Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hurricane Alert (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Valhalla's Palace (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Love Is Wicked (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Ziggy Stardust (8/1), 7 – Estrella Fugaz (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Nay's Only One (10/1), 5 – Bold Desert (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-6-7-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Saichi's Girl (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Lookingforahandout (6/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Silent Sam (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Golden Empress (3/1), 3 – Can You See Me Now (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Lovely Bella (15/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-4-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-3-7-6-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Head Lad (3/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Irish Warlock (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Strollinginthewind (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Strive For Stride (12/1), 3 – Ridiculous (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Cowboy At Heart (15/1), 6 – Theo's Thunder (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-7-6-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hard Stance (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Vida (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Dr. Buzzy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Hobson's Choice (8/1), 4 – Now Teddy (15/1), 8 – Knocking Luck (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Danzante Bay (15/1), 5 – Free Drop Ops (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-7-3-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-4-8-5-1-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wiley Willard (8/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Gran Andrews (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rhumjar (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bless America (4/1), 7 – Doctor Pardo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Motskari (6/1), 1 – Conspiracy Fact (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-3-7-2-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Our Memories (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Sunset House (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Sweet N Tricky (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Tina's Back (6/1), 8 – Creative Catch (10/1), 5 – Smart Cry (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – B's Wild Candy (15/1), 6 – Moon Rox (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-8-6-2-1-3-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Renegade Rabbit (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Bull Rider (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – El Pacho (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Punxadonny (3/1), 4 – Super Puncher (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – You Rotten Joker (6/1), 5 – Shuffle (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-7-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-7-1-6-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mitote (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Mayorofgreencounty (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 – K. Bee (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Malibu Son (5/1), 8 – Barsoom (15/1), 4 – Easy Pass (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Felicias Cinco (10/1), 6 – Swift Waters (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-3-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-7-5-3-8-6 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Johnny Lies (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Hamdoun (9/5) |
| Show: | 8 – Speedy Sammy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Right Of Rush (10/1), 1 – Hidden Favor (12/1), 3 – Afleet Vintage (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Elusive Notion (30/1), 7 – Dadio (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-8-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-8-1-3-2-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hurricane Alert (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Love Is Wicked (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Valhalla's Palace (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nay's Only One (10/1), 6 – Ziggy Stardust (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Estrella Fugaz (10/1), 5 – Bold Desert (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-7-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-6-7-5-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Saichi's Girl (1/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Golden Empress (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Silent Sam (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Lookingforahandout (6/1), 7 – Lovely Bella (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Can You See Me Now (15/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-6-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-3-7-6-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Head Lad (3/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Irish Warlock (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Strollinginthewind (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Ridiculous (10/1), 2 – Strive For Stride (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Cowboy At Heart (15/1), 6 – Theo's Thunder (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-7-6-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hard Stance (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Vida (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Dr. Buzzy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Hobson's Choice (8/1), 8 – Knocking Luck (12/1), 4 – Now Teddy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Danzante Bay (15/1), 5 – Free Drop Ops (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-7-3-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-4-8-5-1-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wiley Willard (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Bless America (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rhumjar (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Gran Andrews (5/1), 1 – Conspiracy Fact (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Motskari (6/1), 7 – Doctor Pardo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-3-7-2-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Our Memories (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Sunset House (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Creative Catch (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sweet N Tricky (4/1), 7 – Tina's Back (6/1), 5 – Smart Cry (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Moon Rox (12/1), 1 – B's Wild Candy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-8-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-8-6-2-1-3-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Renegade Rabbit (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – You Rotten Joker (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Punxadonny (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Bull Rider (6/1), 1 – El Pacho (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Shuffle (5/1), 4 – Super Puncher (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-7-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-7-1-6-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mitote (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Mayorofgreencounty (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Malibu Son (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – K. Bee (9/2), 5 – Felicias Cinco (10/1), 4 – Easy Pass (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Barsoom (15/1), 6 – Swift Waters (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-7-5-3-8-6 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Johnny Lies (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Hamdoun (9/5) |
| Show: | 8 – Speedy Sammy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Right Of Rush (10/1), 3 – Afleet Vintage (15/1), 1 – Hidden Favor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Dadio (30/1), 2 – Elusive Notion (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-8-5-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-8-1-3-2-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hurricane Alert (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Love Is Wicked (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Valhalla's Palace (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nay's Only One (10/1), 6 – Ziggy Stardust (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Estrella Fugaz (10/1), 5 – Bold Desert (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-7-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-6-7-5-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Saichi's Girl (1/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Golden Empress (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Silent Sam (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Lookingforahandout (6/1), 7 – Lovely Bella (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Can You See Me Now (15/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-6-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-5-3-7-6-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Head Lad (3/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Irish Warlock (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Strollinginthewind (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Ridiculous (10/1), 2 – Strive For Stride (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Theo's Thunder (15/1), 1 – Cowboy At Heart (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-1-7-6-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hard Stance (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Vida (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Dr. Buzzy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Hobson's Choice (8/1), 8 – Knocking Luck (12/1), 4 – Now Teddy (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Danzante Bay (15/1), 5 – Free Drop Ops (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-7-3-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-4-8-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wiley Willard (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Bless America (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rhumjar (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Gran Andrews (5/1), 1 – Conspiracy Fact (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Motskari (6/1), 7 – Doctor Pardo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-3-7-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Our Memories (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Sunset House (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Creative Catch (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sweet N Tricky (4/1), 7 – Tina's Back (6/1), 5 – Smart Cry (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Moon Rox (12/1), 1 – B's Wild Candy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-8-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-8-6-2-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Renegade Rabbit (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – You Rotten Joker (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Punxadonny (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Bull Rider (6/1), 1 – El Pacho (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Shuffle (5/1), 4 – Super Puncher (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-7-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-7-1-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mitote (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Mayorofgreencounty (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Malibu Son (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – K. Bee (9/2), 5 – Felicias Cinco (10/1), 4 – Easy Pass (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Barsoom (15/1), 6 – Swift Waters (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-7-5-3-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Johnny Lies (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Hamdoun (9/5) |
| Show: | 8 – Speedy Sammy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Right Of Rush (10/1), 3 – Afleet Vintage (15/1), 1 – Hidden Favor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Dadio (30/1), 2 – Elusive Notion (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-8-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-8-1-3-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.42 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 8 – Barsoom | 15/1 | 18.1% | +209.0% | 3.48% | $3.48 |
| 1 | 2 – Nay'S Only One | 10/1 | 15.8% | +81.3% | 2.03% | $2.03 |
| 7 | 4 – Super Puncher | 10/1 | 15.8% | +81.3% | 2.03% | $2.03 |
| 5 | 1 – Conspiracy Fact | 10/1 | 13.7% | +56.3% | 1.41% | $1.41 |
| 1 | 7 – Estrella Fugaz | 10/1 | 11.1% | +24.0% | 0.60% | $0.60 |
| TOTAL across 5 plays: | 9.6% | $9.56 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AFLEET VINTAGE | B'S WILD CANDY | BARSOOM | BLESS AMERICA | BOLD DESERT |
| CAN YOU SEE ME NOW | CONSPIRACY FACT | COWBOY AT HEART | CREATIVE CATCH | DADIO |
| DOCTOR PARDO | DR. BUZZY | DUCHESS DEE ANNA | EASY PASS | EL PACHO |
| ESTRELLA FUGAZ | FELICIAS CINCO | FREE DROP OPS | GOLDEN EMPRESS | GRAN ANDREWS |
| HARD STANCE | HEAD LAD | HIDDEN FAVOR | HOBSON'S CHOICE | HURRICANE ALERT |
| JOHNNY LIES | K. BEE | KNOCKING LUCK | LOOKINGFORAHANDOUT | LOVE IS WICKED |
| MALIBU SON | MAYOROFGREENCOUNTY | MITOTE | MOON ROX | MOTSKARI |
| NOW TEDDY | OUR MEMORIES | PUNXADONNY | RENEGADE RABBIT | RHUMJAR |
| RIGHT OF RUSH | SAICHI'S GIRL | SHUFFLE | SILENT SAM | SMART CRY |
| STRIVE FOR STRIDE | STROLLINGINTHEWIND | SUNSET HOUSE | SUPER PUNCHER | SWEET N TRICKY |
| THEO'S THUNDER | TINA'S BACK | VALHALLA'S PALACE | VIDA | WILEY WILLARD |
| ZIGGY STARDUST |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
