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ELK – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the September 7, 2026 card

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Race Day Overview — Elko County Fair, September 7, 2026

Elko County Fair (ELK) presents a ten-race card on Sunday, September 7, 2026, headlined by a pair of stakes races — the $27,000 400-furlong dash in Race 7 and the $46,000 Trial in Race 9 — along with the $13,500 Elko Derby in Race 3. The card spans a wide variety of disciplines, blending Quarter Horse sprint races from 100 furlongs to 400 furlongs with longer Thoroughbred routes extending to 1760 furlongs. The mixed-breed card reflects the eclectic nature of Elko's annual fair meet, drawing regional trainers from Nevada, Utah, and the surrounding Mountain West.

Trainer Edgar Osvaldo Moreno-Alcala saddles three runners in Race 1 alone — Tap Man (POST 1), Jess Be Genuine (POST 3), and Why Not Mayzee (POST 7) — which is a significant barn move worth monitoring for stable confidence. The Canales operation (both Sergio Canales and Savana Canales) has multiple entries across the stakes races, particularly in the Race 7 and Race 9 features, making them one of the most active outfits on the grounds. Trainer Brent Young fields a three-pronged attack in the Elko Derby with Z's Nacho (POST 1), Boogie Boy (POST 2), and Tequilahummingbird (POST 5). Trainer Mark Jensen also counters with three in that same race.

The card is structured across multiple post time listings reflecting different time zones, with the first race posting at 4:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM local time. The feature races in the back half of the card draw the most wagering interest, particularly Race 9, a Trial format offering $46,000 in purse money — the richest race on today's program.

Weather and Track Conditions — Elko, Nevada, September 7, 2026

Elko, Nevada sits at an elevation of approximately 5,060 feet in the high desert of northeastern Nevada. September weather in this region is characteristically dry and sunny, with daytime temperatures typically ranging from the mid-70s to low 80s Fahrenheit. Afternoon winds out of the southwest can develop at the fairgrounds, occasionally affecting times in the shorter sprint events. No precipitation is expected for today's card, and the track surface is anticipated to be fast throughout the day.

Elko's dirt strip is a compact, tightly maintained fair track that tends to ride consistent from top to bottom during dry meets. The sandy, loam-based composition of the local soil drains efficiently after any morning maintenance, and with no recent rainfall of note in the region, the surface should be firm and uniform. Footing concerns are minimal, and horses with early speed should be able to find solid purchase out of the starting gate.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis — ELK

Elko County Fair is a short-stretch, bullring-style track common to the fair circuit. In short-distance Quarter Horse events (100 furlongs to 400 furlongs), post position bias is minimal to moderate — horses breaking cleanly from any gate position have a reasonable chance, though middle posts often hold a slight statistical edge in the 350-furlong and 400-furlong sprints simply due to gate angle. In the 300-furlong race (Race 2), pure quickness out of the gate is paramount, and outside posts carry slightly more disadvantage due to the sharper angle to the finish.

In the longer Thoroughbred routes — particularly Race 3 (1320 furlongs), Race 5 (1320 furlongs), and Race 10 (1760 furlongs) — inside posts carry the traditional rail advantage. Horses breaking from Posts 1 through 3 in these longer events historically save ground around the turn and are in excellent position to control pace or track the leader. Rail bias on dry, sealed fair tracks like Elko tends to favor horses that can secure the inside path early without getting shuffled back.

For the 770-furlong events (Races 1 and 6), pace flow will determine whether inside or outside posts prevail. If multiple speed horses are entered and the early fractions are honest, horses with tactical speed and the ability to stalk from Posts 3 through 5 tend to have a positional edge as the field turns for home. Outside posts in the 770-furlong events face the challenge of wide trips early, though the short stretch can limit the effectiveness of late closers regardless of position.

Speed-favoring biases are common at Elko across all distances. Horses that get to the front or near the front early and can sustain their run through the stretch almost always outperform closers on this type of surface. Handicappers should weight front-running ability heavily throughout this entire card.

RACE 1 — Post 4:00/3:00/2:00/(1:00) — 770f | D | A | Alw 7000n2l | BUN | Purse $7,000

This is a 770-furlong allowance test for Thoroughbreds that have not won two lifetime races, restricted to breeders in the state. The $7,000 purse is modest, and the field of seven reflects the regional nature of this meet. Trainer Moreno-Alcala controls the race with three entrants, which creates both opportunity and wagering complications.

Pace Analysis

With three Moreno-Alcala runners in the field, the pace scenario is somewhat difficult to project unless there is clear barn strategy in play. Tap Man (POST 1) on the rail is likely the barn's primary speed horse, and at 3-1 morning line, he appears to be the lead runner from this stable. London Lc (POST 4), tabbed as the morning-line favorite at 2-1 from trainer Kyle Dahlke, should also be forwardly placed and could challenge for the early lead. Classy Penguin (POST 6) from trainer Juan Manuel Hernandez and jockey Jairo Moreno adds another dimension to the pace. If two or three horses contest the early lead through 770 furlongs, the race sets up for a stalking type — and Why Not Mayzee (POST 7) or Twice Over (POST 2) could be positioned to capitalize late.

Key Contenders

London Lc (POST 4) draws the most attention from handicappers as the morning-line choice at 2-1. Trainer Kyle Dahlke has put together a tight operation for this level, and jockey Eric Alaya has been reliable at this meet. The Post 4 draw is near-ideal for a 770-furlong race, allowing the horse to settle cleanly without fighting traffic early or getting caught wide. At 2-1, the horse needs to be capable of handling early pressure, but if London Lc (POST 4) can establish position without a prolonged battle, this horse looks like the logical top choice.

Tap Man (POST 1) from the rail is Moreno-Alcala's primary runner and carries J.R. Valenzuela, one of the more accomplished riders on this circuit. The rail draw in a 770-furlong race can be a double-edged sword — the horse must clear the field or risk being pinned inside — but a quick-breaking front-runner can make that Post 1 irrelevant. At 3-1, Tap Man (POST 1) represents fair value if this horse has demonstrated the ability to clear early and hold.

Secondary Choices

Classy Penguin (POST 6) at 5-1 with Jairo Moreno up is a legitimate second-tier play. Trainer Hernandez has multiple runners on today's card and knows this circuit well. Classy Penguin (POST 6) from the outside is the slight concern, but if the pace up front becomes heated between Tap Man (POST 1) and London Lc (POST 4), a horse with tactical speed from Post 6 could close into a soft lead. This is a horse handicappers are mentioning as a pace beneficiary.

Twice Over (POST 2) at 4-1 from trainer Chris Mitchell is a horse that deserves attention. Mitchell is an active local conditioner, and the Post 2 draw is favorable. Jockey R. Morris has the ability to place this horse well in the early going. If Tap Man (POST 1) goes to the front and London Lc (POST 4) chases, Twice Over (POST 2) from an inside post could track the pace economically and be a dangerous late runner.

Longshots

Why Not Mayzee (POST 7) is the third Moreno-Alcala entry at 6-1, partnered with jockey Daniel Aguilar. As the barn's outside runner, this horse may be the “closer” of the trio, tasked with benefiting from pace pressure set by stablemates. At 6-1, there is some value if pace collapse occurs. Jess Be Genuine (POST 3) is the other Moreno-Alcala entry at 10-1 with Jayden R. Ironeyes up, and at that price likely functions as a pace-setter or spacer rather than a primary win threat. Macnamara (POST 5) from trainer Manuel Ruiz at 8-1 is facing tough competition but rounds out the field as a complete longshot.

Selections

Win: London Lc (POST 4) Place: Tap Man (POST 1) Show: Classy Penguin (POST 6)

Betting strategy: Single London Lc (POST 4) on top in exactas and trifectas using Tap Man (POST 1) and Classy Penguin (POST 6) underneath. A small saver using Tap Man (POST 1) on top with London Lc (POST 4) second is advisable given the morning-line favorite label.

RACE 2 — Post 4:30/3:30/2:30/(1:30) — 300f | D | A | Alw 6000n3l | BUN | Purse $6,000

The 300-furlong race is pure gate-to-wire action. This is a three-furlong straight sprint among Quarter Horses that have not won three lifetime races, with a $6,000 purse. The entire race takes place in a matter of seconds, and the outcome is determined almost exclusively by the break and early burst of speed. Post position influence is slightly greater at this ultrashort distance.

Pace Analysis

Every horse in this race will be running at maximum velocity from the moment the gates open. There is no pace scenario to analyze in the traditional sense — this is a simultaneous rush to the wire. The horse that breaks sharpest and accelerates most efficiently through the early strides will dictate the outcome. The question is simply which horse has the best gate quickness and maintains that advantage across 300 furlongs.

Key Contenders

Lrh Mojo Kat (POST 5) opens as the morning-line favorite at 2-1 from trainer Sergio Reyes with Hugo Cerrano in the irons. At this level, a morning-line favorite in a 300-furlong sprint reflects genuine confidence in the horse's gate ability and early speed. The Post 5 draw is solid, putting this horse in the middle of the field where the jockey can feel the break on both sides. At 2-1, Lrh Mojo Kat (POST 5) is the horse handicappers will be keying on for exotics.

Ps Rocky Mountain (POST 1) at 3-1 is the co-second choice and draws from trainer Chris Mitchell, who also runs in Race 1 today. Jockey J.R. Valenzuela — one of the top riders on this card — takes the mount. The inside post is a marginal concern in a sprint this short, but Valenzuela's experience and ability to get a quick break could neutralize any gate-angle disadvantage. This horse is a legitimate threat at 3-1.

Secondary Choices

Tempting Fly (POST 2) at 4-1 from trainer Hernandez with Alberto Aranda Reyes up is a second-tier play worth consideration. Hernandez has multiple entries today and clearly has horses fit and ready. Post 2 is an excellent draw for a race this short. The Special Pro (POST 6) is also from the Hernandez barn at 4-1 with Ironeyes riding, giving the trainer a two-pronged attack. The Special Pro (POST 6) from the outside post in a 300-furlong sprint is the slight negative, as an outside gate angle in this event can cost fractions of a second that are extremely difficult to make up.

Longshots

Hp Justa Classic (POST 3) at 6-1 from trainer Alex Romero with Mauro Jesus Rodriguez up is a longer-priced horse that cannot be dismissed if the gate opens in this runner's favor. El Serafin (POST 4) at 5-1 from trainer Jesus Nolazco with Eric Alaya riding sits at a price that may underestimate this horse's ability. In a six-horse 300-furlong sprint, every horse has a mathematical chance if it breaks well, and El Serafin (POST 4) at middle post with a competent jockey warrants exotic inclusion.

Selections

Win: Lrh Mojo Kat (POST 5) Place: Ps Rocky Mountain (POST 1) Show: Tempting Fly (POST 2)

Betting strategy: Box Lrh Mojo Kat (POST 5), Ps Rocky Mountain (POST 1), and Tempting Fly (POST 2) in exactas. Include El Serafin (POST 4) as a fourth horse in trifecta boxes if budget permits. At 300 furlongs, upsets are frequent enough to justify wider coverage.

RACE 3 — Post 5:00/4:00/3:00/(2:00) — 1320f | D | N | ElkoDby14k | BON | Purse $13,500

The Elko Derby is the centerpiece of the early card — a 1320-furlong (one-mile) test on dirt for Nevada-breds, carrying $13,500 in purse money. This is the longest and richest “Named” race in the first half of the card and generates the most legitimate handicapping interest from a pace and class standpoint. The field of six features a fascinating stable war between trainer Brent Young (three runners) and trainer Mark Jensen (three runners).

Pace Analysis

The battle between the two stable blocs will shape the pace entirely. Young saddles Z's Nacho (POST 1), Boogie Boy (POST 2), and Tequilahummingbird (POST 5). Jensen counters with I'm Your Coco (POST 3), Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4), and Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6). In a race of this length, Young's runners from the inside posts figure to control the early fractions if they have the speed to do so. Z's Nacho (POST 1) from the rail with Julian Zavala could be sent to establish a pace advantage. If multiple horses contest early, the race could set up for a late-runner — and Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6) from the outside with Jose Rodriguez might be positioned for a closing bid.

The one-mile distance puts a significant premium on stamina and the ability to sustain pace off the turn. Horses that battle too hard in the opening half-mile risk stopping in the stretch.

Key Contenders

I'm Your Coco (POST 3) at 2-1 morning line is the co-favorite and Jensen's top contender. Jockey Jayden Ironeyes — arguably the busiest and most accomplished rider on today's card — takes the assignment, a strong sign of confidence. Post 3 is a dream draw for a one-mile route, allowing this horse to settle into a comfortable position off the pace while saving ground. The combination of a capable trainer, the top jockey on the grounds, and a favorable post gives I'm Your Coco (POST 3) significant positional advantages.

Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4) is the co-favorite also at 2-1, giving the Jensen barn dual threats in this event. R. Morris rides from Post 4, another solid draw. Two co-favorites from the same barn in a six-horse field is a complicated wagering situation, but it also suggests Jensen has done his homework and believes both horses are legitimate. Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4) likely has a slightly different running style than its stablemate, potentially as the more forward-running of the pair.

Secondary Choices

Boogie Boy (POST 2) at 4-1 is Young's best chance in this race. F.M. Gamez rides from a terrific inside draw, and at 4-1, this horse is being offered at slight overlay odds relative to the co-favorites. If the Young barn has something special in Boogie Boy (POST 2), the price represents genuine value. A stalking style from Post 2 could allow this horse to track the pace from the Young-controlled rail runners and make a decisive move on the turn.

Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6) at 4-1 with Jose Rodriguez is the intriguing closer at the bottom of the field. In a race that may evolve into a two-stable chess match for the early lead, Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6) from outside could make a sweeping move on the far turn. At 4-1, this horse has value as a place and show play, and is worth including in exactas and trifectas.

Longshots

Z's Nacho (POST 1) at 6-1 with Julian Zavala is Young's pace-setter — likely sent to establish early position from the rail. As a pace-presser, Z's Nacho (POST 1) could hang on to hit the board in a pace meltdown but is probably doing sacrificial work for stablemates. Tequilahummingbird (POST 5) at 8-1 with Dakota Wood rounds out the Young trio. At 8-1, this horse is Young's longest-priced runner and probably has the most ground to make up relative to the field's top contenders.

Selections

Win: I'm Your Coco (POST 3) Place: Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4) Show: Boogie Boy (POST 2)

Betting strategy: The Jensen 1-2 punch at co-2-1 odds requires creative exotic construction. Use I'm Your Coco (POST 3) and Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4) on top in exactas with each other and Boogie Boy (POST 2) and Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6) filling in underneath. Trifectas keying 3-4 on top with 2 and 6 in the third position offer reasonable payouts given the chalk prices.

RACE 4 — Post 5:30/4:30/3:30/(2:30) — 350f | D | N | AON | Purse $7,000

A 350-furlong Quarter Horse sprint open to all Nevada-breds, with a $7,000 purse. Seven runners go to the gate in this short-distance blast, and the outcome will be decided in the gate and the first few strides of acceleration.

Pace Analysis

At 350 furlongs, pace analysis collapses into a single question: which horse breaks best? Every runner in this field will be traveling near maximum speed from gate to wire. Post position bias at 350 furlongs is slightly more pronounced than at 300 furlongs because the longer distance allows minor positional differences to compound slightly over the additional strides. Middle posts from 3 through 5 tend to offer the cleanest runs.

Key Contenders

Cyberx (POST 5) is the morning-line favorite at 2-1 with Carlos Castruita aboard for trainer Cresencio Ortiz. Post 5 is a slightly outside-center draw in a seven-horse field, which is nearly ideal for a 350-furlong sprint. At 2-1, the betting public expects this horse to be among the quickest from the gate. Castruita has experience on this circuit, and trainer Ortiz puts up a competitive runner here. This is the horse handicappers are centering their tickets on.

Flashin D Cartel (POST 2) at 3-1 from trainer Sergio Canales with Jesus J. Canales riding represents the barn's stakes-caliber operation showing up in a 350-furlong allowance. The Canales family stable — Sergio and Jesus — is one of the most active and successful operations at Elko's fair meet, and when they bring horses to this level, they are worth taking seriously. Post 2 is a good draw from the inside-center, and the combination of a capable jockey who is also the trainer's relative often leads to precise pre-planned race tactics.

Secondary Choices

Mo Different Advice (POST 3) at 4-1 from trainer Ramiro Fregoso with Mauro Jesus Rodriguez is a solid second-tier contender. Post 3 is among the best draws in the field for this distance. Fregoso is an active trainer on the regional circuit, and Rodriguez has been a reliable rider throughout. At 4-1, this horse offers modest value and should be included in all exotic combinations.

Okey Mountain Legend (POST 6) at 5-1 with J.R. Valenzuela up from trainer Dalton Hansen is a horse worth noting. Valenzuela's presence in the irons is always a positive, and at 5-1, there is some price here. The outside-adjacent Post 6 draw is slightly less favorable, but the jockey edge is significant.

Longshots

Secretofthe Mountain (POST 1) at 6-1 with Ironeyes up from trainer Joe Hadley is the inside horse, and the rail draw in a 350-furlong sprint is the primary concern. Hott Smartie (POST 7) at 8-1 with Hugo Cerrano from trainer Bryan Flores is the widest draw in the field — manageable in a seven-horse race but not ideal. Bg Flying Hero (POST 4) at 10-1 from trainer Abel Romero with Raphael Romero up is likely the longest-odds contender and, while physically in the middle of the field positionally, the morning-line price suggests limited expectations.

Selections

Win: Cyberx (POST 5) Place: Flashin D Cartel (POST 2) Show: Mo Different Advice (POST 3)

Betting strategy: Key Cyberx (POST 5) on top in exactas with Flashin D Cartel (POST 2) and Mo Different Advice (POST 3). Include Okey Mountain Legend (POST 6) as a fourth horse in trifecta wheels given Valenzuela's ability to maximize a horse from a tough post.

RACE 5 — Post 6:00/5:00/4:00/(3:00) — 1320f | D | N | MsElkFnM6k | BUM | Purse $6,000

The Miss Elko Finals series race runs 1320 furlongs on dirt for mares, with a $6,000 purse. Trainer Joseph Dominguez monopolizes this race with three entrants — Dyin A Thirst (POST 1), Forever N Love (POST 2), and Skyexpress (POST 3) — creating a situation that closely mirrors the stable blocs in Race 3.

Pace Analysis

Seeking Quality (POST 5) at 2-1 from the Scudder barn is the public's top choice despite the Dominguez stable flooding the top three posts. The pace here will likely be set by the Dominguez trio from the inside, who collectively control Posts 1, 2, and 3. If the Dominguez stable has a designated pace horse, it is likely Dyin A Thirst (POST 1) from the rail with Jairo Moreno. Forever N Love (POST 2) with Ironeyes up is the barn's 4-1 runner and probably the best of the trio. Skyexpress (POST 3) with F.M. Gamez at 5-1 rounds out the threesome. Seeking Quality (POST 5) from Post 5 should be able to sit just off the Dominguez pace and make a move on the turn.

Key Contenders

Seeking Quality (POST 5) at 2-1 is the clear public choice and deserves respect at this price. Trainer Mike Scudder places horses effectively, and Dakota Wood is a solid jockey who knows this circuit. The Post 5 draw allows Seeking Quality (POST 5) to track pace from a comfortable position while the Dominguez runners potentially set suicidal fractions against each other. If the pace collapses in the stretch, Seeking Quality (POST 5) is the beneficiary.

Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) at 3-1 from trainer Kyndra McKinney with Daniel Aguilar up is a horse generating strong support relative to the Dominguez depth. At 3-1 as a morning-line second choice, McKinney must have this mare sharp. Post 6 is outside but allows Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) to sit just outside the Dominguez pack and make a late sweeping move. Aguilar has been steady on today's card and can be trusted to rate this mare through the opening half-mile.

Secondary Choices

Forever N Love (POST 2) at 4-1 is Dominguez's most likely win threat among his own trio, carrying the barn's leading jockey Ironeyes. If the trainer sends this mare early and she can clear the rail before the turn, she has the post draw advantage to save ground all the way to the wire. At 4-1, there is marginal value for a potential upset over the favorites.

Sheza Delight (POST 4) at 4-1 from trainer Gary Simpson with Jesus J. Canales up occupies the critical fourth post — between the Dominguez triple and the outside contenders. If Sheza Delight (POST 4) can find a clean trip between horses, this mare could be a dangerous middle-ground contender. Simpson and Canales are an established combination.

Longshots

Dyin A Thirst (POST 1) at 6-1 is likely the Dominguez pace-setter and will need a wire-to-wire effort to hit the board. Skyexpress (POST 3) at 5-1 is the third Dominguez runner and probably the deepest of the trio, positioned to run late if the barn's pace-setters have softened the competition.

Selections

Win: Seeking Quality (POST 5) Place: Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) Show: Forever N Love (POST 2)

Betting strategy: Key Seeking Quality (POST 5) on top with Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) and Forever N Love (POST 2) to fill in exactas. Use all three of these plus Sheza Delight (POST 4) in trifecta wheels. The Dominguez barn monopoly of Posts 1-3 opens up legitimate value on the outside runners.

RACE 6 — Post 6:30/5:30/4:30/(3:30) — 770f | D | A | Alw 7000nc | BUN | Purse $7,000

A 770-furlong allowance for Thoroughbreds that have not been claimed, with a $7,000 purse. Seven runners contest this mid-card feature, and the field is nicely spread across the morning line with no dominant chalk.

Pace Analysis

Fire Of The Mountain (POST 2) at 3-1 from trainer Joe Hadley and jockey Ironeyes will likely set or press the pace from an excellent inside draw. With multiple speed horses likely in this field, the 770-furlong distance allows a contested early pace to develop, which could set up for horses with tactical speed or closing ability. Western Grit (POST 3) from the Canales stable with Jesus J. Canales up at 4-1 is another early presence. Retained (POST 4) from trainer McKinney at 4-1 is worth watching for positional play.

Key Contenders

Fire Of The Mountain (POST 2) at 3-1 is the morning-line choice with the hottest jockey on the card — Ironeyes — aboard. Post 2 is ideal for a horse with early speed, allowing a clean break and the ability to slot on or near the rail without interference. Trainer Joe Hadley is having an active day with multiple entries, suggesting his operation is fit and firing. At 3-1, this horse needs to be respected as the primary win candidate.

Retained (POST 4) at 4-1 from trainer McKinney with Daniel Aguilar up is a middle-post horse that could track the pace from a clean outside position relative to the early speed horses on Posts 2 and 3. McKinney has Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) in Race 5 and Retained (POST 4) here — a trainer with multiple competitive entries is typically confident in her stock's current form. At 4-1, this horse is the value play among the top tier.

Secondary Choices

Western Grit (POST 3) at 4-1 from Savana Canales with Jesus J. Canales up is a horse that cannot be underestimated given the Canales family's success at this circuit. Post 3 is the pivot point of the field, and if Western Grit (POST 3) has the early quickness to establish position between the two speed horses on Posts 2 and 3, this runner could grab the rail and control the pace. A wire-to-wire effort is within the realm of possibility.

Katies Boy Joe (POST 7) at 4-1 from trainer Mike Scudder with Dakota Wood up is interesting as the widest runner in the field. Three horses at co-4-1 in a seven-horse field suggests legitimate competitive depth. Wood has been active on today's card, and Scudder has shown his stable is fit. The outside post is the concern, but in a race where the early pace could get honest, a closer from Post 7 has upside.

Longshots

Paint The City (POST 1) at 5-1 from trainer Cesar Luna with Luis Collazo up has the rail but may be slower-breaking than Fire Of The Mountain (POST 2) and Western Grit (POST 3), which could pin this horse inside early. Scopello (POST 5) at 6-1 from trainer Ruiz with Kevin Ramos is a mid-field stalker type at a price. Daddy Indeed (POST 6) at 8-1 from trainer Hernandez with Jairo Moreno is the longest-priced contender among the main field and will need a significant pace collapse to hit the board.

Selections

Win: Fire Of The Mountain (POST 2) Place: Retained (POST 4) Show: Western Grit (POST 3)

Betting strategy: Fire Of The Mountain (POST 2) on top in exactas with Retained (POST 4) and Western Grit (POST 3) underneath. A three-horse exacta box of 2-3-4 at this price level produces reasonable payouts. Include Katies Boy Joe (POST 7) as a deep trifecta inclusion.

RACE 7 — Post 7:00/6:00/5:00/(4:00) — 400f | D | N | Stk 27000 | BON | Purse $27,000

The $27,000 400-furlong stakes race is the marquee sprint event of the day and attracts the largest and most competitive field on the card — ten runners, all Nevada-breds, contesting a distance that showcases pure speed and gate ability. Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) and Redmann (POST 8) share co-4-1 morning-line favorites.

Pace Analysis

In a ten-horse, 400-furlong stakes, the break from the gate is the entire race. All ten runners will be at near-maximum speed from the first stride. The field spreads wide enough that gate angle matters, and horses from Posts 4 through 7 generally have the clearest access to the center of the track, which tends to play fastest in short-distance sprints on compact fair-track surfaces. The sheer number of runners increases the probability of gate interference, particularly for horses in the extreme outside posts (9 and 10) and the inside posts (1 and 2).

Key Contenders

Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) at 4-1 from trainer Luis Gomez with Elmer Castillo up is one of the two co-favorites. Post 6 is excellent in a ten-horse 400-furlong sprint — center of the track, clean sight lines for the jockey, minimal gate angle issues. Trainer Gomez also runs Cartell Prince (POST 3) in Race 8 tomorrow, suggesting an active barn with horses that are current and competitive. At 4-1 in a ten-horse field, Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) offers reasonable value for a chalk play.

Redmann (POST 8) at co-4-1 from trainer Honer Romero with Raphael Romero riding is the other public choice. The Romero family operation — trainer and jockey are likely related — often produces results at fair-circuit meets where communication and chemistry between horseman and rider are at their best. Post 8 in a ten-horse field is somewhat outside but not prohibitively so in a 400-furlong event. Redmann (POST 8) at 4-1 needs to be included across all exotics.

Secondary Choices

Cartels Speedo (POST 3) at 5-1 from trainer Sergio Canales with Oscar Villa up is the Canales barn's top entry in this stakes. Post 3 is a strong inside-center draw, and at 5-1, there is genuine overlay potential if this horse has been pointed to this race. Armed To D Hilt (POST 4) at 6-1 from the same Canales barn with Jesus J. Canales up gives the operation a two-horse attack from adjacent posts. Armed To D Hilt (POST 4) from Post 4 is an excellent draw and Canales' trusted jockey gives this entry an edge in tactics.

Heavenly Storm (POST 10) at 6-1 from trainer Brent Young with F.M. Gamez is a surprising outside post runner from a barn already active throughout today's card. At 6-1 from the outside post, this horse faces the widest gate angle but could drift to the center of the track if the inside horses slow each other. Young has demonstrated today that he runs multiple horses in each race, so this horse has legitimate stable confidence behind it.

Longshots

Jp Superstar (POST 1) at 10-1 from trainer Jose Pulido with Luis Collazo up has the inside rail draw, which is one of the more challenging positions in a large-field 400-furlong sprint. Perky Lights (POST 2) at 8-1 from trainer Martin Vega with Eric Alaya is an inside runner with slightly better odds than expected, suggesting some local knowledge. Awesome Cowboy (POST 5) at 8-1 from trainer Jorge Paredes with J.R. Valenzuela up is a solid mid-post horse being ridden by one of the circuit's best jockeys. Valenzuela's presence in the irons often upgrades a horse's chances regardless of odds. Jr Dynasty Chick (POST 7) at 15-1 from trainer Cesar Luna with Jose Rodriguez is a longshot that only gets consideration in large exotic pools. Eye On Radar (POST 9) at 20-1 from trainer Hernandez with Carlos Castruita is the longest-priced horse in the field and, while impossible to dismiss entirely in gate-to-wire sprints, requires a magical break to contend.

Selections

Win: Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) Place: Armed To D Hilt (POST 4) Show: Cartels Speedo (POST 3)

Betting strategy: With co-favorites at 4-1 in a ten-horse stakes, the exacta market should offer value. Key Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) on top with Armed To D Hilt (POST 4), Cartels Speedo (POST 3), and Redmann (POST 8). Use a separate ticket keying Redmann (POST 8) on top in case the Romero barn runner fires. Include Awesome Cowboy (POST 5) in trifecta exotics given Valenzuela's consistent performance.

RACE 8 — Post 7:30/6:30/5:30/(4:30) — 100f | D | N | Stk 7k | BUN | Purse $7,000

The 100-furlong stakes is a blink-and-miss-it event — the shortest race on the card and among the shortest races run anywhere in North American racing. Ten horses go to the gate for a straight-line race that is determined in the first and only acceleration burst. The winner will be the horse with the most explosive single-stride speed out of the gate. Post position becomes almost irrelevant at 100 furlongs, as the race is over before any positional strategy can develop.

Pace Analysis

There is no pace to analyze in a 100-furlong race. The winner exits the gate first and stays first. Period. Every horse in this field will be running at absolute maximum effort from the moment the gates open to the moment they cross the wire, which happens in less than six seconds. The analysis for this race is entirely gate quickness and raw acceleration.

Key Contenders

Cds Its Only Money (POST 2) at 4-1 from trainer Hernandez with Alberto Aranda Reyes up is one of four co-4-1 runners in this event. Trainer Hernandez has been one of the most active trainers on today's card and consistently competes. At 4-1 in a ten-horse 100-furlong stakes, this horse represents an honest price without being a false favorite.

Shiza A Turbo (POST 4) at co-4-1 from trainer Juan Antonio Ruiz with Julian Zavala is well-named for a 100-furlong sprint, and the name alone suggests this trainer sees genuine blazing speed in this runner. Zavala has had experience at this circuit, and Post 4 is a clean center draw for this format.

Pappajeto (POST 7) at co-4-1 from trainer Burt Stoney with J.R. Valenzuela up is the third co-4-1 runner. With Valenzuela in the saddle — the best jockey on today's card — this horse gets an immediate upgrade in perceived ability. At 4-1 with the top rider, Pappajeto (POST 7) is the horse to beat.

Secondary Choices

Ccbrookslittleboy (POST 8) at 5-1 from trainer Raymond Livingston with Jose Rodriguez is just outside the cluster of co-favorites and may represent the best value play in this race. At 5-1, any horse with legitimate gate speed in a 100-furlong event has equal chance of winning, and Ccbrookslittleboy (POST 8) at a slight overlay price is worth including.

Yukos Mountain (POST 5) at 6-1 from trainer Jesus Nolazco with Carlos Castruita up is the center post runner and has the positional advantage of a straight unobstructed run to the wire. At 6-1, there is genuine value if this horse breaks sharply.

Longshots

Cd Driftin Da Wagon (POST 10) at 8-1 from trainer Ramiro Fregoso with Mauro Jesus Rodriguez is the wide post runner and, in this format, the outside post is genuinely neutral in a straight-line sprint. Ts Jess Attack (POST 9) at 12-1 from trainer Bryan Flores with Hugo Cerrano and La Punsada (POST 6) at 12-1 from trainer Nolazco with Eric Alaya are the mid-priced longshots that require extraordinary gate luck. Go My First Doll (POST 1) at 15-1 from trainer Ortiz with Oscar Villa and Cartell Prince (POST 3) at 10-1 from trainer Gomez with Garcia-Segura Jose round out the field as deep longshots.

Selections

Win: Pappajeto (POST 7) Place: Cds Its Only Money (POST 2) Show: Yukos Mountain (POST 5)

Betting strategy: With four co-4-1 runners in a ten-horse field, the exotic pools in this race are unpredictable. Box Pappajeto (POST 7), Cds Its Only Money (POST 2), Shiza A Turbo (POST 4), and Ccbrookslittleboy (POST 8) in exactas. Use a wide trifecta wheel given the field's compressed odds.

RACE 9 — Post 8:00/7:00/6:00/(5:00) — 350f | D | N | Trial | AON | Purse $46,000

The $46,000 Trial is the richest race on today's program and the one that serious bettors will be prioritizing all card. Ten Nevada-bred Quarter Horses sprint 350 furlongs in a trial format, with qualifying positions for a future finals race on the line in addition to the purse. Canales and Gomez each have multiple runners in this marquee event.

Pace Analysis

As with all ultrashort Quarter Horse races, the pace analysis for 350 furlongs reduces to gate quickness and raw speed. In a trial format, the added dimension is that trainers may be positioning horses for the final rather than gambling everything on today's result — which can occasionally produce tactical variations from horses whose connections are satisfied with a qualifying position. That said, at $46,000 in total purse, every connections group will be trying to win. Middle posts from 4 through 7 are statistically most favorable at 350 furlongs on a circuit like Elko.

Key Contenders

Silvers Creek (POST 5) at 4-1 from trainer Joe Hadley with Ironeyes up is the primary contender based on jockey assignment alone. Ironeyes has been on the best horses throughout today's card, and Hadley putting his stakes runner with the card's best jockey is a significant signal. Post 5 is the center draw in a ten-horse field — about as good a post as a trainer could ask for in a 350-furlong trial. At 4-1, this is the horse handicappers are centering their pick.

Hot Britches (POST 7) at co-4-1 from trainer Ramiro Fregoso with Luis Collazo up is a well-priced horse from an experienced trainer. Post 7 is slightly outside-center in a ten-horse field and does not present significant disadvantage. Fregoso has been active on today's card and knows how to prime horses for peak performance at this circuit. At co-4-1 with a capable jockey, Hot Britches (POST 7) is a legitimate win contender.

Wacky Wednesday (POST 9) at co-4-1 from trainer Abelardo Gonzalez with Oscar Villa up is the third co-4-1 runner in this trial. The outside-adjacent Post 9 is somewhat of a concern in a ten-horse 350-furlong race, but at 4-1, the public is clearly not discounting this horse. Villa has the ability to get a clean break and needs to do so from this post. This is a horse that generates enough interest to be included in all exotic plays.

Secondary Choices

Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3) at 5-1 from trainer Luis Gomez with Elmer Castillo up is a Gomez barn representative with an excellent inside-center draw. Post 3 provides the cleanest path to the wire in a large-field sprint, and Gomez has already shown with Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) in Race 7 that his barn is bringing sharp horses to this meet. At 5-1, Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3) is a solid value play.

Carters Corona (POST 10) at 8-1 from trainer Kyle Dahlke with Eric Alaya up is the final horse in the field and draws from the widest post. At 8-1, there is some value if this horse can break sharply and find center track, but the outside post in a ten-horse trial is the significant negative. Dahlke has had competitive entries throughout the card.

Longshots

Ashotatmeleavinyou (POST 1) at 6-1 from trainer Abel Romero with Raphael Romero is the inside rail horse. Rail draws at 350 furlongs can be tricky with ten horses breaking simultaneously. Talk To Papa 2 (POST 2) at 12-1 from trainer Sergio Canales with Jesus J. Canales is interesting as Canales' entry in this trial — the barn has been active all card and at 12-1, this could be an overlooked contender if the barn has been pointing to this race. Cartels Panhandle (POST 6) at 10-1 is the second Canales runner, also with J.R. Valenzuela aboard, creating a two-pronged Canales attack. Louisianas Best (POST 4) at 20-1 from trainer Abel Romero with Mauro Jesus Rodriguez is the longest-priced horse on today's entire card and can only be considered for small-investment superfecta purposes. Five Bar Dlt (POST 8) at 15-1 from trainer Gomez with Garcia-Segura rounds out the Gomez stable's second entry.

Selections

Win: Silvers Creek (POST 5) Place: Hot Britches (POST 7) Show: Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3)

Betting strategy: This is the race to invest in. Key Silvers Creek (POST 5) on top with Hot Britches (POST 7), Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3), and Wacky Wednesday (POST 9) in the second position. Trifectas using Silvers Creek (POST 5) on top with all combinations of Hot Britches (POST 7), Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3), Wacky Wednesday (POST 9), and Ashotatmeleavinyou (POST 1) in third position. The $46,000 purse and trial format should generate strong handle and competitive exacta payouts.

RACE 10 — Post 8:30/7:30/6:30/(5:30) — 1760f | D | C | Clm 4000b | BUN | Purse $6,000

The card closes with a 1760-furlong (one-mile) claiming race at the $4,000 claiming price for Thoroughbreds. This is the longest race of the day and the most traditional handicapping puzzle on the card — class, pace, and stamina all come into play. Six horses fill the field.

Pace Analysis

At 1760 furlongs, the pace question is critical. Which horse establishes the early tempo, and at what cost? Star Entry (POST 1) at 2-1 from trainer Gary Simpson with Daniel Aguilar up is the public's choice from the inside rail. Herecomegeorgieboy (POST 6) at 3-1 from trainer Chris Mitchell with R. Morris up is the second public choice from the outside. These two horses likely bracket the pace discussion — is one a confirmed speed horse who will be pressed? If so, the race sets up for a stalking type like Mcgeorge (POST 3) or Mother's Prayer (POST 4).

Key Contenders

Star Entry (POST 1) at 2-1 is the public's top selection, and trainer Gary Simpson has shown with Seeking Quality (POST 5) in Race 5 that his stable is competitive on this card. Aguilar takes the mount and has been active throughout the day. The rail draw at 1760 furlongs is a significant positive — ground savings accumulate substantially over a full mile on a fair-track layout. At 2-1 as the morning-line favorite, Star Entry (POST 1) is the horse to beat in the closer.

Herecomegeorgieboy (POST 6) at 3-1 from trainer Chris Mitchell with R. Morris up is the second choice and has the unenviable outside draw in a 1760-furlong route. Mitchell has had Twice Over (POST 2) in Race 1 and Ps Rocky Mountain (POST 1) in Race 2 — if his stable is running well today, Herecomegeorgieboy (POST 6) deserves full respect. At 3-1 from outside, this horse will need to settle wide and then swing to close.

Secondary Choices

Mcgeorge (POST 3) at 4-1 from trainer Farre Christoffersen with Luis Collazo up is a mid-field stalker at a fair price. Post 3 is clean and allows Mcgeorge (POST 3) to sit just off the early pace before making a move on the turn. Collazo has ridden at multiple points today and keeps busy, indicating a rider in form. At 4-1, this is a legitimate place horse and a possible win upset.

Mother's Prayer (POST 4) at co-4-1 from trainer Ronald Carter with J.R. Valenzuela up is another stalking type from the center of the field. Valenzuela's presence here is again the key factor — the best jockey on the card does not typically ride non-contenders, and at 4-1 with a favorable draw, Mother's Prayer (POST 4) is a serious trifecta and possible exacta play.

Longshots

Melodity (POST 5) at 5-1 from trainer Joe Hadley with Ironeyes up completes the Hadley-Ironeyes combination that has appeared multiple times today. Hadley has been one of the most active trainers on the card, and Ironeyes taking a closing ride in the final race of the day may be significant. At 5-1, Melodity (POST 5) has value as a closing-day play. Brookys Tapit (POST 2) at 6-1 from trainer Scudder with Dakota Wood rounds out the field as the longest-priced runner in what is a fairly tight morning-line race. Scudder has also appeared multiple times on today's card.

Selections

Win: Star Entry (POST 1) Place: Herecomegeorgieboy (POST 6) Show: Mother's Prayer (POST 4)

Betting strategy: Star Entry (POST 1) on top with Herecomegeorgieboy (POST 6) and Mother's Prayer (POST 4) in exactas. Trifecta using 1-4-6 and 1-6-4 as primary tickets, adding Mcgeorge (POST 3) and Melodity (POST 5) as secondary trifecta combinations. The 2-1 favorite at the rail in a 1760-furlong closer is a spot worth taking seriously.

Jockey Notes and Insights

Jayden R. Ironeyes is clearly the leading rider at this Elko fair meet based on the volume and quality of mounts he carries today. He appears in Race 1 (JESS BE GENUINE, POST 3), Race 3 (I'M YOUR COCO, POST 3), Race 4 (SECRETOFTHE MOUNTAIN, POST 1), Race 5 (FOREVER N LOVE, POST 2), Race 6 (FIRE OF THE MOUNTAIN, POST 2), Race 9 (SILVERS CREEK, POST 5), and Race 10 (MELODITY, POST 5). Seven mounts across ten races is an extraordinary workload, and the caliber of trainers who have chosen him — Jensen, Hadley, Dominguez, Scudder — confirms his standing at this meet. When Ironeyes gets on a horse tabbed at 2-1 or 3-1, particularly in the longer Thoroughbred routes, the expectation from connections is clear.

J.R. Valenzuela is the second-most prominent rider on the card, appearing in Race 1 (TAP MAN, POST 1), Race 2 (PS ROCKY MOUNTAIN, POST 1), Race 4 (OKEY MOUNTAIN LEGEND, POST 6), Race 7 (AWESOME COWBOY, POST 5), Race 9 (CARTELS PANHANDLE, POST 6), and Race 10 (MOTHER'S PRAYER, POST 4). Valenzuela's versatility across both Quarter Horse and Thoroughbred events makes him a critical wagering variable. Whenever Valenzuela is on a horse priced at 4-1 or better, his presence alone narrows the real price.

Jesus J. Canales rides for both Sergio Canales and Savana Canales throughout the card, appearing in Race 4, Race 5, Race 6, Race 7, and Race 9. The trainer-jockey relationship within the Canales family operation means this combination is always working from a pre-planned tactical framework. When the Canales barn sends out a runner at 3-1 or shorter, the family connection adds confidence to the selection.

Daniel Aguilar has multiple mounts across the card, including Race 1 (WHY NOT MAYZEE, POST 7), Race 5 (CLAY'S RUBY LOVE, POST 6), Race 6 (RETAINED, POST 4), and Race 10 (STAR ENTRY, POST 1). Aguilar's heaviest responsibility may be in Race 10, where he gets the morning-line favorite at 2-1 from trainer Simpson.

Eric Alaya rides in multiple races including Race 1 (LONDON LC, POST 4), Race 2 (EL SERAFIN, POST 4), Race 7 (PERKY LIGHTS, POST 2), and Race 9 (CARTERS CORONA, POST 10). His assignment on London Lc (POST 4) — the 2-1 morning-line favorite in Race 1 — is his highest-profile ride of the day.

F.M. Gamez appears in Race 3 (BOOGIE BOY, POST 2), Race 5 (SKYEXPRESS, POST 3), and Race 7 (HEAVENLY STORM, POST 10), all for trainer Brent Young. This is a dedicated jockey-trainer pairing within the Young operation across multiple races.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Edgar Osvaldo Moreno-Alcala saddles three runners in Race 1 — Tap Man (POST 1), Jess Be Genuine (POST 3), and Why Not Mayzee (POST 7) — which is the most concentrated single-race stable effort on the card. The presence of J.R. Valenzuela on Tap Man (POST 1) suggests that horse is the barn's primary win contender, with Jess Be Genuine (POST 3) and Why Not Mayzee (POST 7) serving supporting roles as pace controllers or closers.

Brent Young controls Race 3 with three runners — Z's Nacho (POST 1), Boogie Boy (POST 2), and Tequilahummingbird (POST 5) — and also enters Heavenly Storm (POST 10) in Race 7. Young clearly has an active stable at this meet and arrives with horses that are fit. The fact that F.M. Gamez rides consistently for Young across multiple races suggests a committed partnership.

Mark Jensen counters Young's Race 3 domination with his own trio — I'm Your Coco (POST 3), Tavs Sand Drake (POST 4), and Jovi Alpha Girl (POST 6) — all bearing co-2-1 or 4-1 morning-line prices, suggesting that Jensen's horses may be more highly regarded by the morning-line maker than Young's runners as a group.

Joseph Dominguez repeats the three-pronged strategy in Race 5 with Dyin A Thirst (POST 1), Forever N Love (POST 2), and Skyexpress (POST 3), occupying the three inside posts in a six-mare field. This aggressive entry of three in a six-horse race is a clear attempt to dominate, but the fragmentation of wagering dollars across three entries can work against the trainer in the win pool.

Sergio Canales has entries in multiple races including Race 4 (FLASHIN D CARTEL, POST 2), Race 7 (CARTELS SPEEDO, POST 3 and ARMED TO D HILT, POST 4), and Race 9 (TALK TO PAPA 2, POST 2 and CARTELS PANHANDLE, POST 6). The Canales operation is clearly one of the premier Quarter Horse stables at Elko, with multiple entries in the two highest-purse races on the card.

Joe Hadley has entries across five races — Race 4 (SECRETOFTHE MOUNTAIN, POST 1), Race 6 (FIRE OF THE MOUNTAIN, POST 2), Race 9 (SILVERS CREEK, POST 5), and Race 10 (MELODITY, POST 5) — making him one of the most active trainers on the card. His decision to put Ironeyes on Silvers Creek (POST 5) in the $46,000 Trial is the strongest single trainer-jockey signal on the entire program.

Luis Gomez runs Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) in Race 7 and Delta Flight 3849 (POST 3) and Five Bar Dlt (POST 8) in Race 9, showing multiple horses in both stakes events. This level of engagement in the top-purse races suggests Gomez has horses ready to perform.

Juan Manuel Hernandez is the most ubiquitous trainer on the card, with entries across nearly every race. His volume speaks to a large, active stable, but handicappers should note that quantity does not always translate to quality at a meet like this — Hernandez will fire selectively among his own runners.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The structure of today's card at Elko presents several distinct wagering opportunities that deserve strategic attention beyond single-race win betting.

The Pick 4 rolling from Race 7 through Race 10 offers the most attractive multi-race exotic investment on the card. The $27,000 stakes in Race 7, the $7,000 100-furlong stakes in Race 8, the $46,000 Trial in Race 9, and the 1760-furlong closer in Race 10 create a sequence where a focused player can construct a ticket with manageable selections. A base ticket using Dashing Deluxe (POST 6) in Race 7, Pappajeto (POST 7) in Race 8, Silvers Creek (POST 5) in Race 9, and Star Entry (POST 1) in Race 10 gives a single-line cost entry into the sequence. Spreading to two horses in each of Race 7 (adding REDMANN, POST 8), Race 8 (adding CDS ITS ONLY MONEY, POST 2), Race 9 (adding HOT BRITCHES, POST 7), and Race 10 (adding HERECOMEGEORGIEBOY, POST 6) creates a 16-combination ticket at a reasonable cost, and in a meet with this level of regional competition, the payouts in these exotic pools can be substantial.

The daily double linking Race 9 to Race 10 is the signature bet of the day. Silvers Creek (POST 5) in the Trial at 4-1 with Star Entry (POST 1) in the closer at 2-1 creates a short-priced double, but any exacta or trifecta construction around these two races with overlaid runners like Hot Britches (POST 7) and Mother's Prayer (POST 4) should return meaningful payouts.

Value plays to highlight on today's card:

Retained (POST 4) in Race 6 at 4-1 from trainer McKinney with Aguilar represents genuine overlay potential given the crowded four-horse co-4-1 grouping in that race. In a seven-horse 770-furlong allowance, a horse at 4-1 with a middle post and a sharp jockey is worth a single-race win bet at that price.

Boogie Boy (POST 2) in Race 3 at 4-1 deserves attention as Young's most likely winner of his three-entry assault on the Elko Derby. If Jensen's co-favorites fight each other in the betting pools, Boogie Boy (POST 2) could be the horse whose price drifts slightly in the late odds, creating a genuine overlay situation.

Mother's Prayer (POST 4) in Race 10 at 4-1 with Valenzuela represents the best jockey-price combination on the entire back stretch of the card. Any time J.R. Valenzuela is on a horse at 4-1 or better in a route race on a fair circuit, that combination is worth a straight win wager.

Awesome Cowboy (POST 5) in Race 7 at 8-1 with Valenzuela is the standout longshot value on today's card. In a ten-horse, 400-furlong stakes with multiple horses at 4-1 and 6-1, a horse piloted by the meet's second-best jockey at 8-1 from a middle post is an investment that could produce a meaningful exacta or trifecta payday. Include Awesome Cowboy (POST 5) in all Race 7 trifectas and superfectas as a 8-1 bomb that the top jockey on the meet could fire home.

The Race 5 structure — Dominguez filling Posts 1 through 3 against a non-Dominguez favorite in Seeking Quality (POST 5) — is a setup that commonly produces mid-priced exotic payouts. If Seeking Quality (POST 5) wins and Clay's Ruby Love (POST 6) runs second, the exacta at those prices with the Dominguez runners losing will return a healthy multiple. Back Seeking Quality (POST 5) in exactas with the non-Dominguez runners before defaulting to the barn's own horses in trifecta fill.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


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