AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Colonial Downs August 15, 2025

AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here. Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our extensive article on betting and odds).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 8 – Chillow (9/2)
Place: 4 – Cross Of Valor (10/1)
Show: 3 – Drifting (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Harmony Road (7/5), 7 – Sweet Wine (15/1), 5 – Hermoso Momento (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 9 – Hail No (5/2)
Place: 6 – Game Energy (15/1)
Show: 1 – Grosse Ile (6/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Intel Agent (4/1), 7 – Smokey Rain (30/1), 4 – Promaja (10/1), 8 – Valerie Street (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 6 – Song And A Breeze (2/1)
Place: 3 – Slanderous (4/1)
Show: 1 – Catarina (7/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Bajan Bashert (3/2), 7 – Serious Moment (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Naptown (3/1)
Place: 3 – Heaven’S Champion (10/1)
Show: 2 – Hold Out (4/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Quokka (7/2), 1 – Drilling For Gold (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 9 – Ready To Rocknroll (12/1)
Place: 5 – Radiant Tones (9/2)
Show: 3 – American Kestrel (5/2)
Other contenders: 10 – Queen Rocket (10/1), 12 – Last Glance (30/1), 2 – Dark Pool (5/1), 11 – Spice Gal (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Parola Sicura (4/1)
Place: 5 – Country Economics (12/1)
Show: 3 – Morning Miracle (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Lenamagnetta (30/1), 13 – Ariel Moon (6/1), 12 – Fluffy (7/2), 2 – Asknotwhatyoucando (5/1), 9 – Any Fools Gold (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Tom Hagen (7/2)
Place: 3 – Missionaire (5/1)
Show: 9 – E Minor (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Rigel (8/5), 8 – Class Photo (8/1), 7 – Oviatt Class (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Solving Progress (9/2)
Place: 6 – Inanna’S Quest (2/1)
Show: 9 – Spoils Of War (20/1)
Other contenders: 13 – Please Marry Me (12/1), 11 – Allons (6/1), 4 – Woods Hole (50/1), 3 – Red Wren (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 8 – Chillow (9/2)
Place: 4 – Cross Of Valor (10/1)
Show: 3 – Drifting (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Harmony Road (7/5), 7 – Sweet Wine (15/1), 5 – Hermoso Momento (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 9 – Hail No (5/2)
Place: 6 – Game Energy (15/1)
Show: 10 – Intel Agent (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Grosse Ile (6/1), 4 – Promaja (10/1), 7 – Smokey Rain (30/1), 8 – Valerie Street (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 6 – Song And A Breeze (2/1)
Place: 1 – Catarina (7/2)
Show: 3 – Slanderous (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Bajan Bashert (3/2), 7 – Serious Moment (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Naptown (3/1)
Place: 3 – Heaven’S Champion (10/1)
Show: 2 – Hold Out (4/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Quokka (7/2), 1 – Drilling For Gold (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 9 – Ready To Rocknroll (12/1)
Place: 5 – Radiant Tones (9/2)
Show: 3 – American Kestrel (5/2)
Other contenders: 10 – Queen Rocket (10/1), 2 – Dark Pool (5/1), 12 – Last Glance (30/1), 11 – Spice Gal (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Parola Sicura (4/1)
Place: 5 – Country Economics (12/1)
Show: 3 – Morning Miracle (6/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Fluffy (7/2), 13 – Ariel Moon (6/1), 6 – Lenamagnetta (30/1), 11 – Payrula (10/1), 9 – Any Fools Gold (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Tom Hagen (7/2)
Place: 3 – Missionaire (5/1)
Show: 9 – E Minor (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Rigel (8/5), 8 – Class Photo (8/1), 7 – Oviatt Class (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Solving Progress (9/2)
Place: 6 – Inanna’S Quest (2/1)
Show: 9 – Spoils Of War (20/1)
Other contenders: 13 – Please Marry Me (12/1), 11 – Allons (6/1), 3 – Red Wren (8/1), 4 – Woods Hole (50/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 8 – Chillow (9/2)
Place: 4 – Cross Of Valor (10/1)
Show: 3 – Drifting (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Harmony Road (7/5), 7 – Sweet Wine (15/1), 5 – Hermoso Momento (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 9 – Hail No (5/2)
Place: 1 – Grosse Ile (6/1)
Show: 6 – Game Energy (15/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Intel Agent (4/1), 4 – Promaja (10/1), 7 – Smokey Rain (30/1), 8 – Valerie Street (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 6 – Song And A Breeze (2/1)
Place: 1 – Catarina (7/2)
Show: 3 – Slanderous (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Bajan Bashert (3/2), 7 – Serious Moment (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 4 – Naptown (3/1)
Place: 3 – Heaven’S Champion (10/1)
Show: 2 – Hold Out (4/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Quokka (7/2), 1 – Drilling For Gold (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 9 – Ready To Rocknroll (12/1)
Place: 5 – Radiant Tones (9/2)
Show: 3 – American Kestrel (5/2)
Other contenders: 10 – Queen Rocket (10/1), 2 – Dark Pool (5/1), 12 – Last Glance (30/1), 11 – Spice Gal (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 7 – Parola Sicura (4/1)
Place: 5 – Country Economics (12/1)
Show: 6 – Lenamagnetta (30/1)
Other contenders: 11 – Payrula (10/1), 12 – Fluffy (7/2), 9 – Any Fools Gold (30/1), 8 – Set Ablaze (12/1), 3 – Morning Miracle (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Tom Hagen (7/2)
Place: 3 – Missionaire (5/1)
Show: 9 – E Minor (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Rigel (8/5), 8 – Class Photo (8/1), 7 – Oviatt Class (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 8 – Solving Progress (9/2)
Place: 6 – Inanna’S Quest (2/1)
Show: 9 – Spoils Of War (20/1)
Other contenders: 13 – Please Marry Me (12/1), 11 – Allons (6/1), 3 – Red Wren (8/1), 4 – Woods Hole (50/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ALLONS AMBUSHED AMERICAN KESTREL ANY FOOLS GOLD ARIEL MOON
AVALANCHE IS COMIN BAJAN BASHERT BLUESKYSLOOKINATME CATARINA CHICA MUSIC
CITIFIED CLASS PHOTO COUNTRY ECONOMICS CROSS OF VALOR DARK POOL
DRIFTING DRILLING FOR GOLD E MINOR FLUFFY GAME ENERGY
GOT A COMPLEX GROSSE ILE HAIL NO HARMONY ROAD HEAVEN’S CHAMPION
HIGH RANSOM HIT SONG HOLD OUT HOPE SHE FIRES IDES OF DEMARCH
INTEL AGENT IRISH B GOODE JASSAI LADY TOURIST LADYS CHANT
LAST GLANCE LENAMAGNETTA LITTLEGIRLJUSTICE LOOK TO THE CROSS MAXIMO MADNESS
MISSIONAIRE MORNING MIRACLE NAPTOWN NATIVE MISCHIEF NORTHERN TICK TOCK
OVIATT CLASS PAROLA SICURA PAYRULA PLEASE MARRY ME PRETTY GEISHA
QUEEN ROCKET QUOKKA RADIANT TONES RAG DOLL READY TO ROCKNROLL
RIGEL SELL SOMETHING SERIOUS MOMENT SET ABLAZE SLANDEROUS
SMOKEY RAIN SOLVING PROGRESS SONG AND A BREEZE SPICE GAL SPOILS OF WAR
TINKATWO TOM HAGEN UPPITY UP VALERIE STREET WOODS HOLE

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback