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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 73 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-11-04.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 31.5% | 73 |
| Expert consensus pick | 26.0% | 73 |
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Miss River Rat (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Ground Control (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Uno Pea (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Sue's Little Zing (7/2), 2Magic Glass (8/1), 1Takeittothehouse (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Roll Gypsy Roll (15/1), 3Lil Temptation (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 867421 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 84762531 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Cajun Cattitude (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Cajun Catalina (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Stormy Lou (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Lady Cheryl's Song (7/2), 2Sayyoulovemebaby (8/1), 10Tapper (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Funtimegirl (10/1), 8Now Hear This (15/1), 3Diamond Country (20/1), 7Rumpus (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4615210 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64102158937 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 7Carlos The Kid (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Cousin Michael (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Essential George (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11Parole Pass (12/1), 2Favtastic (8/1), 9Our Friend Armando (8/1), 6All About Da Baste (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8K R Maximus (10/1), 4Show Me My Money (15/1), 10Gladiator Strong (15/1), 5My Second Deal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7312119 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7312961184105 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $24,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Call My Banker (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Briterdayzahead (3/1) |
| Show: | 5My Uncle Leon (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Mahoney Road (6/1), 8Sir Tristan (15/1), 4Special Moment (10/1), 11Jabran (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Grand Oracle (12/1), 2Flashy Lover (10/1), 1Champagne Stooper (20/1), 9Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 635784 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6358710114291 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Runhappy D'oro (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Wild Bert (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Maximus Freedom (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Josh's Dream (6/1), 7Spinning Aces (5/1), 10Crime Spree (10/1), 4Forsaken (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Born Flawless (10/1), 9Mud On My Boots (15/1), 8American Guy (20/1), 3Trabr's Creed (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6152710 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6214111058973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 9Drilling Report (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Brahms Boy (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Black Sword (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Loudermilk (6/1), 10Theboyz Warning (5/1), 6One Whirlwind Ride (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Half Way There (12/1), 8Ocean Jackpot (15/1), 1Deal Em Justice (10/1), 7My Golden M (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9253106 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96234851107 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| Win: | 5Soft Hands (9/2) |
| Place: | 4Maximus Amar (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Vineaux (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Lotta Spirit Here (2/1), 6Sarge Custivity (12/1), 9Deelitesandimsum (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Ongoing Challenge (12/1), 7Cozzino (15/1), 3Dulce Lorefiche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 815469 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 845162973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Bet Towinit (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Nana's Corn Muffin (6/1) |
| Show: | 3Approval Rating (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8D's A Rock (4/1), 4Miss Dealority (6/1), 1Heavenly Dream (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tennessee Moon (15/1), 6Blushing Belle (10/1), 7She's Magnificent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 953841 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 953827146 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Hannah Boo (3/1) |
| Place: | 2The Red Wicked One (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Little Millie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Platinumus Maximus (5/1), 3Bouxjee Roux (8/1), 6Dat Hint (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Sid's Chica (15/1), 9Night Tizzy (10/1), 5Flash Of Fire (20/1), 8Our Indian Girl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1271036 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12367104598 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 114 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-11-04.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 36.8% | 114 |
| Morning-line favourite | 32.5% | 114 |
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Miss River Rat (2/1) 48% · fair 1-1 overlay +87% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Ground Control (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Sue's Little Zing (7/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -54% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Uno Pea (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -50%, 2Magic Glass (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -48%, 1Takeittothehouse (8/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -63% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Lil Temptation (15/1) 2% · fair 87-2 underlay -66%, 5Roll Gypsy Roll (15/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -69% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 867421 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 84762531 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Cajun Catalina (9/2) 25% · fair 3-1 overlay +49% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Cajun Cattitude (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Stormy Lou (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Lady Cheryl's Song (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43%, 2Sayyoulovemebaby (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -39%, 10Tapper (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 9Funtimegirl (10/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -56%, 8Now Hear This (15/1) 2% · fair 85-2 underlay -65%, 3Diamond Country (20/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -56%, 7Rumpus (15/1) 2% · fair 111-2 underlay -73% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 461529 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 64102158937 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Carlos The Kid (2/1) 36% · fair 2-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Cousin Michael (7/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -53% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Essential George (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -25% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 11Parole Pass (12/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 2Favtastic (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 9Our Friend Armando (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -50%, 6All About Da Baste (12/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -35% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 8K R Maximus (10/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -52%, 4Show Me My Money (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -43%, 10Gladiator Strong (15/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -56%, 5My Second Deal (20/1) 1% · fair 83-1 underlay -76% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 7312911 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 7312961184105 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $24,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Call My Banker (2/1) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5My Uncle Leon (6/1) 19% · fair 9-2 overlay +38% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Mahoney Road (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Briterdayzahead (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -48%, 4Special Moment (10/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -35%, 8Sir Tristan (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -26%, 2Flashy Lover (10/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -58% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 11Jabran (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -38%, 10Grand Oracle (12/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -55%, 1Champagne Stooper (20/1) 2% · fair 111-2 underlay -64%, 9Backfire (20/1) 2% · fair 117-2 underlay -66% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 635742 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6358710114291 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Wild Bert (7/2) 24% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Runhappy D'oro (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Josh's Dream (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Maximus Freedom (8/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 7Spinning Aces (5/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -66%, 10Crime Spree (10/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -47%, 4Forsaken (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 11Born Flawless (10/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -53%, 8American Guy (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -27%, 9Mud On My Boots (15/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -48%, 3Trabr's Creed (20/1) 2% · fair 59-1 underlay -66% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 6152710 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6214111058973 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Brahms Boy (4/1) 21% · fair 4-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9Drilling Report (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Black Sword (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6One Whirlwind Ride (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 5Loudermilk (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -32%, 10Theboyz Warning (5/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -46% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 8Ocean Jackpot (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 4Half Way There (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%, 1Deal Em Justice (10/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -62%, 7My Golden M (20/1) 2% · fair 113-2 underlay -65% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 9210536 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 96234851107 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Soft Hands (9/2) 22% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Maximus Amar (6/1) 21% · fair 7-2 overlay +61% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Vineaux (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 8Lotta Spirit Here (2/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -63%, 6Sarge Custivity (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 9Deelitesandimsum (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Ongoing Challenge (12/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -45%, 7Cozzino (15/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -52%, 3Dulce Lorefiche (20/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -58% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 815496 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 845162973 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $38,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Nana's Corn Muffin (6/1) 20% · fair 4-1 overlay +50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9Bet Towinit (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8D's A Rock (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Miss Dealority (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3Approval Rating (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1Heavenly Dream (5/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -47% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Tennessee Moon (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 6Blushing Belle (10/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -64%, 7She's Magnificent (15/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 958431 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 953827146 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Hannah Boo (3/1) 31% · fair 2-1 overlay +34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2The Red Wicked One (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 10Platinumus Maximus (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Little Millie (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -50%, 3Bouxjee Roux (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28%, 6Dat Hint (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Flash Of Fire (20/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -43%, 4Sid's Chica (15/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -61%, 8Our Indian Girl (20/1) 2% · fair 51-1 underlay -61%, 9Night Tizzy (10/1) 2% · fair 109-2 underlay -82% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1210736 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 12367104598 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #10, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 8Miss River Rat (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Ground Control (6/1) |
| Show: | 6Sue's Little Zing (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Uno Pea (4/1), 2Magic Glass (8/1), 1Takeittothehouse (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Roll Gypsy Roll (15/1), 3Lil Temptation (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 867421 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 84762531 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 4Cajun Cattitude (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Stormy Lou (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Lady Cheryl's Song (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Cajun Catalina (9/2), 2Sayyoulovemebaby (8/1), 10Tapper (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Now Hear This (15/1), 9Funtimegirl (10/1), 3Diamond Country (20/1), 7Rumpus (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4165210 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64102158937 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 7Carlos The Kid (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Cousin Michael (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Essential George (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6All About Da Baste (12/1), 11Parole Pass (12/1), 2Favtastic (8/1), 9Our Friend Armando (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Show Me My Money (15/1), 8K R Maximus (10/1), 5My Second Deal (20/1), 10Gladiator Strong (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 731296 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7312961184105 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 4Special Moment (10/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 11Jabran (15/1) |
| Show: | 6Call My Banker (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Mahoney Road (6/1), 3Briterdayzahead (3/1), 5My Uncle Leon (6/1), 8Sir Tristan (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Flashy Lover (10/1), 10Grand Oracle (12/1), 9Backfire (20/1), 1Champagne Stooper (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6347511 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6358710114291 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #11, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 9Mud On My Boots (15/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 6Runhappy D'oro (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Wild Bert (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Maximus Freedom (8/1), 5Josh's Dream (6/1), 11Born Flawless (10/1), 7Spinning Aces (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Forsaken (15/1), 10Crime Spree (10/1), 8American Guy (20/1), 3Trabr's Creed (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 617259 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6214111058973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9Drilling Report (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Brahms Boy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Loudermilk (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6One Whirlwind Ride (8/1), 3Black Sword (8/1), 8Ocean Jackpot (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Deal Em Justice (10/1), 10Theboyz Warning (5/1), 4Half Way There (12/1), 7My Golden M (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9251063 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96234851107 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 8Lotta Spirit Here (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Soft Hands (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Maximus Amar (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Vineaux (3/1), 2Ongoing Challenge (12/1), 6Sarge Custivity (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Deelitesandimsum (10/1), 7Cozzino (15/1), 3Dulce Lorefiche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 815492 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 845162973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Bet Towinit (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Nana's Corn Muffin (6/1) |
| Show: | 8D's A Rock (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Approval Rating (6/1), 4Miss Dealority (6/1), 1Heavenly Dream (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tennessee Moon (15/1), 6Blushing Belle (10/1), 7She's Magnificent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 985314 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 953827146 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 1Hannah Boo (3/1) |
| Place: | 2The Red Wicked One (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Little Millie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Platinumus Maximus (5/1), 3Bouxjee Roux (8/1), 6Dat Hint (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Our Indian Girl (20/1), 4Sid's Chica (15/1), 5Flash Of Fire (20/1), 9Night Tizzy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1271036 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12367104598 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #7 over #3 ($1 straight; box #7-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #3, #11, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #7, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #9 over #2 ($1 straight; box #9-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #9 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #9 over #5 ($1 straight; box #9-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #9 over #5, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 3 | 11Parole Pass | 12/1 | — | 8.8% | +12.4% | 0.26% | $0.26 |
| 7 | 6Sarge Custivity | 12/1 | — | 8.5% | +9.0% | 0.19% | $0.19 |
| 4 | 8Sir Tristan | 15/1 | — | 6.9% | +8.4% | 0.14% | $0.14 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 0.6% | $0.59 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 8Miss River Rat (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Ground Control (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Uno Pea (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Sue's Little Zing (7/2), 1Takeittothehouse (8/1), 5Roll Gypsy Roll (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Magic Glass (8/1), 3Lil Temptation (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 876412 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 84762531 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 4Cajun Cattitude (5/2) |
| Place: | 8Now Hear This (15/1) |
| Show: | 1Lady Cheryl's Song (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Cajun Catalina (9/2), 5Stormy Lou (6/1), 2Sayyoulovemebaby (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Tapper (12/1), 9Funtimegirl (10/1), 7Rumpus (15/1), 3Diamond Country (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 416528 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64102158937 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 7Carlos The Kid (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Cousin Michael (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Essential George (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Favtastic (8/1), 6All About Da Baste (12/1), 9Our Friend Armando (8/1), 11Parole Pass (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Show Me My Money (15/1), 8K R Maximus (10/1), 10Gladiator Strong (15/1), 5My Second Deal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 731296 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7312961184105 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 6Call My Banker (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Briterdayzahead (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Mahoney Road (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5My Uncle Leon (6/1), 10Grand Oracle (12/1), 11Jabran (15/1), 8Sir Tristan (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Special Moment (10/1), 2Flashy Lover (10/1), 9Backfire (20/1), 1Champagne Stooper (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6375104 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6358710114291 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 6Runhappy D'oro (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Wild Bert (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Maximus Freedom (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Forsaken (15/1), 7Spinning Aces (5/1), 5Josh's Dream (6/1), 11Born Flawless (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Mud On My Boots (15/1), 10Crime Spree (10/1), 8American Guy (20/1), 3Trabr's Creed (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 617254 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6214111058973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 6One Whirlwind Ride (8/1) |
| Place: | 2Brahms Boy (4/1) |
| Show: | 9Drilling Report (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Loudermilk (6/1), 3Black Sword (8/1), 10Theboyz Warning (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Half Way There (12/1), 8Ocean Jackpot (15/1), 1Deal Em Justice (10/1), 7My Golden M (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9265103 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96234851107 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #9, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 8Lotta Spirit Here (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Maximus Amar (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Vineaux (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Sarge Custivity (12/1), 5Soft Hands (9/2), 9Deelitesandimsum (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Ongoing Challenge (12/1), 7Cozzino (15/1), 3Dulce Lorefiche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 815469 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 845162973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Bet Towinit (3/1) |
| Place: | 8D's A Rock (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Approval Rating (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Nana's Corn Muffin (6/1), 4Miss Dealority (6/1), 1Heavenly Dream (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tennessee Moon (15/1), 7She's Magnificent (15/1), 6Blushing Belle (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 983514 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 953827146 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 1Hannah Boo (3/1) |
| Place: | 2The Red Wicked One (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Little Millie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Platinumus Maximus (5/1), 6Dat Hint (10/1), 3Bouxjee Roux (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Night Tizzy (10/1), 4Sid's Chica (15/1), 8Our Indian Girl (20/1), 5Flash Of Fire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1271036 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12367104598 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 8Miss River Rat (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Sue's Little Zing (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Uno Pea (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Magic Glass (8/1), 4Ground Control (6/1), 1Takeittothehouse (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Lil Temptation (15/1), 5Roll Gypsy Roll (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 867421 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 84762531 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 6Cajun Catalina (9/2) |
| Place: | 5Stormy Lou (6/1) |
| Show: | 4Cajun Cattitude (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Lady Cheryl's Song (7/2), 2Sayyoulovemebaby (8/1), 10Tapper (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Funtimegirl (10/1), 8Now Hear This (15/1), 7Rumpus (15/1), 3Diamond Country (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 416529 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64102158937 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 7Carlos The Kid (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Cousin Michael (7/2) |
| Show: | 11Parole Pass (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Essential George (6/1), 6All About Da Baste (12/1), 2Favtastic (8/1), 4Show Me My Money (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Our Friend Armando (8/1), 8K R Maximus (10/1), 5My Second Deal (20/1), 10Gladiator Strong (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7312911 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7312961184105 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #11, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 6Call My Banker (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Mahoney Road (6/1) |
| Show: | 3Briterdayzahead (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5My Uncle Leon (6/1), 8Sir Tristan (15/1), 11Jabran (15/1), 4Special Moment (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Flashy Lover (10/1), 10Grand Oracle (12/1), 1Champagne Stooper (20/1), 9Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 637542 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6358710114291 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 1Wild Bert (7/2) |
| Place: | 2Maximus Freedom (8/1) |
| Show: | 6Runhappy D'oro (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Josh's Dream (6/1), 7Spinning Aces (5/1), 4Forsaken (15/1), 11Born Flawless (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Crime Spree (10/1), 9Mud On My Boots (15/1), 8American Guy (20/1), 3Trabr's Creed (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6175211 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6214111058973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9Drilling Report (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Brahms Boy (4/1) |
| Show: | 6One Whirlwind Ride (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Loudermilk (6/1), 3Black Sword (8/1), 10Theboyz Warning (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Half Way There (12/1), 8Ocean Jackpot (15/1), 1Deal Em Justice (10/1), 7My Golden M (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9251063 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96234851107 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 8Lotta Spirit Here (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Maximus Amar (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Vineaux (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Soft Hands (9/2), 6Sarge Custivity (12/1), 2Ongoing Challenge (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Deelitesandimsum (10/1), 7Cozzino (15/1), 3Dulce Lorefiche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 815469 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 845162973 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Bet Towinit (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Nana's Corn Muffin (6/1) |
| Show: | 8D's A Rock (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Approval Rating (6/1), 4Miss Dealority (6/1), 2Tennessee Moon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Heavenly Dream (5/1), 6Blushing Belle (10/1), 7She's Magnificent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 985341 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 953827146 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 1Hannah Boo (3/1) |
| Place: | 2The Red Wicked One (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Little Millie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Platinumus Maximus (5/1), 6Dat Hint (10/1), 3Bouxjee Roux (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Our Indian Girl (20/1), 4Sid's Chica (15/1), 9Night Tizzy (10/1), 5Flash Of Fire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1271036 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12367104598 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #8,#4 (62%) / R2: #6,#4,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#3,#1 (59%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 23% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #6,#4,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#3,#1 (59%) / R4: #6,#5,#7 (59%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #7,#3,#1 (59%) / R4: #6,#5,#7 (59%) / R5: #1,#6,#5 (59%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #5,#4,#1 (62%) / R8: #5,#9,#8 (53%) / R9: #1,#2,#10 (66%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #8,#4 (62%) / R2: #6,#4,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#3,#1 (59%) / R4: #6,#5,#7 (59%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #6,#4,#5 (62%) / R3: #7,#3,#1 (59%) / R4: #6,#5,#7 (59%) / R5: #1,#6,#5 (59%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| ALL ABOUT DA BASTE | AMERICAN GUY | APPROVAL RATING | BACKFIRE | BET TOWINIT |
| BLUSHING BELLE | BORN FLAWLESS | BOUXJEE ROUX | BRAHMS BOY | BRITERDAYZAHEAD |
| CAJUN CATTITUDE | CALL MY BANKER | CARLOS THE KID | CHAMPAGNE STOOPER | COUSIN MICHAEL |
| CRIME SPREE | D'S A ROCK | DAT HINT | DEAL EM JUSTICE | DEELITESANDIMSUM |
| DRILLING REPORT | DULCE LOREFICHE | ESSENTIAL GEORGE | FAVTASTIC | FLASH OF FIRE |
| FORSAKEN | FUNTIMEGIRL | GLADIATOR STRONG | GRAND ORACLE | GROUND CONTROL |
| HANNAH BOO | HEAVENLY DREAM | JABRAN | JOSH'S DREAM | K R MAXIMUS |
| LIL TEMPTATION | LITTLE MILLIE | LOTTA SPIRIT HERE | LOUDERMILK | MAGIC GLASS |
| MAXIMUS AMAR | MAXIMUS FREEDOM | MISS DEALORITY | MISS RIVER RAT | MUD ON MY BOOTS |
| MY SECOND DEAL | MY UNCLE LEON | NANA'S CORN MUFFIN | NIGHT TIZZY | NOW HEAR THIS |
| ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE | ONGOING CHALLENGE | OUR FRIEND ARMANDO | OUR INDIAN GIRL | PAROLE PASS |
| ROLL GYPSY ROLL | RUMPUS | RUNHAPPY D'ORO | SARGE CUSTIVITY | SAYYOULOVEMEBABY |
| SHOW ME MY MONEY | SID'S CHICA | SIR TRISTAN | SOFT HANDS | SPECIAL MOMENT |
| STORMY LOU | SUE'S LITTLE ZING | TAKEITTOTHEHOUSE | TAPPER | TENNESSEE MOON |
| THEBOYZ WARNING | TRABR'S CREED | UNO PEA | VINEAUX | WILD BERT |
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