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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Adelyn's Rocking (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Layneesdovecandy (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Francesconi (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Escape The Farm (4/1), 2 – De Novo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Silence's Nation (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-6-5-2 | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Party Foul (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Nine Lives Elmer (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Mysterious Tale (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Tapitboy (8/1), 6 – Brody's Treasure (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Shudder (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-7-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-7-6-2 | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Susan Yvonne (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Periphery (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Miss Madame (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – North Lake Kate (6/1), 5 – Country Sonata (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Seekingperfectsole (10/1), 6 – Not Really Scary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-1-7 | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Tavs Sand Drake (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Brody's Chrome (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Canyahearmeknockin (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Chatty Milligan (4/1), 4 – Bottle Caps (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ruiz Junior (8/1), 1 – Sophie's Heart (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-7-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Truth Seeker (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Seven Taylors (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Eye On Ry (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Champagne Stooper (8/1), 5 – Big Jack (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Forthelonghaul (9/2), 1 – Wedding Gift (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-2-4-3-6-1 | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – You Have No Idea (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Milliganmikeandme (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Sweet Hello (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Warren's Wild Ride (10/1), 6 – Adeterminedmom (9/2), 4 – Global Allure (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Ropers N Wranglers (7/2), 7 – Mola Mia (6/1), 1 – La Orgullosa (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-3-6-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-9-6-8-2-4-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Adelyn's Rocking (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Layneesdovecandy (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Escape The Farm (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Silence's Nation (8/1), 3 – Francesconi (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – De Novo (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-6-5-2 | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Nine Lives Elmer (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Party Foul (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Mysterious Tale (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Tapitboy (8/1), 6 – Brody's Treasure (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Shudder (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-7-6-2 | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Miss Madame (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Periphery (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Country Sonata (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – North Lake Kate (6/1), 3 – Susan Yvonne (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Seekingperfectsole (10/1), 6 – Not Really Scary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-7-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-1-7 | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Brody's Chrome (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Canyahearmeknockin (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Tavs Sand Drake (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Chatty Milligan (4/1), 4 – Bottle Caps (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ruiz Junior (8/1), 1 – Sophie's Heart (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Truth Seeker (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Eye On Ry (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Seven Taylors (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Forthelonghaul (9/2), 1 – Wedding Gift (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Champagne Stooper (8/1), 5 – Big Jack (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-6-2-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-2-4-3-6-1 | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – You Have No Idea (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Milliganmikeandme (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Adeterminedmom (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Ropers N Wranglers (7/2), 4 – Global Allure (6/1), 8 – Sweet Hello (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Warren's Wild Ride (10/1), 7 – Mola Mia (6/1), 1 – La Orgullosa (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-9-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-9-6-8-2-4-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Adelyn's Rocking (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Layneesdovecandy (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Escape The Farm (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Francesconi (3/1), 6 – Silence's Nation (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – De Novo (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-6-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Nine Lives Elmer (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Party Foul (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Mysterious Tale (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Tapitboy (8/1), 6 – Brody's Treasure (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Shudder (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-7-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $13,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Miss Madame (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Periphery (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Country Sonata (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – North Lake Kate (6/1), 3 – Susan Yvonne (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Seekingperfectsole (10/1), 6 – Not Really Scary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-7-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Brody's Chrome (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Canyahearmeknockin (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Tavs Sand Drake (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Chatty Milligan (4/1), 4 – Bottle Caps (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ruiz Junior (8/1), 1 – Sophie's Heart (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Truth Seeker (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Eye On Ry (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Seven Taylors (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Forthelonghaul (9/2), 1 – Wedding Gift (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Champagne Stooper (8/1), 5 – Big Jack (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-6-2-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-2-4-3-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – You Have No Idea (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Adeterminedmom (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Ropers N Wranglers (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Milliganmikeandme (4/1), 3 – Warren's Wild Ride (10/1), 1 – La Orgullosa (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Global Allure (6/1), 8 – Sweet Hello (8/1), 7 – Mola Mia (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-9-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-9-6-8-2-4-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.31 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 3 | 1 – Seekingperfectsole | 10/1 | 16.8% | +57.6% | 1.44% | $1.44 |
| 7 | 3 – Warren'S Wild Ride | 10/1 | 16.8% | +57.6% | 1.44% | $1.44 |
| TOTAL across 2 plays: | 2.9% | $2.88 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ADELYN'S ROCKING | ADETERMINEDMOM | ARIZONA ROSE | BIG JACK | BOBBED N LURED |
| BRODY'S CHROME | BRODY'S TREASURE | CANYAHEARMEKNOCKIN | CHAMPAGNE STOOPER | CHATTY MILLIGAN |
| DE NOVO | ESCAPE THE FARM | EYE ON RY | FORTHELONGHAUL | FRANCESCONI |
| HAPPY RANCH | INDIES ANGEL | LA ORGULLOSA | LAYNEESDOVECANDY | MILLIGANMIKEANDME |
| MISS MADAME | MOLA MIA | MYSTERIOUS TALE | NINE LIVES ELMER | NORTH LAKE KATE |
| PARTY FOUL | PERIPHERY | PS GRAND FURI | ROPERS N WRANGLERS | RUIZ JUNIOR |
| SEVEN TAYLORS | SHUDDER | SILENCE'S NATION | SOPHIE'S HEART | SPEAK THE TRUTH |
| SWEET HELLO | TAPITBOY | TAVS SAND DRAKE | TEDDY PANTAGES | TRUTH SEEKER |
| WEDDING GIFT | YOU HAVE NO IDEA |
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