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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – One Grand Slam (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Running Production (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Truvy's T Rex (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Me Promesa (4/1), 4 – Moondoggie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mo Milagro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-4-5-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – New York New York (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Storm Ready (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Weitzman (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Longneck (6/1), 1 – Castle Gap (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Here Comes Trump (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Island Cabana (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Regatta Bay (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pocketful Of Money (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Vitruvius (4/1), 4 – Clearly Artemus (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Hello Come In (8/1), 7 – Deelitesandimsum (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-2-5-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-4-1-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lady Authentic (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Lilly Mae (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Memory Maker (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Moenchanted (6/1), 5 – Norma Jean Bling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sister Saint (15/1), 6 – Diamond Country (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-2-5-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dude Drop Kid (6/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Brittany's Dream (9/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Otra Cosa (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Moment Of Stardom (9/2), 8 – Sunday Breeze (4/1), 7 – Tonteria (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Little Warrior (10/1), 3 – Muffin Nuts (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-2-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-2-4-3-7-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bayou Time (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Alotlikechocolate (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Gary P (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Deckhand (3/1), 6 – Shred It Up (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Skyrocketinflight (12/1), 5 – Gallabye (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fit To Fly (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Margot's Boy (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Johnny Podres (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rocketeightyeight (20/1), 9 – Clarestown (10/1), 1 – Petitfor (10/1), 3 – Gone Elvis (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Gabarra (12/1), 7 – Brink Of War (15/1), 8 – Ooey Gooey Chewy (30/1), 11 – Peso In My Pocket (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-8-7-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-6-5-9-2-1-7-4-11-8-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – One Grand Slam (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Running Production (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Me Promesa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Truvy's T Rex (3/1), 4 – Moondoggie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mo Milagro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-2-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-4-5-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – New York New York (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Storm Ready (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Weitzman (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Longneck (6/1), 1 – Castle Gap (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Here Comes Trump (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Island Cabana (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Regatta Bay (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Clearly Artemus (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Pocketful Of Money (10/1), 3 – Vitruvius (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Hello Come In (8/1), 7 – Deelitesandimsum (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-2-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-4-1-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lady Authentic (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Memory Maker (9/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Lilly Mae (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Moenchanted (6/1), 1 – Sister Saint (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Norma Jean Bling (10/1), 6 – Diamond Country (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-2-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-2-5-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Brittany's Dream (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Otra Cosa (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Moment Of Stardom (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Dude Drop Kid (6/1), 8 – Sunday Breeze (4/1), 4 – Little Warrior (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Tonteria (10/1), 3 – Muffin Nuts (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-8-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-2-4-3-7-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bayou Time (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Alotlikechocolate (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Gary P (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Deckhand (3/1), 3 – Skyrocketinflight (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shred It Up (12/1), 5 – Gallabye (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fit To Fly (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Margot's Boy (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Johnny Podres (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rocketeightyeight (20/1), 4 – Gabarra (12/1), 1 – Petitfor (10/1), 9 – Clarestown (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Gone Elvis (30/1), 7 – Brink Of War (15/1), 11 – Peso In My Pocket (30/1), 8 – Ooey Gooey Chewy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-7-8-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-6-5-9-2-1-7-4-11-8-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Running Production (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – One Grand Slam (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Truvy's T Rex (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Me Promesa (4/1), 4 – Moondoggie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mo Milagro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-4-5-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Storm Ready (8/5) |
| Place: | 6 – New York New York (1/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Weitzman (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Longneck (6/1), 1 – Castle Gap (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Here Comes Trump (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-2-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Island Cabana (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Regatta Bay (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Clearly Artemus (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Vitruvius (4/1), 2 – Pocketful Of Money (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Hello Come In (8/1), 7 – Deelitesandimsum (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-4-1-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Lady Authentic (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Memory Maker (9/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Lilly Mae (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Moenchanted (6/1), 5 – Norma Jean Bling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sister Saint (15/1), 6 – Diamond Country (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-2-5-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Brittany's Dream (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Dude Drop Kid (6/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Moment Of Stardom (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Sunday Breeze (4/1), 6 – Otra Cosa (2/1), 4 – Little Warrior (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Tonteria (10/1), 3 – Muffin Nuts (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-8-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-6-2-4-3-7-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bayou Time (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Gary P (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Alotlikechocolate (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Deckhand (3/1), 6 – Shred It Up (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Skyrocketinflight (12/1), 5 – Gallabye (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-6-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Fit To Fly (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Margot's Boy (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Rocketeightyeight (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Johnny Podres (8/1), 1 – Petitfor (10/1), 9 – Clarestown (10/1), 7 – Brink Of War (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Gabarra (12/1), 3 – Gone Elvis (30/1), 11 – Peso In My Pocket (30/1), 8 – Ooey Gooey Chewy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-9-7-6-8-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-6-5-9-2-1-7-4-11-8-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 1 | 5 – Mo Milagro | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 5 | 4 – Little Warrior | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 1 – Petitfor | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 7 – Brink Of War | 15/1 | 8.6% | +37.6% | 0.63% | $1.25 |
| 7 | 9 – Clarestown | 10/1 | 12.4% | +36.2% | 0.90% | $1.81 |
| 5 | 7 – Tonteria | 10/1 | 12.1% | +32.9% | 0.82% | $1.65 |
| 4 | 5 – Norma Jean Bling | 10/1 | 11.7% | +28.8% | 0.72% | $1.44 |
| 4 | 1 – Sister Saint | 15/1 | 7.9% | +26.3% | 0.44% | $0.88 |
| 3 | 2 – Pocketful Of Money | 10/1 | 11.3% | +24.0% | 0.60% | $1.20 |
| 6 | 6 – Shred It Up | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 7 | 4 – Gabarra | 12/1 | 8.6% | +11.4% | 0.24% | $0.48 |
| 5 | 3 – Muffin Nuts | 12/1 | 8.3% | +7.6% | 0.16% | $0.32 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ALOTLIKECHOCOLATE | BAYOU TIME | BRINK OF WAR | BRITTANY'S DREAM | CASTLE GAP |
| CLEARLY ARTEMUS | DECKHAND | DEELITESANDIMSUM | DIAMOND COUNTRY | DUDE DROP KID |
| GABARRA | GALLABYE | GARY P | GONE ELVIS | HELLO COME IN |
| ISLAND CABANA | JOHNNY PODRES | LADY AUTHENTIC | LILLY MAE | LITTLE WARRIOR |
| MARGOT'S BOY | ME PROMESA | MEMORY MAKER | MO MILAGRO | MOENCHANTED |
| MOONDOGGIE | MUFFIN NUTS | NEW YORK NEW YORK | NORMA JEAN BLING | ONE GRAND SLAM |
| OTRA COSA | PESO IN MY POCKET | PETITFOR | POCKETFUL OF MONEY | REGATTA BAY |
| RUNNING PRODUCTION | SHRED IT UP | SISTER SAINT | SKYROCKETINFLIGHT | STORM READY |
| TONTERIA | TRUVY'S T REX | VITRUVIUS | WEITZMAN |
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