Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Raz On Fire (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Fancy Feet (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Last Candy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ima Midnight Lady (6/1), 2 – Lauren's War (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Union Roar (10/1), 3 – Collie Wrays Kitty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-6-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lookin For Bala (8/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Danza Taxi (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 – One Putt Richie (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Full Magazine (8/1), 2 – Safe (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Holden Michael (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-6-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-3-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Awesome Sunday (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Blaze Beauty (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Tina's Tapizar (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Anna After Midnite (10/1), 7 – Alternative Grace (5/1), 2 – Life Of Saturdays (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 4 – Delta Lady (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-8-3-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Win With Color (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Risky Spirit (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Girls Knicks Now (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Lution (8/1), 5 – Redheadedstranger (20/1), 4 – Chant Nation (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Diva Las Vegas (30/1), 2 – Steal Proud (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-1-2-5-8-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Govenor Hank (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Shortstop (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Cutlass King (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Red Speedo (5/1), 6 – Skylane (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Nations Dream (20/1), 1 – Steve (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-3-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-6-4-3-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Gold Smoke (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Tapinyourbluejeans (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Midnite Alex (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Crepe Yarns (10/1), 1 – Macho Ronnie (20/1), 2 – Cantstealmythunder (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Gold Jerry (12/1), 3 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-4-5-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-5-4-8-1-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bernin Tune (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Patch O'brien (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Nightwind (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dinner At Crumpies (4/1), 6 – Arky Road (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Mystic Power (10/1), 5 – Shaggy Edge (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Karazest (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Turtle Pace (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Milaalah (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Chinatown Girl (20/1), 7 – Enchanted Moment (20/1), 10 – Ky O Sister (20/1), 2 – Arose For Lily (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Red Dover (30/1), 4 – Libby Loo (15/1), 12 – Miss Duquoin (12/1), 5 – Imtheinnocentone (30/1), 3 – Ladies Legacy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-6-11-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-4-2-11-12-10-7-9-5-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Raz On Fire (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Fancy Feet (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Ima Midnight Lady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Last Candy (7/2), 2 – Lauren's War (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Union Roar (10/1), 3 – Collie Wrays Kitty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-6-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lookin For Bala (8/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Danza Taxi (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 – One Putt Richie (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Full Magazine (8/1), 2 – Safe (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Holden Michael (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-5-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-3-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Awesome Sunday (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Blaze Beauty (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Life Of Saturdays (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Anna After Midnite (10/1), 6 – Tina's Tapizar (8/1), 7 – Alternative Grace (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 4 – Delta Lady (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-6-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-8-3-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Win With Color (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Risky Spirit (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Girls Knicks Now (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Lution (8/1), 5 – Redheadedstranger (20/1), 4 – Chant Nation (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Steal Proud (15/1), 8 – Diva Las Vegas (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-1-2-5-8-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Govenor Hank (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Shortstop (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Cutlass King (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Red Speedo (5/1), 3 – Nations Dream (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Steve (30/1), 6 – Skylane (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-7-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-6-4-3-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Gold Smoke (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Crepe Yarns (10/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Tapinyourbluejeans (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Midnite Alex (9/2), 1 – Macho Ronnie (20/1), 2 – Cantstealmythunder (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Gold Jerry (12/1), 3 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-6-4-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-5-4-8-1-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bernin Tune (1/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Nightwind (20/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dinner At Crumpies (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Patch O'brien (6/1), 6 – Arky Road (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Shaggy Edge (15/1), 7 – Mystic Power (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Karazest (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Turtle Pace (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Milaalah (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Enchanted Moment (20/1), 11 – Chinatown Girl (20/1), 2 – Arose For Lily (10/1), 10 – Ky O Sister (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Libby Loo (15/1), 9 – Red Dover (30/1), 12 – Miss Duquoin (12/1), 5 – Imtheinnocentone (30/1), 3 – Ladies Legacy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-6-7-11-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-4-2-11-12-10-7-9-5-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Raz On Fire (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Fancy Feet (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Ima Midnight Lady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Last Candy (7/2), 2 – Lauren's War (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Union Roar (10/1), 3 – Collie Wrays Kitty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-4-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-6-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Danza Taxi (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Lookin For Bala (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – One Putt Richie (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Full Magazine (8/1), 2 – Safe (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Holden Michael (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-5-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-3-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Awesome Sunday (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Blaze Beauty (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Alternative Grace (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Tina's Tapizar (8/1), 8 – Anna After Midnite (10/1), 2 – Life Of Saturdays (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 4 – Delta Lady (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-7-6-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-8-3-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Win With Color (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Girls Knicks Now (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Risky Spirit (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Lution (8/1), 5 – Redheadedstranger (20/1), 4 – Chant Nation (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Steal Proud (15/1), 8 – Diva Las Vegas (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-1-2-5-8-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Govenor Hank (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Shortstop (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Red Speedo (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cutlass King (6/1), 6 – Skylane (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Nations Dream (20/1), 1 – Steve (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-2-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-6-4-3-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Gold Smoke (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Tapinyourbluejeans (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Midnite Alex (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Crepe Yarns (10/1), 1 – Macho Ronnie (20/1), 2 – Cantstealmythunder (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Gold Jerry (12/1), 3 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-4-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-2-5-4-8-1-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bernin Tune (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Patch O'brien (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Arky Road (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dinner At Crumpies (4/1), 7 – Mystic Power (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Nightwind (20/1), 5 – Shaggy Edge (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-2-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Karazest (8/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Milaalah (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Turtle Pace (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Chinatown Girl (20/1), 7 – Enchanted Moment (20/1), 10 – Ky O Sister (20/1), 2 – Arose For Lily (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Red Dover (30/1), 4 – Libby Loo (15/1), 12 – Miss Duquoin (12/1), 5 – Imtheinnocentone (30/1), 3 – Ladies Legacy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-1-11-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-4-2-11-12-10-7-9-5-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 6 | 1 – Macho Ronnie | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 8 | 10 – Ky O Sister | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 3 | 8 – Anna After Midnite | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 7 – Mystic Power | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 8 | 2 – Arose For Lily | 10/1 | 14.1% | +54.9% | 1.37% | $2.74 |
| 6 | 2 – Cantstealmythunder | 10/1 | 13.0% | +43.5% | 1.09% | $2.18 |
| 3 | 1 – Scrapbook | 15/1 | 8.4% | +34.3% | 0.57% | $1.14 |
| 8 | 7 – Enchanted Moment | 20/1 | 6.4% | +34.0% | 0.43% | $0.85 |
| 4 | 2 – Steal Proud | 15/1 | 8.3% | +32.2% | 0.54% | $1.07 |
| 8 | 4 – Libby Loo | 15/1 | 8.3% | +32.2% | 0.54% | $1.07 |
| 5 | 6 – Skylane | 10/1 | 11.9% | +31.1% | 0.78% | $1.55 |
| 6 | 5 – Crepe Yarns | 10/1 | 11.8% | +29.3% | 0.73% | $1.47 |
| 8 | 12 – Miss Duquoin | 12/1 | 8.7% | +13.6% | 0.28% | $0.57 |
| 7 | 5 – Shaggy Edge | 15/1 | 7.1% | +13.3% | 0.22% | $0.44 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ALTERNATIVE GRACE | ANNA AFTER MIDNITE | ARKY ROAD | AROSE FOR LILY | AWESOME SUNDAY |
| BEST MAN SPEECH | BLAZE BEAUTY | CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER | CHANT NATION | CHINATOWN GIRL |
| CREPE YARNS | CUTLASS KING | DANZA TAXI | DELTA LADY | DINNER AT CRUMPIES |
| ENCHANTED MOMENT | FANCY FEET | FULL MAGAZINE | GIRLS KNICKS NOW | GOLD JERRY |
| GOVENOR HANK | HOLDEN MICHAEL | IMA MIDNIGHT LADY | IMTHEINNOCENTONE | KARAZEST |
| LADIES LEGACY | LAST CANDY | LAUREN'S WAR | LIBBY LOO | LIFE OF SATURDAYS |
| LUTION | MACHO RONNIE | MIDNITE ALEX | MILAALAH | MISS DUQUOIN |
| NATIONS DREAM | NIGHTWIND | ONE PUTT RICHIE | PATCH O'BRIEN | RAZ ON FIRE |
| RED SPEEDO | REDHEADEDSTRANGER | RISKY SPIRIT | SAFE | SCRAPBOOK |
| SHORTSTOP | SKYLANE | STEAL PROUD | STEVE | TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS |
| TURTLE PACE | UNION ROAR | WIN WITH COLOR |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
