AI Performances Chart
AI Speed
AI Opponent
Performance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.35)
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
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AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
- Lines
- Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
- Dashed Lines
- Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
- Higher is Stronger
- All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
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Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
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Total Pace
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E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
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Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
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Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
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Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
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AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Comparison
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Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
🏁 Gate
Finish 🏁
Track Bias
◀ Closer
Speed ▶
0
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| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
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AI Performances Chart
AI Speed
AI Opponent
Performance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.35)
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
Example preview — subscribe to view real performance data
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AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
- Lines
- Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
- Dashed Lines
- Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
- Higher is Stronger
- All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Score History
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[Example] Analyst comments appear here, covering pace profile, trainer trends, jockey notes, surface preferences, and situational flags for today’s race.
Notables: [Example] Key race notables appear here, such as post position bias, recent workouts, class changes, and trip notes flagged by our handicappers.
Example preview — subscribe to view analyst comments & notables
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Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
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Total Pace
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E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
Example preview — subscribe to view E1 / E2 / LP Positions
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Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Example preview — subscribe to view Performance vs. Peers
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Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view Figure Comparison
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Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
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AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Comparison
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Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
🏁 Gate
Finish 🏁
Track Bias
◀ Closer
Speed ▶
0
Example preview — subscribe to view Race Pace Simulation
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| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
AI Performances Chart
AI Speed
AI Opponent
Performance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.35)
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
Example preview — subscribe to view real performance data
Subscribe now →
AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
- Lines
- Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
- Dashed Lines
- Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
- Higher is Stronger
- All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Score History
Subscribe now →
[Example] Analyst comments appear here, covering pace profile, trainer trends, jockey notes, surface preferences, and situational flags for today’s race.
Notables: [Example] Key race notables appear here, such as post position bias, recent workouts, class changes, and trip notes flagged by our handicappers.
Example preview — subscribe to view analyst comments & notables
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Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
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Total Pace
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E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
Example preview — subscribe to view E1 / E2 / LP Positions
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Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Example preview — subscribe to view Performance vs. Peers
Subscribe now →
Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view Figure Comparison
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Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Example preview — subscribe to view Winning Profiles
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AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Comparison
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Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
🏁 Gate
Finish 🏁
Track Bias
◀ Closer
Speed ▶
0
Example preview — subscribe to view Race Pace Simulation
Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | C | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
AI Performances Chart
AI Speed
AI Opponent
Performance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.35)
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
Example preview — subscribe to view real performance data
Subscribe now →
AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
- Lines
- Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
- Dashed Lines
- Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
- Higher is Stronger
- All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
Example preview — subscribe to view AI Model Score History
Subscribe now →
[Example] Analyst comments appear here, covering pace profile, trainer trends, jockey notes, surface preferences, and situational flags for today’s race.
Notables: [Example] Key race notables appear here, such as post position bias, recent workouts, class changes, and trip notes flagged by our handicappers.
Example preview — subscribe to view analyst comments & notables
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Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
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Total Pace
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E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
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Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Example preview — subscribe to view Performance vs. Peers
Subscribe now →
Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Example preview — subscribe to view Figure Comparison
Subscribe now →
Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
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AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
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Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
🏁 Gate
Finish 🏁
Track Bias
◀ Closer
Speed ▶
0
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| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
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AI Performances Chart
AI Speed
AI Opponent
Performance Trend
Chart Guide (2.0.35)
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
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AI Model Score History
AI Model History Guide
- Lines
- Each solid line shows this horse’s model score over its last 10 races: blue = Mod1, green = Mod2, amber = Mod3.
- Dashed Lines
- Dashed lines represent the current race’s field average for each model — a score below the dashed line indicates the horse ranked below average in this model’s assessment.
- Higher is Stronger
- All three model scores are 0–100: a higher number means the model rates this horse more favorably among the field.
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[Example] Analyst comments appear here, covering pace profile, trainer trends, jockey notes, surface preferences, and situational flags for today’s race.
Notables: [Example] Key race notables appear here, such as post position bias, recent workouts, class changes, and trip notes flagged by our handicappers.
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Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
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Track Bias by Lane
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Race Pace Bias
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Total Pace
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E1 / E2 / LP Pace Positions
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
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Performance vs. Peers
Performance vs. Peers Guide
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
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Figure Comparison
Figure Comparison
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
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Winning Profiles
Winning Profiles
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
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AI Model Comparison
AI Model Comparison
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
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Race Pace Simulation
Race Pace Simulation Guide
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
E1 — Early
E2 — Mid
LP — Stretch
🏁 Gate
Finish 🏁
Track Bias
◀ Closer
Speed ▶
0
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| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
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TL;DR
ToggleGet even more in-depth analysis with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Cara'S Chianti (8/1)🥉 |
| Place: | 2 – Here'Syourtrouble (5/1)🥇 |
| Show: | 1 – Flaming Spirit (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tizallmine (20/1), |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ima Big Bad Wolf (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Grittiness (4/1)🥈 |
| Show: | |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Stream It (15/1)🥉, |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Glorious Boy (8/1)🥈 |
| Place: | 1 – Throckmorton (7/2)🥇 |
| Show: | |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Squad Goals (6/1), |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | |
| Place: | |
| Show: | 2 – Quick Power Nap (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sunday Boy (6/1)🥈 |
| Place: | 3 – The Obliterator (5/1)🥉 |
| Show: | |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Kaz Dominator (5/1), 9 – Royal Riddle (3/1), 8 – True Adirondacker (10/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Slightly Busy (6/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Kerry (8/1)🥉 |
| Show: | |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Soloshot (5/1), |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fire Agate (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1)🥉 |
| Show: | 2 – Lady Delilah (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – On A Summer Day (6/1)🥈, 9 – Sky Low Low (8/1), 1 – Night Jasmine (7/2) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sittin Chilly (20/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Mackville (20/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Doomed (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Always Be Smart (6/1)🥈, |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 5 – Kid Kreesa (15/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Real Savvy (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Film Academy (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Royal Browne (10/1)🥈, |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500, |
Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Cara'S Chianti (8/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Here'Syourtrouble (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Flaming Spirit (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tizallmine (20/1), 3 – Snide (3/5) |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Grittiness (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ima Big Bad Wolf (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Fourth Dimension (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Stream It (15/1), 6 – Courting (3/5) |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Glorious Boy (8/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Throckmorton (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Uncle Aldo (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Squad Goals (6/1), 7 – Should'Ve (8/5), 8 – Hong Kong Phooey (3/1) |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 10 – Grace And Grit (8/5) |
| Place: | 12 – Capital Gal (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Quick Power Nap (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Lika Rolling Stone (3/1), 6 – Silent Melody (12/1), 4 – Hello Beauty (5/2), 7 – Bertrille (8/1) |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sunday Boy (6/1) |
| Place: | 3 – The Obliterator (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – You'Re Lookin Good (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Kaz Dominator (5/1), 9 – Royal Riddle (3/1), 8 – True Adirondacker (10/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 11 – Majestic Return (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Slightly Busy (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Kerry (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – City Blocks (8/5), 5 – Soloshot (5/1), 3 – Silsbee (2/1), 2 – Hangover Heaven (3/1) |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fire Agate (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Lady Delilah (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Sky Low Low (8/1), 7 – On A Summer Day (6/1), 1 – Night Jasmine (7/2) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sittin Chilly (20/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Mackville (20/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Doomed (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Always Be Smart (6/1), 10 – Bulldoze (9/2), 4 – Broderick (10/1) |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 1 – Real Savvy (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Kid Kreesa (15/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Royal Browne (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Film Academy (12/1), 13 – Ready Set Twirl (15/1), 6 – Ez Roll (12/1), 3 – Hamilton'S Way (5/2), 15 – Mission Hill (8/1) |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250, |
Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Cara'S Chianti (8/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Here'Syourtrouble (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Flaming Spirit (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tizallmine (20/1), 6 – Autumn'S Turn (8/1) |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Grittiness (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ima Big Bad Wolf (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Fourth Dimension (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Stream It (15/1), 6 – Courting (3/5) |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Glorious Boy (8/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Throckmorton (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Uncle Aldo (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Should'Ve (8/5), 3 – Squad Goals (6/1), 8 – Hong Kong Phooey (3/1) |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 12 – Capital Gal (5/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Grace And Grit (8/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Quick Power Nap (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Lika Rolling Stone (3/1), 6 – Silent Melody (12/1), 7 – Bertrille (8/1), 5 – Tongue Twister (3/1) |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sunday Boy (6/1) |
| Place: | 3 – The Obliterator (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – You'Re Lookin Good (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Kaz Dominator (5/1), 9 – Royal Riddle (3/1), 8 – True Adirondacker (10/1) |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Kerry (8/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Slightly Busy (6/1) |
| Show: | 9 – City Blocks (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Majestic Return (5/2), 5 – Soloshot (5/1), 2 – Hangover Heaven (3/1), 3 – Silsbee (2/1) |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fire Agate (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Lady Delilah (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Sky Low Low (8/1), 1 – Night Jasmine (7/2), 7 – On A Summer Day (6/1) |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sittin Chilly (20/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Mackville (20/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Doomed (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Broderick (10/1), 10 – Bulldoze (9/2), 3 – Always Be Smart (6/1) |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 1 – Real Savvy (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Film Academy (12/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Kid Kreesa (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Royal Browne (10/1), 13 – Ready Set Twirl (15/1), 3 – Hamilton'S Way (5/2), 6 – Ez Roll (12/1), 11 – Spirit Of The Law (15/1) |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30, |
Race Entries
| A. P. SLINGSHOT | ACCELERATED NEWS | ADDAGIRL ADDIE | ADVENTURIST | ALWAYS BE SMART |
| AUTUMN'S TURN | BERTRILLE | BRODERICK | BULLDOZE | CAPITAL GAL |
| CARA'S DREAMWEAVER | CITY BLOCKS | CLEARWATER BEACH | COGNOSCENTI | COURTING |
| DETAIL ORIENTED | DEVIL OF RAMADI | DOOMED | EZ ROLL | FARM HOUSE |
| FIRE AGATE | FLAMING SPIRIT | FOURTH DIMENSION | GLORIOUS BOY | GOLDEN ROCKET |
| GRACE AND GRIT | GRITTINESS | GYPSY ART | HAMILTON'S WAY | HANGOVER HEAVEN |
| HELLO BEAUTY | HERE'SYOURTROUBLE | HONG KONG PHOOEY | I CAN SEE THAT | IMA BIG BAD WOLF |
| JURISPRUDENCE | KAT STORMY | KAZ DOMINATOR | KERRY | KID KREESA |
| LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA | LE CADEAU | LIKA ROLLING STONE | MACKVILLE | MAJESTIC RETURN |
| MO' SCRIPT | MOMMASGOTTAGUN | NANTZ | NIGHT JASMINE | ON A SUMMER DAY |
| READY SET TWIRL | REAL SAVVY | ROYAL BROWNE | ROYAL RIDDLE | SAIL WITH THE WIND |
| SHOULD'VE | SILENT MELODY | SILSBEE | SITTIN CHILLY | SKY LOW LOW |
| SNIDE | SOLOSHOT | SPIRIT OF THE LAW | SQUAD GOALS | STREAM IT |
| TALK TO ME JIMMY | THE OBLITERATOR | THROCKMORTON | TIZALLMINE | TONGUE TWISTER |
| UNCLE ALDO | WHISKEY POINT | YOU'RE LOOKIN GOOD | ZUBY |
Notables: [Example] Key race notables appear here, such as post position bias, recent workouts, class changes, and trip notes flagged by our handicappers.