AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied
Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.
| Track | Race | Model | New Top Pick | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 2 | Model Algo 1 | #1 – Tapit Charm | 1 scratch(es) |
| IND | 2 | Model Algo 2 (Ensemble) | #1 – Tapit Charm | 1 scratch(es) |
| IND | 2 | Model Algo 3 (Win Prob) | #1 – Tapit Charm | 1 scratch(es) |
| IND | 2 | Model Weight set 2 | #4 – Lunar Sky | 1 scratch(es) |
| IND | 2 | Model Weight set 3 | #1 – Tapit Charm | 1 scratch(es) |
Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:
- Trifecta play: IND Race 2 — Sompatra (SCRATCHED)
Where the experts back our strongest pick today
In 5 of today's 9 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. Over the last 90 days (4,446 graded races), the races where they agreed won 37.4% of the time against 29.6% where they did not.
Today's agreement races — IND 2, 4, 6, 7, 9.
Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Horseshoe Indianapolis — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 347 graded races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, 2026-08-18 to 2026-11-06.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 31.4% | 347 |
| Morning-line favourite | 28.0% | 347 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Don't Look Back (9/5) |
| Place: | 5Seeyouinabit (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Country Club (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Keen Ice Sight (2/1), 7Dessert First (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sweet Saint (8/1), 6Redheadedstranger (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 154273 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2371546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Sompatra (6/5) |
| Place: | 1Tapit Charm (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Jogger (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Lunar Sky (15/1), 3Lil Salvation (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Sweet Sahara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 615432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 614532 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $43,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Speight Knight (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Vienna Charm (5/2) |
| Show: | 3Turbeau Man (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Turbo Duck (5/1), 6Gunzo (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Mr Sledge Hammer (15/1), 1Polar Drift (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 743265 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7465213 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Rocksie Girl (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Conga (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Run Kiki Run (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Solsia (4/1), 2Dreamlicious (6/1), 7Carmel (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5First Ladybug (15/1), 3Dama Diamante (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 846127 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48617253 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $39,440 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Zona Rosso (5/2) |
| Place: | 10Bourbon D'oro (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Thunder Town (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Dyna Run (5/1), 9Magnus Crown (6/1), 8Fletcher's Star (8/1), 2Got To Get You (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6El Gran Ruchacha (12/1), 5Blackmore (25/1), 3Mein Schatz (20/1), 11C V Hades (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7104198 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1710498621153 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #10, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 11Gimmeethreesteps (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Mr. Sensei (5/1) |
| Show: | 1Via Del Corso (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Banidoso (8/1), 7American Bear (6/1), 10Rigoberto (10/1), 3Zappinit (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Seminole Beach (15/1), 6Sierra Power (20/1), 8Mon Ami Fuzzie (15/1), 12Lavender Earl (20/1), 5Stronger Together (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1147913 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 111310974286125 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #4, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Guns Allowed (5/2) |
| Place: | 12Shuggy (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Nayak (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Apollo's Glory (12/1), 11El Ramundo (15/1), 7In The Books (10/1), 6Oh My Good Lord (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Running Ready (12/1), 9Pattern Approach (20/1), 3America Wins (20/1), 2Wolf Dakota (25/1), 10Terrysontilt (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 51214116 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512411167892310 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #12, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Rank Randy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Young Angus (9/2) |
| Show: | 6Save My Town (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Q's Got Class (6/1), 3Einstein's Ghost (12/1), 10Silver Sterling (10/1), 8El Numero Uno (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Forever Hope (15/1), 1Crazy Legs Mike (10/1), 11Dade County (6/1), 2Penitent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9765103 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6910374851211 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #7, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Grey Eclipse (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Q's Topnotch (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Rock City Kid (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Star Promise (9/2), 3Fools Jester (15/1), 7Pray For Victory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Time To Toast (20/1), 9Boss Justice (10/1), 8Cringe (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 564137 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 356417298 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Horseshoe Indianapolis — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 254 graded races at Horseshoe Indianapolis, 2026-09-08 to 2026-11-06.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 27.6% | 254 |
| Morning-line favourite | 25.2% | 254 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Seeyouinabit (3/1) 27% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Don't Look Back (9/5) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -63% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Dessert First (8/1) 17% · fair 5-1 overlay +64% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Country Club (10/1) 14% · fair 6-1 overlay +65%, 3Sweet Saint (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Keen Ice Sight (2/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -76%, 6Redheadedstranger (25/1) 2% · fair 40-1 underlay -37% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 514732 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 2371546 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Sompatra (6/5) 36% · fair 3-2 underlay -31% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Tapit Charm (8/5) 27% · fair 3-1 underlay -42% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Jogger (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Lil Salvation (15/1) 9% · fair 19-2 overlay +57%, 4Lunar Sky (15/1) 7% · fair 25-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Sweet Sahara (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 615342 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 614532 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $43,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Vienna Charm (5/2) 30% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Speight Knight (2/1) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Turbeau Man (4/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Turbo Duck (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -34%, 6Gunzo (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Polar Drift (12/1) 7% · fair 29-2, 5Mr Sledge Hammer (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 473261 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 7465213 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Rocksie Girl (3/1) 43% · fair 3-2 overlay +123% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Run Kiki Run (7/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Conga (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Solsia (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%, 2Dreamlicious (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%, 7Carmel (6/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -73% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5First Ladybug (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -39%, 3Dama Diamante (20/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 846127 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 48617253 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $39,440 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 9Magnus Crown (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Zona Rosso (5/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Thunder Town (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 10Bourbon D'oro (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -60%, 8Fletcher's Star (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 4Dyna Run (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -43%, 6El Gran Ruchacha (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Got To Get You (15/1) 6% · fair 17-1, 3Mein Schatz (20/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -36%, 5Blackmore (25/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -38%, 11C V Hades (20/1) 1% · fair 149-2 underlay -73% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7109148 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1710498621153 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #7, #1, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 11Gimmeethreesteps (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Mr. Sensei (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 9Banidoso (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Via Del Corso (12/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +58%, 7American Bear (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%, 10Rigoberto (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 3Zappinit (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Seminole Beach (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 6Sierra Power (20/1) 4% · fair 49-2, 8Mon Ami Fuzzie (15/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -49%, 12Lavender Earl (20/1) 2% · fair 60-1 underlay -67%, 5Stronger Together (20/1) 1% · fair 94-1 underlay -79% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 1147913 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 111310974286125 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #4, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Guns Allowed (5/2) 31% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 12Shuggy (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Nayak (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Apollo's Glory (12/1) 13% · fair 7-1 overlay +77%, 11El Ramundo (15/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 7In The Books (10/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -54%, 8Running Ready (12/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -58% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Oh My Good Lord (8/1) 2% · fair 85-2 underlay -81%, 9Pattern Approach (20/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -55%, 2Wolf Dakota (25/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -47%, 3America Wins (20/1) 1% · fair 137-2 underlay -71%, 10Terrysontilt (25/1) 1% · fair 189-2 underlay -74% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5121467 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 512411167892310 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #12, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $38,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 9Rank Randy (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Young Angus (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Save My Town (8/1) 15% · fair 6-1 overlay +38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Einstein's Ghost (12/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 10Silver Sterling (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 5Q's Got Class (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%, 8El Numero Uno (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Forever Hope (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 2Penitent (15/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -58%, 11Dade County (6/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -83%, 1Crazy Legs Mike (10/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -72% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 97651011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6910374851211 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Q's Topnotch (9/2) 24% · fair 3-1 overlay +39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Grey Eclipse (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -26% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Rock City Kid (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Star Promise (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -47%, 3Fools Jester (15/1) 10% · fair 17-2 overlay +72%, 7Pray For Victory (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Time To Toast (20/1) 5% · fair 39-2, 9Boss Justice (10/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -71%, 8Cringe (25/1) 1% · fair 165-2 underlay -70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 564173 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 356417298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 1Don't Look Back (9/5) |
| Place: | 5Seeyouinabit (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Keen Ice Sight (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sweet Saint (8/1), 2Country Club (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Dessert First (8/1), 6Redheadedstranger (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145372 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2371546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 6Sompatra (6/5) |
| Place: | 1Tapit Charm (8/5) |
| Show: | 4Lunar Sky (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Jogger (6/1), 2Sweet Sahara (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Lil Salvation (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 615432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 614532 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 4Vienna Charm (5/2) |
| Place: | 7Speight Knight (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Turbo Duck (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Turbeau Man (4/1), 6Gunzo (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Polar Drift (12/1), 5Mr Sledge Hammer (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 743261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7465213 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 8Rocksie Girl (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Conga (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Run Kiki Run (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Dreamlicious (6/1), 1Solsia (4/1), 7Carmel (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5First Ladybug (15/1), 3Dama Diamante (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 846127 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48617253 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $39,440 | |
| Win: | 7Zona Rosso (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Thunder Town (8/1) |
| Show: | 10Bourbon D'oro (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Magnus Crown (6/1), 4Dyna Run (5/1), 8Fletcher's Star (8/1), 6El Gran Ruchacha (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Blackmore (25/1), 2Got To Get You (15/1), 11C V Hades (20/1), 3Mein Schatz (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7109148 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1710498621153 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #10, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 11Gimmeethreesteps (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Mr. Sensei (5/1) |
| Show: | 9Banidoso (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Via Del Corso (12/1), 10Rigoberto (10/1), 7American Bear (6/1), 3Zappinit (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Seminole Beach (15/1), 8Mon Ami Fuzzie (15/1), 6Sierra Power (20/1), 12Lavender Earl (20/1), 5Stronger Together (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11479310 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 111310974286125 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #4, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 5Guns Allowed (5/2) |
| Place: | 12Shuggy (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Nayak (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Apollo's Glory (12/1), 11El Ramundo (15/1), 7In The Books (10/1), 6Oh My Good Lord (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Pattern Approach (20/1), 8Running Ready (12/1), 2Wolf Dakota (25/1), 3America Wins (20/1), 10Terrysontilt (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5121467 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512411167892310 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #12, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Rank Randy (3/1) |
| Place: | 8El Numero Uno (10/1) |
| Show: | 7Young Angus (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Save My Town (8/1), 3Einstein's Ghost (12/1), 10Silver Sterling (10/1), 5Q's Got Class (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Forever Hope (15/1), 11Dade County (6/1), 1Crazy Legs Mike (10/1), 2Penitent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9756811 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6910374851211 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 6Q's Topnotch (9/2) |
| Place: | 5Grey Eclipse (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Star Promise (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Rock City Kid (7/2), 3Fools Jester (15/1), 2Time To Toast (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Pray For Victory (10/1), 9Boss Justice (10/1), 8Cringe (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 546173 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 356417298 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #4 over #8 ($1 straight; box #4-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #7 over #10 ($1 straight; box #7-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #7, #10, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #11 over #4 ($1 straight; box #11-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #11 over #4, #9, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #5 over #12 ($1 straight; box #5-#12 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #12, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #9 over #7 ($1 straight; box #9-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #9 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 6 | 1Via Del Corso | 12/1 | — | 10.8% | +40.0% | 0.83% | $0.83 |
| 9 | 3Fools Jester | 15/1 | — | 8.5% | +35.0% | 0.58% | $0.58 |
| 7 | 4Apollo'S Glory | 12/1 | — | 10.1% | +31.2% | 0.65% | $0.65 |
| 7 | 11El Ramundo | 15/1 | — | 7.8% | +25.3% | 0.42% | $0.42 |
| 1 | 2Country Club | 10/1 | — | 11.1% | +21.5% | 0.54% | $0.54 |
| 5 | 2Got To Get You | 15/1 | — | 7.2% | +14.9% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 3.3% | $3.27 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 5Seeyouinabit (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Country Club (10/1) |
| Show: | 1Don't Look Back (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sweet Saint (8/1), 4Keen Ice Sight (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Dessert First (8/1), 6Redheadedstranger (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 514237 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2371546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 6Sompatra (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Lunar Sky (15/1) |
| Show: | 1Tapit Charm (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 5Jogger (6/1), 3Lil Salvation (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Sweet Sahara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 615432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 614532 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 5Mr Sledge Hammer (15/1) |
| Place: | 7Speight Knight (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Turbo Duck (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Vienna Charm (5/2), 3Turbeau Man (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Gunzo (8/1), 1Polar Drift (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 742356 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7465213 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 8Rocksie Girl (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Conga (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Run Kiki Run (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Solsia (4/1), 7Carmel (6/1), 2Dreamlicious (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5First Ladybug (15/1), 3Dama Diamante (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 846172 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48617253 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $39,440 | |
| Win: | 1Thunder Town (8/1) |
| Place: | 7Zona Rosso (5/2) |
| Show: | 10Bourbon D'oro (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Dyna Run (5/1), 9Magnus Crown (6/1), 8Fletcher's Star (8/1), 6El Gran Ruchacha (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Got To Get You (15/1), 3Mein Schatz (20/1), 5Blackmore (25/1), 11C V Hades (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7101498 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1710498621153 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #10, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 11Gimmeethreesteps (5/2) |
| Place: | 10Rigoberto (10/1) |
| Show: | 7American Bear (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Mr. Sensei (5/1), 3Zappinit (8/1), 1Via Del Corso (12/1), 9Banidoso (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Seminole Beach (15/1), 6Sierra Power (20/1), 8Mon Ami Fuzzie (15/1), 12Lavender Earl (20/1), 5Stronger Together (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11471039 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 111310974286125 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #10, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 4Apollo's Glory (12/1) |
| Place: | 12Shuggy (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Guns Allowed (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Nayak (5/1), 11El Ramundo (15/1), 6Oh My Good Lord (8/1), 9Pattern Approach (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Running Ready (12/1), 3America Wins (20/1), 2Wolf Dakota (25/1), 7In The Books (10/1), 10Terrysontilt (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5121467 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512411167892310 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #12, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Rank Randy (3/1) |
| Place: | 8El Numero Uno (10/1) |
| Show: | 6Save My Town (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Q's Got Class (6/1), 7Young Angus (9/2), 10Silver Sterling (10/1), 11Dade County (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Einstein's Ghost (12/1), 1Crazy Legs Mike (10/1), 4Forever Hope (15/1), 2Penitent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9756118 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6910374851211 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 5Grey Eclipse (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Star Promise (9/2) |
| Show: | 6Q's Topnotch (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Fools Jester (15/1), 2Time To Toast (20/1), 4Rock City Kid (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7Pray For Victory (10/1), 9Boss Justice (10/1), 8Cringe (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516437 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 356417298 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 5Seeyouinabit (3/1) |
| Place: | 1Don't Look Back (9/5) |
| Show: | 2Country Club (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Keen Ice Sight (2/1), 3Sweet Saint (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Dessert First (8/1), 6Redheadedstranger (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145237 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2371546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 6Sompatra (6/5) |
| Place: | 1Tapit Charm (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Jogger (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Lunar Sky (15/1), 3Lil Salvation (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Sweet Sahara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 615432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 614532 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $43,000 | |
| Win: | 4Vienna Charm (5/2) |
| Place: | 7Speight Knight (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Turbo Duck (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Turbeau Man (4/1), 6Gunzo (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Mr Sledge Hammer (15/1), 1Polar Drift (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 473261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7465213 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 8Rocksie Girl (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Dreamlicious (6/1) |
| Show: | 4Conga (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Solsia (4/1), 6Run Kiki Run (7/2), 7Carmel (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Dama Diamante (20/1), 5First Ladybug (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 846127 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48617253 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $39,440 | |
| Win: | 1Thunder Town (8/1) |
| Place: | 7Zona Rosso (5/2) |
| Show: | 10Bourbon D'oro (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Magnus Crown (6/1), 4Dyna Run (5/1), 8Fletcher's Star (8/1), 6El Gran Ruchacha (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Blackmore (25/1), 2Got To Get You (15/1), 3Mein Schatz (20/1), 11C V Hades (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7109148 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1710498621153 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #10, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 11Gimmeethreesteps (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Mr. Sensei (5/1) |
| Show: | 9Banidoso (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7American Bear (6/1), 10Rigoberto (10/1), 1Via Del Corso (12/1), 3Zappinit (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Seminole Beach (15/1), 8Mon Ami Fuzzie (15/1), 6Sierra Power (20/1), 5Stronger Together (20/1), 12Lavender Earl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11479310 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 111310974286125 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #4, #9, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520 | |
| Win: | 5Guns Allowed (5/2) |
| Place: | 12Shuggy (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Nayak (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Apollo's Glory (12/1), 11El Ramundo (15/1), 6Oh My Good Lord (8/1), 7In The Books (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Running Ready (12/1), 2Wolf Dakota (25/1), 9Pattern Approach (20/1), 3America Wins (20/1), 10Terrysontilt (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5121467 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 512411167892310 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #12, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 9Rank Randy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Young Angus (9/2) |
| Show: | 6Save My Town (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Einstein's Ghost (12/1), 8El Numero Uno (10/1), 10Silver Sterling (10/1), 5Q's Got Class (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Forever Hope (15/1), 11Dade County (6/1), 1Crazy Legs Mike (10/1), 2Penitent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9765118 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6910374851211 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,500 | |
| Win: | 6Q's Topnotch (9/2) |
| Place: | 1Star Promise (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Grey Eclipse (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Rock City Kid (7/2), 3Fools Jester (15/1), 2Time To Toast (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Pray For Victory (10/1), 9Boss Justice (10/1), 8Cringe (25/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 546173 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 356417298 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #5,#1,#7 (61%) / R2: #6,#1 (63%) / R3: #4,#7,#3 (67%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #6,#1 (63%) / R3: #4,#7,#3 (67%) / R4: #8,#6,#4 (67%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #4,#7,#3 (67%) / R4: #8,#6,#4 (67%) / R5: #9,#7,#1 (48%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #5,#12,#1 (63%) / R8: #9,#7,#6 (53%) / R9: #6,#5,#4 (65%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #5,#1,#7 (61%) / R2: #6,#1 (63%) / R3: #4,#7,#3 (67%) / R4: #8,#6,#4 (67%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #6,#1 (63%) / R3: #4,#7,#3 (67%) / R4: #8,#6,#4 (67%) / R5: #9,#7,#1 (48%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| AMERICA WINS | AMERICAN BEAR | AP COCOS LIGHT | APOLLO'S GLORY | BANIDOSO |
| BOSS JUSTICE | BOURBON D'ORO | C V HADES | CARMEL | CONGA |
| CRAZY LEGS MIKE | CRINGE | DADE COUNTY | DAMA DIAMANTE | DESSERT FIRST |
| DREAMLICIOUS | DYNA RUN | EINSTEIN'S GHOST | EL GRAN RUCHACHA | EL NUMERO UNO |
| FIRST LADYBUG | FLETCHER'S STAR | FOOLS JESTER | FOREVER HOPE | GIMMEETHREESTEPS |
| GOLDEN STATE G | GOT TO GET YOU | GREY ECLIPSE | GUNS ALLOWED | GUNZO |
| IRISS ROSE | JOGGER | KEEN ICE SIGHT | KISS MY RUN | LAVENDER EARL |
| LUNAR SKY | MAGNUS CROWN | MARIA ESTHER | MEIN SCHATZ | MON AMI FUZZIE |
| MR. SENSEI | NAYAK | OCEAN MASTER | OH MY GOOD LORD | ONE SWEET HERO |
| PENITENT | POLAR DRIFT | PRAY FOR VICTORY | Q'S GOT CLASS | Q'S TOPNOTCH |
| REDHEADEDSTRANGER | RIGOBERTO | ROCK CITY KID | ROCKSIE GIRL | RR BLANCOS CARTEL |
| RUNNING READY | SAVE MY TOWN | SEEYOUINABIT | SEMINOLE BEACH | SHARING GOSSIP |
| SIERRA POWER | SILVER STERLING | SOLSIA | SOMPATRA | SPEIGHT KNIGHT |
| STRONGER TOGETHER | SWEET SAHARA | SWEET SAINT | TAPIT CHARM | TERRYSONTILT |
| THUNDER TOWN | TIME TO TOAST | TURBEAU MAN | TURBO DUCK | VIA DEL CORSO |
| WHEELZ UP SM | WOLF DAKOTA | WR SMOKIN TRAIN | YOUNG ANGUS | ZAPPINIT |
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