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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Queen Anna T (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Float Away (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss M M (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Claire'S Darling (4/1), 1 – She'S So Bearrish (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Diosa Catrina (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – So Grand (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Hightail Fox (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Leo Q (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Alabama Sleeper (5/1), 1 – Alexander K (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Violin Fingers (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-4-1-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bindi (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Boujie Betz (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Moonscape (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Finance Finance (3/1), 5 – Oklahoma Smoke (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-5-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Fly In The Mystic (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Warrior'S Mission (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mr. Impatient (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cosmic Connection (8/1), 5 – Sealand (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Double Up Larry (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Van (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Burnin Turf (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Secretary Of War (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Only Get'N Better (9/2), 3 – Cox Canyon (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Triple Start (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-5-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-6-5-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Air One (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Neoprene (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Mary Katherine (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Courageous Ari (9/2), 4 – Jasmines World (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Joys Of Summer (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-4-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shy Da Runner (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Mr. Bones (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Showdown King (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – On Tap (5/2), 3 – Kotylos (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Boudin (12/1), 4 – Face Abarrio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-2-6-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Chubs Rocket (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Drunkle (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Tiz Big Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – This Laughs On You (4/1), 5 – Wings Of God (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Toomuchaintenough (10/1), 6 – Ol' Nelson (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-1-2-6-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Queen Anna T (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Float Away (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss M M (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Claire'S Darling (4/1), 1 – She'S So Bearrish (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Diosa Catrina (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – So Grand (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Hightail Fox (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Leo Q (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Alabama Sleeper (5/1), 1 – Alexander K (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Violin Fingers (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-4-1-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Boujie Betz (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Bindi (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Finance Finance (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Moonscape (4/1), 5 – Oklahoma Smoke (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-5-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Fly In The Mystic (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Warrior'S Mission (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mr. Impatient (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cosmic Connection (8/1), 5 – Sealand (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Double Up Larry (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Van (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Burnin Turf (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Secretary Of War (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Only Get'N Better (9/2), 3 – Cox Canyon (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Triple Start (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-6-5-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Neoprene (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Mary Katherine (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Air One (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Courageous Ari (9/2), 4 – Jasmines World (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Joys Of Summer (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-4-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shy Da Runner (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – On Tap (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Mr. Bones (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Showdown King (4/1), 3 – Kotylos (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Boudin (12/1), 4 – Face Abarrio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-5-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-2-6-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Drunkle (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Chubs Rocket (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Tiz Big Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – This Laughs On You (4/1), 5 – Wings Of God (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Toomuchaintenough (10/1), 6 – Ol' Nelson (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-2-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-1-2-6-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Queen Anna T (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Float Away (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss M M (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Claire'S Darling (4/1), 1 – She'S So Bearrish (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Diosa Catrina (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-2-1-5 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – So Grand (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Hightail Fox (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Leo Q (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Alabama Sleeper (5/1), 1 – Alexander K (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Violin Fingers (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-4-1-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bindi (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Boujie Betz (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Finance Finance (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Moonscape (4/1), 5 – Oklahoma Smoke (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-5-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Fly In The Mystic (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Warrior'S Mission (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mr. Impatient (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cosmic Connection (8/1), 4 – Double Up Larry (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Sealand (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Van (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Burnin Turf (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Only Get'N Better (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Secretary Of War (4/1), 3 – Cox Canyon (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Triple Start (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-6-5-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Neoprene (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Mary Katherine (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Air One (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Courageous Ari (9/2), 4 – Jasmines World (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Joys Of Summer (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-4-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Shy Da Runner (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Showdown King (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – On Tap (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Mr. Bones (7/2), 3 – Kotylos (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Boudin (12/1), 4 – Face Abarrio (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-2-6-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Drunkle (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Chubs Rocket (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Tiz Big Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – This Laughs On You (4/1), 5 – Wings Of God (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Toomuchaintenough (10/1), 6 – Ol' Nelson (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-2-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-4-1-2-6-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 8, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 38, Mid Pace: 14, Late Pace: 67, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 76, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 26, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 26, Weight: 91, Medications: 4, Weather: 13, Race Trouble: 66, Last Race: 51, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 26, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 8 | 4 – Toomuchaintenough | 10/1 | 12.6% | +38.7% | 0.97% | $1.93 |
| 8 | 6 – Ol' Nelson | 10/1 | 9.4% | +3.5% | 0.09% | $0.17 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AIR ONE | ALABAMA SLEEPER | ALEXANDER K | BINDI | BOUDIN |
| BURNIN TURF | CHUBS ROCKET | CLAIRE'S DARLING | COSMIC CONNECTION | COURAGEOUS ARI |
| DIOSA CATRINA | DOUBLE UP LARRY | DRUNKLE | FACE ABARRIO | FINANCE FINANCE |
| FLY IN THE MYSTIC | HIGHTAIL FOX | JASMINES WORLD | JOYS OF SUMMER | KOTYLOS |
| MARY KATHERINE | MISS M M | MOONSCAPE | MR. BONES | MR. IMPATIENT |
| OKLAHOMA SMOKE | OL' NELSON | ON TAP | ONLY GET'N BETTER | QUEEN ANNA T |
| SECRETARY OF WAR | SHE'S SO BEARRISH | SHOWDOWN KING | SHY DA RUNNER | SO GRAND |
| TIZ BIG MONEY | TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH | TRIPLE START | VAN | VIOLIN FINGERS |
| WINGS OF GOD |
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