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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Keeneland October 3, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Miss Ellary (7/2)
Place: 7 – Nerazurri (5/2)
Show: 1 – Lady Lala (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Indy Label (9/5), 8 – All About Alice (20/1), 5 – Ladan (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 11 – State Conceal (10/1)
Place: 10 – Free Choice (20/1)
Show: 8 – Perfect Audible (5/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Mountain High (20/1), 9 – Fame Chaser (3/1), 1 – Zucchero (9/2), 2 – A Cab On The Rocks (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 13 – Backgammon (15/1)
Place: 2 – Ginger Ale (12/1)
Show: 12 – Last Curtain Call (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Menkaure (12/1), 10 – Atlantic Beach (10/1), 1 – Turner’S Charm (8/1), 6 – Sneakily (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (3/1)
Place: 6 – Prowess (10/1)
Show: 5 – My Sweetheart (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Spa Prospector (6/1), 8 – Tiz In Sight (12/1), 9 – Fond Of You (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hitchcock (8/1)
Place: 10 – Barb (5/1)
Show: 1 – Morlock (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Ripped (30/1), 3 – Nu What’S New (4/1), 4 – Bob Mo (20/1), 7 – Lucius Verus (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Hear The Queen (7/2)
Place: 14 – Cliffs (3/1)
Show: 5 – Dashin’ Diva (20/1)
Other contenders: 13 – Lookster (20/1), 6 – In The Stars (5/2), 11 – Exclusive Star (10/1), 7 – Whippoorwill (15/1), 12 – Modern Sound (5/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – World Record (8/5)
Place: 3 – Skelly (3/1)
Show: 2 – Whatchatalkinabout (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Here Mi Song (10/1), 1 – Durante (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Victor Help Me (30/1)
Place: 10 – Red Beretta (20/1)
Show: 2 – Mackinac (9/2)
Other contenders: 14 – Dyna (6/1), 1 – Lit Ship (6/1), 3 – Carolyncaroline (15/1), 13 – Soloist (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Go To Girl (20/1)
Place: 5 – Haute Diva (6/1)
Show: 1 – Percy’S Bar (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Tommy Jo (2/5), 4 – The Grumpy Rabbit (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Raiding Party (6/1)
Place: 2 – Empress New Groove (8/1)
Show: 3 – So Vain (12/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beach Ballad (7/2), 5 – Dare To Impress (15/1), 6 – Cove Spring (12/1), 7 – Inkling (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Miss Ellary (7/2)
Place: 7 – Nerazurri (5/2)
Show: 1 – Lady Lala (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Indy Label (9/5), 8 – All About Alice (20/1), 5 – Ladan (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 11 – State Conceal (10/1)
Place: 10 – Free Choice (20/1)
Show: 8 – Perfect Audible (5/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Mountain High (20/1), 9 – Fame Chaser (3/1), 1 – Zucchero (9/2), 5 – Awesome Magic (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 13 – Backgammon (15/1)
Place: 2 – Ginger Ale (12/1)
Show: 12 – Last Curtain Call (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Menkaure (12/1), 10 – Atlantic Beach (10/1), 1 – Turner’S Charm (8/1), 6 – Sneakily (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (3/1)
Place: 6 – Prowess (10/1)
Show: 5 – My Sweetheart (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Spa Prospector (6/1), 8 – Tiz In Sight (12/1), 9 – Fond Of You (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hitchcock (8/1)
Place: 10 – Barb (5/1)
Show: 1 – Morlock (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Ripped (30/1), 3 – Nu What’S New (4/1), 4 – Bob Mo (20/1), 7 – Lucius Verus (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Hear The Queen (7/2)
Place: 14 – Cliffs (3/1)
Show: 6 – In The Stars (5/2)
Other contenders: 13 – Lookster (20/1), 5 – Dashin’ Diva (20/1), 12 – Modern Sound (5/1), 7 – Whippoorwill (15/1), 11 – Exclusive Star (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – World Record (8/5)
Place: 3 – Skelly (3/1)
Show: 2 – Whatchatalkinabout (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Here Mi Song (10/1), 1 – Durante (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Victor Help Me (30/1)
Place: 10 – Red Beretta (20/1)
Show: 2 – Mackinac (9/2)
Other contenders: 14 – Dyna (6/1), 1 – Lit Ship (6/1), 3 – Carolyncaroline (15/1), 13 – Soloist (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Go To Girl (20/1)
Place: 5 – Haute Diva (6/1)
Show: 1 – Percy’S Bar (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Tommy Jo (2/5), 4 – The Grumpy Rabbit (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Raiding Party (6/1)
Place: 2 – Empress New Groove (8/1)
Show: 3 – So Vain (12/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beach Ballad (7/2), 5 – Dare To Impress (15/1), 6 – Cove Spring (12/1), 7 – Inkling (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Miss Ellary (7/2)
Place: 7 – Nerazurri (5/2)
Show: 4 – Indy Label (9/5)
Other contenders: 1 – Lady Lala (10/1), 8 – All About Alice (20/1), 5 – Ladan (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 11 – State Conceal (10/1)
Place: 10 – Free Choice (20/1)
Show: 8 – Perfect Audible (5/1)
Other contenders: 12 – Mountain High (20/1), 9 – Fame Chaser (3/1), 1 – Zucchero (9/2), 5 – Awesome Magic (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 13 – Backgammon (15/1)
Place: 2 – Ginger Ale (12/1)
Show: 12 – Last Curtain Call (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Menkaure (12/1), 10 – Atlantic Beach (10/1), 1 – Turner’S Charm (8/1), 6 – Sneakily (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Kingsolver (3/1)
Place: 6 – Prowess (10/1)
Show: 5 – My Sweetheart (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Spa Prospector (6/1), 8 – Tiz In Sight (12/1), 9 – Fond Of You (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Hitchcock (8/1)
Place: 10 – Barb (5/1)
Show: 1 – Morlock (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Ripped (30/1), 4 – Bob Mo (20/1), 3 – Nu What’S New (4/1), 7 – Lucius Verus (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Hear The Queen (7/2)
Place: 14 – Cliffs (3/1)
Show: 5 – Dashin’ Diva (20/1)
Other contenders: 6 – In The Stars (5/2), 13 – Lookster (20/1), 12 – Modern Sound (5/1), 11 – Exclusive Star (10/1), 7 – Whippoorwill (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 4 – World Record (8/5)
Place: 3 – Skelly (3/1)
Show: 2 – Whatchatalkinabout (6/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Here Mi Song (10/1), 1 – Durante (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – Victor Help Me (30/1)
Place: 10 – Red Beretta (20/1)
Show: 2 – Mackinac (9/2)
Other contenders: 14 – Dyna (6/1), 3 – Carolyncaroline (15/1), 1 – Lit Ship (6/1), 13 – Soloist (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Go To Girl (20/1)
Place: 5 – Haute Diva (6/1)
Show: 1 – Percy’S Bar (3/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Tommy Jo (2/5), 4 – The Grumpy Rabbit (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win: 1 – Raiding Party (6/1)
Place: 2 – Empress New Groove (8/1)
Show: 3 – So Vain (12/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beach Ballad (7/2), 5 – Dare To Impress (15/1), 6 – Cove Spring (12/1), 7 – Inkling (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

A CAB ON THE ROCKS AGGRESSIVE LIME ALEXANDER K ALL ABOUT ALICE ANNIE’S ALLIE
AWESOME MAGIC BACKGAMMON BARB BEACH BALLAD BOB MO
CAROLYNCAROLINE CLIFFS COVE SPRING CRAZY DIAMOND DARE TO IMPRESS
DIABLO SHIRAZ DIVINE JUSTICE DONNA ROMANO DURANTE DYNA
EMPRESS SISI EUNOMIA EXCLUSIVE STAR FAME CHASER FASTA LAVISTA BABY
FOND OF YOU FREE CHOICE FROSTED WARRIOR GINGER ALE GO TO GIRL
HAUTE DIVA HEAR THE QUEEN HERE MI SONG HITCHCOCK I HAD THAT ONE TOO
IN THE STARS INDY LABEL INFINITE SKY INKLING ISLAND GIRL
KAKE’S TAP DANCER KINGSOLVER LADAN LADY LALA LAST CURTAIN CALL
LIVE YOUR DREAMS LOOKSTER LOTTA ALPHA LOVELIEST LUCIUS VERUS
MARKET CHILL MENKAURE MINSTRELLY MISS ELLARY MISS WATERMELON
MODERN SOUND MORLOCK MOUNTAIN HIGH MY SEXY BLONDE MY SWEETHEART
NATIVE ROSE NERAZURRI NU WHAT’S NEW OCALA GALA PERCY’S BAR
PROWESS RAIDING PARTY RED BERETTA RIOTOUS RIPPED
ROMANY ROAD ROSE ROOM RUNWAY REBEL SCARLET WAVE SHEILA’S LION
SKORDALIA SNEAKILY SO VAIN SOLOIST SPA PROSPECTOR
THE GRUMPY RABBIT TIME TO DREAM TIZ IN SIGHT TOMMY JO TROUBLE AHEAD
TURNER’S CHARM VICTOR HELP ME VINO SUBITO WHATCHATALKINABOUT WHIPPOORWILL
WORLD RECORD ZUCCHERO

Image Credits

In-Article Image Credits

Appalachian Stakes at Keeneland Race Track via Wikimedia Commons with usage type - Creative Commons License

Featured Image Credit

Appalachian Stakes at Keeneland Race Track via Wikimedia Commons with usage type - Creative Commons License

 

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