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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Vodkatini (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Beaches And Pearls (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Legally Lucky (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Scary Proposition (5/1), 8 – Candymonium (10/1), 3 – Sacred Connection (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Beautiful Mandate (10/1), 2 – Calendula (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-1-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-1-7-6-4-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stormin'unclejack (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Panthera's Fate (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Improbable First (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Brewing (7/2), 6 – Jenny's Beignet (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Mshindi (8/1), 3 – Logico (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-4-2-7-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Smash (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Sunset Town (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Z Boss (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quarantino (9/2), 3 – Loony (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Remember Me (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Crackle (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Opulent Ways (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Slew Crown (8/1), 2 – Elika (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Starcourt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Mutiny (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Gapper (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Hidden Ransom (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mucho Primo (5/1), 3 – A Prayer For Kids (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Venture On (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Coldasice (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Fall In Love (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Jenn Sweet Jenn (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – She Grins (3/1), 3 – Red Delicious (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Opal (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Game Performer (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Leo's Legacy (9/5) |
| Show: | 6 – It's Last Call (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spice Bag (8/1), 1 – Wise Words (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Affair To Remember (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-6-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Siofra (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Angel I'm Not (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Rosetta (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Lady Loves Money (5/2), 6 – Shes A Storm (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Penny's Treasure (12/1), 1 – State Of Grace (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-2-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Vodkatini (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Beaches And Pearls (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Legally Lucky (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sacred Connection (6/1), 7 – Scary Proposition (5/1), 8 – Candymonium (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Beautiful Mandate (10/1), 2 – Calendula (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-7-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-1-7-6-4-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stormin'unclejack (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Improbable First (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Panthera's Fate (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Mshindi (8/1), 6 – Jenny's Beignet (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Brewing (7/2), 3 – Logico (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-4-2-7-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Smash (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Z Boss (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Loony (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quarantino (9/2), 2 – Sunset Town (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Remember Me (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Crackle (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Opulent Ways (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Elika (6/1), 1 – Slew Crown (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Starcourt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Gapper (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Hidden Ransom (9/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Mutiny (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mucho Primo (5/1), 1 – Venture On (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – A Prayer For Kids (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Fall In Love (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Coldasice (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Red Delicious (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Jenn Sweet Jenn (5/2), 4 – She Grins (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Opal (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Game Performer (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Leo's Legacy (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Affair To Remember (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spice Bag (8/1), 6 – It's Last Call (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Wise Words (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-6-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Siofra (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Angel I'm Not (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Rosetta (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Lady Loves Money (5/2), 1 – State Of Grace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shes A Storm (8/1), 4 – Penny's Treasure (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-2-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Beaches And Pearls (9/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Scary Proposition (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Vodkatini (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Candymonium (10/1), 1 – Legally Lucky (5/2), 3 – Sacred Connection (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Beautiful Mandate (10/1), 2 – Calendula (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-1-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-1-7-6-4-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stormin'unclejack (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Brewing (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Panthera's Fate (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Improbable First (3/1), 2 – Mshindi (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Logico (12/1), 6 – Jenny's Beignet (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-1-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-4-2-7-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Smash (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Z Boss (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Loony (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quarantino (9/2), 2 – Sunset Town (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Remember Me (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Crackle (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Opulent Ways (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Elika (6/1), 1 – Slew Crown (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Starcourt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Hidden Ransom (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Mutiny (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Gapper (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Mucho Primo (5/1), 1 – Venture On (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – A Prayer For Kids (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-5-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Coldasice (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Jenn Sweet Jenn (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Fall In Love (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Red Delicious (6/1), 4 – She Grins (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Opal (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Leo's Legacy (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Game Performer (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – It's Last Call (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Spice Bag (8/1), 1 – Wise Words (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Affair To Remember (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-6-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Siofra (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Angel I'm Not (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Lady Loves Money (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rosetta (6/1), 6 – Shes A Storm (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Penny's Treasure (12/1), 1 – State Of Grace (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-2-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 1 | 8 – Candymonium | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 1 – Wise Words | 10/1 | 14.9% | +63.4% | 1.58% | $3.17 |
| 1 | 4 – Beautiful Mandate | 10/1 | 12.0% | +32.5% | 0.81% | $1.63 |
| 2 | 3 – Logico | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 4 | 4 – Starcourt | 15/1 | 7.1% | +14.0% | 0.23% | $0.47 |
| 5 | 3 – A Prayer For Kids | 12/1 | 8.4% | +8.8% | 0.18% | $0.37 |
| 1 | 2 – Calendula | 12/1 | 8.3% | +7.4% | 0.15% | $0.31 |
| 6 | 2 – Princess Opal | 15/1 | 6.6% | +6.1% | 0.10% | $0.20 |
| 2 | 6 – Jenny'S Beignet | 10/1 | 9.5% | +4.8% | 0.12% | $0.24 |
| 8 | 1 – State Of Grace | 12/1 | 7.8% | +1.7% | 0.03% | $0.07 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| A PRAYER FOR KIDS | AFFAIR TO REMEMBER | ANGEL I'M NOT | BEACHES AND PEARLS | BEAUTIFUL MANDATE |
| CALENDULA | CANDYMONIUM | COLDASICE | CRACKLE | ELIKA |
| GAME PERFORMER | GAPPER | HIDDEN RANSOM | IMPROBABLE FIRST | IT'S LAST CALL |
| JENNY'S BEIGNET | LADY LOVES MONEY | LEGALLY LUCKY | LEO'S LEGACY | LOGICO |
| MSHINDI | MUCHO PRIMO | MUTINY | OPULENT WAYS | PANTHERA'S FATE |
| PRINCESS OPAL | QUARANTINO | RED DELICIOUS | REMEMBER ME | ROSETTA |
| SCARY PROPOSITION | SHE GRINS | SHES A STORM | SIOFRA | SLEW CROWN |
| SPICE BAG | STARCOURT | STATE OF GRACE | STORMIN'UNCLEJACK | SUNSET TOWN |
| VODKATINI | WISE WORDS | Z BOSS |
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