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Laurel Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the March 13, 2026 card

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Laurel Park presents an eight race Friday card on March 13, 2026, with a mix of maiden claiming, mid level claiming, and a restricted state bred allowance sprint anchoring the later portion of the program. The sequence is dirt only, with three maiden claiming races (Races 1, 3, and 8), two mid level claiming events (Races 2 and 6), a non winners of two lifetime claiming sprint (Race 4), a maiden route (Race 5), and a Maryland bred or sired restricted allowance sprint in Race 7.​

The card is fairly compact, with field sizes between five and ten runners, which should keep exotic tickets affordable and emphasize trip, pace, and connections over chaotic large field randomness. From a wagering standpoint, the presence of multiple maiden claimers early combined with the deeper claiming sprint in Race 6 suggests logical multi race wagers beginning in Races 1, 2, and 4, depending on your risk tolerance. Given the recent winter disruptions at Laurel earlier in the meet, horses with recent local form on the current surface are preferred over shippers coming off layoffs in harsher weather.

Weather and Track Conditions

Laurel Park's March weather has been cold this week, with daytime highs around freezing to slightly above and generally dry conditions. Track reporting from the Maryland Jockey Club indicates the main track has been listed as fast on recent March cards, including the most recent similar entries and overnights. There is no turf racing on the program, so all events are on the main dirt track, which should play as a standard, honest surface barring sudden precipitation.

Given the cool temperatures and a fast designation, expect a relatively tight, resilient surface that does not overly favor deep closers, but still allows off pace runners to make legitimate runs if pace develops. Moisture content appears limited based on the regional forecast, so there is no strong expectation of a sealed or muddy track at post time. If conditions stay as projected, prior races from this meet labeled fast on the dirt should be the most reliable comparison lines for today's runners.

Track Bias and Post Position Bias

Recent meet statistics at Laurel Park through March 9, 2026, show that at six furlongs on dirt, approximately 31 percent of winners go wire to wire, with effective running styles labeled early or early presser and best posts clustered in mid to outside slots. The same At a Glance data emphasize that while speed is important, you do not need the lead at all costs, and mid pack pressers and stalkers drawn in middle and outer gates enjoy slightly better performance than inside speed drawn down on the rail. Over longer dirt trips such as one mile, inside posts have not dominated, with outside and middle gates again showing a mild statistical edge.​

Independent track bias guides for Laurel similarly note that the main dirt track does not display a severe inside or outside preference in sprints, though some profitability trends lean toward the wider posts, especially around two turn races. Laurel's wide configuration tends to prevent extreme rail biases, and closers can be effective when pace is hot, though the general profile slightly favors tactical runners rather than deep one run types. Taken together, today's six furlong races should reward horses capable of securing forward but not necessarily front running positions from middle posts, while the lone one mile race will slightly upgrade outside or mid gate tactical types.

1st Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming, six furlongs dirt, fillies, three year olds, $16,000 to $20,000 claiming tags, six horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 12:00 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

With a compact field and several lightly raced or debut type maiden claimers, pace projection rests on breeding and connections more than established running styles. Turkish Breeze (1) from the rail for an aggressive barn and rider combination suggests intent to show speed, while Eastcoastgirlsrhip (5) and Stylish Gem (6) each come from outfits that are not shy about sending in low level maiden sprints. Naomi An Ruth (4) carries prior vet scratch history and may not be asked for maximum early speed off multiple illness related notes, while Rosie's Fortune (2) and Modernis Silver (3) profile more as mid pack or learning on the job types.​

Given Laurel's six furlong stats, a two or three way contest for the early lead between Turkish Breeze (1), Eastcoastgirlsrhip (5), and Stylish Gem (6) is most probable, with the rail filly having first run if she breaks cleanly. The winner is likely to come from those three, or from a stalking trip by Modernis Silver (3) if the leading trio overdo it early and tire late.​

Key Contenders

Turkish Breeze (1) gets the inside draw for trainer Kieron Magee and jockey Carlos Eduardo Lopez, a combination that often signals send and sit rail trips at this level at Laurel. Magee's barn is typically live in low level claiming and maiden claiming sprints, and the stable's horses usually show early speed second time out or when dropped into the right spot. With the track profile rewarding tactical speed and mid to inside posts not being a liability in short fields, Turkish Breeze (1) is the most likely pace controller and a key win candidate.​

Stylish Gem (6) goes out for John Robb, another high percentage local trainer, and gets Jean Gregor Briceno aboard, who has been capable in these Maryland sprint circuits. Drawn outside the other speed, Stylish Gem (6) can either press off Turkish Breeze (1) and Eastcoastgirlsrhip (5) or apply outside pressure if they back up, offering a flexible trip and a strong chance to capitalize on any rail traffic. The combination of trainer form, outside draw, and likely fair price makes Stylish Gem (6) a major factor.

Secondary Choices

Modernis Silver (3) for Jose Corrales and Kevin Gomez projects as the primary stalking type who can sit third or fourth in the early stages and try to grind into the pace late. Corrales runners can improve on class drops or when placed realistically, and Gomez's riding style fits off pace maiden claimers that need patience and a well-timed move. Modernis Silver (3) offers upside if the speed softens late.​

Rosie's Fortune (2) under Corey Mongan for Irvin Flores is less obvious but can pick up pieces if the more established barns misfire. The ten pound weight allowance could help Rosie's Fortune (2) stay in touch early and perhaps hold minor awards in a race where many are still learning.​

Longshots

Naomi An Ruth (4) represents the Corrales barn's second entrant in the race and carries multiple prior vet scratch notes for illness, including a scratched maiden claiming start in early February at Laurel. Given those medical setbacks, Naomi An Ruth (4) is difficult to support strongly on top but must be mentioned as a possible late developing type whose connections are intent on finally getting a race into her. Eastcoastgirlsrhip (5) with Yedsit Hazlewood for Gina Perri looks like another send type, but without proven class, she projects as a pace factor more than a likely winner.​

Selections

Win Turkish Breeze (1)
Place Stylish Gem (6)
Show Modernis Silver (3)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Within the race, a straightforward win bet on Turkish Breeze (1) is acceptable if the price stays above even money, with a saver win bet on Stylish Gem (6) if she drifts to an overlay. Exacta boxes and keying Turkish Breeze (1) and Stylish Gem (6) over Modernis Silver (3) and Eastcoastgirlsrhip (5) in the second and third slots can capture value if a secondary speed holds for a minor award. For early multi race wagers, lean on Turkish Breeze (1) and Stylish Gem (6) as A level horses, with Modernis Silver (3) as a B or backup, especially in rolling doubles and any early pick sequences.

2nd Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming, one mile dirt, fillies three years old, $25,000 to $20,000 tags, six horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 12:28 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

At one mile, tactical speed remains an asset, but track data suggest outside and middle posts hold a mild advantage and deep closers can be effective when early fractions are contested. Back Wall Bandit (2), Yes Picnic (4), and Honor Our Country (5) all possess profiles consistent with forward or pressing trips given trainer tendencies and conditions. No Mo Muffins (1) from the rail may be forced to show some speed to avoid getting shuffled back, while Only Maria (6) and Diamond N Dress (3) project more as stalking or mid pack types.

If multiple fillies vie for the front through the first turn, the race could set up for a tactically drawn outside filly like Only Maria (6) or a rail stalking trip from No Mo Muffins (1). The likely scenario is a moderate pace, with Honor Our Country (5) or Back Wall Bandit (2) leading or pressing, and the winner coming from a stalker sitting within two to three lengths of the early leaders.​

Key Contenders

Honor Our Country (5) for Michael Trombetta and Angel Cruz should attract attention based on barn form and the consistent success of Trombetta's three year old claimers in route races at Laurel. Cruz rides the course very well and excels at nursing speed around two turns, making Honor Our Country (5) a logical pace presence with upside to control the race if unopposed early. The mid gate draw is ideal for avoiding rail pressure and clearing the inside trio into the first turn.

No Mo Muffins (1) for Brittany Russell and Carlos Eduardo Lopez is another major player, as the Russell barn has been one of the top stables at Laurel with high win and in the money percentages. The inside post can be tricky at this distance given meet statistics, but with Lopez's aggressive style, No Mo Muffins (1) could secure a ground saving stalking trip behind the early leaders. Class relief and a potent trainer rider combination make her an obvious key.

Secondary Choices

Back Wall Bandit (2) trained by John Robb and ridden by Jeiron Barbosa brings strong local connections, as Robb's runners tend to be sharp and forward in similar claiming company. The inside of mid post allows Back Wall Bandit (2) to either sit just off Honor Our Country (5) or take over if that rival does not break well. She must be used prominently in exactas and multi race wagers.

Only Maria (6) for W. Thomas McMahon with Christian Maldonado in the saddle offers the desirable outside draw and a chance to sit a perfect pressing trip while avoiding early traffic. McMahon's barn can score at a price when placing horses realistically, and Only Maria (6) looks like the one most likely to get first run from just off the leaders if they tire.

Longshots

Diamond N Dress (3) for McMahon and apprentice Pedro Pena is more of a development project at this stage, with the weight break helping but still needing significant improvement to threaten the top tier. Yes Picnic (4) for Jamie Ness and Yedsit Hazlewood is intriguing, as Ness is a high percentage claiming trainer and can move a horse up quickly, but the apprentice rider and potential overbet nature of Ness entries may limit value. Yes Picnic (4) should be respected, but she may fit better underneath in exotic tickets unless the price drifts higher than expected.

Selections

Win Honor Our Country (5)
Place No Mo Muffins (1)
Show Back Wall Bandit (2)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

From a wagering perspective, Honor Our Country (5) is a strong win candidate if offered near 2 1 or better, with exactas built keying Honor Our Country (5) over No Mo Muffins (1), Back Wall Bandit (2), and Only Maria (6). Trifectas using Honor Our Country (5) and No Mo Muffins (1) in the first and second positions combined with Back Wall Bandit (2) and Only Maria (6) third can be efficient plays in a six horse field. For pick sequences, lean on Honor Our Country (5) as a primary single in more aggressive tickets, while backing up with No Mo Muffins (1) and Back Wall Bandit (2) for coverage.

3rd Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming, six furlongs dirt, fillies and mares four to six years old, $40,000 to $50,000 claiming for Maryland breds, six horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 12:57 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

This field has some established sprint lines, and pace figures from independent handicapping sources show several with early or stalking speed and at least one strong closer. Cross Of Valor (1) has been identified as a fast closer with competitive late pace numbers, while Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and Chilly Girl (5) offer fast early and stalking profiles. Pneumo Warrior (4) is another closer type, while Peace Before Chaos (2) and Old Fashion Candy (6) are more lightly raced and flexible.​

Given Laurel's six furlong bias toward early presser styles from mid to outside posts, an early contest between Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and Chilly Girl (5) is likely, with Cross Of Valor (1) and Pneumo Warrior (4) launching from just off or slightly behind the top flight. The race projects to feature honest fractions, with a high probability that a stalker with tactical speed secures the victory rather than a deep closer.

Key Contenders

Lovely Lookin Lili (3) has been highlighted by handicappers as a major win candidate, with figure profiles of 38 78 95 and a fast stalker running style. Her prior six furlong Laurel efforts show repeated second place finishes and high in the money percentages, and she draws an ideal mid gate with Jeiron Barbosa, a capable Laurel pilot. For trainer Annette Eubanks, Lovely Lookin Lili (3) appears well spotted and ready to graduate, making her a central key in this race.​

Chilly Girl (5) is another significant contender, boasting competitive figures and the fastest stalker designation in some evaluations. Under Kevin Gomez for Horacio De Paz, Chilly Girl (5) can sit just outside Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and apply sustained pressure, benefitting from a trip profile that fits the track's mild advantage for outside posts. Her consistent speed and prior class make her a must use in all wagers.

Secondary Choices

Cross Of Valor (1) under Angel Cruz for A. Ferris Allen III is rated as a fast closer with strong late pace numbers and a high share of second and third place finishes in prior starts. The rail post could pose some traffic issues for a closer, but Cruz's experience and the mare's ability to finish strongly make Cross Of Valor (1) a clear threat if the leaders soften each other. She offers excellent value as a win alternative if the main speed horses are overbet.

Pneumo Warrior (4) is another closer type highlighted by handicappers, with similar 23 52 83 figure ranges and a fast closer profile. For Nancy Heil and Christian Maldonado, Pneumo Warrior (4) has repeatedly run into minor honors and can once again be dangerous if pace collapses. With an outside of mid draw, she should get a better run at them than Cross Of Valor (1) if both come from off the pace.​

Longshots

Peace Before Chaos (2) has limited data but carries mid range figures and could be a late developer for trainer Timothy Keefe and jockey Andres Chavez. With no clear preferred style yet, Peace Before Chaos (2) is more of a speculative inclusion at long odds, usable in deep trifectas but difficult to support on top. Old Fashion Candy (6) has a small sample size with only one prior start, but comes from the Trombetta barn with Yedsit Hazlewood riding, and could improve sharply second out with a weight break. Old Fashion Candy (6) should not be ignored as a potential upsetter if she steps forward dramatically.​

Selections

Win Lovely Lookin Lili (3)
Place Chilly Girl (5)
Show Cross Of Valor (1)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Given the consensus support for Lovely Lookin Lili (3) as a top choice, she is a logical win and multi race key if her price remains fair, with Chilly Girl (5) as a strong exacta partner. Exacta boxes between Lovely Lookin Lili (3), Chilly Girl (5), and Cross Of Valor (1) offer coverage against a closer victory, while trifectas keying Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and Chilly Girl (5) over Cross Of Valor (1), Pneumo Warrior (4), and Old Fashion Candy (6) can capture more value. In pick sequences, use Lovely Lookin Lili (3) as an A level single and protect with Chilly Girl (5) and Cross Of Valor (1) on backup tickets.

4th Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming, six furlongs dirt, non winners of two races, four year olds and upward, $12,500 to $15,000 claiming, six horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 1:27 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

This non winners of two claiming sprint features a mix of older geldings, many of whom have established running styles and form cycles. D Hopper (1) and Blo By'em (5) look like forward types from productive barns, while Who Says So (4) and Ellinger (6) can sit off the early speed. A. L.'s Boy (2) and Right Of Rush (3) are more versatile, but age and prior efforts suggest they may concede the front to younger rivals.​

The projected pace is moderate to quick, with Blo By'em (5) and D Hopper (1) most likely to contest the lead, potentially setting up a stalking victory from Who Says So (4) or Ellinger (6). Laurel's six furlong bias toward tactical runners from mid and outer posts slightly upgrades Blo By'em (5) and Ellinger (6), while the older age of several entrants raises questions about finishing punch.​

Key Contenders

Blo By'em (5) for Kieron Magee and Carlos Eduardo Lopez stands out as a prime win candidate, combining a productive trainer, an aggressive local jockey, and an ideal mid gate in this small field. His profile as a forwardly placed sprinter in a race lacking overwhelming early speed should allow him to secure a comfortable pressing or leading trip. Class and condition align well, making Blo By'em (5) a central figure in win and exotic calculations.

Ellinger (6) for Charles Frock and Jose Vargas draws outside all the other speed and stalkers, giving him the tactical advantage of choosing his trip and staying clear of traffic. Although prior scratches at Penn National for vet reasons are noted, his placement here suggests the barn believes Ellinger (6) is ready to compete at this level. With a likely stalking position just off Blo By'em (5), he could pounce late if the pace softens.​

Secondary Choices

Who Says So (4) for Ferris Allen III and Yedsit Hazlewood is a lightly raced four year old compared to some older rivals, and is well placed in a non winners of two context. His ability to sit just behind the main speed and capitalize on any fade makes Who Says So (4) a strong candidate for the exacta and trifecta. The slight post bias toward mid to outer gates also works in his favor.

A. L.'s Boy (2) and Right Of Rush (3) have more miles on their odometers, with varying form but enough ability to pick up a share if the top choices stub their toes. Right Of Rush (3) under Jorge Hernandez and trainer Jose Corrales has the back class to factor if he shows his best, while A. L.'s Boy (2) with Anthony Mawing for Sylvester McGill could improve second off a layoff or on a minor class drop.​

Longshots

D Hopper (1) for Rodolfo Sanchez Salomon and Brittany Scampton is a seven year old with only one prior win, and his rail draw in a six furlong sprint may force him into an uncomfortable early duel. While capable of flashing speed, his overall profile suggests he is more likely to fade late and hold a minor award if things go well. He remains a longshot consideration for back slots in vertical exotics but hard to endorse as a win candidate given age and record.

Selections

Win Blo By'em (5)
Place Ellinger (6)
Show Who Says So (4)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Within the race, Blo By'em (5) is a strong win choice, and pairing him with Ellinger (6) and Who Says So (4) in exactas and trifectas offers logical coverage. Exactas keying Blo By'em (5) over Ellinger (6) and Who Says So (4) can be pressed, while saver tickets reversing the order guard against a late rally from outside. In multi race wagers, Blo By'em (5) can serve as an anchor leg, with Ellinger (6) included on backup tickets for protection.

5th Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming, one mile dirt, three year olds, $25,000 to $30,000 claiming, seven horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 1:57 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

At one mile with a full seven horse field, this race projects to have an honest but not blazing pace, as few of these maidens have shown sustained early speed in prior routes. Its All Gravy (2) from the Magee barn and River City Runner (4) from the Trombetta barn are the most likely forward types based on connections and typical running styles. Bigshot Ness (6) under Jamie Ness and Yedsit Hazlewood can also be prominent early, while Master Schemer (1), Call Me Victorious (3), Modranach (5), and Paid Vacation (7) may sit behind the first flight.​

Given the mild outside post advantage at this distance, Bigshot Ness (6), Modranach (5), and Paid Vacation (7) each gain a slight tactical edge if they can clear traffic and avoid wide first turn trips. The race is likely to be decided by a tactically positioned stalker who can stay within three lengths of the lead and finish strongly.​

Key Contenders

Bigshot Ness (6) for Jamie Ness is a central figure here, as the trainer is one of the highest percentage barns on the grounds and frequently wins with three year old maiden claimers stretching out. With Yedsit Hazlewood's weight allowance, Bigshot Ness (6) can carry less and still establish a forward position, making him a strong candidate to control or press the pace. His combination of class placement and connections makes him a primary win choice.

River City Runner (4) with Angel Cruz for Michael Trombetta also ranks as a key contender, drawing a solid mid gate at the route distance. Trombetta's record with maiden route horses and Cruz's familiarity with Laurel's configuration suggest River City Runner (4) will get a well timed trip, likely sitting in behind the leaders and attacking on the far turn. If Bigshot Ness (6) falters, River City Runner (4) is the most likely beneficiary.

Secondary Choices

Its All Gravy (2) for Magee and Lopez is interesting, particularly in light of previous commentary noting a puzzling poor effort in an out of town start; the removal of blinkers today may help him settle and route more effectively. Back on a track where Magee's barn has more consistent success and with Lopez's aggressive style, Its All Gravy (2) could rebound and threaten for the win or at least a strong in the money finish. The inside of mid draw ensures ground saving if he breaks cleanly.

Modranach (5) for Tim Woolley returns after a recent illness related scratch earlier in March, which raises some questions but also suggests the horse was fit enough to be entered twice in close succession. Jeiron Barbosa's presence helps, as he can work out a stalking outside trip that avoids kickback and traffic. If Modranach (5) is fully recovered, he could surprise at a price.​

Longshots

Master Schemer (1) for Linda Albert and Jose Vargas draws the rail and may have to work to secure a forward position without getting shuffled back in the first turn. His profile fits more as a late budding type who might prefer extra distance or softer company later in the meet, so Master Schemer (1) is more attractive underneath in exotics. Call Me Victorious (3) and Paid Vacation (7) are both mid range possibilities who could jump up with improvement, but without strong prior lines, they appear better suited as trifecta and superfecta fillers.

Selections

Win Bigshot Ness (6)
Place River City Runner (4)
Show Its All Gravy (2)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Within race wagering should focus on win bets on Bigshot Ness (6) if the price remains acceptable, with a saver on River City Runner (4) if he drifts above 3 1. Exactas keying Bigshot Ness (6) over River City Runner (4), Its All Gravy (2), and Modranach (5) provide logical coverage, while trifectas using Bigshot Ness (6) and River City Runner (4) in the top two spots, over Its All Gravy (2), Modranach (5), and Paid Vacation (7) can capture more depth. In multi race bets, this looks like a good spot to spread slightly, using Bigshot Ness (6) and River City Runner (4) as A level plays and backing up with Its All Gravy (2) and Modranach (5).

6th Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Claiming, six furlongs dirt, four year olds and upward that have not won a race since September 13 or have never won four, $7,500 to $6,000 claiming, ten horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 2:27 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

This is the deepest and most chaotic race on the card, with ten older geldings and an abundance of early and pressing speed, creating strong potential for a contested, fast early pace. More Vino (1), Magic Spin (2), Uniwinner (3), Kerness K (5), Catahoula Moon (6), Prom Knight (7), and Quincannon (10) all have pace forward tendencies based on connections and likely class patterns. Keeping It Country (8), Mister Agent (9), and Find Faith (4) lean more toward off pace or mid pack profiles.​

With Laurel's six furlong stats indicating that about a third of winners wire the field but that mid and outside posts are optimal, the abundance of inside and mid speed suggests pace collapse risk and a rare opportunity for a closer to win. Horses such as Keeping It Country (8), Mister Agent (9), and perhaps Find Faith (4) could capitalize late if the leaders overdo it.​

Key Contenders

Quincannon (10) for Anthony Aguirre Jr. and Jeiron Barbosa stands out as a key contender, drawing the far outside post in a big field and possessing the tactical speed to stalk rather than duel. Barbosa's ability to keep Quincannon (10) in the clear and decide whether to press or sit just off the pace gives this gelding a major positional advantage. If he secures a tracking trip behind an inside speed duel, Quincannon (10) is well placed to make a winning move turning for home.

Keeping It Country (8) for Daniel McKenzie with Angel Cruz is another important player, especially given his prior scratch for trainer reasons and subsequent reentry, which implies the barn believes he is in good enough shape now. From the eight post, Keeping It Country (8) can sit mid pack or slightly back, avoiding the worst of the early speed pressure. Cruz's strength with off pace types at Laurel further enhances his chances to capitalize on a hot pace scenario.

Secondary Choices

Kerness K (5) for Brittany Russell and Yedsit Hazlewood is dangerous, as Russell's barn excels in this claiming range, and the five post offers flexibility to press or sit just behind the leaders. Even though the race could be hot early, Kerness K (5) may still prove strong enough to stick around if allowed to control a fair pace rather than an all out duel. The weight break also helps his staying power late.

More Vino (1) for Emanuel Geralis and Carlos Eduardo Lopez should show early speed from the rail, given the Also Eligible status in a recent start and the desire to make use of the inside draw. However, from a pace standpoint, More Vino (1) may be forced into a hard early rush to avoid being pinned, which can make him vulnerable late. He is more appealing as a secondary win option and an exacta and trifecta inclusion than as a primary single in multis.

Longshots

Magic Spin (2) with apprentice Warren Ebow for Jonathan Maldonado is an older gelding who could show speed under a light weight, but his finishing ability is questionable against this crowded pace scenario. Uniwinner (3) and Prom Knight (7) both have prior trainer related scratches, suggesting minor concerns, and they may be forced into the early fray from awkward posts. Find Faith (4) for Robin Graham with Kevin Gomez merits some consideration as an off pace type that may pass tired runners late, while Mister Agent (9) for Joanne Shankle and Jose Vargas is a longshot closer who could get a piece if the collapse is severe.​

Selections

Win Quincannon (10)
Place Keeping It Country (8)
Show Kerness K (5)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Due to the field size and chaotic pace projection, this race is ideal for spreading in multi race wagers and seeking value in vertical exotics. Win bets on Quincannon (10) and Keeping It Country (8) can be balanced if both drift into overlay territory, with win savers on Kerness K (5) in case a tactical speed type survives. Exactas and trifectas that key Quincannon (10), Keeping It Country (8), and Kerness K (5) on top over deeper combinations underneath, including More Vino (1), Find Faith (4), Mister Agent (9), and Prom Knight (7), can capture big returns if the pace collapses.​

7th Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Restricted allowance, six furlongs dirt, Maryland bred or sired four year olds and upward, five horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 2:58 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

This small but quality field of Maryland bred or sired allowance runners features several with genuine early speed and others who prefer stalking or pressing trips. Guaponess (3) from the Jamie Ness barn and Change My World (4) for Mary Eppler with Angel Cruz are likely pace factors, with Wickeddivine (5) also having the tactical speed to be close early. Paco The Taco Man (1) and Enzo (2) figure more as stalking and off pace types.​

With a five horse field, the pace may be controlled rather than blazing, as riders often become more tactical and less willing to engage in full speed duels. The likely outcome is a moderate early tempo with Guaponess (3) and Change My World (4) near the front and the winner coming from a horse with the best combination of early position and late kick.​

Key Contenders

Guaponess (3) for Jamie Ness and Yedsit Hazlewood looks like a strong win candidate, given Ness's high percentage record and the gelding's likely role as a pace setter or presser. The three post allows Guaponess (3) to break comfortably and either take the lead or sit just off Change My World (4), depending on the break. In a small field where track bias is minimal, class and connections can dominate, and Guaponess (3) checks those boxes.

Wickeddivine (5) for Kenneth Cox and Jeiron Barbosa is another key horse, as he has the speed to sit just off the leaders and the finishing ability to pounce in the lane. The outside post is advantageous in a five horse group, giving Wickeddivine (5) first run at the leaders while staying in the clear. Barbosa's skill at timing moves in compact allowance fields further boosts his chances.

Secondary Choices

Change My World (4) with Angel Cruz is a legitimate secondary contender, capable of going straight to the front if asked and trying to take them all the way. While the presence of Guaponess (3) could force a duel, Cruz can also opt to sit second and pressure at the half mile pole. If pace ends up softer than expected, Change My World (4) could wire them.

Enzo (2) for Elizabeth Merryman with Julio Hernandez and Paco The Taco Man (1) for Annette Eubanks with Jose Vargas both shape as off pace threats who would benefit if all three forward types engage too early. Enzo (2) has prior scratch notes for trainer reasons, suggesting some recent adjustments, and may be primed for a better effort, while Paco The Taco Man (1) can save ground on the rail and look for a seam turning for home. Both are useful exotic inclusions.​

Selections

Win Guaponess (3)
Place Wickeddivine (5)
Show Change My World (4)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Given the small field size, this race lends itself to straightforward win and exacta wagering, with Guaponess (3) as the principal win bet if the price is acceptable. Exactas boxing Guaponess (3), Wickeddivine (5), and Change My World (4) should capture most realistic outcomes, while including Enzo (2) underneath in trifectas can add value. In multi race wagers, Guaponess (3) can serve as a strong single, with Wickeddivine (5) available on backups for coverage.

8th Race – Laurel Park – Friday, March 13th, 2026

Maiden claiming, six furlongs dirt, three year olds, $10,000 to $15,000 claiming, six horse field.

Post Time

Approximately 3:27 PM local time.​

Pace Analysis

This final race features several lightly raced or debut maiden claimers at a low price point, creating some uncertainty regarding pace, but also opportunity if you correctly identify intent. Rio Del Valle (1) for Jonathan Maldonado and Yedsit Hazlewood appears likely to show speed from the rail with blinkers listed, while Tug (2), Stay Fearless (3), and Poor Peanut (5) can all be forward based on connections and class placement. Q Got Hops (6) may sit mid pack or outside stalking, while Babble (4) is more of an unknown factor.​

Given Laurel's sprint dynamics and the six horse field, the early pace should be honest but manageable, with the eventual winner likely a horse who can secure a forward, in the clear position by the far turn. Inside speed from Rio Del Valle (1) and possibly Poor Peanut (5) must be respected, but outside stalkers such as Q Got Hops (6) could get ideal trips.​

Key Contenders

Poor Peanut (5) for Carlos Mancilla and Angel Cruz is a central contender, despite prior injury related scratches that kept him out of an earlier maiden claiming event on March 6. His reentry here suggests the issue has been addressed sufficiently, and with Cruz aboard and a mid gate draw, Poor Peanut (5) can secure a stalking position just off the inside speed. At this price level, connections of this quality often signal strong win intent.

Rio Del Valle (1) trained by Jonathan Maldonado with Yedsit Hazlewood in the irons is another key horse, particularly from the rail with blinkers and weight relief. Maldonado's barn is known for sending aggressive, forward runners in low level claimers, and Rio Del Valle (1) could easily be the pacesetter. If he manages to shake loose early on a fast but fair track, he might prove hard to catch.

Secondary Choices

Q Got Hops (6) for Somraj Singh and Andres Chavez stands out as a potentially well positioned outside stalker or presser. The outside post allows Q Got Hops (6) to watch the inside battle develop and then loop the leaders, a particularly effective tactic at Laurel's wide, fair sprint course. If he shows enough early foot to stay within range, Q Got Hops (6) could be a serious win threat.

Tug (2) with Wilson Vargas for Pedro Nazario and Stay Fearless (3) under apprentice Warren Ebow for Anthony Aguirre are both secondary threats who could improve dramatically at this low level. With their inside and mid posts, Tug (2) and Stay Fearless (3) may track behind Rio Del Valle (1) and look for inside runs when the leaders begin to tire.

Longshots

Babble (4) for Nesvil Bailon with Pedro Pena appears the most speculative of the group, with limited data and a lower profile barn in this context. That said, low level maiden claimers often produce surprising improvement, and Babble (4) can be included as a longshot in deeper exotic tickets. He is difficult to endorse on top without more demonstrable form.

Selections

Win Poor Peanut (5)
Place Rio Del Valle (1)
Show Q Got Hops (6)

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

Win bets can be split between Poor Peanut (5) and Rio Del Valle (1), depending on which offers better value at post time, with the other backed as a saver. Exactas keying Poor Peanut (5) over Rio Del Valle (1), Q Got Hops (6), and Tug (2) are logical, and trifectas using Poor Peanut (5) and Rio Del Valle (1) in the top two slots over Q Got Hops (6), Tug (2), and Stay Fearless (3) can add depth and potential payouts. For late multi race exotics, this race encourages at least three deep coverage using Poor Peanut (5), Rio Del Valle (1), and Q Got Hops (6) as primary inclusions.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Carlos Eduardo Lopez appears repeatedly on live mounts for key local barns including Kieron Magee, Emanuel Geralis, and Brittany Russell, which speaks to his status as a go to rider in aggressive dirt sprints and routes at Laurel. His mounts today such as Turkish Breeze (1), No Mo Muffins (1), Its All Gravy (2), More Vino (1), and Blo By'em (5) all feature projected forward tactical positions, aligning with Lopez's strengths in securing early placement and saving ground. Angel Cruz likewise holds a prominent role on the card, riding Cross Of Valor (1), Honor Our Country (5), River City Runner (4), Keeping It Country (8), Change My World (4), and Poor Peanut (5), with a proven record at Laurel of timing moves and finishing strongly, especially in allowance and higher claiming company.

Jeiron Barbosa is another key rider with mounts such as Lovely Lookin Lili (3), Modranach (5), Quincannon (10), and Wickeddivine (5), and both local statistics and independent figure sources show him as an effective finisher, often bringing horses into the frame at solid prices. Yedsit Hazlewood's presence on horses like Bigshot Ness (6), Kerness K (5), Yes Picnic (4), and Rio Del Valle (1) underscores his value as a capable apprentice whose weight allowance is being utilized by high percentage barns such as Ness, Russell, and Maldonado. Riders like Jose Vargas, Jorge Hernandez, and Christian Maldonado appear on more mid level mounts and can be used effectively in exotics when paired with live barns or favorable post and pace setups.

Trainer Notes and Insights

The trainer landscape at Laurel today prominently features high percentage local operations that should command respect on the tote board. Brittany Russell sends out No Mo Muffins (1) in Race 2 and Kerness K (5) in Race 6, both placed in realistic spots where her barn's high win and in the money rates make them must use contenders. Jamie Ness's entries including Bigshot Ness (6) in Race 5 and Guaponess (3) in Race 7 are typically well prepared, and his runners often attract heavy support based on consistent claiming and allowance success.​

Michael Trombetta is another potent barn with Honor Our Country (5) in Race 2, River City Runner (4) in Race 5, and Old Fashion Candy (6) in Race 3, all placed where maiden and claiming improvement is plausible. Kieron Magee's influence with Turkish Breeze (1), Its All Gravy (2), and Blo By'em (5) offers multiple live chances in low to mid level claimers and maiden claimers, reflecting his longstanding success in this niche. Jonathan Maldonado, Daniel McKenzie, and Anthony Aguirre Jr. also appear with horses that can surprise at fair prices, particularly in chaotic races like the sixth and eighth, where their entries benefit from both class placement and favorable posts.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

For multi race strategies, consider an early daily double or pick three starting in Race 1 using Turkish Breeze (1), Stylish Gem (6), and Modernis Silver (3) in the opening leg, followed by Honor Our Country (5), No Mo Muffins (1), and Back Wall Bandit (2) in Race 2, and leaning on Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and Chilly Girl (5) in Race 3. This structure uses logical favorites but spreads where maiden volatility is highest and narrows where consensus contenders are strongest. A mid card pick three or pick four beginning in Race 4 can center around Blo By'em (5) in Race 4, Bigshot Ness (6) and River City Runner (4) in Race 5, broad coverage in the chaotic Race 6 with Quincannon (10), Keeping It Country (8), Kerness K (5), More Vino (1), and a closer like Mister Agent (9), and then a single of Guaponess (3) in Race 7.

Value plays may arise in the form of secondary or longshot horses whose connections and pace setups are better than their likely odds. In Race 3, Cross Of Valor (1) and Pneumo Warrior (4) could be overlays if bettors overfocus on Lovely Lookin Lili (3) and Chilly Girl (5), making them attractive win savers and strong exacta and trifecta components. In Race 6, closers such as Keeping It Country (8) and Mister Agent (9) may offer significant value if the early pace collapses, so win bets and deep vertical exotics that key them underneath Quincannon (10) and Kerness K (5) can be profitable. Finally, in Race 8, watch the board on Q Got Hops (6); if he drifts above mid single digit odds, his outside post and tactical potential make him a live value alternative to Poor Peanut (5) and Rio Del Valle (1).

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