Posted inAnalysis

Mountaineer Park August 5, 2025 – AI Picks and Predictions (POSTMORTEM: 1 Trifecta, 1 Exacta, 1 Exacta Box)

No CommentsPosted inAnalysis

AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our extensive article on betting and odds).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 3 – After Sunrise (10/1)
Place: 9 – Mr. Bones (5/1)🥇
Show: 4 – Blanton (6/1)🥈
Other contenders: 2 – Trigger Point (2/1), 5 – Z Dancer (8/1), 10 – Charlicito (12/1)🥉, 7 – Welcometothesshow (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Princesstapiture (3/1)🥈
Place: 11 – Lock It Down (5/1)
Show: 5 – Save The Flag (6/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Saratoga Gaze (6/1), 6 – Diosa Catrina (7/2)🥉, 7 – Gormley Girl (20/1), 10 – King's Legacy (5/1)🥇
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Stratogale (8/5)🥈
Place: 7 – Go Jocelyn Go (8/1)
Show: 3 – Hyper Awakening (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Sally Bali (8/1)🥉, 1 – Revenue Train (15/1)🥇
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Betsy Is The Code (5/2)🥇
Place: 7 – Rowdy Daisy (6/1)
Show: 6 – Think It Thru (4/1)🥈
Other contenders: 9 – Utterly Enchanting (10/1), 4 – Sailing Along (8/1), 1 – Hidden Identity (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Group Eighteen (4/1)🥇
Place: 6 – Cavendish (2/1)🥈
Show: 1 – Ferrari Kid (5/2)🥉
Other contenders: 3 – Hapi Hapi (8/1), 4 – Leo And Royal (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Wow Bubble (3/1)🥈
Place: 2 – Raji (8/5)🥇
Show: 6 – Finn D'oro (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Grand Slam Boy (8/1)🥉, 4 – Gaisgeach (15/1), 8 – Striking Lad (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Machen Reigns (12/1)
Place: 6 – My Lucky Deia (15/1)🥉
Show: 1 – Neutral Cause (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Butterfly Effect (5/2), 2 – S S Cosmopolitan (8/1)🥇, 8 – Oscor (2/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Stavros (9/2)
Place: 8 – Perfect Picture (15/1)
Show: 9 – High Rolling Dude (7/2)🥇
Other contenders: 6 – Mr Hoover (12/1)🥉, 4 – Winged Foot (5/1), 1 – Absolute Courage (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 3 – After Sunrise (10/1)
Place: 9 – Mr. Bones (5/1)
Show: 4 – Blanton (6/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Trigger Point (2/1), 5 – Z Dancer (8/1), 10 – Charlicito (12/1), 1 – My Baby Bullet (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Princesstapiture (3/1)
Place: 5 – Save The Flag (6/1)
Show: 11 – Lock It Down (5/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Saratoga Gaze (6/1), 6 – Diosa Catrina (7/2), 7 – Gormley Girl (20/1), 10 – King's Legacy (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Stratogale (8/5)
Place: 7 – Go Jocelyn Go (8/1)
Show: 3 – Hyper Awakening (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Sally Bali (8/1), 1 – Revenue Train (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Betsy Is The Code (5/2)
Place: 6 – Think It Thru (4/1)
Show: 7 – Rowdy Daisy (6/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Utterly Enchanting (10/1), 4 – Sailing Along (8/1), 1 – Hidden Identity (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Group Eighteen (4/1)
Place: 6 – Cavendish (2/1)
Show: 1 – Ferrari Kid (5/2)
Other contenders: 3 – Hapi Hapi (8/1), 4 – Leo And Royal (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Wow Bubble (3/1)
Place: 2 – Raji (8/5)
Show: 6 – Finn D'oro (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Grand Slam Boy (8/1), 4 – Gaisgeach (15/1), 8 – Striking Lad (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 5 – Machen Reigns (12/1)
Place: 8 – Oscor (2/1)
Show: 6 – My Lucky Deia (15/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Butterfly Effect (5/2), 1 – Neutral Cause (7/2), 2 – S S Cosmopolitan (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Stavros (9/2)
Place: 9 – High Rolling Dude (7/2)
Show: 6 – Mr Hoover (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Perfect Picture (15/1), 4 – Winged Foot (5/1), 3 – South Street (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 3 – After Sunrise (10/1)
Place: 9 – Mr. Bones (5/1)
Show: 4 – Blanton (6/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Z Dancer (8/1), 2 – Trigger Point (2/1), 10 – Charlicito (12/1), 12 – King Kontie (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Princesstapiture (3/1)
Place: 5 – Save The Flag (6/1)
Show: 12 – Saratoga Gaze (6/1)
Other contenders: 11 – Lock It Down (5/1), 6 – Diosa Catrina (7/2), 10 – King's Legacy (5/1), 7 – Gormley Girl (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Stratogale (8/5)
Place: 7 – Go Jocelyn Go (8/1)
Show: 1 – Revenue Train (15/1)
Other contenders: 5 – New Woman (7/2), 4 – Sally Bali (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Betsy Is The Code (5/2)
Place: 6 – Think It Thru (4/1)
Show: 7 – Rowdy Daisy (6/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Utterly Enchanting (10/1), 1 – Hidden Identity (9/2), 4 – Sailing Along (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Group Eighteen (4/1)
Place: 6 – Cavendish (2/1)
Show: 1 – Ferrari Kid (5/2)
Other contenders: 3 – Hapi Hapi (8/1), 4 – Leo And Royal (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Wow Bubble (3/1)
Place: 2 – Raji (8/5)
Show: 6 – Finn D'oro (7/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Grand Slam Boy (8/1), 8 – Striking Lad (10/1), 4 – Gaisgeach (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – My Lucky Deia (15/1)
Place: 5 – Machen Reigns (12/1)
Show: 7 – Butterfly Effect (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – S S Cosmopolitan (8/1), 8 – Oscor (2/1), 3 – Your Trophy Girl (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 2 – Stavros (9/2)
Place: 6 – Mr Hoover (12/1)
Show: 8 – Perfect Picture (15/1)
Other contenders: 9 – High Rolling Dude (7/2), 3 – South Street (6/1), 4 – Winged Foot (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

Race Entries

ABSOLUTE COURAGE AFTER SUNRISE BEE WINGS BETSY IS THE CODE BIG BAD DIVA
BOB'S KID BUTTERFLY EFFECT CAVENDISH CHAINSAW CITY CHARLICITO
DIOSA CATRINA DREWPOWER FERRARI KID FINN D'ORO GAISGEACH
GO JOCELYN GO GORMLEY GIRL GRAND SLAM BOY GROUP EIGHTEEN HAPI HAPI
HIGH ROLLING DUDE HYPER AWAKENING I AM THAT I AM KING KONTIE KING'S LEGACY
LEO AND ROYAL LOCK IT DOWN MACHEN REIGNS MR HOOVER MR. BONES
MY LUCKY DEIA NARIZON NEUTRAL CAUSE NEW WOMAN OSCOR
PRINCESSTAPITURE RAINBOW TROUT RAISE THE PRAISE RAJI RED ROSEBUSH
ROWDY DAISY S S COSMOPOLITAN SAILING ALONG SALLY BALI SARATOGA GAZE
SKUNK APE SOUTH STREET STAVROS STELLAR LEGACY STRATOGALE
THINK IT THRU TONY SMALL TRIGGER POINT UP HER SLEEVE UTTERLY ENCHANTING
WINGED FOOT WOW BUBBLE XTRAORDINARYMOTION YOUR TROPHY GIRL Z DANCER
ZERO GRAVITY
Tags:

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback