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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Enchant (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Classic Cara (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Maxpower (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Maizey Blue (6/1), 6 – Balitea (12/1), 8 – Munchkin (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Ronda World (15/1), 3 – Refined Elaine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-5-8-2-6-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bee N Dee (3/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Kathleen's Derby (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Richie's Valentine (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Hipatia (6/1), 1 – Sexpectations (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Spanish Girl (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-1-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ms Sophistication (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Saratoga Party (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Alma's Law (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tejanita (7/2), 3 – Epic Selloff (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dark Blue Water (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Azario (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Elko County (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Mo Action (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Royal Merit (4/1), 7 – Battle Lou (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Navesink Pirate (8/1), 4 – It'salljustadream (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-5-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Natural Harbor (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Skylander (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Grouch (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Charlie's Express (4/1), 5 – Lord Berrier (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hey Buddy (8/1), 2 – Prime Motive (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-1-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-1-4-2-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Singalong Kayla (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Princess Gladys (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Celestial Express (10/1), 5 – Postino's Prophecy (12/1), 3 – Wow Lucky (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Exclusive Champion (7/2), 8 – Delightful Ava (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-3-2-4-5-8 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Elsie's Smile (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Securitylightning (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Toasttothestones (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – No Denying (6/1), 3 – Lady Khoz (8/1), 9 – Charming Jennie (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Emily Reward (8/1), 7 – Cassie's Vault (12/1), 1 – Rachel Caroline (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-8-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-6-8-9-7-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Magneto (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Redemption Speight (8/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Roscommon (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Enduring Angel (9/2), 11 – Fratellone (4/1), 10 – Red Sky Morning (7/2), 8 – Imperial Spy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Editor's Choice (8/1), 9 – Chaos Comin (15/1), 3 – First Navy Jack (15/1), 6 – Joevia's First (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-8-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-11-8-10-4-7-1-3-5-6-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Enchant (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Classic Cara (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Maxpower (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Maizey Blue (6/1), 8 – Munchkin (10/1), 3 – Refined Elaine (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Ronda World (15/1), 6 – Balitea (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-5-8-2-6-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bee N Dee (3/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Richie's Valentine (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Kathleen's Derby (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Sexpectations (5/1), 3 – Hipatia (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Spanish Girl (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-1-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ms Sophistication (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Saratoga Party (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Tejanita (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Alma's Law (4/1), 3 – Epic Selloff (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dark Blue Water (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-4-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Azario (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Elko County (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Mo Action (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Battle Lou (9/2), 1 – Royal Merit (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – It'salljustadream (10/1), 5 – Navesink Pirate (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-5-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Natural Harbor (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Grouch (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Skylander (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Charlie's Express (4/1), 4 – Hey Buddy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Lord Berrier (12/1), 2 – Prime Motive (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-7-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-1-4-2-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Singalong Kayla (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Princess Gladys (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Wow Lucky (6/1), 4 – Exclusive Champion (7/2), 2 – Celestial Express (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Postino's Prophecy (12/1), 8 – Delightful Ava (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-3-2-4-5-8 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Elsie's Smile (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Toasttothestones (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – No Denying (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Securitylightning (9/2), 3 – Lady Khoz (8/1), 8 – Emily Reward (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Rachel Caroline (15/1), 7 – Cassie's Vault (12/1), 9 – Charming Jennie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-6-8-9-7-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Magneto (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Roscommon (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Enduring Angel (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Red Sky Morning (7/2), 11 – Fratellone (4/1), 1 – Redemption Speight (8/1), 8 – Imperial Spy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Joevia's First (15/1), 5 – Editor's Choice (8/1), 3 – First Navy Jack (15/1), 9 – Chaos Comin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-8-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-11-8-10-4-7-1-3-5-6-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Enchant (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Classic Cara (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Maxpower (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Maizey Blue (6/1), 6 – Balitea (12/1), 8 – Munchkin (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Refined Elaine (20/1), 2 – Ronda World (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-7-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-5-8-2-6-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bee N Dee (3/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Kathleen's Derby (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Hipatia (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Richie's Valentine (9/2), 1 – Sexpectations (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Spanish Girl (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-3-1-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ms Sophistication (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Saratoga Party (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Alma's Law (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tejanita (7/2), 3 – Epic Selloff (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dark Blue Water (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Azario (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Elko County (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Mo Action (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Royal Merit (4/1), 7 – Battle Lou (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Navesink Pirate (8/1), 4 – It'salljustadream (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-5-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Natural Harbor (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Skylander (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Charlie's Express (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Prime Motive (5/1), 1 – Grouch (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hey Buddy (8/1), 5 – Lord Berrier (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-6-7-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-1-4-2-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Princess Gladys (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Singalong Kayla (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Exclusive Champion (7/2), 3 – Wow Lucky (6/1), 2 – Celestial Express (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Postino's Prophecy (12/1), 8 – Delightful Ava (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-3-2-4-5-8 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Elsie's Smile (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Toasttothestones (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – No Denying (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Securitylightning (9/2), 3 – Lady Khoz (8/1), 8 – Emily Reward (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Charming Jennie (8/1), 7 – Cassie's Vault (12/1), 1 – Rachel Caroline (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-8-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-6-8-9-7-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Magneto (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Roscommon (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Enduring Angel (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Fratellone (4/1), 10 – Red Sky Morning (7/2), 5 – Editor's Choice (8/1), 1 – Redemption Speight (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – First Navy Jack (15/1), 8 – Imperial Spy (12/1), 6 – Joevia's First (15/1), 9 – Chaos Comin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-4-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-11-8-10-4-7-1-3-5-6-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 6 | 2 – Celestial Express | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 1 | 2 – Ronda World | 15/1 | 8.9% | +41.7% | 0.69% | $1.39 |
| 8 | 3 – First Navy Jack | 15/1 | 8.6% | +37.7% | 0.63% | $1.26 |
| 1 | 8 – Munchkin | 10/1 | 11.7% | +28.5% | 0.71% | $1.43 |
| 8 | 6 – Joevia'S First | 15/1 | 7.8% | +25.0% | 0.42% | $0.83 |
| 7 | 7 – Cassie'S Vault | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 6 | 5 – Postino'S Prophecy | 12/1 | 8.8% | +14.4% | 0.30% | $0.60 |
| 1 | 6 – Balitea | 12/1 | 8.6% | +12.0% | 0.25% | $0.50 |
| 8 | 8 – Imperial Spy | 12/1 | 8.5% | +11.1% | 0.23% | $0.46 |
| 2 | 5 – Spanish Girl | 12/1 | 8.2% | +7.0% | 0.14% | $0.29 |
| 4 | 4 – It'Salljustadream | 10/1 | 9.7% | +6.5% | 0.16% | $0.33 |
| 8 | 9 – Chaos Comin | 15/1 | 6.6% | +5.2% | 0.09% | $0.17 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ALMA'S LAW | AZARIO | BALITEA | BATTLE LOU | BEE N DEE |
| CELESTIAL EXPRESS | CHAOS COMIN | CHARLIE'S EXPRESS | CHARMING JENNIE | CLASSIC CARA |
| DELIGHTFUL AVA | EDITOR'S CHOICE | ELKO COUNTY | ELSIE'S SMILE | EMILY REWARD |
| ENDURING ANGEL | EPIC SELLOFF | EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION | FIRST NAVY JACK | FRATELLONE |
| HEY BUDDY | HIPATIA | IMPERIAL SPY | IT'SALLJUSTADREAM | JOEVIA'S FIRST |
| LADY EMILY KATHRYN | LADY KHOZ | LORD BERRIER | MAGNETO | MAIZEY BLUE |
| MO ACTION | MS SOPHISTICATION | MUNCHKIN | NATURAL HARBOR | NAVESINK PIRATE |
| POSTINO'S PROPHECY | PRIME MOTIVE | PRINCESS GLADYS | RACHEL CAROLINE | RED SKY MORNING |
| REFINED ELAINE | RICHIE'S VALENTINE | RONDA WORLD | ROSCOMMON | ROYAL MERIT |
| SECURITYLIGHTNING | SEXPECTATIONS | SINGALONG KAYLA | SKYLANDER | SPANISH GIRL |
| TOASTTOTHESTONES | WOW LUCKY |
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