Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Trew Violence (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mr. Sugar Daddy (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Probably Flattery (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ride Share (5/1), 3 – Connect The Brocks (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Renew The Blue (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-2-6-4-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – She's A Goddess (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Scarlett Queen (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Funny Forecast (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bluesette (7/2), 5 – Photo I D (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pippa's Song (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-4-6-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Cozee Magic (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Jessica's Race (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Fashionable Kitty (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Esther's Salad (7/2), 6 – I Am Ev (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tomaki (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lennie's Way (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Hip Hop Dancer (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Find Me A Prince (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tiz Improbable (6/1), 5 – Chacha Millie (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Serena Fly (5/1), 7 – Tavern Talk (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-5-6-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Dream On Cara (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Only In My Dreams (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Troubled Luck (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Bad Connection (6/1), 8 – Diva Banker (10/1), 6 – Practical Rachel (8/1), 9 – Numeric (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jackson Avenue (20/1), 2 – Tumbles (20/1), 3 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1), 5 – In Traffic (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-10-4-11-9-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-9-6-8-1-11-7-5-3-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mercilesanihilator (4/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Ava's Uncle Billy (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Prophetic (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Stjames (3/1), 3 – Evanderkeen (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Bolt To Run (8/1), 1 – John The Baptist (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-6-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-4-7-3-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Rockinmoney (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Skytown (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Mission Critical (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Arch's Assault (4/1), 5 – Pandemic Hero (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Speedstre (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Catch The Smoke (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – O P Firecracker (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Centavo (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Ice Time (7/2), 2 – Mad Magic (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Retail Man (12/1), 1 – Sox For Daughters (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-2-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Trew Violence (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mr. Sugar Daddy (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Probably Flattery (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Connect The Brocks (6/1), 4 – Ride Share (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Renew The Blue (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-2-6-4-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Funny Forecast (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Scarlett Queen (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – She's A Goddess (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bluesette (7/2), 5 – Photo I D (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pippa's Song (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-4-6-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Cozee Magic (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Fashionable Kitty (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Jessica's Race (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Tomaki (10/1), 6 – I Am Ev (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Esther's Salad (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lennie's Way (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Hip Hop Dancer (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Find Me A Prince (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tiz Improbable (6/1), 5 – Chacha Millie (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Serena Fly (5/1), 7 – Tavern Talk (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-5-6-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Dream On Cara (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Only In My Dreams (4/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Bad Connection (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Troubled Luck (5/1), 8 – Diva Banker (10/1), 6 – Practical Rachel (8/1), 9 – Numeric (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jackson Avenue (20/1), 5 – In Traffic (20/1), 3 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1), 2 – Tumbles (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-11-1-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-9-6-8-1-11-7-5-3-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ava's Uncle Billy (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Stjames (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Prophetic (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mercilesanihilator (4/1), 5 – Bolt To Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Evanderkeen (5/1), 1 – John The Baptist (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-4-7-3-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Rockinmoney (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Mission Critical (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Arch's Assault (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Skytown (5/2), 5 – Pandemic Hero (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Speedstre (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Catch The Smoke (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Ice Time (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – O P Firecracker (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Mad Magic (5/1), 3 – Centavo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sox For Daughters (10/1), 6 – Retail Man (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Trew Violence (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mr. Sugar Daddy (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Probably Flattery (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Connect The Brocks (6/1), 4 – Ride Share (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Renew The Blue (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-2-6-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Funny Forecast (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Scarlett Queen (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – She's A Goddess (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bluesette (7/2), 5 – Photo I D (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pippa's Song (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-4-6-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Cozee Magic (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Fashionable Kitty (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Jessica's Race (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – I Am Ev (5/1), 3 – Tomaki (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Esther's Salad (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lennie's Way (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Hip Hop Dancer (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Find Me A Prince (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tiz Improbable (6/1), 5 – Chacha Millie (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Serena Fly (5/1), 7 – Tavern Talk (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-1-7-5-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Dream On Cara (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Only In My Dreams (4/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Bad Connection (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Troubled Luck (5/1), 8 – Diva Banker (10/1), 6 – Practical Rachel (8/1), 9 – Numeric (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jackson Avenue (20/1), 5 – In Traffic (20/1), 3 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1), 2 – Tumbles (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-11-1-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-4-9-6-8-1-11-7-5-3-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #4, #11, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ava's Uncle Billy (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Stjames (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Prophetic (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mercilesanihilator (4/1), 5 – Bolt To Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Evanderkeen (5/1), 1 – John The Baptist (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-4-7-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Rockinmoney (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Mission Critical (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Arch's Assault (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Skytown (5/2), 5 – Pandemic Hero (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Speedstre (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-5-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Catch The Smoke (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Ice Time (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – O P Firecracker (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Mad Magic (5/1), 3 – Centavo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sox For Daughters (10/1), 6 – Retail Man (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.41 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 5 – Chacha Millie | 15/1 | 18.1% | +202.7% | 3.38% | $3.38 |
| 5 | 8 – Diva Banker | 10/1 | 15.8% | +78.8% | 1.97% | $1.97 |
| 8 | 1 – Sox For Daughters | 10/1 | 15.8% | +78.8% | 1.97% | $1.97 |
| 5 | 5 – In Traffic | 20/1 | 6.7% | +44.7% | 0.56% | $0.56 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 7.9% | $7.88 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ARCH'S ASSAULT | AVA'S UNCLE BILLY | BAD CONNECTION | BLUESETTE | BOLT TO RUN |
| CENTAVO | CHACHA MILLIE | CONNECT THE BROCKS | COZEE MAGIC | DIVA BANKER |
| ESTHER'S SALAD | EVANDERKEEN | FASHIONABLE KITTY | FIND ME A PRINCE | FUNNY FORECAST |
| I AM EV | ICE TIME | IN TRAFFIC | JACKSON AVENUE | JESSICA'S RACE |
| LENNIE'S WAY | MAD MAGIC | MERCILESANIHILATOR | MISSION CRITICAL | MR. SUGAR DADDY |
| O P FIRECRACKER | ONLY IN MY DREAMS | PANDEMIC HERO | PHOTO I D | PIPPA'S SONG |
| PROBABLY FLATTERY | PROPHETIC | RENEW THE BLUE | RETAIL MAN | RIDE SHARE |
| ROSHIELL MY BELLE | SCARLETT QUEEN | SERENA FLY | SHE'S A GODDESS | SKYTOWN |
| SPEEDSTRE | STJAMES | TAVERN TALK | TIZ IMPROBABLE | TOMAKI |
| TROUBLED LUCK | TUMBLES |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
