Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Going Deep (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Cameron Slough (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Super Ellie (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Dea Matrona (9/5), 6 – Free And Humble (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Catalina Cocktail (8/1), 2 – Mastery Kat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ryan's Girl (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Theresasilverlinin (3/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Bear's Board (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Unbridled Scholar (6/1), 4 – Big Soiree (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Daddy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-5-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Wildfire Princess (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Eternal Reign (4/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Upcharge (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Anywaythewindblows (7/2), 3 – Angel Baby (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Very Smart (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Lyndee's Dream (15/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Jacklyn Lucas (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Joyful Mischief (5/1), 3 – Last Chance Darcy (5/1), 5 – Blame The Track (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Never In Doubt (12/1), 4 – Awesome Olga (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-7-8-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-1-7-3-6-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lord Bullingdon (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Mr. Leasure (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Geometry (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Tariff (8/1), 5 – Enterdadragon (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – El Rey Rey (12/1), 6 – Uncle Happy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-2-7-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-7-5-3-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bitter Truth (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Kitty Mac (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Gogotiz (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Waiting For My Cue (6/1), 2 – Dame It Dani (8/1), 7 – By The Moonlight (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sky At Sunrise (15/1), 5 – Palace Mischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-3-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-8-2-6-7-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Mi Confesion (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – The White Lady (3/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Pulp Fiction (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Baltic Fire (6/1), 3 – Rosie Jeeks (10/1), 4 – Ripassare (8/1), 7 – Sareeha (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Roselee May (12/1), 1 – Surf Song (12/1), 5 – My Perfect Wave (15/1), 8 – Hannah Buckle (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-10-11-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-9-3-7-2-10-11-4-5-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Magnify (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Berlin Wall (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Deer District (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Midway Lane (6/1), 7 – Ghazaaly (5/1), 2 – Balladeer (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Mr. Disrespectful (10/1), 3 – B Grayson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-5-8-6-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Justivar (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Icons Only (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Photogenic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Specialty (10/1), 4 – Sugar Reign (8/1), 2 – Heavenly Belle (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Springline (12/1), 6 – Molly E (8/1), 5 – Maguite (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-9-3-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-3-4-6-8-1-2-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dea Matrona (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Going Deep (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Cameron Slough (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Super Ellie (5/1), 6 – Free And Humble (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Catalina Cocktail (8/1), 2 – Mastery Kat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-2-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ryan's Girl (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Theresasilverlinin (3/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Bear's Board (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Unbridled Scholar (6/1), 4 – Big Soiree (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Daddy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Eternal Reign (4/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Wildfire Princess (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Anywaythewindblows (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Upcharge (9/2), 3 – Angel Baby (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Very Smart (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Jacklyn Lucas (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Last Chance Darcy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Joyful Mischief (5/1), 1 – Lyndee's Dream (15/1), 5 – Blame The Track (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Never In Doubt (12/1), 4 – Awesome Olga (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-7-8-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-1-7-3-6-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lord Bullingdon (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Mr. Leasure (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Geometry (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Enterdadragon (6/1), 7 – Tariff (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – El Rey Rey (12/1), 6 – Uncle Happy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-7-5-3-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Gogotiz (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bitter Truth (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Kitty Mac (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Waiting For My Cue (6/1), 2 – Dame It Dani (8/1), 7 – By The Moonlight (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sky At Sunrise (15/1), 5 – Palace Mischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-4-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-8-2-6-7-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – The White Lady (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Mi Confesion (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Sareeha (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Baltic Fire (6/1), 11 – Pulp Fiction (5/1), 3 – Rosie Jeeks (10/1), 4 – Ripassare (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Surf Song (12/1), 8 – Hannah Buckle (8/1), 10 – Roselee May (12/1), 5 – My Perfect Wave (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-11-4-6-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-9-3-7-2-10-11-4-5-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Magnify (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Berlin Wall (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Ghazaaly (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Deer District (5/1), 2 – Balladeer (8/1), 8 – Midway Lane (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Mr. Disrespectful (10/1), 3 – B Grayson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-5-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-5-8-6-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Justivar (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Icons Only (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Photogenic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sugar Reign (8/1), 2 – Heavenly Belle (12/1), 7 – Specialty (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Springline (12/1), 6 – Molly E (8/1), 5 – Maguite (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-3-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-3-4-6-8-1-2-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Dea Matrona (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Going Deep (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Cameron Slough (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Free And Humble (6/1), 4 – Super Ellie (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Catalina Cocktail (8/1), 2 – Mastery Kat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-7-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ryan's Girl (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Theresasilverlinin (3/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Bear's Board (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Unbridled Scholar (6/1), 4 – Big Soiree (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Daddy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Eternal Reign (4/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Wildfire Princess (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Anywaythewindblows (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Upcharge (9/2), 3 – Angel Baby (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-1-3-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Very Smart (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Lyndee's Dream (15/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Jacklyn Lucas (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Last Chance Darcy (5/1), 7 – Joyful Mischief (5/1), 5 – Blame The Track (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Never In Doubt (12/1), 4 – Awesome Olga (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-3-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-1-7-3-6-5-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mr. Leasure (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lord Bullingdon (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Tariff (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Geometry (6/1), 5 – Enterdadragon (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – El Rey Rey (12/1), 6 – Uncle Happy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-7-2-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-7-5-3-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Gogotiz (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bitter Truth (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Kitty Mac (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Waiting For My Cue (6/1), 6 – Sky At Sunrise (15/1), 2 – Dame It Dani (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – By The Moonlight (12/1), 5 – Palace Mischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-4-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-8-2-6-7-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – The White Lady (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Mi Confesion (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Sareeha (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Pulp Fiction (5/1), 9 – Baltic Fire (6/1), 3 – Rosie Jeeks (10/1), 4 – Ripassare (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Roselee May (12/1), 1 – Surf Song (12/1), 8 – Hannah Buckle (8/1), 5 – My Perfect Wave (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-11-10-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-9-3-7-2-10-11-4-5-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Berlin Wall (4/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Midway Lane (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Magnify (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Ghazaaly (5/1), 5 – Deer District (5/1), 2 – Balladeer (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Mr. Disrespectful (10/1), 3 – B Grayson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-7-8-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-5-8-6-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Justivar (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Icons Only (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Photogenic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Specialty (10/1), 4 – Sugar Reign (8/1), 2 – Heavenly Belle (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Springline (12/1), 6 – Molly E (8/1), 5 – Maguite (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-3-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-3-4-6-8-1-2-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 11, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 21, Jockey: 21, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 51, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 8 | 6 – Mr. Disrespectful | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 9 | 7 – Specialty | 10/1 | 14.8% | +62.6% | 1.57% | $3.13 |
| 4 | 1 – Lyndee'S Dream | 15/1 | 8.9% | +41.7% | 0.69% | $1.39 |
| 6 | 6 – Sky At Sunrise | 15/1 | 8.9% | +41.7% | 0.69% | $1.39 |
| 3 | 3 – Angel Baby | 15/1 | 7.7% | +22.6% | 0.38% | $0.75 |
| 7 | 5 – My Perfect Wave | 15/1 | 7.2% | +15.4% | 0.26% | $0.51 |
| 7 | 10 – Roselee May | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 6 | 7 – By The Moonlight | 12/1 | 8.8% | +14.8% | 0.31% | $0.62 |
| 9 | 8 – Springline | 12/1 | 8.5% | +11.1% | 0.23% | $0.46 |
| 4 | 6 – Never In Doubt | 12/1 | 8.4% | +9.0% | 0.19% | $0.38 |
| 9 | 2 – Heavenly Belle | 12/1 | 8.1% | +5.7% | 0.12% | $0.24 |
| 2 | 4 – Big Soiree | 12/1 | 8.1% | +4.8% | 0.10% | $0.20 |
| 7 | 1 – Surf Song | 12/1 | 8.0% | +3.5% | 0.07% | $0.14 |
| 5 | 3 – El Rey Rey | 12/1 | 7.9% | +2.2% | 0.05% | $0.09 |
| 7 | 3 – Rosie Jeeks | 10/1 | 9.2% | +1.3% | 0.03% | $0.06 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ANGEL BABY | ANYWAYTHEWINDBLOWS | AWESOME OLGA | B GRAYSON | BALLADEER |
| BEAR'S BOARD | BERLIN WALL | BIG SOIREE | BITTER TRUTH | BLAME THE TRACK |
| CAMERON SLOUGH | CATALINA COCKTAIL | DAME IT DANI | DEA MATRONA | DEER DISTRICT |
| ENTERDADRAGON | ETERNAL REIGN | FREE AND HUMBLE | GEOMETRY | GHAZAALY |
| GOING DEEP | HANNAH BUCKLE | HEAVENLY BELLE | ICONS ONLY | JACKLYN LUCAS |
| JUSTIVAR | KITTY MAC | LAST CHANCE DARCY | LORD BULLINGDON | LYNDEE'S DREAM |
| MAGUITE | MASTERY KAT | MI CONFESION | MIDWAY LANE | MOLLY E |
| MR. LEASURE | MY PERFECT WAVE | NEVER IN DOUBT | PALACE MISCHIEF | PHOTOGENIC |
| PULP FICTION | RIPASSARE | ROSELEE MAY | ROSIE JEEKS | RYAN'S GIRL |
| SKY AT SUNRISE | SPECIALTY | SPRINGLINE | SUGAR REIGN | SUPER ELLIE |
| TARIFF | THE WHITE LADY | THERESASILVERLININ | UNBRIDLED SCHOLAR | UNCLE HAPPY |
| VERY SMART | WAITING FOR MY CUE | WILDFIRE PRINCESS |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
