Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, November 1, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

0%13%26%39%52%Odds-on to 5/2: 42.0% from 2,386 racesOdds-on to 5/242.0%5/2 to 5/1: 30.0% from 2,143 races5/2 to 5/130.0%

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Odds-on to 5/242.0%2,386
5/2 to 5/130.0%2,143

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 4 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Soap Note (3-1) ⭐4/4100.0%14 pts
Place:5 – Jackies Einor (5-1)3/475.0%6 pts
Show:6 – Ultimit Warrior (8-1)2/450.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Midnight Commander (4-1)2/450.0%6 pts
Alt 2:1 – Glenadean (6-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 3:3 – Just Plain Eugene (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 4:7 – Down Time (2-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Ashes And Diamonds (3-1) ⭐4/4100.0%13 pts
Place:3 – Menkaure (2-1)3/475.0%6 pts
Show:6 – Diagram (4-1)2/450.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Miss Clarke (5-1)2/450.0%5 pts
Alt 2:4 – Ashkenazi (10-1)1/425.0%2 pts
Alt 3:7 – Shanett (12-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 4:5 – Miss Pierre (8-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:8 – Love A Warrior (1-1) ⭐4/4100.0%15 pts
Place:9 – Fire Marshal (10-1)3/475.0%8 pts
Show:3 – Take Charge Beach (8-1)3/475.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Rupp (6-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 2:5 – Captivate (4-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 3:4 – Kendom (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 4:6 – Chief Ball (50-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 5:2 – Epic Road (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 6:7 – Kalapaki Point (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Windsock (4-1) ⭐4/4100.0%13 pts
Place:8 – Concrete Overlay (6-1)2/450.0%5 pts
Show:3 – Power Of Vino (5-1)1/425.0%4 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:9 – Captain Call (12-1)1/425.0%4 pts
Alt 2:2 – Good Hand (4-1)1/425.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Mambo Man (15-1)1/425.0%2 pts
Alt 4:6 – Asher Dasher (6-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 5:7 – Mo Reviews (5-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 6:10 – Army Run (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 7:1 – Faraz (30-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:8 – Executor (5-1)3/475.0%8 pts
Place:4 – Surfin' M (8-1)3/475.0%7 pts
Show:6 – Culprit (2-1)2/450.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:10 – Impavido (20-1)1/425.0%4 pts
Alt 2:2 – Final Thoughts (6-1)1/425.0%3 pts
Alt 3:7 – Greers Ferry (3-1)1/425.0%2 pts
Alt 4:9 – Strummin (10-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 5:3 – Anglican (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 6:1 – Bagg O Time (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 7:5 – Triple Max (30-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:11 – The Look (2-1) ⭐4/4100.0%14 pts
Place:7 – Eenymeanymightymo (10-1)2/450.0%6 pts
Show:1 – Indomiknow (6-1)2/450.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Elida's Angel (4-1)1/425.0%3 pts
Alt 2:3 – Eleonora (12-1)1/425.0%2 pts
Alt 3:15 – Gimme Some Lovin (4-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 4:6 – White Star Line (20-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 5:13 – Marble Arch (6-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 6:10 – Copycat (8-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 7:9 – Cowgirl Paradise (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 8:2 – Twinklee (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 9:16 – Ghosts Lil Secret (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 10:8 – Got What I Got (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 11:5 – Thirteen Roses (30-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 12:12 – Valedora (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 13:14 – Take The Helm (10-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Gardiner (1-1) ⭐4/4100.0%13 pts
Place:8 – Social Hour (4-1)3/475.0%8 pts
Show:7 – Brother Rice (5-1)3/475.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – League Of Legends (15-1)1/425.0%4 pts
Alt 2:4 – Optimal Courage (8-1)1/425.0%1 pts
Alt 3:9 – Decatur Street (8-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 4:1 – Powerized (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 5:5 – Stargazzers Dream (30-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 6:2 – El Michoacano (30-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 7:10 – One Cool Dude (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Kaykay (2-1) ⭐3/475.0%11 pts
Place:3 – Feminism (12-1)3/475.0%5 pts
Show:2 – Ready Comete (4-1)2/450.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – Glory Me (4-1)2/450.0%5 pts
Alt 2:5 – In Total Awe (3-1)1/425.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Feasible (20-1)1/425.0%3 pts
Alt 4:8 – Rose Alabama (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 5:1 – That's A Benjamin (10-1)0/40.0%0 pts

Race 9

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Hazy Horizon (2-1) ⭐4/4100.0%14 pts
Place:4 – Timelapse (8-1)2/450.0%5 pts
Show:6 – Foolin (4-1)2/450.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:9 – Mckeonville (5-1)2/450.0%4 pts
Alt 2:7 – Twillo (4-1)1/425.0%4 pts
Alt 3:1 – Now He's Gone (6-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 4:2 – Yogesh (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 5:5 – Kiss The Medal (15-1)0/40.0%0 pts
Alt 6:8 – Naxian (20-1)0/40.0%0 pts

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