Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line
Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol
▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races
Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger)
Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend
Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line
AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
Lines
Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
Dashed Lines
Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
Higher is Stronger
All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
Example preview — subscribe to view Race Pace BiasSubscribe now →
Total Pace
Example preview — subscribe to view Total PaceSubscribe now →
E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
Example preview — subscribe to view E1 / E2 / LP PositionsSubscribe now →
Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
Bars (per post)
Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line
Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line
Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles
Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border
Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
Rating
The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed
Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace
Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse
The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
Axes
X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants
Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers. Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles. Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing. Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines
Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse
Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Example preview — subscribe to view Winning ProfilesSubscribe now →
AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
Winner Models (green)
Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red)
Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue)
Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse
Highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model ComparisonSubscribe now →
Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
Slider
Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order
Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario
Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles
E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — EarlyE2 — MidLP — Stretch
🏁 GateFinish 🏁
Track Bias◀ CloserSpeed ▶0
Stat
vs. Current Card
vs. All Horses
Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating
F
C
Pace Trip Longshot
—
—
Connections Longshot
—
—
Situational Longshot
—
—
Speed
C
C
Early Pace
A
B
Mid Pace
A
C
Late Pace
B
B
Finish Pos
C
B
Dirt Speed
D
F
Turf Speed
D
D
Distance Speed
D
F
Trainer Effectiveness
A
C
Jockey Effectiveness
B
C
3rd Party Ratings
D
C
Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed
D
C
Early Pace
A
C
Mid Pace
B
D
Late Pace
C
A
Sprint FPS
A
B
Route FPS
C
C
Trainer Effectiveness
A
C
Jockey Effectiveness
B
C
3rd Party Ratings
D
C
Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed
A
A
Early Pace
A
B
Mid Pace
A
C
Late Pace
C
C
AI Performances Chart
AI SpeedAI OpponentPerformance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.38)
Bubbles
Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
Connecting Line
Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
Line Symbol
▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
Days Between Races
Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
Shaded Band (Bollinger)
Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
Performance Trend
Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
Dashed Reference Line
AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
Lines
Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
Dashed Lines
Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
Higher is Stronger
All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Score HistorySubscribe now →
Example preview — upgrade to view AI Model Score BadgesUpgrade now →
Track Bias by Lane
Example preview — subscribe to view Track Bias by LaneSubscribe now →
Race Pace Bias
Example preview — subscribe to view Race Pace BiasSubscribe now →
Total Pace
Example preview — subscribe to view Total PaceSubscribe now →
E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
Example preview — subscribe to view E1 / E2 / LP PositionsSubscribe now →
Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
Bars (per post)
Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
Trend Line
Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
Horizontal Line
Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
Color Circles
Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
Border
Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
Rating
The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
Speed
Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
Pace
Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
This horse
The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
Axes
X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
Quadrants
Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers. Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles. Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing. Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory.
Reference Lines
Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
This horse
Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Example preview — subscribe to view Winning ProfilesSubscribe now →
AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
Winner Models (green)
Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
Longshot Models (red)
Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
Form Model (blue)
Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
This horse
Highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model ComparisonSubscribe now →
Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
Slider
Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
Predicted Finish Order
Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
Pace Scenario
Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
Running Styles
E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — EarlyE2 — MidLP — Stretch
🏁 GateFinish 🏁
Track Bias◀ CloserSpeed ▶0
Stat
vs. Current Card
vs. All Horses
Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Pick Pony AI Rating
C
C
Pace Trip Longshot
—
—
Connections Longshot
—
—
Situational Longshot
—
—
Speed
B
C
Early Pace
D
D
Mid Pace
D
D
Late Pace
A
B
Finish Pos
D
D
Dirt Speed
D
B
Turf Speed
F
D
Distance Speed
F
B
Trainer Effectiveness
A
A
Jockey Effectiveness
A
A
3rd Party Ratings
B
C
Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed
A
C
Early Pace
B
C
Mid Pace
B
C
Late Pace
C
C
Sprint FPS
B
C
Route FPS
B
C
Trainer Effectiveness
A
A
Jockey Effectiveness
A
A
3rd Party Ratings
B
C
Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions.
Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data
Speed
C
C
Early Pace
C
D
Mid Pace
D
D
Late Pace
C
C
Last updated: 14:11. This post is refreshed throughout the day as new scratches and changes are reported. Always verify with your track or ADW before wagering.
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★