DOUBLE SURGE BOUNCE RISK

Fires only when CONSECUTIVE_FORM_SURGE also fires (gains ≥ 5 points, not the standard 4), and the last-race figure exceeds the career average by 6 or more points. A horse that improves sharply twice in a row and is now running at its career ceiling carries a compounded bounce risk: each large improvement requires significant physical effort, and two back-to-back efforts of this magnitude suggest the horse may have been pushed near its limit. The market often prices these horses as if the upward trend will continue indefinitely.