Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
How often our pick wins, by its price
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.1% | 2,566 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.6% | 2,334 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – True Essence (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Family Crest (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 11 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Apotheon (5-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Toll Booth Willy (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Charge Me (3-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Beach Vibe (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Electric Indian (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Infinite Speed (2-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 24 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Barca Billy (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Four Star General (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Ta Ta Today Junior (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Mi Sargento (3-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Powerful Justice (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 5 – Cloudy Lass (4-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 8 – British Empress (6-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 13 pts |
| Show: | 9 – Candle's Legacy (10-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 13 – Ribadeo (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Oak Alley (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Union Empress (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 11 – Tidal Tactics (6-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 14 – Dreaming Collect (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – Miss Teca (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 12 – Princess Buttercup (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 1 – Lyric Street (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 6 – Dreaming Why (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 10 – Vee's Reason (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 4 – Jack's Yellow Rose (25-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Sakra's Quest (4-1) ⭐ | 4/6 | 66.7% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 6 – Fat Chance (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 11 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Indiana Smoke Show (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Eye Shadow (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Molly's Potion (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Barb's Vortex (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Color Me Fast (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Which Side R U On (3-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 21 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Forever Greedy (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Troubleonthegreen (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Governor Ron (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 9 – Adios Ashwood (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Positive Change (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Brazilian Conexao (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 10 – Mystik Justice (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 3 – Thousands Of Hopes (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 6 – Zach (5-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 11 – Nineteenfourtyfive (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Victory On Ice (2-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 22 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Bignetti (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Red Clay Runaway (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Tricked You (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Cyber Runner (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Blues Rocker (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 9 – Comeonwithit (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 7 – Suspenders (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 1 – Mr Thunderous (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Never Really Know (4-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 23 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Risk And Regret (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Differently (8-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Choate (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 9 – White Lilacs (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Pink Moon (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 8 – Purring (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 12 – Roaring Vixen (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 3 – She's Fascinating (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 10 – My Wish (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 5 – Sassy Allie (25-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 11 – Rafaella (25-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Hot Middles (3-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 23 pts |
| Place: | 9 – Imagine The Moon (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 5 – The Kid Pataky (8-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Werk It Wendy (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Littleransomsfire (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Temple Paynter (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Rich In Faith (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 2 – Bits Of Candy (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – City Prayers (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Tiva (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 5 – Pious (3-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
| Show: | 8 – Well Hey There (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 9 – Deep Dreams (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Onelilconquest (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Pear (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Indy Tryst (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 7 – Apple Biscuit (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – Whistlewhileuwork (8-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 10
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Wr Hott Shott (4-1) | 5/5 | 100.0% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 9 – Bandita (15-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 10 – Tw Trumps Secrets (3-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Ap Miss Lunas Tide (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Rock Hard Love (10-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Caelus (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Mg Pilot Boy (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 4 – Streakindownthebeach (4-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – Bp Electric Cowboy (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 7 – Gold Hearted Policy (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
