Del Mar.​

Powell’s statistics reveal he performs exceptionally well in turf routes but struggles in turf sprints, going 0-for-14 in grass sprints over the past three years at Del Mar. This one-mile distance fits his optimal profile where the barn has shown consistent success. Horses making their second start off layoffs and second try of the meet perform particularly well for Powell, creating key angles for handicappers.​

At 120 pounds, Mav Man receives maximum weight relief as a three-year-old, carrying five pounds less than older horses at 125 pounds. The significant weight advantage becomes meaningful over the one-mile distance and creates opportunities to compete with more seasoned rivals. His post position one places him on the rail where Ayuso must show tactical awareness to secure good position without being shuffled back.​

Ayuso brings competent riding skills and has shown effectiveness with Powell-trained horses during the meet. The jockey-trainer combination understands how to position horses in California-bred turf routes and maximize their chances. If Mav Man has trained forward toward a peak performance, he could secure a piece at generous odds.​

The concern centers on whether the three-year-old possesses sufficient class and experience to compete with older, more accomplished horses in this field. His breeding and connections suggest talent exists, but the class test represents his biggest challenge. His best chance comes if he can secure good position from the rail and make a sustained run in the stretch while avoiding traffic.​

Winning Patriot

Winning Patriot represents Carla Gaines’ stable with Ricardo Gonzalez riding. This four-year-old gelding brings experience in California-bred allowance company and benefits from Gaines’ expertise developing California-bred turf horses. The trainer earned recognition when her trainee Closing Remarks was named 2023 Champion California-bred Turf Horse and Champion California-bred Older Female by the California Thoroughbred Breeders Association.​

Gaines has established herself as one of California’s premier trainers of state-bred horses, with particular success developing fillies and mares for turf racing. Her career earnings exceeding $39 million across nearly 5,000 starts demonstrate sustained excellence and ability to compete at championship levels. The barn’s current form suggests Winning Patriot should be properly prepared for this assignment.​

At 123 pounds, Winning Patriot carries weight appropriate for a four-year-old at this class level. The gelding receives a two-pound weight advantage compared to older horses carrying 125 pounds but gives three pounds to three-year-olds in the field. His post position four places him in a favorable middle spot where Gonzalez can employ tactical flexibility based on early pace dynamics.​

Gonzalez brings consistent riding and understands how to position horses throughout turf routes. His partnership with Gaines creates chemistry that benefits horses in competitive California-bred allowance spots. If Winning Patriot shows his best form, he possesses sufficient talent to be competitive in this field.​

The challenge remains whether he can overcome what appears to be class advantages held by several rivals, particularly those from the powerful Miller barn. His best chance comes if the pace develops favorably and he can position well throughout before making a sustained late run. The Gaines training provides confidence he will deliver an honest effort.​

Sir Percival

Sir Percival is a three-year-old colt trained by Patrick Gallagher with Tyler Baze handling the riding assignment. As a three-year-old, he receives significant weight relief at 120 pounds compared to older horses carrying more weight. Baze brings extensive experience and tactical versatility that allows him to adapt to various pace scenarios based on how races develop early.​

At 120 pounds, Sir Percival carries weight that reflects his age and receives advantages over older competition. The three-year-old colt faces a class test against more experienced horses who have established themselves in California-bred allowance ranks. His post position seven places him outside where Baze must secure position without being pushed too wide around the turn.​

The concern centers on whether Sir Percival possesses sufficient class and seasoning to compete with the top tier of this field. His breeding and connections require further evaluation to determine his true ability level. His best chance comes if he shows significant improvement from previous performances and benefits from favorable pace dynamics.​

Cardiff Crack

Cardiff Crack is a six-year-old gelding by Smiling Tiger out of Codacious trained by Bill McLean with Kazushi Kimura riding. The veteran brings extensive racing experience and has been competitive in California-bred allowance company. Kimura provides competent riding skills and has shown effectiveness with turf runners during the meet.​

At 123 pounds, Cardiff Crack carries weight reflecting his age and experience level. The six-year-old gelding receives a two-pound advantage compared to older horses carrying 125 pounds but gives weight to younger rivals. His post position eight places him outside where Kimura must secure position without being pushed wide.​

The veteran’s experience and proven ability in California-bred allowance ranks make him a potential factor if he shows his best form. His tactical versatility allows him to adapt to various pace scenarios, and his consistency suggests he will deliver an honest effort. However, he faces significant challenges overcoming class advantages held by horses from elite barns like Miller and Glatt.​

Stolen Treasure

Stolen Treasure is a four-year-old colt trained by Edward Freeman with William Antongeorgi III handling the riding duties. Limited information is available about this runner’s recent form and connections, creating uncertainty about his chances in this competitive field. At 123 pounds, he carries weight appropriate for his age and class level.​

His post position ten places him on the far outside where Antongeorgi must secure position without being pushed extremely wide around the turn. The challenge from the outside post becomes significant in a ten-horse field where securing favorable position requires aggressive tactics early. His best chance comes if the pace develops favorably and he can make a sustained late run while avoiding wide trips.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

Grazed brings competitive speed figures from his recent starts in California-bred allowance company, with the Miller barn’s exceptional success rate with turf runners suggesting he is training at high levels. The combination of proven class, elite trainer, and championship jockey creates confidence he will produce strong figures in this spot.​

Known Idea brings proven class with his excellent Del Mar record demonstrating effectiveness at the seaside oval. The combination with Juan Hernandez, who maintains a 40 percent win rate at Del Mar, creates significant advantages. His breeding by Goldencents suggests he possesses quality that could produce competitive figures if fully fit following his recent scratch.​

Left Hand Man and Jack Fish both represent Miller’s stable and bring proven ability in California-bred allowance ranks. The trainer’s expertise placing horses where they can succeed suggests both will be competitive based on their recent form and class levels. The triple entry demonstrates Miller’s confidence in having multiple legitimate winning chances.​

King of Dragons steps up to face older competition after competing primarily against three-year-olds. The significant weight relief combined with Eurton’s training expertise creates potential for him to produce improved figures. However, the class test against seasoned older horses represents his biggest challenge.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Del Mar turf course with rail at 18 feet creates a fair racing surface where post position advantages diminish compared to races with inside rail placement. The one-mile distance allows sufficient time for horses from outside posts to secure favorable position entering the first turn, while inside posts must show alertness to avoid being shuffled back as the field settles.​

Grazed draws post position five, placing him in an ideal middle spot where Rispoli can employ tactical flexibility. The middle post allows him to assess early pace dynamics before committing to specific tactics, and Rispoli’s skill gives Grazed every opportunity to secure favorable position throughout.​

Known Idea draws post position six, placing him in the middle of the ten-horse field where Hernandez can demonstrate his tactical expertise. The post position suits Known Idea’s running style and allows Hernandez to position the gelding based on early pace development rather than predetermined tactics.​

Left Hand Man draws post position two, placing him inside where Berrios must show tactical awareness. The inside post creates potential for traffic issues but also offers opportunities to save ground if he can secure favorable position early. Miller’s horses from inside posts typically show alertness to avoid being compromised.​

Jack Fish draws post position nine on the outside, requiring Herrera to secure position without being pushed extremely wide. The outside post fits horses who can break alertly and establish position before the first turn, though it creates challenges if he breaks slowly or drifts outward.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Grazed rates as the top selection based on the powerful Miller-Rispoli combination and proven class in California-bred turf allowance ranks. The seven-year-old gelding’s experience and tactical versatility create confidence he can handle any pace scenario. His middle post position provides tactical advantages, and Rispoli’s patient handling maximizes his chances.​

Exacta plays should key Grazed on top with Known Idea, Left Hand Man, and King of Dragons underneath. Known Idea represents significant value with Juan Hernandez aboard despite the recent scratch raising minor concerns about fitness. An exacta box including Grazed, Known Idea, and Left Hand Man offers solid coverage with three legitimate winning chances from top barns.​

Trifecta structures should expand to include Jack Fish and King of Dragons given their weight advantages as three-year-olds and proven ability in California-bred company. A trifecta keying Grazed on top, boxing Known Idea and Left Hand Man for second, and including King of Dragons, Jack Fish, and Winning Patriot for third creates attractive tickets with coverage of likely outcomes.​

For superfecta plays, the value comes from including Mav Man and Cardiff Crack in the fourth position, as both could secure minor awards at generous odds if they show improvement from previous efforts. A superfecta keying Grazed to win, boxing Known Idea and Left Hand Man for place and show, and using all for fourth provides maximum coverage with focused structure on top.​

Win-place betting on Grazed offers reasonable value given the Miller-Rispoli combination’s proven effectiveness. Place-show betting on Known Idea provides opportunities to profit from the Hernandez upgrade even if fitness concerns from the recent scratch prove valid. Left Hand Man represents excellent value in exacta and trifecta plays as Miller’s secondary option.​

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Grazed

Grazed earns top selection based on the powerful combination of Peter Miller’s training and Umberto Rispoli’s riding, creating one of the most formidable partnerships in Southern California racing. The seven-year-old gelding brings extensive racing experience and proven ability in California-bred turf allowance company, demonstrating the consistency and class required to win at this level. Miller’s exceptional statistics with California-bred turf runners at Del Mar show championship-level effectiveness, with the trainer winning multiple training titles and maintaining win rates between 13 and 15 percent that increase on grass surfaces. His decision to triple-enter this race demonstrates exceptional confidence in his California-bred turf division, with Grazed likely representing his strongest option based on the favorable post position five and partnership with Rispoli. The Italian jockey continues his dominant performance at Del Mar with patient hands and powerful finishes that maximize horses’ chances in competitive fields. His ability to position horses throughout their races and time moves perfectly makes him particularly effective on turf courses where tactical positioning determines outcomes. At 123 pounds, Grazed carries weight he has handled throughout his career, and his breeding by Brody’s Cause provides stamina and tactical versatility suited for one-mile turf contests. The middle post position allows Rispoli to employ tactical flexibility based on early pace dynamics, and the gelding’s experience creates confidence he can handle any race scenario.

Place: Known Idea

Known Idea represents exceptional value despite the recent scratch raising minor fitness concerns. The four-year-old gelding partners with Juan Hernandez, who continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar with five consecutive riding titles and a 40 percent win rate at the seaside oval. His patient handling and tactical expertise provide distinct advantages in competitive California-bred allowance fields where positioning throughout races determines outcomes. Mark Glatt’s training creates confidence that any concerns from the October 31 scratch have been properly addressed, as the trainer’s patient methods and attention to detail consistently produce horses ready to deliver peak performances. Glatt’s success at Del Mar, including Dr. Venkman winning four of six races at the track this year, demonstrates the barn’s effectiveness at the seaside oval. Known Idea’s proven Del Mar record shows he appreciates the turf course and handles the one-mile distance effectively. At 123 pounds, he carries weight appropriate for his age and class level, and his breeding by Goldencents provides tactical speed and stamina suited for one-mile turf contests. The post position six places him in the middle of the ten-horse field where Hernandez can employ tactical flexibility, and the jockey’s 40 percent Del Mar win rate makes him a must-use angle regardless of horse or trainer. The pace scenario creates potential challenges if Known Idea attempts to establish the lead, but Hernandez’s skill allows him to rate kindly while maintaining striking position for sustained stretch drives.

Show: Left Hand Man

Left Hand Man offers solid value as Peter Miller’s secondary entry with Hector Berrios riding. The five-year-old gelding brings proven ability in California-bred allowance company and benefits from Miller’s exceptional success rate with turf runners at Del Mar. The trainer’s decision to triple-enter this race demonstrates his confidence in having multiple legitimate winning chances, and Left Hand Man likely serves as one of his strongest backup options behind Grazed. Miller’s record of winning races with multiple entries shows he maps races strategically and gives each horse legitimate chances based on pace dynamics and post positions. The combination of elite trainer and competent jockey creates an attractive betting proposition, particularly given Miller’s track record placing horses where they can succeed. At 123 pounds, Left Hand Man carries weight reflecting his age and proven class at this level, putting him on even terms with most older horses in the field. The post position two places him inside where Berrios must show tactical awareness to avoid being shuffled back or trapped along the rail, but Miller’s horses from inside posts typically demonstrate alertness to secure favorable position early. His tactical positioning becomes crucial, as Berrios must establish position within striking distance of the pace while maintaining enough energy for a sustained stretch drive. If he can secure good position and get a clean run in the stretch, his proven class at this level combined with Miller’s training expertise makes him capable of hitting the board at potentially generous odds as the barn’s secondary option.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Juan Hernandez continues his remarkable dominance at Del Mar, sitting atop the rider standings during the Bing Crosby Season. He has won five consecutive riding titles at Del Mar, including sweeping both the summer and fall meet titles for the past three years. His 40 percent win rate at the seaside oval makes him a must-use angle regardless of trainer. Hernandez has eight mounts on Saturday’s card and should be heavily considered in exotic wagering.​

Umberto Rispoli remains one of the most consistent riders in Southern California with patient hands and powerful finishes. His chemistry with Tim Yakteen and Jeff Mullins has been particularly effective, and when he partners with quality horses, few can stop him. Rispoli excels on the turf and has five mounts on Saturday’s card, making him a key player in horizontal wagers.​

Antonio Fresu has been solid during the meet and works well with Doug O’Neill and Peter Miller. His ability to rate horses and time his runs makes him effective in both sprint and route races. Fresu has four mounts on Saturday and should be included in multi-race sequences.

Kyle Frey brings tactical versatility and works well with multiple barns. His ability to adapt to different running styles makes him valuable in competitive fields.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Peter Miller enters Saturday with exceptional form, training at a high percentage during the fall meet. His barn shows remarkable depth, particularly in California-bred races, where he has multiple entries in both Race 7 and Race 9. Miller’s double and triple entries demonstrate his confidence in having the race well-mapped. His success rate with turf runners has been particularly impressive.​

Philip D’Amato continues his pattern of sharp training during the Del Mar meets. While his first-time starters require evaluation, his second-time runners and horses moving up in class have been particularly effective. D’Amato’s 25 percent win rate with first-time starters when paired with Juan Hernandez is a strong angle to consider.​

Tim Yakteen has maintained solid form throughout the meet with a strong winning percentage. His first-time starters merit respect, particularly when paired with Umberto Rispoli. The Yakteen-Rispoli combination has been highly effective, as evidenced by their success in major stakes races.​

John Sadler remains one of Southern California’s premier trainers with exceptional ability to prepare horses for peak performances. His second-time starters show significant improvement, and his stakes runners are always formidable. Sadler’s attention to detail and patient training methods consistently produce results.​

Doug O’Neill brings his characteristic aggressive training style and has been sharp during the fall meet. His runners often show improvement from race to race, and his first-time starters in maiden races warrant serious consideration. O’Neill’s success in stakes races makes any of his entries worth respecting.​

Jeff Mullins has shown exceptional form during the meet with multiple stakes contenders. His ability to identify spots for his horses and place them effectively has resulted in strong winning percentages. Mullins handles both turf and dirt runners effectively.​

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The early Pick 4 from Races 1 through 4 offers excellent value opportunities. Pura Vida Princesa in Race 1 provides a logical single, allowing spread in the challenging California-bred maiden claimer in Race 2. Race 3 on the turf opens up opportunities for creative play, while Race 4 appears centered around Captivator and Caves. A Pick 4 structure using Pura Vida Princesa as a single, spreading in Race 2, keying Betterdaysrcoming (IRE) and Harcyn in Race 3, and boxing Captivator with Caves in Race 4 offers solid value.

The late Pick 4 from Races 6 through 9 presents an opportunity to key Man O Rose in the Chosen Vron Stakes. Spreading modestly in Race 6, singling Man O Rose in Race 8, and keying Peter Miller’s multiple entries in Races 7 and 9 creates an attractive ticket structure. The Miller barn’s dominance with California-breds makes his multiple entries in those races a key angle.​

Daily Double opportunities exist connecting Race 7 into the Chosen Vron Stakes, keying She’s a Joker and Dorie Miller with Man O Rose and Style Cat. The Pick 3 from Races 7 through 9 allows for creative play using Miller’s multiple entries in all three races.

Exacta and Trifecta plays in the Chosen Vron Stakes should focus on Man O Rose on top with Style Cat, R Heisman, and Clovisconnection underneath. The presence of Juan Hernandez on Clovisconnection makes him a mandatory inclusion in exotic wagers despite being a secondary choice.​

Value plays exist throughout the card focusing on the hot jockey-trainer combinations. Any horse ridden by Juan Hernandez or Umberto Rispoli should be evaluated closely, particularly when paired with top trainers like D’Amato, Miller, Yakteen, and Sadler. The Peter Miller barn deserves extra attention with multiple entries in the final three races, suggesting he has identified optimal spots for his California-bred stable.​

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